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338215 | What embassy in Oslo will Norwegian police say was targeted in a bombing by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Diplomatic missions in European capitals face changing security risks during periods of international tension. Norwegian authorities monitor threats against foreign embassies in Oslo. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on a public statement from Norwegian police or another official Norwegian authority, or on clearly attributed reporting from a major wire service such as AP or Reuters, identifying the diplomatic mission that was targeted.
</li>
<li>
... | string (institution) | US embassy | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/11/three-brothers-arrested-in-norway-over-bomb-attack-on-us-embassy-in-oslo | Norwegian police say they have arrested three brothers suspected of carrying out Sunday’s “terror bombing” attack on the US embassy in Oslo.
The unnamed men, all Norwegian citizens in their 20s with Iraqi heritage, were taken into custody in the Norwegian capital on Wednesday afternoon.
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list of 3 it... | 2026-03-11T00:00:00 | 2026-03-11T00:00:00 | Three Norwegian citizens with Iraqi heritage arrested as investigators probe possible foreign state involvement. | Three brothers arrested in Norway over bomb attack on US embassy in Oslo | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
681301 | Which district in southern Lebanon will be reported as the site of a building heavily damaged in an Israeli air strike, by March 10, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-01. Cross-border fighting between Israel and armed groups in Lebanon continues. If a strike damages a building in southern Lebanon, later reporting may identify the district where it happened. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolution will be based on Reuters reporting published on or about March 10, 2026 describing an Israeli air strike that heavily damaged a building in southern Lebanon. If that report is unavailable, a substantially identical report from another major wire service covering th... | string (location) | Tyre district | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/10/israeli-air-strike-targets-building-in-south-lebanon | An Israeli air strike has heavily damaged a building in southern Lebanon’s Tyre district as Israeli forces continue to attack across the area. The army says it is targeting Hezbollah military infrastructure and has warned residents south of the Litani river to leave. | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | An Israeli air strike has heavily damaged a building in southern Lebanon’s Tyre district. | Israeli air strike targets building in south Lebanon | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-06T00:00:00 | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
994042 | What broadcaster’s headquarters will Israel say it struck and dismantled by 3 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. In wartime, state media organizations play a major role in public messaging. If military action expands, observers may watch whether broadcaster facilities are attacked. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the Israeli military and/or the broadcaster involved, corroborated by major international news reporting published on or before 3 March 2026. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date, no later than 3 March 2026, when r... | string (organization) | IRIB | https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/3/3/the-aftermath-of-ongoing-israeli-and-us-strikes-on-irans-capital-tehran?traffic_source=rss | Explosions have rung out across Tehran as the war entered its fourth day with the United States and Israel continuing to pound Iran’s capital and numerous other cities and locations after the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Iran continued on Tuesday to retaliate against Israel and throughout the Gulf wher... | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | US-Israeli strikes on Iran kill almost 800 people as blasts hit Tehran and other cities over four days of war. | The aftermath of ongoing Israeli and US strikes on Iran’s capital, Tehran | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
599755 | Which hospital will be reported as hit by airstrikes in Tehran by March 2, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-23. Military strikes in conflict zones can damage civilian infrastructure, including medical facilities. This question asks which specific hospital name will later appear in reporting about such an incident in Tehran. | <ul>
<li>Resolve using reliable news reporting published on or by 2 March 2026, with official statements from medical, municipal, or national authorities used as corroboration if available.</li>
<li>This question resolves when the affected hospital is clearly named in reporting, no later than 2 March 2026.</li>
<... | string (facility name) | Gandhi Hospital | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/2/baby-and-patients-evacuated-as-israel-attacks-tehran-hospital | A baby in an incubator was evacuated along with patients from the Gandhi Hospital in northern Tehran after US-Israeli airstrikes hit the facility. The hospital and surrounding residential areas have reportedly been severely damaged. | 2026-03-02T00:00:00 | 2026-03-02T00:00:00 | A baby in an incubator was evacuated along with patients from the Gandhi Hospital in northern Tehran after strikes. | Baby and patients evacuated as Israel attacks Tehran hospital | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
807049 | Who will score the first hat-trick of his career in the UEFA Champions League round-of-16 first leg between Real Madrid and Manchester City by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-07. Real Madrid and Manchester City are about to begin a two-leg UEFA Champions League knockout tie. A single player could decide the opening match with a standout scoring performance. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve using the official UEFA match report for the round-of-16 first leg between Real Madrid and Manchester City, with major post-match reports from Al Jazeera Sport or the clubs’ official websites as backup sources. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: The r... | string (name) | Federico Valverde | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/16/man-city-vs-real-madrid-champions-league-team-news-start-and?traffic_source=rss | Who: Manchester City vs Real Madrid
What: Champions League last 16, second leg
Where: Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England
When: Tuesday at 8pm (20:00 GMT)
How to follow: We’ll have all the build-up on Al Jazeera Sport from 17:00 GMT in advance of our live text commentary stream.
Facing down the barrel of UEFA Champio... | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | Los Blancos travel to Manchester with a quarterfinal spot up for grabs in the UEFA Champions League knockout phase. | Man City vs Real Madrid: Champions League - team news, start and lineups | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
179817 | Who will Sri Lanka name as its new men's cricket coach by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. Sri Lanka Cricket may confirm a new head coach for its men's national team before its next international assignments. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: Official announcements from Sri Lanka Cricket, or authoritative sports reporting that directly cites Sri Lanka Cricket. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date the new coach is publicly confirmed, no later than 10th March 2026. </li>
<li> <b>Ac... | string (name) | Gary Kirsten | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/10/afghanistan-vs-sri-lanka-cricket-series-called-off-due-to-iran-war | Sri Lanka have indefinitely postponed a six-match limited-overs cricket series against Afghanistan that was due to start in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) this week due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
“We had to cancel because of the flight situation… and the ongoing fighting in the region,” a Sri Lanka Cri... | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | Afghanistan were due to host Sri Lanka for a six-match series in the UAE, which has been hit by attacks from Iran. | Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka cricket series called off due to Iran war | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-08T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
668257 | Who will be reported as the IRGC spokesman whose funeral is held in Iran by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-13. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC, is a major military organization. During an escalating conflict, officials and news agencies may report deaths of senior military figures and announce funeral ceremonies. | <ul>
<li>Resolve using Reuters reporting published on or before 31 March 2026 about the funeral of the IRGC spokesman. If Reuters is unclear, use official Iranian or IRGC statements cited by major news organizations.</li>
<li>The question resolves on the date the deceased spokesman is clearly identified in the ... | string (name) | Ali Mohammad Naini | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/21/tehran-holds-eid-prayers-as-funeral-held-for-irgc-spokesman | Eid al-Fitr prayers were held in Tehran after overnight air strikes on the capital. A funeral was also held for IRGC spokesman Ali Mohammad Naini, reportedly killed in a US-Israel strike, as their war on Iran enters its fourth week. | 2026-03-21T00:00:00 | 2026-03-21T00:00:00 | Eid al-Fitr prayers were held in Tehran after overnight air strikes on the capital. | Tehran holds Eid prayers as funeral held for IRGC spokesman | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | 2026-03-13T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
336425 | Which eastern Ukrainian city will be identified as the site of a deadly market shelling by February 4, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. Fighting is continuing in eastern Ukraine, and civilian areas in Donetsk region are facing regular artillery and air attacks. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from Donetsk regional authorities and consistent contemporaneous reporting from major international news organizations published on or before February 4, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on February 4, 2026, once the location of the r... | string (location) | Druzhkivka | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/4/russian-shelling-kills-seven-in-ukrainian-market-clouding-abu-dhabi-talks?traffic_source=rss | Russian forces have shelled Ukraine’s eastern city of Druzhkivka, killing at least seven people at a crowded market, according to the regional governor.
The attack, using cluster munitions, targeted the market during a typically busy time on Wednesday morning, Donetsk governor Vadym Filashkin said.
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... | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | Donetsk Governor Vadym Filashkin accused Moscow of carrying out ‘another targeted war crime’. | Russian shelling kills seven in Ukrainian market, clouding Abu Dhabi talks | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
325000 | Which armed group will the Israeli army say operated the command centre struck in Lebanon by 20 February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-31. Israeli military statements after strikes in Lebanon sometimes name the armed group or organization they say was using the targeted site. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolution will use the official Israeli military statement about the strike, as published on official channels or quoted consistently by major news organizations on or by 20 February 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the Israeli military publicly id... | string (armed group) | Hamas | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/20/one-killed-in-israeli-strike-on-largest-palestinian-refugee-camp-in-lebanon?traffic_source=rss | At least two people have been killed in an Israeli attack on Lebanon’s largest Palestinian refugee camp, the latest breach of a 2024 ceasefire deal with the armed group, Hezbollah.
Lebanon’s official National News Agency (NNA) reported on Friday that an “Israeli drone” targeted the Hittin neighbourhood of the Ein el-Hi... | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | Lebanon’s official news agency NNA says ‘Israeli drone’ targeted the Hittin neighbourhood of the Ein el-Hilweh camp. | At least two killed in Israeli attack on Palestinian camp in Lebanon | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
320820 | Which country will receive 24 children evacuated from Gaza in a World Health Organization-facilitated transfer on January 26, 2026, according to WHO reporting by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. Some patients in Gaza need medical evacuation outside the territory when treatment is unavailable locally. International health agencies may later confirm the destinations of such transfers. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: World Health Organization statements, situation updates, or official releases published no later than 6 February 2026 describing the medical evacuation of 24 children from Gaza on 26 January 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when WHO first publicly identi... | string (location) | Jordan | https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/2/6/israels-war-on-gazas-healthcare-continues-in-full-force-under-ceasefire | On November 5, 2023, just a couple of months after the beginning of this latest assault on Palestine, my dear friend and colleague, Dr Maisara Azmi Al Rayyes, aged 28, was brutally murdered along with most of his close family in an Israeli military missile strike on his family home in Gaza City. A brilliant and gifted ... | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | Israel continues to target Gaza’s heroic medics, while tens of thousands of patients remain trapped without treatment. | Israel’s war on Gaza’s healthcare continues in full force under ‘ceasefire’ | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
449104 | What will the new US strategic minerals stockpile be called by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. The US government is considering a strategic reserve of critical minerals used in products such as semiconductor chips, smartphones, and electric-vehicle batteries. The White House is expected to publicly announce the programme and its official name. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official White House statements, federal programme announcements, or other official US government documents that publicly identify the strategic minerals stockpile.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the calendar date, no later than 29 February 2026, when the... | string (name) | Project Vault | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/2/2/what-is-the-us-strategic-minerals-stockpile | United States President Donald Trump has announced the launch of a strategic minerals stockpile.
The stockpile, called Project Vault, was announced on Monday. It will combine $2bn of private capital with a $10bn loan from the US Export-Import Bank.
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list of 4 items
list 1 of 4Iran’s economy falters a... | 2026-02-02T00:00:00 | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | President Trump said the stockpile would ‘ensure that American businesses and workers are never harmed by any shortage’. | What is the US critical minerals stockpile? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-01T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
110472 | Which team will take Bangladesh's place in the 2026 ICC Men's T20 World Cup by February 7, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-07. If a qualified side does not participate in a global cricket tournament, the ICC can approve another national team to enter the competition instead. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official ICC tournament participant list, fixture pages, or an ICC announcement naming a replacement team.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on February 7, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Accepted Answer Format</b>: Provide the official short name of the national team ... | string (team) | Scotland | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/7/icc-in-pakistan-talks-to-revive-india-t20-world-cup-clash | The International Cricket Council is in talks with the Pakistan Cricket Board to resolve the boycott of its T20 World Cup 2026 fixture against India on February 15.
Any clash between archrivals India and Pakistan is one of the most lucrative in cricket, worth millions of dollars in broadcast, sponsoring and advertising... | 2026-02-07T00:00:00 | 2026-02-07T00:00:00 | Cricket’s global governing body hopes to persuade Pakistan to reverse decision to boycott India T20 World Cup fixtures. | ICC in Pakistan talks to revive India T20 World Cup clash | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
398988 | Which Lebanese group will say, by February 2026, that Israel abducted one of its officials in a raid in southern Lebanon? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-24. Several Lebanese political and armed groups operate in the south of the country. Border incidents with Israel continue to occur despite ceasefire efforts. | <ul>
<li>This question will resolve based on the name of the organization identified in public reporting by 28 February 2026, using the group's own statement if available and corroboration from Lebanon's National News Agency or a major international news outlet.</li>
<li>The question resolves on the first date by 2... | string (organization name) | al-Jamaa al-Islamiya | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/9/lebanese-group-accuses-israel-of-abducting-its-leader-in-raid | A Lebanese party with an armed wing has accused Israel of abducting one of its members during a cross-border raid in southern Lebanon.
The al-Jamaa al-Islamiya accused Israel on Monday of seizing its official Atwi Atwi from his home in the Hasbaiyya district and taking him to an unknown location.
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li... | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | Al-Jamaa al-Islamiya condemns Israel for seizing official Atwi Atwi during a raid and taking him to an unknown location. | Lebanese group accuses Israel of abducting its leader in raid | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-24T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
79608 | What Iranian city will see six people killed after air raids hit three residential houses on March 27, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-20. Fighting involving Iran, Israel, and the United States is ongoing, and strikes on Iranian cities are possible. Civilian neighborhoods may be affected, and major news outlets and local officials are expected to identify the locations of major incidents. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on reporting published on or about March 27, 2026 from Al Jazeera and the local Iranian media or official statements cited in such reporting, identifying the city where Friday air raids on three residential houses killed six people.</li>
<li><b>Resolutio... | string (city) | Qom | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/27/rescuers-search-for-survivors-of-us-israeli-strikes-on-irans-tehran-qom?traffic_source=rss | Iran’s Red Crescent is searching for survivors “trapped under the rubble” after US-Israeli strikes on the capital, Tehran, and a deadly assault on the city of Qom.
Air raids targeted three residential houses in Qom on Friday, killing six people, according to local media. Qom’s deputy governor told the Fars News Agency ... | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | Latest victims include six people killed in Qom as Iran announces grim milestone of nearly 2,000 war dead. | Iran emergency workers search for survivors after deadly US-Israel attacks | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | 2026-03-20T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
584240 | Which country will Pakistan say it is ready to bring into meaningful talks with Iran to help end the war by March 30, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Pakistan is a regional state that could try to facilitate diplomacy if the fighting continues. A mediator may try to bring Iran together with another government for negotiations. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Reported public remarks from Pakistan's foreign minister, confirmed by major international news coverage available by March 30, 2026.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date, no later than March 30, 2026, when Pakistan is explicitly... | string (country) | United States | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/30/is-a-peaceful-settlement-possible-in-iran-2 | As the US-Israel war on Iran continues to escalate, Pakistan has emerged as a potential facilitator to secure an end to the fighting.
Its foreign minister has hosted a meeting with the top diplomats of Saudi Arabia, Turkiye and Egypt.
Afterwards, he said Islamabad was ready to host and broker what the Pakistani ministe... | 2026-03-30T00:00:00 | 2026-03-30T00:00:00 | Pakistan says it is ready to host talks on ending the US-Israel war on Iran. | Is a peaceful settlement possible in Iran? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-02T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
641254 | What coalition will Donald Trump announce to fight drug cartels at a South Florida summit by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-30. The United States is discussing closer security cooperation with Latin American countries on organised crime and drug trafficking. A new regional initiative may be announced soon. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: An official White House transcript or video of Trump’s remarks, an official summit declaration or fact sheet, or consistent reporting from at least two major international news organizations published by 31 March 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the f... | string (organization) | Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/7/theyre-a-cancer-trump-threatens-cartels-cuba-at-latin-american-summit | At the inaugural “Shield of the Americas” summit in South Florida, United States President Donald Trump announced the creation of what he calls the Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition: a group of a dozen politically aligned countries committed to fighting drug trafficking.
But as he signed a declaration to cement that co... | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | The president offered to launch missiles in Latin America to combat criminal violence in a call to ‘eradicate’ cartels. | ‘They’re cancer’: Trump threatens cartels, Cuba at Latin American summit | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-04T00:00:00 | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
864964 | Whose killing will Iran say its overnight missile strikes on Israel are responding to by 31 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-10. In a fast-moving regional crisis, governments may publicly frame military action as retaliation for an earlier death or attack. This question asks which person Iran will name as the reason for the strikes. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on authoritative reporting from major international newswires such as Reuters, AP, or AFP, and/or official Iranian statements that identify the person whose killing Iran says prompted the relevant overnight missile strikes on Israel.
</li>
... | string (name) | Ali Larijani | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/18/aftermath-of-iranian-revenge-strikes-on-israel-leaves-destruction-two-ki | Widespread damage was left across areas near Tel Aviv after overnight Iranian missile strikes using cluster warheads. Two people were killed in an attack that Iran said was in response to the killing of senior official Ali Larijani. | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | Widespread damage was left across areas near Tel Aviv after overnight Iranian missile strikes. | Aftermath of Iranian ‘revenge’ strikes on Israel leaves destruction, two ki | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
676065 | Which U.S. senator will be listed as a speaker for the main Minnesota "No Kings" protest on March 28, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-16. A large Minnesota gathering is being planned as part of nationwide "No Kings" protests set for late March 2026. Organizers are preparing a public program that may include elected officials. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official event programs, organizer announcements, or speaker lineups for the main Minnesota protest, with confirmation from major U.S. media reports if necessary.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on March 28, 2026, when the speaker lineup is publicly avail... | string (name) | Bernie Sanders | https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/3/28/photos-no-kings-protests-erupt-across-the-us-with-a-minnesota-focus | Demonstrators are hitting the streets of cities across the United States for the first “No Kings” protest since the joint US and Israeli war against Iran began one month ago.
Saturday’s marches and rallies mark the third round of nationwide “No Kings” protests since President Donald Trump took office for a second term.... | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | Saturday’s rallies mark the third round of ‘No Kings’ protests since President Trump took office for a second term. | Photos: ‘No Kings’ protests erupt across the US, with a Minnesota focus | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
399040 | Which country will Iran try to move its 2026 World Cup group-stage matches to by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Iran has qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and political or security concerns may affect which host country stages its group-stage matches. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves based on a clear public statement from Iranian diplomatic or football officials, or from FIFA, reported by major international news outlets.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the country Iran is seeking as an alternative location for ... | string (country) | Mexico | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/27/iran-bans-sports-teams-from-travelling-to-hostile-countries-amid-war?traffic_source=rss | Iran has banned its sports teams from travelling to countries it considers “hostile”, Iranian state TV reported, before club side Tractor SC’s scheduled football match in Saudi Arabia.
The ban on Thursday comes nearly a month after United States-Israeli attacks on Iran led to war on February 28.
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lis... | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | Sports Ministry says ban for ‘security’ of athletes before a game between Iranian and Emirati clubs in Saudi Arabia. | Iran bans sports teams from travelling to ‘hostile’ countries amid war | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
190197 | Which team will Pakistan defeat to secure the last Super Eights berth in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-10. Pakistan are still competing in the group stage of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup and are trying to clinch a place in the Super Eights. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official ICC Men’s T20 World Cup match results, standings, and scorecards; reputable match reports from major sports outlets may be used as backup if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the calendar date when Pakistan’s qualification for the Super ... | string (team) | Namibia | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/19/new-zealand-vs-pakistan-t20-world-cup-teams-start-lineups?traffic_source=rss | Who: New Zealand vs Pakistan
What: 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup Super Eights
When: Saturday, February 21, at 7pm (13:30 GMT)
Where: R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo, Sri Lanka
How to follow: We’ll have all the buildup on Al Jazeera Sport from 10:30 GMT in advance of our text commentary stream.
The Super Eights stage of the... | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | New Zealand and Pakistan play the first game of the Super Eights stage at the T20 World Cup with both eyeing title tilt. | New Zealand vs Pakistan: T20 World Cup Super Eights - teams, start, lineups | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-15T00:00:00 | 2026-02-10T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
811321 | What Turkish province will be identified by 15 March 2026 as the site of a deadly collision between a migrant boat and a coastguard vessel? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-18. Migrant sea crossings near Türkiye sometimes involve encounters with maritime law-enforcement vessels. This question asks about the reported location of any such deadly collision in the coming days. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on an official statement from the Turkish Coast Guard. If no official statement is available, consistent reporting from at least two major international news organizations published on or before 15 March 2026 may be used.
</li>
<li>
... | string (location) | Antalya | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/9/at-least-14-dead-after-migrant-boat-crashes-into-turkish-coastguard-vessel?traffic_source=rss | At least 14 people have been killed when an inflatable boat carrying migrants or refugees crashed into a Turkish coastguard vessel off the southwestern province of Antalya, the coastguard says.
The high-speed boat was detected early on Monday off the coast of the Finike district of Antalya, the coastguard said in a ... | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | Collision involving inflatable boat carrying migrants or refugees occurs off southwestern Turkiye’s Antalya province. | At least 14 dead after migrant boat crashes into Turkish coastguard vessel | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-25T00:00:00 | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
655453 | Which country will mediate the first face-to-face three-way talks among the US, Ukraine and Russia since the 2022 invasion, in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. New diplomacy is under way around the war in Ukraine, including discussion of a direct meeting involving US, Ukrainian and Russian delegations. The mediator's country matters because it provides the diplomatic setting and framework for the talks. | <ul>
<li> Official communiques or readouts from the mediating government and from the US, Ukrainian or Russian delegations, corroborated by major news agencies such as Reuters or AP, will determine which country is acting as mediator. </li>
<li> The question resolves when the first such three-way talks are publ... | string (country) | United Arab Emirates | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/18/russia-ukraine-talks-all-the-mediation-efforts-and-where-they-stand?traffic_source=rss | One week ahead of the fourth anniversary of Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, United States-led peace talks in Geneva ended for the day earlier than scheduled on Wednesday.
The talks, which are being mediated by Steve Witkoff, US President Donald Trump’s special envoy, and Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, are ... | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | Nearly four years into Russia’s war on Ukraine, multiple peace efforts have been started, but no end is in sight. | Russia-Ukraine talks: All the mediation efforts, and where they stand | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
426743 | In which town will Saif al-Islam Gaddafi be buried by February 10, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-31. Saif al-Islam Gaddafi is a prominent Libyan political figure. In Libya, the burial place of a major public figure can carry political and tribal significance because towns are closely tied to family, factional, and historical loyalties. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Public statements from family or tribal representatives, local authorities, funeral notices, or consistent reporting from major news outlets naming the town where the burial takes place.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the burial i... | string (location) | Bani Walid | https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/2/10/why-did-saif-al-islam-gaddafi-have-to-die | Saif al-Islam Gaddafi was shot 19 times inside his compound in Zintan, a mountain town in western Libya, where he had lived since his capture in 2011. Four masked men entered the compound after disabling the security cameras. Roughly 90 minutes earlier, his guards had withdrawn from the area for reasons that remain une... | 2026-02-10T00:00:00 | 2026-02-10T00:00:00 | His name offered an alternative line of succession that Libya’s rival elites could neither control nor neutralise. | Why did Saif al-Islam Gaddafi have to die? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
58520 | Which Israeli official will say that a senior Iranian official was killed in an overnight strike by March 20, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-09. During regional security crises, senior Israeli government officials may publicly comment on military operations and their reported results. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve using Reuters reporting published on or by March 20, 2026, and, if necessary, the underlying official Israeli government or defence statement cited there.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Rule</b>: Resolve to the Israeli official explicitly id... | string (name) | Israel Katz | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/17/israel-says-irans-security-chief-larijani-has-been-killed | Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz says Ali Larijani, Iran’s security chief, has been killed in an Israeli strike overnight. There has been no confirmation from Iran. | 2026-03-20T00:00:00 | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz says Ali Larijani, Iran’s security chief, has been killed in an Israeli strike. | Israel says Iran’s security chief Larijani has been killed | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
276362 | What Beirut coastal district will Lebanese health officials identify as the site of an Israeli air raid on a hotel room by March 8, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-24. Regional fighting involving Israel, Iran, and armed groups in Lebanon is intensifying, and new strikes may hit additional parts of Beirut, including crowded civilian areas with hotels. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on official statements from Lebanon's Health Ministry or other Lebanese authorities, as confirmed by consistent contemporaneous reporting from major news outlets on or before March 8, 2026. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on... | string (location) | Raouche | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/8/israeli-strike-on-hotel-in-lebanons-beirut-kills-four-people | Health officials in Lebanon have said an Israeli attack on a hotel in the centre of the capital, Beirut, has killed at least four people, with Israel saying it targeted commanders from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as it escalates its attacks on Iran.
Lebanon was drawn into the regional war on March 2... | 2026-03-08T00:00:00 | 2026-03-08T00:00:00 | Israel says it targeted key commanders of Iran’s elite Quds Force of the IRGC but did not name them. | Israeli attack on hotel in Lebanon’s Beirut kills four | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
281710 | Who will Donald Trump name to replace Kristi Noem as US homeland security secretary by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. The US Department of Homeland Security is a cabinet department responsible for border, immigration, and domestic security matters. The president can remove a cabinet secretary and publicly name a replacement. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official White House announcements, official presidential social media posts, or official Department of Homeland Security statements that identify the person chosen to replace Kristi Noem.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first pu... | string (name) | Markwayne Mullin | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/5/trump-says-he-will-replace-homeland-security-chief-kristi-noem?traffic_source=rss | United States President Donald Trump has announced that he will replace Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem with Republican Senator Markwayne Mullin.
In a social media post on Thursday, Trump explained that he had reassigned Noem to be a special envoy for a new security initiative focused on the Weste... | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | Noem, a former governor, became a prominent figure in the Trump administration’s controversial crackdown on immigration. | Trump fires Homeland Security head Kristi Noem, names Mullin as replacement | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-04T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
102687 | Which former Norwegian prime minister will Norwegian police publicly identify as being investigated for suspected gross corruption by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. Norway's economic-crime authorities can investigate former senior officials if evidence appears of improper gifts, loans, or other benefits connected to public service. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from Norwegian police or Okokrim, with corroboration from major news outlets such as NRK or Reuters if needed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the former prime minister under investigation is publicly named, no ... | string (name) | Thorbjorn Jagland | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/6/epstein-files-set-off-norwegian-political-storm-what-we-know | The latest Epstein files to be released in the United States have triggered a political storm in Norway after two high-placed figures were revealed to have close ties to the late convicted sex offender and financier Jeffrey Epstein.
The largest tranche yet of legal documents relating to the prosecution of Epstein for s... | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | Two high-profile Norwegian politicians and the country’s crown princess have been linked to the late sex offender. | Epstein files set off Norwegian political storm: What we know | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-01T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
795856 | What town in southern Lebanon will be named as the site of the strike that will kill three Lebanese journalists, by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-19. Cross-border strikes in southern Lebanon are being reported amid regional fighting. This question asks which town will later be identified as the location of a fatal strike on journalists. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Reuters reporting published on or before 31 March 2026 about the deaths or funeral of the three Lebanese journalists will be the primary source. If Reuters is unavailable or unclear, another major international newswire describing the same incident may be used.</li>
<li><b>Resol... | string (location) | Jezzine | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/29/funeral-held-for-lebanese-journalists-killed-in-israeli-strike?traffic_source=rss | Hundreds gathered in Beirut’s southern suburbs for the funeral of three Lebanese journalists, Ali Shoeib, Fatima Ftouni and her cameraman brother Mohammed. All were killed in an Israeli strike on Jezzine in southern Lebanon on Saturday. Lebanese authorities have condemned the attack as a war crime. | 2026-03-29T00:00:00 | 2026-03-29T00:00:00 | Hundreds gathered in Beirut’s southern suburbs for the funeral of three Lebanese journalists killed by Israel. | Funeral held for Lebanese journalists killed in Israeli strike | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
50504 | What bank will French authorities say was targeted in a foiled explosive attack at its Paris headquarters in March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-17. Major international banks operate offices in Paris, and French authorities monitor possible threats to high-profile business sites during periods of heightened security concern. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolution will be based on public reporting from Reuters and/or official statements from French authorities or the bank identifying the institution allegedly targeted.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the targeted bank is publicly identified in connectio... | string (organization) | Bank of America | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/28/france-opens-probe-into-suspected-attack-on-bank-of-america-in-paris | French authorities have opened an investigation into a foiled attack targeting Bank of America’s Paris headquarters after police detained one suspect who was allegedly attempting to ignite an explosive device outside the building.
In a social media post on Saturday, Interior Minister Laurent Nunez said the swift inter... | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | Police arrest suspect before setting off explosive device outside US bank’s headquarters. | France opens probe into suspected attack on Bank of America in Paris | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
427993 | Which country will authorities identify by March 25, 2026, as the location of a mass grave from which dozens of bodies, including children, are exhumed? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-25. Authorities sometimes investigate suspected unlawful burial sites and later announce where exhumations took place. This question asks for the country later named in such a report. | <ul>
<li>This question resolves based on the earliest clear reporting published on or before March 25, 2026, by BBC News, corroborated if necessary by official statements from the relevant national authorities or other clearly attributable government sources naming the country where the exhumation occurred.</li>
... | string (country) | Kenya | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/dozens-of-bodies-including-children-exhumed-from-mass-grave-in-kenya | Video Duration 00 minutes 45 seconds play-arrow00:45
Video Duration 02 minutes 52 seconds play-arrow02:52
Video Duration 00 minutes 42 seconds play-arrow00:42
Video Duration 00 minutes 32 seconds play-arrow00:32
Video Duration 01 minutes 28 seconds play-arrow01:28
Video Duration 00 minutes 42 seconds play-arrow00:42 | 2026-03-25T00:00:00 | 2026-03-25T00:00:00 | Kenyan authorities have exhumed 32 bodies, including children and foetuses from a mass grave in the town of Kericho. | Dozens of bodies including children exhumed from mass grave in Kenya | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-20T00:00:00 | 2026-02-25T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
434350 | Who will captain South Africa's squad for its five-match men's T20 tour of New Zealand in March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. South Africa is expected to name a squad for a five-match Twenty20 international tour in March. The tour captain will be announced with the squad or before the first match. | <ul>
<li> Cricket South Africa's official squad announcement for the March 2026 T20 tour of New Zealand, or if needed, official CSA match materials for the first game of that tour. </li>
<li> This question resolves when Cricket South Africa officially names the tour captain, and no later than March 15, 2026. </... | string (name) | Keshav Maharaj | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/21/india-vs-south-africa-t20-world-cup-super-eights-teams-start-lineups?traffic_source=rss | Who: India vs South Africa
What: T20 World Cup Super Eights
Where: Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad, India
When: Sunday, February 22, at 7pm (13:30 GMT)
How to follow: We’ll have all the buildup on Al Jazeera Sport from 10:30 GMT in advance of our text commentary stream.
Defending champions and tournament co-hosts In... | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | Defending champions and co-hosts India face debut-title chasing South Africa in rematch of last T20 World Cup final. | India vs South Africa: T20 World Cup Super Eights - teams, start, lineups | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
221278 | Which country will win the men's ice hockey gold medal at the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics by February 22, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The Milano Cortina Winter Olympics are scheduled for February 2026 in Italy. The men's ice hockey tournament will end with one national team winning the gold medal. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: Official results published by the International Olympic Committee, the Milano Cortina 2026 organizers, or the International Ice Hockey Federation for the men's gold-medal game. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date the men's ice hockey gold-medal... | string (country) | United States | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/22/white-house-post-after-us-hockey-win-over-canada-stirs-controversy | The White House has celebrated the US’s victory over Canada in the men’s hockey final at the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics 2026 with a politically charged message, sharing a social media post showing a bald eagle appearing to assault a goose – two animals that symbolise each country respectively.
The image on Sunday w... | 2026-02-22T00:00:00 | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | Trump hails US’s Olympic gold win, as some Canadians reject White House’s illustration of an eagle dominating a goose. | White House post after US hockey win over Canada stirs controversy | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
581686 | By March 15, 2026, which NGO will be reported as carrying out three Mediterranean rescue operations and taking 123 survivors aboard? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Humanitarian groups continue to operate rescue ships on migrant routes across the Mediterranean. Public reporting may later identify which organization conducted a specific rescue mission involving multiple operations and more than 100 survivors. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the rescuing organization and/or contemporaneous reporting from major international news outlets published on or by March 15, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on March 15, 2026, or on the first public report by that date that... | string (organization) | Emergency | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/15/video-shows-dozens-of-migrants-being-rescued-in-the-mediterranean-sea | More than 120 migrants, including at least 20 minors, were rescued in the central Mediterranean over the past 48 hours. Italian NGO Emergency says its vessel carried out three rescue operations and is now heading to Italy’s Civitavecchia with 123 survivors on board, many fleeing African countries including Sudan. | 2026-03-15T00:00:00 | 2026-03-15T00:00:00 | More than 120 migrants, including at least 20 minors, were rescued in the central Mediterranean over the past 48 hours. | Video shows dozens of migrants being rescued in the Mediterranean Sea | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-14T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
55315 | Who will be elected MP for Gorton and Denton in the UK parliamentary by-election by 27 February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-09. Voters in Gorton and Denton are due to elect a new member of parliament in a by-election. The winning candidate will become the constituency's next representative in the House of Commons. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using the official declared winner of the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election, as published by the constituency returning officer, the UK Parliament, or the Electoral Commission. Major news reports may be used only to confirm the same official d... | string (person name) | Hannah Spencer | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/green-party-wins-uk-by-election-in-blow-to-labour-pm-starmer | A candidate for the United Kingdom’s left-wing Green Party has comfortably won a closely-watched election for a vacant parliamentary seat, delivering an embarrassing defeat for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Labour Party in one of its former strongholds.
Results announced Friday showed the Greens’ Hannah Spencer, a 34-y... | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | Progressive Greens win closely-watched election in one-time Labour stronghold, while right-wing Reform comes second. | Green Party wins UK by-election in blow to Labour, PM Starmer | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-26T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
14689 | What country will be identified as the location of a fatal mass shooting at a secondary school by February 11, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-31. Fatal attacks at schools can draw national attention and are commonly identified first by country in early public reporting. This question asks which country official statements and major news reports will name as the location by the resolution date. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from police, government, or emergency authorities, together with consistent reporting from major news organizations published no later than February 11, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the location country of the school shooting... | string (location) | Canada | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/2/11/canada-school-shooting-live-10-dead-in-british-columbias-tumbler-ridge?traffic_source=rss | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | Shock, heartbreak after mass shooting at Tumbler Ridge Secondary School in remote town near Rocky Mountains. | Canada school mass shooting live: 10 dead, 27 wounded in BC’s Tumbler Ridge | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | ||
560525 | By March 3, 2026, which country will be identified as having mistakenly shot down three US F-15E fighter jets during an Iranian attack? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-24. US warplanes and regional air-defence systems are active around the Gulf as hostilities intensify. In fast-moving air attacks, military identification errors can lead to friendly-fire incidents involving partner countries. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using official statements from US Central Command or the relevant national military, with Reuters or AP reporting published by March 3, 2026 used as backup confirmation if needed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on March 3, 2026,... | string (country) | Kuwait | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/us-claims-destroyed-irgc-command-centre-more-israel-attacks-on-tehran | The United States military has said its forces have destroyed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) command and control facilities and air defence installations as heavy US-Israel attacks on Iran continued for a fourth day and Tehran retaliated across the region.
The US Central Command (CENTCOM), which is responsibl... | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | The US Central Command (CENTCOM) says it destroyed air defence installations as well as missile and drone launch sites. | US claims destroyed IRGC command centre, more Israel attacks on Tehran | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
98159 | Which club will Atletico Madrid defeat away to reach the Copa del Rey semifinals by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-11. Atletico Madrid is still competing in the Copa del Rey and needs one more knockout win to advance to the last four. This question asks for the opponent it defeats in that away quarterfinal. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve using the official RFEF quarterfinal match report, with official Atletico Madrid match reporting and major sports wire reports as secondary sources if necessary.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the date Atle... | string (team) | Real Betis | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/11/atletico-madrid-vs-barcelona-copa-del-rey-team-news-start-time?traffic_source=rss | Who: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
What: Copa del Rey semifinal
Where: Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain
When: Thursday at 9pm (20:00 GMT)
How to follow: Al Jazeera Sport will have live text and photo coverage of the Copa del Rey semifinal.
Spanish football titans Atletico and Barcelona will lock horns on Thursday ... | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | All to know as La Liga leaders Barcelona clash with Atletico Madrid in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semifinal. | Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: Copa del Rey - team news, start time, lineups | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
562701 | Which town will Pakistani police say they have secured after the three-day battle in Balochistan, by February 4, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-27. Pakistan is facing militant violence in Balochistan, and security forces are trying to regain control in affected areas. This question asks which specific town authorities will publicly say they have secured after a multi-day battle. | <ul>
<li> Reuters reporting published on or before February 4, 2026, based on statements from Pakistani police or security officials about the outcome of the battle. If Reuters is unavailable, materially consistent reporting from AP or AFP may be used. </li>
<li> The question resolves on the first date by Febru... | string (location) | Nushki | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/4/pakistan-deploys-helicopters-drones-to-end-standoff-with-baloch-rebels?traffic_source=rss | Pakistan has deployed helicopters and drones to take control of a town in the mineral-rich western province of Balochistan from rebels amid ongoing fighting that has left dozens of security officials and civilians dead.
Police said on Wednesday that they secured the desert town of Nushki after a three-day battle, the R... | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | Hundreds have been killed in the southwestern Balochistan province amid surge in rebel attacks. | Pakistan deploys helicopters, drones to end standoff with Baloch rebels | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
654360 | Which state in southeastern Brazil will report at least 23 deaths from torrential-rain flooding by February 24, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-16. Southeastern Brazil is in its rainy season, and severe rainfall can trigger floods, landslides, and emergency rescue operations. State and local authorities may issue casualty updates as conditions develop. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official updates from Brazilian state or civil defense authorities, supported by reporting from major news agencies such as Reuters, AFP, or AP.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first credible report, no later than 24th February 2... | string (location) | Minas Gerais | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/24/at-least-23-dead-as-heavy-rains-unleash-floods-in-southeastern-brazil?traffic_source=rss | Torrential rainfall has caused floods across the state of Minas Gerais in southeastern Brazil, killing at least 23 people.
Dozens of emergency workers, some with disaster-trained search dogs, combed through mounds of debris on Tuesday in the municipality of Juiz de Fora, which recorded at least 18 deaths.
Recommended S... | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | Search and rescue workers are looking for more than 40 people who remain missing as towns reel from torrential rainfall. | At least 23 dead as heavy rains unleash floods in southeastern Brazil | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | 2026-02-16T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
917339 | What conflict will Iranian officials cite as the reason for seeking a 2026 World Cup venue change by March 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-20. Armed conflict and security concerns can affect whether national teams are willing or able to travel for major international sporting events. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Public statements from Iranian sports or football officials, corroborated by major international news reporting available by March 17, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date by March 17, 2026 when the specific conflict cited as the reason for... | string (conflict) | US-Israel war | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/17/iran-negotiating-with-fifa-to-move-world-cup-2026-matches-from-us-to-mexico?traffic_source=rss | Iran’s football federation is in discussions with FIFA about moving its World Cup 2026 matches from the United States to tournament co-host Mexico due to concerns about the safety of players, Iranian football president Mehdi Taj has said.
“When [US President Donald] Trump has explicitly stated that he cannot ensur... | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | The national football federation wants to relocate its group matches to Mexico due to the ongoing US-Israel war on Iran. | Iran negotiating with FIFA to move World Cup 2026 matches from US to Mexico | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
757107 | Which city will IQAir identify as the world’s most polluted city in its annual 2025 air quality report, expected by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-01. IQAir publishes a yearly global air-quality report that includes city-level PM2.5 rankings. PM2.5 refers to very small particles in the air that are widely used to compare pollution levels. The 2025 report is expected in early 2026. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using IQAir’s official annual report covering 2025 air quality, or an official IQAir release that clearly states the city rankings.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the date the 2025 report is publicly released, expected by 31st Ma... | string (city) | Loni | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/24/pakistan-worlds-most-polluted-country-in-2025-report?traffic_source=rss | Pakistan was the world’s smoggiest country in 2025 with concentrations of hazardous fine particles known as PM2.5 up to 13 times higher than the World Health Organization’s (WHO’s) recommended level, a report finds.
In its annual report published on Tuesday, IQAir, a Swiss air quality monitoring firm, said only 13 coun... | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | Fine particulates in Pakistan’s air highest in the world last year, exceeding WHO guidelines by up to 13 times. | Pakistan world’s most polluted country in 2025: Report | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
527803 | What town will authorities identify as the site of a deadly school shooting in Canada by February 11, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-31. Canadian authorities sometimes confirm the exact location of a major violent incident only after emergency response begins. This question asks for the town name that will be publicly identified if a deadly school shooting in Canada is confirmed before the resolution date. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from Canadian law enforcement or other relevant public authorities, corroborated by major Canadian news outlets, identifying the town where the school shooting occurred.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first p... | string (location) | Tumbler Ridge | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/11/tumbler-ridge-mass-shooting-what-we-know-about-canadas-school-attack?traffic_source=rss | At least nine people were killed and 27 were injured in a mass school shooting on Tuesday in a town in northeastern British Columbia, the Canadian police has said.
A suspected attacker was also found dead from what appeared to be a self‑inflicted injury, police reported, adding that authorities do not believe there wer... | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | At least 9 people were killed, 26 injured; authorities described the suspect as a ‘female in a dress with brown hair’. | Tumbler Ridge mass shooting: What we know about Canada’s school attack | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
663866 | Which country will publicly protest the release on bail of the Crans-Montana bar owner by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The deadly Crans-Montana bar fire affects victims from more than one country. A European state may react publicly to Swiss legal decisions connected to the investigation. | <ul>
<li>Public statements from the relevant national authorities or prosecutors, or consistent reporting from major wire services such as Reuters or AFP describing which country protested the bail release.</li>
<li>Resolve by 1st February 2026, using the first clear public identification of the country that protes... | string (country) | Italy | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/1/death-toll-from-swiss-new-year-alpine-bar-fire-increases-to-41 | A teenager injured in the fire that engulfed a Swiss Alpine bar during New Year celebrations has died in hospital, according to Swiss authorities, increasing the death toll of one of the worst disasters in the country’s modern history to 41.
Saturday’s death was announced a month after the inferno at the ski resort of ... | 2026-02-01T00:00:00 | 2026-02-02T00:00:00 | The latest victim succumbing to injuries was an 18-year-old Swiss national. | Death toll from Swiss New Year Alpine bar fire increases to 41 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
489902 | In which city will the next technical talks between Iranian and US officials be held in early March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. Iran and the United States are holding indirect diplomatic talks through mediators over nuclear and regional security issues. A further technical meeting is expected soon after the current round. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using the first public confirmation from Iran’s Foreign Ministry, Oman’s Foreign Ministry, or consistent reporting by major international news agencies that identifies the location of the next technical US-Iran talks.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: T... | string (location) | Vienna | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/26/us-iran-talks-conclude-claims-progress-few-details?traffic_source=rss | Tehran, Iran – Another round of indirect talks between Iranian and United States officials ended with a mediator claiming “significant progress” but still no clear evidence that either side was willing to concede enough on their positions to avoid war.
After the conclusion of the talks in Geneva on Thursday, Iranian Fo... | 2026-02-26T00:00:00 | 2026-02-26T00:00:00 | Technical discussions to continue in Vienna, but unclear whether differences can be resolved to avoid war. | US-Iran talks conclude with claims of progress but few details | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-25T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
739439 | Who will Mexican authorities say they detained as the leader of the Los Mayos group inside the Sinaloa Cartel by March 19, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-04. Mexico is carrying out security operations against major criminal groups. Authorities may soon announce the identity of a senior detainee linked to the Sinaloa criminal network. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the Mexican Navy or other Mexican federal security authorities announcing the detention, with corroboration from major international news reporting such as Reuters, AP, or Al Jazeera if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the d... | string (name) | Omar Oswaldo Torres | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/19/mexican-military-says-11-killed-in-raid-targeting-sinaloa-cartel-leader | Mexican authorities have revealed that 11 people were killed during a raid that resulted in the capture of Omar Oswaldo Torres, the leader of a faction of the Sinaloa Cartel.
In a social media post on Thursday, the Mexican Navy said the raid took place in Culiacan, part of the state of Sinaloa in northern Mexico.
Recom... | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | Omar Oswaldo Torres, the leader of the Los Mayos faction of the Sinaloa criminal network, was detained in the raid. | Mexican military says 11 killed in raid targeting Sinaloa cartel leader | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | 2026-03-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
493481 | Which country’s government will say it “strongly condemns” Pakistan’s air strikes on Afghan territory by February 27, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-09. Cross-border air strikes in South Asia can draw public responses from nearby governments, especially when civilian harm is alleged. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: An official government or foreign ministry statement, or remarks by an official spokesperson, confirmed by the government’s own channels and/or major news organizations such as Reuters, AP, AFP, or equivalent outlets.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This ques... | string (country) | India | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/pakistan-bombs-kabul-why-are-afghanistan-and-pakistan-fighting?traffic_source=rss | Pakistan has launched air strikes on Afghanistan’s capital, Kabul, and other cities, as clashes escalate along the two countries’ shared border.
On Friday, Pakistan’s Defence Minister Khawaja Asif said Islamabad’s patience had run out with the Taliban authorities in Afghanistan, declaring that Pakistan will now wage “o... | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | Pakistani defence minister says Pakistan is waging ‘open war’ against Afghanistan. | Pakistan bombs Kabul: Why are Afghanistan and Pakistan fighting? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
505500 | Who will qualify to face Andre Ventura in Portugal's presidential run-off by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Portugal is holding a presidential election. If no candidate wins outright, the top candidates advance to a second-round run-off. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves using the official Portuguese presidential election results and candidate certifications, as reported by Portugal's electoral authorities and corroborated by major reputable news outlets.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the date the tw... | string (name) | Antonio Jose Seguro | https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/2/7/portugal-far-right-presidential-election-historic-victory | The Algarve, Portugal – After fierce storms that brought days of torrential rain, the sun is finally out in Portugal’s Algarve.
In the coastal town of Portimao, cafe terraces are busy with people enjoying a respite from the bad weather. In nearby Albufeira, tourists, mostly from northern Europe in search of winter warm... | 2026-02-07T00:00:00 | 2026-02-07T00:00:00 | In the tourist haven of the Algarve, disaffected locals are embracing the far right as the cost of living rises. | Reporter’s Notebook: Portugal’s far right surges in presidential election | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
246419 | Which country will host the AWS region that Amazon says was disrupted following drone activity by March 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Amazon Web Services (AWS) runs cloud-computing regions in multiple Middle Eastern countries. Regional fighting can interrupt data-centre operations and online services. | <ul>
<li> Amazon’s official public statements, AWS service-status or health updates, or Reuters reporting that directly quotes Amazon, published on or before 31 March 2026. </li>
<li> 31 March 2026 </li>
<li> Provide the country name only, in English. </li>
</ul> | string (location) | Bahrain | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/24/amazon-says-aws-bahrain-region-disrupted-following-drone-activity?traffic_source=rss | United States tech giant Amazon has said its Amazon Web Services (AWS) region in Bahrain was “disrupted” amid the current conflict in the Middle East, following Iran’s threats to target US offices and infrastructure run by top US companies.
An Amazon spokesperson on Monday confirmed the disruption due to drone activit... | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | The disruption marks the second time in a month that AWS operations have been affected by the Iran war. | Amazon says AWS Bahrain region ‘disrupted’ following drone activity | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
787699 | Which party will lead the National Institute of Development Administration's party-list poll released on January 30, 2026, ahead of Thailand's February 8, 2026 election? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-29. Thailand is preparing for a snap general election on 8th February 2026. The National Institute of Development Administration is a Thai polling organisation that publishes pre-election surveys on party support. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The question will resolve using the official National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA Poll) release dated 30th January 2026, or, if necessary, multiple reputable news reports quoting that same poll.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: 30th January 2... | string (political party) | People's Party | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/6/thailand-election-2026-what-are-the-main-parties-what-do-polls-suggest?traffic_source=rss | Voters in Thailand will head to the polls on Sunday amid deep political uncertainty, with the country having cycled through three prime ministers in as many years, and amid a tenuous truce with Cambodia following border clashes that killed 149 people.
The snap polls pit Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s Bhumjaithai ... | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | Sunday’s vote is seen as a test of whether Thailand’s cycle of coups, protests and court interventions can be broken. | Thailand election 2026: What are the main parties? What do polls suggest? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-12-29T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
483759 | What region will Donald Trump say would have been taken over without US intervention, in remarks reported by 10 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Donald Trump is the US president. Public foreign-policy statements often describe risks to specific parts of the world and the claimed effect of US action. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using an official transcript, video, or written statement of Donald Trump's relevant remarks if one is publicly released. If no official source is available, use contemporaneous reporting published no later than 10 March 2026 by a major newswire or similarly authoritative ne... | string (region) | Middle East | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/10/trump-claims-iran-planned-to-take-over-middle-east-before-us-attacked | US President Donald Trump cites “information and belief” for his claim that Iran would have taken over the Middle East without US intervention. | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | US President Donald Trump cites “information and belief” for his claim that Iran would have taken over the Middle East. | Trump claims Iran planned to ‘take over Middle East’ before US attacked | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
177801 | Which armed group will say it launched attacks in the area hours before a missile strike on a southern Israeli city on March 28, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-14. Armed groups in the region continue issuing public statements about military operations tied to the wider conflict. This question asks which group will be quoted as claiming attacks connected to the area of the reported strike. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using Reuters' first English-language report published on March 28, 2026 about the strike. If Reuters is unavailable, use a matching report from AP or BBC that clearly identifies the group quoted as claiming attacks in the area.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This ques... | string (armed group) | Houthis | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/28/missiles-hit-southern-israeli-city-of-eilat?traffic_source=rss | Israeli social media posts show a strike in the Israeli city of Eilat. Smoke was seen rising above the city’s skyline as the missile struck. It came hours after Yemen’s Houthis said they had launched attacks in the area, but it’s not clear who fired the missile. | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | Israeli social media posts show a strike in the Israeli city of Eilat. | Missiles hit southern Israeli city of Eilat | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | 2026-03-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
538697 | Which country's military will say by February 18, 2026 that up to 8,000 troops could be ready by the end of June for a possible Gaza mission? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. Governments are considering whether to contribute personnel to a possible international humanitarian or stabilisation mission connected to Gaza. Military readiness statements from participating states may show which country is preparing a large contingent. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using an official military or government statement, or consistent reporting from major wire services such as AP or Reuters, identifying the country whose military says such a troop contingent could be ready.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the firs... | string (country) | Indonesia | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/18/unsc-moves-gaza-meeting-to-avoid-clash-with-trumps-board-of-peace?traffic_source=rss | The United Nations Security Council has rescheduled a meeting on Israel-Palestine to take place before United States President Donald Trump’s “Board of Peace” convenes in Washington on the same issue.
Initially set for Thursday, the UN Security Council session in New York is now taking place on Wednesday afternoon loca... | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | UN Security Council meeting addresses Gaza ‘ceasefire’ and Israeli plans to expand West Bank control. | UNSC moves Gaza meeting to avoid clash with Trump’s Board of Peace | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
726747 | In which UK city will police report arresting a man after he allegedly enters a mosque with an axe and other weapons during evening tarawih prayers, by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-09. During Ramadan, mosques in the United Kingdom hold evening tarawih prayers that can draw large congregations. Serious security incidents at places of worship are usually documented by police statements and major news outlets. | <ul>
<li> The question resolves using the first official police statement, mosque statement, or multiple consistent reports from major UK news organizations describing the incident by 29th February 2026. </li>
<li> The resolution occurs on the date the arrest and incident are first publicly confirmed, no later ... | string (location) | Manchester | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/26/mosques-attacked-children-racially-abused-as-hard-right-rises-in-uk | Names marked with an asterisk have been changed to protect identities.
London, United Kingdom – “People here are tired, scared and feel forgotten,” says Nabila*, a Muslim mother of two in Basildon, a town in the English county of Essex.
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list 1 of 4Why is it that the UK government can... | 2026-02-26T00:00:00 | 2026-02-26T00:00:00 | As hatred is increasingly normalised and assaults rise, ethnic minorities are becoming hypervigilant. | Mosques attacked, children racially abused as hard right rises in UK | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
262505 | By March 2026, which country will Afghanistan's Foreign Ministry say facilitated Dennis Coyle's release on humanitarian grounds? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Third-country mediation sometimes helps secure the release of foreign nationals held overseas. Governments may later identify which outside state helped arrange or support a release. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using an official statement from Afghanistan's Foreign Ministry about the release, with corroboration from major news organizations if wording is disputed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the ministry publicly identifies the facilitating country,... | string (country) | United Arab Emirates | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/24/afghanistan-frees-detained-us-citizen-dennis-coyle-as-gesture-of-goodwill?traffic_source=rss | Authorities in Afghanistan have released United States citizen Dennis Coyle, who was detained in the country for more than a year, after a plea from his family.
The country’s Foreign Ministry said on Tuesday that the family of linguist and researcher Coyle had written to the country’s leadership, asking that he be rele... | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | US State Secretary Marco Rubio welcomes Coyle’s release as ‘positive step’ and thanks Qatar and the UAE for their help. | Afghanistan frees detained US citizen Dennis Coyle as gesture of ‘goodwill’ | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-23T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
198725 | To which Iranian city will Narges Mohammadi be exiled for two years under a new sentence by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. Narges Mohammadi is an Iranian human rights activist facing legal pressure in Iran. Iranian courts can impose internal exile to a specific city in addition to prison time. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Statements from Mohammadi’s lawyer or other directly involved representatives, together with consistent reporting by major news agencies.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the city named in the exile order is publicly reported, no later than 15th February ... | string (location) | Khosf | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/8/iran-sentences-nobel-laureate-mohammadi-to-seven-more-years-in-prison | Iranian human rights activist and 2023 Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi has been sentenced to more than seven years in prison, according to her lawyers and a group that supports her.
Mohammadi, 53, was on a week-long hunger strike that ended on Sunday, the Narges Foundation said in a statement. It said Moha... | 2026-02-08T00:00:00 | 2026-02-08T00:00:00 | Women’s rights activist Narges Mohammadi was arrested in December while attending a memorial ceremony in Mashhad. | Iran sentences Nobel laureate Mohammadi to seven more years in prison | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
468437 | Who will be identified by March 15, 2026, as the captain of Iran’s women’s football team who withdraws her asylum request in Australia? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-21. Iran’s women’s national football team is competing in the AFC Women’s Asian Cup in Australia during a period of political turmoil and concern about the safety of returning to Iran. Team members and staff may face decisions about whether to stay abroad or return home. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves based on official statements from Australia’s Department of Home Affairs or the Australian home affairs minister, official Iranian state media reporting, or consistent reporting from major international news outlets citing those authorities.</li>
<li><b>Resolut... | string (name) | Zahra Ghanbari | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/15/captain-of-irans-womens-team-withdraws-australia-asylum-bid-state-media?traffic_source=rss | The captain of the Iranian women’s football team has withdrawn her bid for asylum in Australia, Iran’s state media says, making her the fifth member of the delegation to change her mind after her team’s participation in the Asian Cup.
Zahra Ghanbari will fly from Malaysia and travel to Iran within the next few hours, t... | 2026-03-15T00:00:00 | 2026-03-15T00:00:00 | Zahra Ghanbari is fifth football player to withdraw her request after seven squad members sought asylum in Australia. | Captain of Iran’s women’s team withdraws Australia asylum bid: State media | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
180958 | Which NFL team will win Super Bowl LX in February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. Super Bowl LX is the National Football League championship game for the 2025 season and is scheduled for early February 2026. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on the official NFL final scoreboard, gamebook, or championship recap for Super Bowl LX. If multiple summaries differ, the official NFL gamebook and final score will control.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The resolution occu... | string (team name) | Seattle Seahawks | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/9/super-bowl-2026-seahawks-ride-defence-walker-to-super-bowl-lx-win | The Seattle Seahawks relied on a relentless defence to beat New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX, denying the Patriots an NFL record seventh championship and avenging a loss to the same opponents in the title game 11 years ago.
The NFL showpiece – enlivened by a joyous half-time performance from Puerto Rican superstar B... | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | Seattle Seahawks produce a dominant defensive display to outmuscle the New England Patriots 29-13. | Super Bowl 2026: Seahawks ride defence, Kenneth Walker to win championship | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-07T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
59501 | Which Gulf country will be described by March 18, 2026, as receiving more than half of Iran’s missiles and drones fired at Gulf countries? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-27. As the regional war expands, several Gulf countries are at risk of missile and drone spillover, and one country may emerge as the main target of those attacks. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Conflict reporting or broadcast transcripts published by March 18, 2026, from major international outlets that summarize the distribution of Iranian missile and drone attacks across Gulf countries.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: March 18, 2026, once the rele... | string (country) | UAE | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/18/iran-fires-missiles-drones-across-gulf-region-remains-in-war-crosshairs?traffic_source=rss | Iran has fired missiles and drones at several Gulf Arab nations, which have sought to intercept them, in a now-daily fallout from the United States-Israel war launched on Iran nearly three weeks ago that has engulfed the Middle East with deaths, destruction, assassinations, and an energy crisis spreading far beyond the... | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | Qatar, UAE, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia report new blasts, interceptions, with war edging to 3-week mark. | Iran fires missiles, drones across Gulf, region remains in war crosshairs | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
893235 | Which country will the United States have previously accused of the school attack, according to international news reporting by 31 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. In major international incidents, governments sometimes publicly blame another country before later evidence is examined in detail. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on a March 2026 report from a major international news outlet that recounts the school attack and explicitly states which country the United States had earlier accused.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: Resolve on the publication da... | string (country) | Iran | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/9/new-missile-video-puts-spotlight-on-us-over-iran-school-attack?traffic_source=rss | A newly released video suggests a US Tomahawk missile likely struck an Iranian elementary girls’ school in Minab, killing 175 people, most of them children. The US had previously accused Iran of the attack. | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | A newly released video suggests a US Tomahawk missile likely struck an Iranian elementary girls’ school in Minab. | New missile video puts spotlight on US over Iran school attack | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-06T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
162065 | Which country will finish the 2026 Winter Olympics with 30 total medals, setting a new national Winter Olympics record, by 22 February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. The 2026 Winter Olympics are scheduled for February 2026. Final medal standings become official after the last events are completed and the Games close. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Milano Cortina 2026 or IOC final medal table, supported if needed by official Olympics results books or major wire-service reports published after the last medal events.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on 22 February 2026, once the final medal ta... | string (country) | Italy | https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/2/23/winter-olympics-2026-closes-after-setting-a-new-standard-for-future | The Winter Olympics ended as the twin flames in host cities Milan and Cortina d’Ampezzo were extinguished during a closing ceremony at the ancient Verona Arena, roughly mid-distance between the far-flung mountain, valley and city venues that made these the most spread-out Winter Games ever.
In declaring the 2026 Games ... | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | Italy’s record medal haul crowns Milano Cortina Winter Olympics as Verona hosts a music-filled farewell. | Winter Olympics 2026 closes after setting ‘a new standard for future’ | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
485328 | Who will deliver the Democratic response to President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address in February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-09. In the United States, the party opposing the president traditionally gives a televised response after the annual State of the Union address to Congress. Democratic leaders are expected to name one speaker for that role before the address. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on the official announcement from Democratic congressional leadership or another official Democratic Party source naming the person who will give the formal Democratic response, with reporting from major US news agencies such as AP or Reuters used... | string (name) | Abigail Spanberger | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/24/trump-set-to-deliver-second-terms-first-state-of-the-union-what-to-expect?traffic_source=rss | Washington, DC – United States President Donald Trump is set to deliver the first annual State of the Union address of his second term, a traditionally soaring speech where presidents make the case for their leadership before both chambers of Congress.
Trump’s assessment of the state of the “union” – the collection of ... | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | The US president’s polarising policies risk voter backlash in the November midterm elections. | Trump set to deliver second term’s first State of the Union: What to expect | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
742975 | What aircraft model will U.S. Central Command identify as lost in western Iraq by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-01. The United States is conducting military operations in the Middle East. If an aircraft incident is later acknowledged, the military may identify the specific aircraft involved in an official statement. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: An official public statement from U.S. Central Command or the U.S. Department of Defense. If no primary statement is available, consistent reporting by Reuters or the Associated Press that directly quotes the official statement may be used.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolut... | string (aircraft model) | KC-135 | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/us-military-announces-loss-of-refueling-aircraft-over-western-iraq?traffic_source=rss | The United States has acknowledged that one of its aircraft has crashed in western Iraq, amid the country’s joint military offensive with Israel against Iran.
On Thursday, US Central Command, which oversees operations in the Middle East and parts of Asia, issued a brief statement announcing the aircraft’s crash, as wel... | 2026-03-12T00:00:00 | 2026-03-12T00:00:00 | No deaths have been reported so far, but the military said the crash involved two aircraft, one of which landed safely. | US military announces rescue effort after fuelling aircraft crashes in Iraq | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-11T00:00:00 | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
354370 | What missile will the United States first launch from HIMARS against Iranian targets by 31 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-01. HIMARS is a mobile US rocket and missile launcher. During active conflicts, a specific missile type can make its first combat use and later be identified in official statements or major reporting. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using official statements from the US Department of Defense or CENTCOM, or consistent reporting from multiple major news organizations, identifying the missile type first fired from an M142 HIMARS system at Iranian targets.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date<... | string (weapon name) | PrSM | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/9/which-us-and-israeli-military-companies-are-profiting-from-the-iran-war | The biggest defence companies in the United States have agreed to “quadruple production” of what President Donald Trump describes as “exquisite class” weaponry after a meeting at the White House.
The meeting on Friday was attended by the chief executives of RTX (formerly Raytheon), Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Gru... | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | Defence stocks reach all-time highs, driven by need to produce billions of dollars of weapons systems. | Which US and Israeli military companies are profiting from the Iran war? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
26340 | In which country will an Iranian raid kill a worker at a plant that makes electricity and fresh water by 30 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-17. Gulf utility sites that supply both electric power and fresh water are at risk as regional military tensions continue. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using an official statement from the affected government or corroborated reporting from major international news outlets such as Reuters or AP, available by 30 March 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first calendar date by which the loc... | string (location) | Kuwait | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/30/iran-war-live-worker-killed-in-kuwait-israel-intercepts-drones-from-yemen | Kuwait says an Indian worker has been killed in an Iranian raid on a power and desalination plant as attacks across the Gulf continue. | 2026-03-30T00:00:00 | 2026-03-30T00:00:00 | Kuwait says an Indian worker has been killed in an Iranian raid as attacks across the Gulf continue. | Iran war live: Trump says wants to take Iran’s oil; Kuwait power site hit | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-28T00:00:00 | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
910937 | Which foreign leader's planned Australia visit will lead to charges over alleged online threats by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-20. Australian police are investigating alleged online threats connected to a forthcoming visit by a foreign head of state. Court proceedings and public reporting are expected to clarify which leader is involved. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on public court records, statements from Australian police, or consistent identification by at least two major Australian news outlets.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves by 28 February 2026, or earlier once the targeted foreign leade... | string (name) | Isaac Herzog | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/5/australia-charges-teen-over-online-threat-as-israeli-president-due-to-visit | An Australian teenager has been charged for allegedly making online threats against Israeli President Isaac Herzog, whose visit to the country on Sunday has been met with planned protests, police complaints over alleged war crimes, and efforts to have his invitation revoked.
Australian Federal Police said in a statemen... | 2026-02-05T00:00:00 | 2026-02-05T00:00:00 | ‘Mass, peaceful’ demonstration are planned across Australia to protest the visit of Israel’s President Isaac Herzog. | Australia charges teen over online threat as Israeli president due to visit | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
635419 | Which Guardian Council member will serve on Iran’s interim leadership council in March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-20. Iran’s constitution provides for a temporary leadership arrangement if the office of supreme leader becomes vacant. One seat in that arrangement can go to a member of the Guardian Council until a successor is chosen. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official Iranian announcements identifying the members of the interim leadership council, including releases carried by IRNA or other official state institutions, corroborated by at least one major international news outlet such as Reuters or AP.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>:... | string (name) | Alireza Arafi | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/who-are-the-council-members-temporarily-in-charge-of-iran?traffic_source=rss | Iranian authorities have announced a three-member interim leadership council to run the government after the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Israeli-United States strikes.
Iran’s government pledged to avenge the killing on Saturday of Khamenei, who had been in power for nearly four decades. Tehran has since t... | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | Until Khamenei’s successor is picked, three-member leadership council, including Ayatollah Arafi, will lead Iran. | Who are the council members temporarily in charge of Iran? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
414228 | Which city, besides Islamabad, will the Taliban claim to have targeted in Pakistan's March 2026 drone attacks, by mid-March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Pakistan and Afghanistan are in a period of rising cross-border tension. Claims and counterclaims about strikes inside Pakistan are becoming an important part of the confrontation. | <ul>
<li> widely cited reporting from major international news outlets and any public statements from Pakistani authorities or Taliban representatives about the March 2026 drone attacks. </li>
<li> when the claimed Pakistani target locations are publicly identified, expected by 18th March 2026. </li>
<li> t... | string (location) | Rawalpindi | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/18/do-talibans-drone-attacks-expose-a-chink-in-pakistans-armour | Islamabad, Pakistan – On the evening of March 13, drones struck three locations across Pakistan. Two children were wounded in Quetta. Civilians were also injured in Kohat and in Rawalpindi, the garrison city that houses the headquarters of Pakistan’s armed forces and neighbours the capital, Islamabad.
Pakistan’s milita... | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | As the conflict intensifies, Taliban drones challenge Pakistan’s security and response strategy, say experts. | Do Taliban’s drone attacks expose a chink in Pakistan’s armour? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
243685 | What will Myanmar's new five-member panel be called when it is established by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-01. Myanmar's authorities are expected to announce new state bodies as part of a post-election political arrangement. One planned body is a five-member panel that will receive an official name once it is created. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: An official government, parliamentary, or election-related announcement that formally establishes and names the five-member panel, with major news reporting used only as supporting confirmation if required.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date the panel is... | string (institution) | Union Consultative Council | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/16/myanmar-parliament-dominated-by-pro-military-party-convenes-after-5-years | Myanmar’s parliament has convened for the first time since the 2021 coup after recent elections saw the pro-military party winning most of the seats as major opposition parties were barred from running.
The opening of the new parliament on Monday followed phased elections in December and January, which the pro-militar... | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | New parliament opens for the first time since the 2021 coup after elections that excluded major opposition parties. | Myanmar parliament dominated by pro-military party convenes after 5 years | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-02T00:00:00 | 2026-02-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
26859 | Which Afghan provinces will Afghan officials say were hit in Pakistan's border air raids by February 23, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-04. Border tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan sometimes lead to competing official claims about where military force was used. If Afghan authorities accuse Pakistan of air raids before the resolution date, this question asks which province names they will publicly identify. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from Afghanistan's Ministry of Defence, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or other Afghan government spokespersons, or consistent reporting from major news outlets quoting those statements.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on or before F... | string (locations) | Nangarhar and Paktika | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/pakistan-claims-at-least-70-fighters-killed-in-strikes-along-afghan-border?traffic_source=rss | A senior Pakistani government official has claimed that its military killed at least 70 fighters in air raids along the border with Afghanistan, claims Kabul has denied, amid escalating tensions between the two South Asian neighbours.
Talal Chaudhry, Pakistan’s deputy interior minister, offered no evidence for his clai... | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | Afghan officials accuse Pakistan of targeting civilians and violating its sovereignty in Sunday’s border air raids. | Pakistan claims at least 70 fighters killed in strikes along Afghan border | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
503104 | Which national team will Spain face in a World Cup 2026 friendly on 27 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-12. Senior men's national football teams often schedule international matches during the March FIFA window. | <ul>
<li>This question resolves using the officially listed opponent for Spain's senior men's international match on 27 March 2026, as shown by an official federation fixture page, FIFA match listing, or the official live match page published for that date.</li>
<li>Resolve on 27 March 2026, once the fixture is pub... | string (name) | Serbia | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/liveblog/2026/3/27/live-spain-vs-serbia-world-cup-2026-friendly?traffic_source=rss | Follow our live build-up, with full team news coverage, ahead of our text commentary stream. | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | Follow our live build-up, with full team news coverage, ahead of our text commentary stream. | LIVE: Spain vs Serbia - World Cup 2026 friendly | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-13T00:00:00 | 2026-03-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
392014 | Which city will Congolese authorities say had two mass graves discovered on its outskirts by February 27, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-31. Fighting continues in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, and reports of attacks on civilians may emerge from major towns in the Kivu region. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: Public statements from Congolese provincial authorities or reporting from a major international news agency published by February 27, 2026. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the first public report or statement identifying the city, no later than Febru... | string (location) | Uvira | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/mass-graves-with-171-bodies-found-in-eastern-dr-congo-report | Congolese authorities and a civil society group have said that mass graves were found in a part of eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) where the M23 rebel group has recently withdrawn from, as fighting in the region escalates despite a United States-mediated peace deal.
The governor of South Kivu province, J... | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | A local governor says authorities found two mass graves in the outskirts of the eastern city of Uvira. | Mass graves with 171 bodies found in eastern DR Congo: Report | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
774274 | What northern Israeli community will Hezbollah say it targeted with rockets in a strike that kills at least one person on March 22, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Hezbollah and Israel are exchanging cross-border fire as regional fighting widens. A future Hezbollah strike from Lebanon may hit a place in northern Israel and be publicly claimed by the group. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve based on Hezbollah’s public claim about the attack, as reported by major news outlets on or before March 22, 2026, together with Israeli emergency or local authority reporting describing the same deadly strike.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This que... | string (location) | Misgav Am | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/22/hezbollah-attack-kills-one-in-north-israel-as-assault-on-lebanon-continues?traffic_source=rss | An attack by Hezbollah has killed at least one person in northern Israel, the first such death from fire originating in Lebanon since the United States and Israel started their war on Iran more than three weeks ago.
Hezbollah claimed Sunday’s attack, saying it was targeting “a gathering of Israeli enemy soldiers with a... | 2026-03-22T00:00:00 | 2026-03-22T00:00:00 | Hezbollah has been launching attacks in response to US-Israel war on Iran as more Israeli troops enter southern Lebanon. | Hezbollah attack kills one in north Israel as assault on Lebanon continues | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-21T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
37248 | Who will become Bulgaria’s first female head of state by February 11, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-17. Bulgaria may see a change in its presidency in the coming weeks. The head of state is the person who formally serves as president. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using an official announcement from Bulgaria’s presidency, an official swearing-in record, or reporting from the Bulgarian News Agency identifying the person who formally assumes the office of president and thereby becomes head of state.
</li>
<... | string (name) | Iliana Iotova | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/11/bulgarias-president-picks-senior-central-bank-official-as-acting-pm?traffic_source=rss | Bulgaria’s president has tapped the country’s deputy central bank governor to serve as interim prime minister, tasked with leading a caretaker government that will soon oversee a new parliamentary vote.
President Iliana Iotova nominated Andrey Gurov to act as PM on Wednesday, reported the state-run Bulgarian News Agenc... | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | 2026-02-11T00:00:00 | Andrey Gurov will head a caretaker government tasked with organising snap elections . | Bulgaria’s president picks senior central bank official as acting PM | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
456938 | Who will Ronda Rousey be announced to fight in her MMA return by 18 February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. Ronda Rousey has been away from mixed martial arts for years, and any return bout would require a named opponent. If a comeback fight is announced in the coming weeks, the opponent will be publicly identified. | <ul>
<li>The first official public announcement from Ronda Rousey, the opposing fighter, or the event promoter naming the opponent for Rousey’s MMA return. If primary material is unavailable, use consensus reporting from major news outlets that directly cite the announcement.</li>
<li>This question resolves on ... | string (name) | Gina Carano | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/18/ronda-rousey-gina-carano-end-mma-retirements-to-fight-in-may | Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano will end their lengthy retirements from mixed martial arts (MMA) to fight each other on May 16 at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California.
The two pioneering fighters announced their returns on Tuesday for a bout that will be staged by Most Valuable Promotions, the combat sports promotion esta... | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | Rousey will return to MMA for the first time in nearly a decade when she challenges Carano on May 16 in California. | Ronda Rousey, Gina Carano end MMA retirements to fight in May | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
739916 | Which aircraft carrier will join the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group in the Middle East by the end of March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-01. The US Navy moves carrier strike groups between regions to project power, and adding another carrier to the Middle East would significantly increase American military capacity during a regional crisis. | <ul>
<li>Official announcements or status updates from the US Navy, US Department of Defense, or US Central Command will take priority. If those do not clearly name the ship, consistent reporting from major international outlets such as Reuters or AP may be used.</li>
<li>This question resolves on the first date, n... | string (ship name) | Gerald R Ford | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/20/tracking-the-rapid-us-military-build-up-near-iran | The United States administration is intensifying its build-up of a vast array of military assets in the Middle East, as President Donald Trump says Iran has “10 to 15 days at most” to agree a deal over its nuclear programme and stock of ballistic missiles.
As well as the world’s largest aircraft carrier, the USS Gerald... | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | 2026-02-20T00:00:00 | As tensions between the US and Iran rise, we examine the military assets Washington has deployed to the Middle East. | Tracking the rapid US military build-up near Iran | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-12T00:00:00 | 2026-02-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
309487 | Which Ukrainian region will a Ukrainian major-general say has been almost entirely retaken during a counteroffensive by March 11, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. Fighting continues along several fronts in Ukraine, and military officials on both sides are making claims about territorial control. A new battlefield update from a senior Ukrainian commander may identify a key region affected by recent counterattacks. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The published interview or statement from the Ukrainian major-general making the territorial claim, and major news reports accurately quoting that claim.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the statement is first publicly available, ex... | string (region) | Dnipropetrovsk | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/10/russian-attack-kills-four-in-ukraines-sloviansk-as-both-sides-claim-gains?traffic_source=rss | Ukrainian and Russian officials have claimed battlefield successes in the more than four-year war, as Russian air attacks on Ukraine continue.
At least four people were killed in Russian attacks on the Ukrainian town of Sloviansk, regional authorities said on Tuesday.
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list 1 of 3What... | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | 2026-03-10T00:00:00 | Ukrainian and Russian officials have claimed battlefield successes in the more than four-year war. | Russian attack kills four in Ukraine’s Sloviansk as both sides claim gains | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-08T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
803012 | Who will the US House Oversight Committee vote to subpoena over the Justice Department's handling of Jeffrey Epstein investigation records in March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. The US House Oversight Committee is examining how the Justice Department handles sensitive records connected to Jeffrey Epstein. House committees can call witnesses and issue subpoenas as part of oversight investigations. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: Official records from the House Oversight Committee, including meeting transcripts, video, press releases, subpoena notices, or other formal House documentation. If those are unclear, reporting from major US news organizations that directly cites the committee may be used. </li>
... | string (name) | Pam Bondi | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/5/us-govt-committee-subpoenas-attorney-general-pam-bondi-over-epstein-files?traffic_source=rss | The United States House of Representatives Oversight Committee voted to subpoena Attorney General Pam Bondi, demanding she give testimony to the committee regarding the Department of Justice’s management of records linked to the investigation into sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
In a rare bipartisan rebuke, the motion, i... | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | House Oversight Committee votes to subpoena Bondi over Justice Department’s handling of files in Epstein investigation. | US gov’t committee subpoenas Attorney General Pam Bondi over Epstein files | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
915784 | What club will Newcastle United host in the UEFA Champions League round of 16 first leg on March 10, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. Newcastle United are preparing for a two-leg UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie scheduled for early March 2026. The first leg is set to be played in England. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: UEFA.com fixture listings and official match announcements from Newcastle United.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: 10th March 2026, when the first-leg fixture is officially listed and played.</li>
<li><b>Accepted Answer Format</b>: The official short club name of Newcastle United'... | string (club name) | Barcelona | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/9/newcastle-united-vs-barcelona-champions-league-team-news-start | Who: Newcastle United vs Barcelona
What: Champions League last 16, first leg
Where: St James’ Park, Newcastle, England
When: Tuesday, March 10 at 8pm (20:00 GMT)
How to follow: We’ll have all the build-up on Al Jazeera Sport from 17:00 GMT in advance of our live text commentary stream.
Newcastle United will make only t... | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | The Magpies face a formidable task as they host star-studded Barcelona for the first leg of their last 16 clash. | Newcastle United vs Barcelona: Champions League - team news, start, lineups | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-26T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
934187 | Who will rank first for prime minister in the National Institute of Development Administration survey released by January 30, 2026, ahead of Thailand's February 8, 2026 election? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-21. Thailand is preparing for a snap parliamentary election on 8th February 2026. Major public-opinion surveys are measuring which politician voters most want as prime minister. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The public release from Thailand's National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) issued on or about 30th January 2026, or consistent reporting that directly cites that survey.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date the survey is publicly releas... | string (name) | Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/6/thailand-election-2026-what-are-the-main-parties-what-do-polls-suggest | Voters in Thailand will head to the polls on Sunday amid deep political uncertainty, with the country having cycled through three prime ministers in as many years, and amid a tenuous truce with Cambodia following border clashes that killed 149 people.
The snap polls pit Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s Bhumjaithai ... | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | Sunday’s vote is seen as a test of whether Thailand’s cycle of coups, protests and court interventions can be broken. | Thailand election 2026: What are the main parties? What do polls suggest? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-12-21T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
487245 | What country will be named as a source of tensions surrounding the U.S. president's late-February 2026 address? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-30. International disputes can shape the focus and framing of a U.S. president's nationally televised speech. Forecasters are assessing which country will be highlighted in coverage as a key source of tension around the address. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Major wire-service coverage published on or about the date of the late-February 2026 address, prioritizing Reuters if multiple reports differ.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the relevant contemporaneous coverage first identifies t... | string (country) | Iran | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/2/24/state-of-the-union-live-trump-to-address-nation-amid-tariff-iran-tensions?traffic_source=rss | The US president is expected to use the primetime platform to push his agenda and bolster support before the midterms. | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | 2026-02-24T00:00:00 | The US president is expected to use the primetime platform to push his agenda and bolster support before the midterms. | State of the Union live: Trump to address nation amid tariff, Iran tensions | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
456284 | Who will take over as publisher of The Washington Post immediately after Will Lewis steps aside, by February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The Washington Post is a major US newspaper. Senior leadership changes at large media companies are usually announced through company statements and then confirmed by major news outlets. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on an official Washington Post announcement, a public statement from the company or its owner, or consistent reporting from at least two major news outlets identifying the person who assumes the publisher role immediately after Will Lewis leav... | string (name) | Jeff D’Onofrio | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/8/washington-post-ceo-resigns-after-sweeping-layoffs?traffic_source=rss | The Washington Post’s CEO has announced he is quitting the job, days after the newspaper slashed a third of its staff.
CEO and publisher Will Lewis shared the decision in a message to employees on Saturday, which was later posted on X by the paper’s White House bureau chief.
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list 1 o... | 2026-02-08T00:00:00 | 2026-02-08T00:00:00 | Will Lewis acknowledges ‘difficult decisions’ made during his rocky, two-year tenure. | Washington Post CEO resigns after sweeping layoffs | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-06T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
68828 | Which chief executive will publicly say by March 2026 that his company is set to invest another $30bn in OpenAI and that this might be its last investment until OpenAI goes public? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-31. OpenAI is a private AI company that depends on large outside funding and expensive computing infrastructure. Major technology firms may publicly discuss whether they will keep investing in the company before any future stock-market listing. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on the first public statement from the executive or the executive's company, corroborated by major financial news outlets such as Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, or equivalent reputable reporting, identifying the executive who says his company is set to make a... | string (name) | Jensen Huang | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/7/openais-fund-raising-boom-slows-amid-mounting-debt | OpenAI has been the darling of investors, having raised more than $168bn so far. But with still no profitable business model in sight, big tech investors like Nvidia and Microsoft are starting to slow down.
On Wednesday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company is set to invest another $30bn into OpenAI but said it “mi... | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | Experts have begun to question the AI startup’s path forward amid surging financial needs and no profit plan. | OpenAI’s fund raising boom slows amid mounting debt | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
167989 | Which club will Arsenal face in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals, if Arsenal advance, by March 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-09. Arsenal are preparing for the second leg of a UEFA Champions League round-of-16 tie against Bayer Leverkusen. The knockout bracket means that, if Arsenal qualify, their quarterfinal opponent will be determined by another round-of-16 result. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve using UEFA's official Champions League bracket, fixtures page, or match reports after the relevant round-of-16 ties are completed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves when UEFA officially lists Arsenal's quarterfin... | string (club) | Sporting Lisbon | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/17/vinicius-jr-scores-twice-as-real-madrid-knock-man-city-out-of-ucl-last-16?traffic_source=rss | Real Madrid has dumped 10-man Manchester City out of the Champions League for the fourth time in five seasons, as a 2-1 victory at Etihad Stadium completed a 5-1 aggregate victory for the Spanish giants.
City had to make history in overturning a 3-0 first-leg deficit against the 15-time European champions, but a diffic... | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | 2026-03-17T00:00:00 | Madrid ease into quarterfinals by beating 10-man City 2-1 at the Etihad to complete a 5-1 aggregate victory. | Vinicius Jr scores twice as Real Madrid knock Man City out of UCL last 16 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
943026 | What AI tool will a Dutch court bar from generating sexual imagery of real people without explicit permission by March 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-17. A civil case in the Netherlands is examining whether an AI image-generation service can be held responsible when users create realistic sexual images of real people without consent. A ruling is expected later this month. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves based on the first official text of the Dutch civil ruling in this case, as published by the Dutch judiciary or the relevant court. Reuters or another major wire service may be used as a secondary source if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question... | string (product name) | Grok | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/26/dutch-court-bans-xais-grok-from-generating-non-consensual-nude-images?traffic_source=rss | A Dutch court has ordered Elon Musk’s xAI to stop generating and distributing nude images of people without their consent in the Netherlands, warning it would impose fines of 100,000 euros ($115,350) per day for noncompliance.
The Amsterdam District Court ruled Thursday that xAI’s Grok artificial intelligence tool and ... | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | Court dismissed xAI claim that measures were taken after plaintiff produced video of nude person shortly before hearing. | Dutch court bans xAI’s Grok from generating nonconsensual nude images | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-17T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
551676 | Which force will take full control of the al-Shaddadi base by 15th February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-03. Control of military facilities in northeastern Syria is shifting among armed actors. One key question is which side will end up holding the al-Shaddadi base. | <ul>
<li>Consensus reporting from major international news outlets and, where available, official statements from the relevant authorities identifying who holds the base.</li>
<li>This question resolves on the first date, on or before 15th February 2026, when full control of the al-Shaddadi base is clearly attribut... | string (organization) | Syrian army | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/us-military-begins-withdrawing-from-key-base-in-northeastern-syria?traffic_source=rss | The United States has started withdrawing from a key military base in northeastern Syria and redeploying its forces to northern Iraq, marking the first phase of a pullout expected to last several weeks.
Heavy machinery, personnel and trucks carrying armoured vehicles could be seen moving on Monday in the northwestern c... | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | 2026-02-23T00:00:00 | Pullout comes after Syrian forces take control of northeast region from Kurdish-led SDF. | US military begins withdrawing from key base in northeastern Syria | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
73075 | Which ambassador will France say it is summoning over comments on Quentin Deranque’s death by February 28, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-12. A deadly political assault in France is drawing national attention and could lead to a formal diplomatic response if foreign officials make public statements about it. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from France’s Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs, the relevant embassy, or consistent reporting by major outlets such as Reuters, AFP, AP, Le Monde, France Inter, or France Info.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date b... | string (name) | Charles Kushner | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/22/france-summons-us-ambassador-over-comments-on-far-right-activists-death | French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot says US Ambassador Charles Kushner will be summoned over the US embassy’s recent comments on the killing of a far-right French activist this month in the southeastern city of Lyon.
“We are going to summon the United States ambassador to France since the US embassy in France comm... | 2026-02-22T00:00:00 | 2026-02-22T00:00:00 | Top French diplomat says his government rejects any attempt to use Quentin Deranque’s death ‘for political purposes’. | France to summon US ambassador over comments on far-right activist’s death | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | 2026-02-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
144493 | To which country will the survivor and the remains from the U.S. strike on an alleged drug-trafficking boat in the eastern Pacific be transferred, by March 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. The United States is conducting maritime counternarcotics operations near Latin America. If a deadly incident at sea is reported later this month, officials or wire services may later identify where recovered people are taken ashore. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolution will be based on Reuters reporting published by March 31, 2026, with supporting public statements from the U.S. Coast Guard or the relevant national coast guard if needed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date by ... | string (location) | Costa Rica | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/20/us-says-it-struck-alleged-drug-trafficking-vessel-in-pacific-killing-two | The United States military has announced that it attacked another alleged drug trafficking vessel in the eastern Pacific.
But while the US military initially said on Friday that three people survived the strike, the Coast Guard later issued a statement that two of the three were found dead. Only one person was recovere... | 2026-03-20T00:00:00 | 2026-03-20T00:00:00 | In an initial statement, the US military said three people survived the strike but did not offer additional details. | US says it struck alleged drug trafficking vessel in Pacific, killing two | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
548734 | What storm will officials say is poised to batter parts of Western Europe and worsen flooding in France by 28 February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-04. France is in a period of persistent wet winter weather, and authorities are monitoring flood risk while watching for additional storm systems that could affect Western Europe. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using Reuters coverage and any matching official weather statements or alerts issued by French or European meteorological authorities by 28 February 2026 that identify the named storm expected to affect Western Europe and aggravate flooding in France.
</li>
<l... | string (storm name) | Storm Pedro | https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/2/19/france-hit-by-more-than-35-days-of-rain?traffic_source=rss | France has marked a record-breaking streak of more than 35 consecutive days of rain.
National weather service Meteo-France said the country was experiencing its longest series of rainy days since measurements began in 1959, breaking the 2023 record.
Four departments in western France were placed under red alert for the... | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | France endures more than 35 days of rain as floods worsen and Storm Pedro threatens Western Europe. | France hit by more than 35 days of rain | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-16T00:00:00 | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
579252 | In which city will Amnesty International say wrestler Saleh Mohammadi has been sentenced to public execution, by February 14, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-12. Human rights groups are monitoring the treatment of detainees linked to unrest in Iran, including reports of severe punishments and death sentences. Statements from international rights organizations may identify where particular cases are being handled. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on a public Amnesty International statement or report. If needed, consistent reporting from at least two major news outlets published by February 14, 2026 may be used as supporting evidence.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The... | string (location) | Qom | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/14/iran-us-spar-as-diaspora-organises-rallies-abroad-calling-for-action | Tehran, Iran – Iran and the United States are presenting clashing views before expected talks as diaspora Iranians rally across the world to demand action after thousands were killed during last month’s nationwide protests.
Amid reports that a second round of mediated talks may take place over the coming days, Washingt... | 2026-02-14T00:00:00 | 2026-02-14T00:00:00 | Iranian families release footage online commemorating loved ones shot during nationwide antigovernment protests. | Iran, US spar as diaspora organises rallies abroad calling for action | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
924864 | Which South Asian country will be the only one to have joined the Board of Peace by February 18, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-03. South Asian governments are deciding whether to join a new US-led international body that says it will focus first on Gaza and may later expand its scope. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves using the official Board of Peace founding-member list, White House statements, and public announcements from South Asian governments available by the end of February 18, 2026.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: Resolve at 11:59 PM Washingt... | string (country) | Pakistan | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/18/trumps-board-of-peace-meets-whos-in-whos-out-whats-on-the-agenda | United States President Donald Trump will host the inaugural meeting of his so-called “Board of Peace” in Washington on Thursday, assembling representatives from member nations to announce strategies and funding for the reconstruction of Gaza.
While the US’s Western allies cautiously keep the board at arm’s length, som... | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | Asian and Middle Eastern partners line up in Washington, while Europe tries to keep a distance. | Trump’s Board of Peace meets: Who’s in, who’s out, what’s on the agenda? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
698278 | Which IPL franchise will be bought by the consortium including David Blitzer's Bolt Ventures by 31 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. The Indian Premier League is India's leading Twenty20 cricket league. Team ownership stakes can change through private sales involving domestic and international investors. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official announcements from the acquiring group, the franchise, or the Board of Control for Cricket in India, supplemented if necessary by consistent reporting from major outlets such as Reuters, the Financial Times, or ESPNcricinfo.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Dat... | string (team name) | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/3/25/us-investors-bet-big-on-indian-cricket-with-record-billion-dollar-ipl-deals | United States investors are making a big move into Indian cricket, with two separate billion-dollar deals made on the same day for teams in the country’s most popular sports league.
No team in the Indian Premier League — one of Asia’s most-watched sports events — had ever sold for more than $1bn until a consortium back... | 2026-03-25T00:00:00 | 2026-03-25T00:00:00 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru and Rajasthan Royals both sold within hours for two separate record-breaking deals. | US investors bet big on Indian cricket with record billion-dollar IPL deals | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-23T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
70713 | What country will be reported as the base location of the US troops killed in Iranian strikes by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-17. US forces are stationed at several military sites across the Gulf region. If American personnel are killed in retaliatory attacks, the country where they were based would be an important operational detail. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on consistent reporting by major US or international news organizations identifying the country where the US personnel killed in Iranian strikes were based, as available by 31 March 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The resolution occurs when reliab... | string (location) | Kuwait | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/trump-vows-to-continue-attacks-on-iran-says-more-us-troops-likely-to-die?traffic_source=rss | United States President Donald Trump has pledged to continue the “righteous mission” against Iran, until “all objectives are achieved”, adding there will likely be more US troop deaths in the process.
Speaking in a video posted to his Truth Social account on Sunday, Trump again framed the war against Iran as a response... | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | US president says attacks will continue until ‘all objectives’ are met, despite earlier floating diplomatic off-ramps. | Trump vows to continue attacks on Iran, says more US troops ‘likely’ to die | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | 2026-02-17T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
489825 | What letters will the new alliance of six Iranian Kurdish opposition groups formed by late February 2026 be known by, by March 5, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-14. Several Iranian Kurdish opposition factions are active near the Iraq-Iran border. As regional tensions rise, these groups may choose to coordinate under a single alliance. | <ul>
<li>This question will resolve based on an official statement from the alliance or consistent reporting from at least two reputable news outlets identifying the alliance formed in late February 2026.</li>
<li>Resolve on the first public identification of the alliance, no later than 5th March 2026.</li>
<li>T... | string (acronym) | CPFIK | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/5/which-kurdish-groups-is-the-us-rallying-to-fight | Iran has launched operations targeting Iranian and Iraqi Kurdish groups in the semi-autonomous Kurdish region in neighbouring Iraq as the regional war ignited by the United States and Israel entered its sixth day, with more than 1,000 people killed across the country.
State television, Press TV, reported early on Thurs... | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | 2026-03-05T00:00:00 | US President Donald Trump has spoken to at least three Kurdish groups in Iran and Iraq in recent days. | Which Kurdish groups is the US rallying to fight Iran? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-21T00:00:00 | 2026-02-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
443306 | Where will Donald Trump say the final talks before the joint US-Israeli strikes had collapsed by the end of March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. Diplomatic talks over Iran’s nuclear programme are continuing in international venues. If negotiations fail, later statements may identify the city where the last round broke down. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: A public statement or interview from Donald Trump, supported by transcripts or reporting from major outlets such as Reuters, AP, or The New York Post, by March 31, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the city of the collapsed final talks is clearly ide... | string (location) | Geneva | https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/3/4/will-the-us-put-boots-on-the-ground-in-iran | When US President Donald Trump casually floated the idea of putting US “boots on the ground” in Iran, he openly defied a longstanding presidential taboo. “Like every president says, ‘There will be no boots on the ground’. I don’t say it,” Trump declared amid the ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran.
But while the politic... | 2026-03-04T00:00:00 | 2026-03-04T00:00:00 | Trump hasn’t ruled out ground troops in Iran, but experts expect targeted special ops over an invasion. | Will the US put ‘boots on the ground’ in Iran? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-27T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
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833672 | Which country will state by March 16, 2026 that it will not participate, “not even in any effort to keep the Strait of Hormuz open by military means”? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. The United States may ask partner countries to support naval operations aimed at protecting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Some governments could publicly reject direct military involvement. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: an official government spokesperson statement, or matching reports from major reputable news organizations published on or before March 16, 2026. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: when that statement is first publicly reported, no later than March 16, 2026. </li>
<li> <b>A... | string (country) | Germany | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/16/strait-of-hormuz-which-countriess-ships-has-iran-allowed-safe-passage-to | During the United States-Israeli war on Iran, Tehran has said the Strait of Hormuz is open to all except the US and its allies. One-fifth of the world’s oil shipments transit through the strait.
On March 2, Ebrahim Jabari, a senior adviser to the commander-in-chief of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) ann... | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | 2026-03-16T00:00:00 | Tehran allows a small number of ships from certain countries to pass through waterway. | Strait of Hormuz: Which countries’ ships has Iran allowed safe passage to? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-14T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
200605 | Which country's citizens will Australia say are covered by its temporary six-month visitor ban, in a Home Affairs announcement by March 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-09. Australia is reviewing border and visa settings as war in the Middle East disrupts travel and creates uncertainty about whether some short-term visitors will be able to leave on time. The federal government can temporarily change entry rules for overseas nationals. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements or releases from Australia's Department of Home Affairs, with major news reporting such as Reuters, AP, ABC, or Al Jazeera used only to confirm the wording if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date, no later than Mar... | string (country) | Iran | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/26/australia-bans-visitors-from-iran-amid-war-in-the-middle-east?traffic_source=rss | Australia has temporarily banned visitors from Iran, claiming that the United States-Israeli war on the country has increased the risk that Iranian passport holders could refuse or be unable to fly home once their short-term visitor visas expire.
Australia’s Department of Home Affairs said on Wednesday that the restric... | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | Australia’s Home Affairs Department said decision to ban Iranian visitors amid the war was in the ‘national interest’. | Australia bans visitors from Iran amid war in the Middle East | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-24T00:00:00 | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
806810 | What will be the name of the Palestinian body set to take over Gaza's security and administration in the first phase of a proposed disarmament plan by April 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-12. Talks around Gaza's ceasefire, reconstruction, and future governance are ongoing. Diplomats and Palestinian actors are discussing who could run civilian administration and security if a phased plan moves forward. | <ul>
<li>The question resolves based on the officially circulated framework, public remarks from the Board of Peace or the United Nations Security Council, or consistent reporting from major international news organizations describing the plan.</li>
<li>Resolve by 30 April 2026, or earlier if the designated governi... | string (organization) | Palestinian national committee | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/26/details-revealed-of-board-of-peace-plan-for-gaza-disarmament?traffic_source=rss | Details of a plan submitted by Board of Peace Director General Nickolay Mladenov for the disarmament of Hamas and other Palestinian groups in Gaza have been seen by Al Jazeera.
The plan would see disarmament – one of the components of the October ceasefire to end Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza – implemented gradually o... | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | 2026-03-26T00:00:00 | Plan, submitted by Board of Peace head Nikolay Mladenov, calls for gradual disarmament over eight months. | Details revealed of Board of Peace plan for Gaza disarmament | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
512785 | What country will receive the $8.4bn share of a newly approved US arms sale, including drones, missiles, radars and F-16 aircraft, by March 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. The United States sometimes announces large foreign military sales to partners in the Middle East. During periods of regional tension, a major package may be publicly detailed before the end of March 2026. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: The official US Department of State announcement, related Defense Security Cooperation Agency material, or matching coverage from Reuters or AP quoting the same announcement. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first public announcement naming the r... | string (country) | United Arab Emirates | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/19/us-approves-16-5bn-arms-deal-to-gulf-states-amid-rising-iran-tensions | The United States Department of State has approved a $16.5bn deal for arms sales to the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Jordan as tensions with Iran continue to intensify.
On Thursday, the State Department explained that $8.4bn worth of arms would go to the United Arab Emirates to pay for drones, missiles, radar syste... | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | 2026-03-19T00:00:00 | The proposed deal includes the sale of drones, missiles and radars for Gulf allies, including UAE, Kuwait and Jordan. | US approves $16.5bn arms deal to Gulf states amid rising Iran tensions | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-18T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
605397 | Which Iran-backed Iraqi group will say four of its members were killed and 12 injured in air attacks in northern Iraq that it blames on the United States, by 11 March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-28. Several Iran-aligned armed groups are active in Iraq as regional tensions rise. If one of these groups publicly reports casualties from air attacks in northern Iraq during this period, the group's name will determine the answer. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: A public statement from the armed group itself and corroborating reporting from major news organizations published by 11 March 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date, no later than 11 March 2026, when the group publicly identifies itself ... | string (organization name) | Kataib Imam Ali | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/11/attacks-from-all-sides-why-iraq-was-dragged-into-us-israel-war-on-iran | Within hours of the United States-Israeli attacks on Iran, US assets in Iraq’s Kurdistan region came under retaliatory attacks from Tehran-backed groups, dragging the country into the conflict that has since expanded across the Middle East and beyond.
Since then, US assets located in Iraq have come under multiple attac... | 2026-03-11T00:00:00 | 2026-03-11T00:00:00 | Iraq has seen attacks from both sides of the conflict: Iran and its proxies on the one side and the US on the other. | Attacks from all sides: Why Iraq was dragged into US-Israel war on Iran | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-09T00:00:00 | 2026-02-28T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
120805 | Through which country's intermediaries will Donald Trump's 15-point plan be conveyed to Iran by March 25, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. During a major international crisis, governments sometimes use third-party countries to pass messages when direct trust is low. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using official statements from the White House, the relevant intermediary government, or consistent reporting from major international news outlets published by March 25, 2026 that identify the country serving as the intermediary channel.
</li>
<li>
<b>R... | string (country) | Pakistan | https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/3/25/what-it-would-take-to-end-the-iran-war | On March 23, President Donald Trump announced that the United States and Iran had reached “major points of agreement”. Shortly after, he claimed that Tehran had delivered a significant concession related to oil, gas, and the Strait of Hormuz.
These statements, along with the decision to postpone strikes on Iranian ener... | 2026-03-25T00:00:00 | 2026-03-25T00:00:00 | The termination of the US-Israeli war on Iran would require solid guarantees and a credible guarantor. | What it would take to end the Iran war | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-22T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... |
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