shchuro commited on
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ac9f912
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1 Parent(s): a396ab4

Add TS-ICL

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  1. src/utils.py +1 -0
  2. tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_MASE.csv +30 -29
  3. tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_SQL.csv +30 -29
  4. tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  5. tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
  6. tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_MASE.csv +64 -64
  7. tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_SQL.csv +33 -33
  8. tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WAPE.csv +64 -64
  9. tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WQL.csv +33 -33
  10. tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_MASE.csv +30 -29
  11. tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_SQL.csv +30 -29
  12. tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  13. tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
  14. tables/domain_econ/pairwise_WAPE.csv +64 -64
  15. tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_MASE.csv +30 -29
  16. tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_SQL.csv +30 -29
  17. tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  18. tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
  19. tables/domain_energy/pairwise_MASE.csv +60 -60
  20. tables/domain_energy/pairwise_SQL.csv +112 -112
  21. tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WAPE.csv +87 -87
  22. tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WQL.csv +60 -60
  23. tables/domain_health/leaderboard_MASE.csv +29 -28
  24. tables/domain_health/leaderboard_SQL.csv +30 -29
  25. tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  26. tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
  27. tables/domain_health/pairwise_MASE.csv +93 -93
  28. tables/domain_health/pairwise_SQL.csv +112 -112
  29. tables/domain_health/pairwise_WAPE.csv +93 -93
  30. tables/domain_health/pairwise_WQL.csv +87 -87
  31. tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_MASE.csv +29 -28
  32. tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_SQL.csv +29 -28
  33. tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  34. tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
  35. tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_MASE.csv +87 -87
  36. tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_SQL.csv +33 -33
  37. tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WAPE.csv +135 -135
  38. tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WQL.csv +64 -64
  39. tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_MASE.csv +30 -29
  40. tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_SQL.csv +30 -29
  41. tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  42. tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
  43. tables/domain_nature/pairwise_MASE.csv +60 -60
  44. tables/domain_nature/pairwise_SQL.csv +60 -60
  45. tables/domain_nature/pairwise_WAPE.csv +87 -87
  46. tables/domain_nature/pairwise_WQL.csv +112 -112
  47. tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_MASE.csv +30 -29
  48. tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_SQL.csv +30 -29
  49. tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_WAPE.csv +30 -29
  50. tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_WQL.csv +30 -29
src/utils.py CHANGED
@@ -59,6 +59,7 @@ MODEL_CONFIG = {
59
  "ttm-r2": ("ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-ttm-r2", "IBM", True, "pretrained"),
60
  "flowstate": ("ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-flowstate-r1", "IBM", True, "pretrained"),
61
  "citras-fm": ("hitachi-nlp/citras-fm", "Hitachi", True, "pretrained", "CITRAS-FM"),
 
62
  # GluonTS Models
63
  "deepar": ("https://github.com/awslabs/gluonts", "—", False, "task-specific"),
64
  "tft": ("https://github.com/awslabs/gluonts", "—", False, "task-specific"),
 
59
  "ttm-r2": ("ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-ttm-r2", "IBM", True, "pretrained"),
60
  "flowstate": ("ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-flowstate-r1", "IBM", True, "pretrained"),
61
  "citras-fm": ("hitachi-nlp/citras-fm", "Hitachi", True, "pretrained", "CITRAS-FM"),
62
+ "ts-icl": ("taharnbl/TS-ICL", "EDF-Lab", True, "pretrained", "TS-ICL"),
63
  # GluonTS Models
64
  "deepar": ("https://github.com/awslabs/gluonts", "—", False, "task-specific"),
65
  "tft": ("https://github.com/awslabs/gluonts", "—", False, "task-specific"),
tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.25000000000001,47.105140103596796,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,95.53571428571429,47.049179559947774,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,92.67857142857142,46.485472580621256,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-22m,84.82142857142857,43.92623198246986,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-1.0,79.10714285714285,41.88927928450025,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
7
- Chronos-2,76.25,42.51579967639686,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-4m,74.46428571428572,40.931171483779714,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
- TimesFM-2.5,69.46428571428571,40.26605676264323,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex-2,69.10714285714286,39.65417127595432,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
11
- TiRex,65.17857142857143,38.09940061802194,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
12
- citras-fm,51.964285714285715,34.357611241199095,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
13
- Moirai-2.0,51.78571428571429,35.5798994200739,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
14
- FlowState,51.07142857142857,30.68598311802213,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
15
- TabPFN-TS-3,50.535714285714285,34.02528132692776,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
16
- PatchTST,48.035714285714285,34.304846616783294,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
17
- TFT,47.94642857142857,34.39379489295074,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
18
- Sundial-Base,47.85714285714286,34.444932595485724,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
19
- Chronos-Bolt,45.535714285714285,30.890375949929528,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
20
- TabPFN-TS,44.46428571428571,31.182648441489537,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
21
- CatBoost,40.17857142857143,28.99041616417205,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
22
- DeepAR,35.89285714285714,25.641579380120593,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
23
- LightGBM,29.64285714285714,21.217567102831968,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,23.303571428571427,12.457381191619765,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
25
- AutoARIMA,20.80357142857143,13.156560456056853,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
26
- AutoETS,15.446428571428573,9.008132945543156,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
27
- AutoTheta,15.178571428571427,6.832233363582574,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
28
- Naive,12.5,-25.50199781747715,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
29
- Seasonal Naive,10.357142857142856,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,4.642857142857143,-32.85429098273796,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.20689655172414,47.105140103596796,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,95.6896551724138,47.049179559947774,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-313m,92.75862068965517,46.485472580621256,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-22m,85.0,43.92623198246986,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-1.0,79.13793103448276,41.88927928450025,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
7
+ Chronos-2,76.03448275862068,42.51579967639686,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-4m,74.48275862068967,40.931171483779714,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex-2,68.96551724137933,39.65417127595432,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
+ TimesFM-2.5,68.62068965517241,40.26605676264323,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
+ TS-ICL,66.55172413793105,40.023445008897305,0.0,3.327645272361891,0.0,0.0
12
+ TiRex,64.65517241379311,38.09940061802194,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
13
+ citras-fm,50.689655172413794,34.357611241199095,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
14
+ Moirai-2.0,50.689655172413794,35.5798994200739,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
15
+ FlowState,50.172413793103445,30.68598311802213,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
16
+ TabPFN-TS-3,49.6551724137931,34.02528132692776,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
17
+ PatchTST,47.24137931034483,34.304846616783294,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
18
+ TFT,46.98275862068966,34.39379489295074,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
19
+ Sundial-Base,46.89655172413794,34.444932595485724,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
20
+ Chronos-Bolt,44.48275862068966,30.890375949929528,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
21
+ TabPFN-TS,43.79310344827586,31.182648441489537,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
22
+ CatBoost,38.79310344827586,28.99041616417205,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
23
+ DeepAR,35.172413793103445,25.641579380120593,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
24
+ LightGBM,28.62068965517241,21.217567102831968,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,22.499999999999996,12.457381191619765,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
26
+ AutoARIMA,20.086206896551726,13.156560456056853,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
27
+ AutoETS,14.913793103448276,9.008132945543156,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
28
+ AutoTheta,14.655172413793101,6.832233363582574,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
29
+ Naive,12.068965517241379,-25.50199781747715,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
30
+ Seasonal Naive,10.0,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,4.482758620689655,-32.85429098273796,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.14285714285715,66.67609437659667,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,95.71428571428572,66.67229326421315,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,93.03571428571429,66.42835118245338,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-22m,86.25,64.64905946685398,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-1.0,79.10714285714285,63.05875031595707,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
7
- Chronos-2,77.32142857142857,63.92789670076326,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-4m,75.89285714285714,62.51740509789393,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
- TiRex-2,71.78571428571429,61.657338261486025,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
- TimesFM-2.5,70.17857142857143,61.98663035039822,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
- TiRex,67.32142857142857,60.871565834690514,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
12
- TabPFN-TS-3,57.50000000000001,59.42246884042356,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
13
- Moirai-2.0,54.46428571428572,58.416109773202194,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
14
- FlowState,53.035714285714285,55.917373913965896,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
15
- citras-fm,51.78571428571429,57.40397994436643,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
16
- PatchTST,48.839285714285715,56.65838528437654,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
17
- TFT,48.57142857142857,56.101100728840805,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
18
- Sundial-Base,44.46428571428572,56.64773521043558,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
19
- Chronos-Bolt,44.28571428571429,54.85929046462743,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
20
- TabPFN-TS,43.57142857142858,54.882167458139385,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
21
- DeepAR,38.48214285714286,50.20430422932948,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
22
- CatBoost,30.89285714285715,46.25315473529981,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
23
- LightGBM,24.999999999999996,40.369919076130486,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
24
- AutoARIMA,24.375,34.1099179045811,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
25
- Stat. Ensemble,22.053571428571423,21.741616773476768,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
26
- AutoETS,15.803571428571427,-26.853793282334813,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
27
- AutoTheta,11.607142857142858,-2.114517117703918,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,11.517857142857142,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,7.8571428571428585,-102.14853947002402,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,2.1428571428571432,-110.24318719846286,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.24137931034484,66.67609437659667,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,95.86206896551725,66.67229326421315,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-313m,93.27586206896551,66.42835118245338,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-22m,86.37931034482759,64.64905946685398,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-1.0,79.13793103448276,63.05875031595707,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
7
+ Chronos-2,77.24137931034484,63.92789670076326,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-4m,76.03448275862068,62.51740509789393,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex-2,71.3793103448276,61.657338261486025,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
+ TimesFM-2.5,69.13793103448278,61.98663035039822,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
+ TS-ICL,67.41379310344826,61.929921677293606,0.0,3.327645272361891,0.0,0.0
12
+ TiRex,66.72413793103448,60.871565834690514,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
13
+ TabPFN-TS-3,56.20689655172415,59.42246884042356,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
14
+ Moirai-2.0,53.44827586206896,58.416109773202194,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
15
+ FlowState,51.89655172413793,55.917373913965896,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
16
+ citras-fm,50.17241379310345,57.40397994436643,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
17
+ PatchTST,48.1896551724138,56.65838528437654,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
18
+ TFT,47.58620689655172,56.101100728840805,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
19
+ Sundial-Base,43.103448275862085,56.64773521043558,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
20
+ TabPFN-TS,42.931034482758626,54.882167458139385,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
21
+ Chronos-Bolt,42.931034482758626,54.85929046462743,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
22
+ DeepAR,37.67241379310345,50.20430422932948,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
23
+ CatBoost,29.827586206896562,46.25315473529981,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
24
+ LightGBM,24.137931034482758,40.369919076130486,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoARIMA,23.53448275862069,34.1099179045811,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
26
+ Stat. Ensemble,21.293103448275858,21.741616773476768,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
27
+ AutoETS,15.258620689655169,-26.853793282334813,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
28
+ AutoTheta,11.206896551724139,-2.114517117703918,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,11.120689655172413,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,7.586206896551722,-102.14853947002402,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.0689655172413794,-110.24318719846286,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.14285714285715,53.71035361627254,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,95.5357142857143,53.096830919470946,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,93.39285714285714,52.69411150627982,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-22m,86.42857142857142,50.191472774349634,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
- Chronos-2,78.92857142857144,50.57276323971893,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-1.0,78.03571428571429,47.09252281338565,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-4m,73.57142857142858,47.10219495180865,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
- TiRex-2,69.28571428571428,46.55373683052376,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
- TimesFM-2.5,68.21428571428572,46.24771958720855,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
- TiRex,64.64285714285715,44.520635260445665,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
12
- TabPFN-TS-3,56.96428571428572,46.210313482546184,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
13
- FlowState,55.5357142857143,44.39308253523333,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,53.214285714285715,42.79254856807111,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
15
- citras-fm,53.214285714285715,43.462794590251164,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
16
- TabPFN-TS,50.17857142857143,42.304181829008726,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
17
- PatchTST,48.92857142857143,42.75818805959519,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
18
- Sundial-Base,47.14285714285715,41.966358434053696,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
19
- Chronos-Bolt,46.42857142857143,39.89366883509092,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
20
- TFT,45.089285714285715,37.9920627846737,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
21
- CatBoost,36.07142857142857,34.58752644878078,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
22
- DeepAR,35.535714285714285,31.125782577257844,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
23
- LightGBM,28.214285714285715,27.03716130150796,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,20.80357142857143,17.59542897915567,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
25
- AutoARIMA,17.767857142857142,16.5309827995087,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
26
- AutoETS,14.017857142857142,5.6618608202705705,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
27
- AutoTheta,12.321428571428573,12.660865320459136,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
28
- Naive,11.964285714285714,4.49837321934039,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
29
- Seasonal Naive,7.142857142857142,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,4.2857142857142865,-1.7537853153904326,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.24137931034484,53.71035361627254,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,95.68965517241381,53.096830919470946,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-313m,93.62068965517241,52.69411150627982,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-22m,86.72413793103448,50.191472774349634,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
+ Chronos-2,79.31034482758622,50.57276323971893,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-1.0,78.10344827586206,47.09252281338565,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-4m,73.62068965517241,47.10219495180865,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex-2,69.3103448275862,46.55373683052376,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
+ TimesFM-2.5,67.93103448275863,46.24771958720855,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
+ TS-ICL,64.48275862068965,45.92336879321229,0.0,3.327645272361891,0.0,0.0
12
+ TiRex,64.31034482758622,44.520635260445665,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
13
+ TabPFN-TS-3,55.86206896551725,46.210313482546184,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
14
+ FlowState,55.00000000000001,44.39308253523333,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,52.241379310344826,42.79254856807111,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
16
+ citras-fm,51.72413793103448,43.462794590251164,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
17
+ TabPFN-TS,49.310344827586206,42.304181829008726,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
18
+ PatchTST,48.10344827586207,42.75818805959519,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
19
+ Sundial-Base,46.0344827586207,41.966358434053696,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
20
+ Chronos-Bolt,45.17241379310345,39.89366883509092,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
21
+ TFT,44.22413793103448,37.9920627846737,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
22
+ CatBoost,34.82758620689655,34.58752644878078,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
23
+ DeepAR,34.6551724137931,31.125782577257844,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
24
+ LightGBM,27.241379310344826,27.03716130150796,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,20.086206896551726,17.59542897915567,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
26
+ AutoARIMA,17.155172413793103,16.5309827995087,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
27
+ AutoETS,13.534482758620689,5.6618608202705705,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
28
+ AutoTheta,11.89655172413793,12.660865320459136,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
29
+ Naive,11.551724137931036,4.49837321934039,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
30
+ Seasonal Naive,6.896551724137931,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,4.137931034482759,-1.7537853153904326,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,98.03571428571428,69.03469555605878,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,95.89285714285715,68.75529346896873,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,92.85714285714286,68.41066967488192,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-22m,86.60714285714286,66.78327813931047,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
- Chronos-2,79.46428571428574,66.94397676250325,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-1.0,76.60714285714286,64.46135334372015,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-4m,74.4642857142857,64.42603072886158,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
- TiRex-2,71.42857142857143,63.99709672683953,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
- TimesFM-2.5,68.03571428571429,63.7537487246866,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
- TiRex,67.14285714285714,62.74382048246822,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
12
- TabPFN-TS-3,61.96428571428573,64.3601359782909,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
13
- FlowState,58.03571428571429,62.649468493586056,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,55.714285714285715,61.08750954950368,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
15
- citras-fm,52.5,60.978054225927835,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
16
- PatchTST,50.803571428571445,59.71037333425973,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
17
- TFT,47.67857142857142,55.556509382143545,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
18
- TabPFN-TS,46.07142857142858,58.432181218600874,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
19
- Chronos-Bolt,43.92857142857142,58.15816295699815,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
20
- Sundial-Base,43.21428571428572,59.21372871831863,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
21
- DeepAR,37.94642857142857,50.79429174981283,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
22
- CatBoost,30.53571428571429,46.843426009989976,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
23
- LightGBM,25.71428571428572,40.70772252024998,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
24
- AutoARIMA,22.41071428571429,34.821696297938075,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
25
- Stat. Ensemble,19.375,22.34504540092107,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
26
- AutoETS,12.946428571428573,-39.995047645386684,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
27
- AutoTheta,11.07142857142857,7.361982676335321,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,10.267857142857142,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,6.964285714285714,-64.9788901369484,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,2.321428571428571,-71.7471743825873,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,98.10344827586206,69.03469555605878,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,96.0344827586207,68.75529346896873,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-313m,93.10344827586208,68.41066967488192,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-22m,86.72413793103448,66.78327813931047,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
6
+ Chronos-2,80.00000000000003,66.94397676250325,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-1.0,76.72413793103449,64.46135334372015,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-4m,74.6551724137931,64.42603072886158,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex-2,71.0344827586207,63.99709672683953,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
10
+ TimesFM-2.5,67.58620689655173,63.7537487246866,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
11
+ TS-ICL,66.72413793103449,63.67831559208952,0.0,3.327645272361891,0.0,0.0
12
+ TiRex,66.37931034482759,62.74382048246822,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
13
+ TabPFN-TS-3,60.689655172413815,64.3601359782909,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
14
+ FlowState,57.24137931034482,62.649468493586056,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,54.310344827586206,61.08750954950368,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
16
+ citras-fm,50.86206896551724,60.978054225927835,0.0,0.7048698485226532,0.0,0.0
17
+ PatchTST,49.91379310344829,59.71037333425973,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
18
+ TFT,46.724137931034484,55.556509382143545,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
19
+ TabPFN-TS,45.17241379310345,58.432181218600874,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
20
+ Chronos-Bolt,42.41379310344827,58.15816295699815,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
21
+ Sundial-Base,41.896551724137936,59.21372871831863,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
22
+ DeepAR,36.98275862068966,50.79429174981283,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
23
+ CatBoost,29.48275862068966,46.843426009989976,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
24
+ LightGBM,24.82758620689655,40.70772252024998,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoARIMA,21.63793103448276,34.821696297938075,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
26
+ Stat. Ensemble,18.70689655172414,22.34504540092107,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
27
+ AutoETS,12.5,-39.995047645386684,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
28
+ AutoTheta,10.689655172413792,7.361982676335321,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,9.913793103448276,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,6.724137931034484,-64.9788901369484,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.2413793103448274,-71.7471743825873,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -8,12 +8,12 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.08,0.048,0.124
8
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.061,0.155
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.077,0.173
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,0.07,0.181
 
11
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.082,0.223
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.237,0.125,0.356
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.194,0.118,0.279
14
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.179,0.114,0.268
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.198,0.107,0.308
16
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.195,0.12,0.276
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.235,0.163,0.308
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.587
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.012,0.011
@@ -25,12 +25,12 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.079,0.042,0.127
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.06,0.157
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.077,0.175
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.068,0.183
 
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.084,0.223
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.236,0.115,0.36
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.116,0.285
31
- Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.112,0.271
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.197,0.101,0.318
33
- Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.194,0.117,0.277
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.16,0.311
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.372,0.586
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.012,-0.024,-0.002
@@ -42,12 +42,12 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.069,0.033,0.115
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.056,0.144
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.113,0.073,0.158
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,0.058,0.173
 
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.076,0.212
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.228,0.113,0.349
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.185,0.112,0.273
48
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.107,0.26
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.189,0.093,0.302
50
- Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.185,0.105,0.268
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.157,0.3
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.465,0.364,0.583
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.06,-0.096,-0.032
@@ -59,12 +59,12 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.025,-0.013,0.052
59
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.03,0.076
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.071,0.046,0.096
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.061,0.016,0.111
 
62
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.094,0.047,0.149
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.191,0.077,0.306
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.085,0.218
65
- Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.081,0.2
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.15,0.058,0.249
67
- Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.146,0.069,0.221
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.189,0.128,0.252
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.439,0.34,0.551
70
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.099,-0.157,-0.052
@@ -76,12 +76,12 @@ Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.011,-0.063,0.027
76
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.45,0.9,0.016,-0.007,0.04
77
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.059
78
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.027,-0.02,0.072
 
79
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.061,0.027,0.114
80
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.041,0.286
81
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.115,0.057,0.196
82
- Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.098,0.052,0.164
83
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.119,0.024,0.226
84
- Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.115,0.034,0.185
85
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.159,0.094,0.224
86
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.323,0.528
87
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.087,-0.141,-0.05
@@ -93,12 +93,12 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.027,-0.006,0.067
94
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.047,0.011,0.093
95
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,0.009,0.071
 
96
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.071,0.022,0.128
97
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.171,0.067,0.29
98
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.124,0.056,0.204
99
- Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.168
100
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.052,0.222
101
- Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.125,0.065,0.189
102
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.101,0.231
103
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.425,0.331,0.534
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.184,-0.065
@@ -110,12 +110,12 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.028,-0.072,0.006
110
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.021,0.008,0.034
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.011,-0.032,0.048
 
113
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.017,0.083
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.148,0.032,0.269
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.1,0.053,0.168
116
- Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.05,0.134
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.014,0.197
118
- Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.101,0.019,0.165
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.092,0.201
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.409,0.315,0.516
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.141,-0.209,-0.084
@@ -127,12 +127,12 @@ TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.05,-0.103,-0.011
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.035,-0.008
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.01,-0.061,0.036
 
130
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.025,-0.006,0.072
131
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.009,0.25
132
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.081,0.035,0.148
133
- TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.063,0.027,0.121
134
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.085,-0.01,0.184
135
- TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.081,-0.011,0.149
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.127,0.072,0.184
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.397,0.293,0.51
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.129,-0.22,-0.075
@@ -144,14 +144,31 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.039,-0.077,-0.009
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.011,-0.05,0.031
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.01,-0.037,0.058
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
147
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.035,-0.0,0.077
148
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.138,0.03,0.267
149
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.7,0.499,0.9,0.09,0.019,0.183
150
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.035,0.115
151
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.095,0.024,0.186
152
- TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.091,0.037,0.142
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.136,0.068,0.199
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.318,0.501
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
155
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.287,-0.09
156
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.169,-0.287,-0.092
157
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.157,-0.27,-0.083
@@ -161,12 +178,12 @@ TiRex,Chronos-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.077,-0.146,-0.022
161
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.091,-0.017
162
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.026,-0.077,0.006
163
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.036,-0.083,0.0
 
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  TiRex,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.107,-0.02,0.236
166
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.057,-0.003,0.138
167
- TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.039,0.014,0.065
168
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.062,-0.03,0.149
169
- TiRex,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.058,-0.029,0.118
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.104,0.038,0.166
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.295,0.476
172
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.31,-0.554,-0.142
@@ -178,12 +195,12 @@ FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.206,-0.408,-0.072
178
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.173,-0.368,-0.033
179
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.149,-0.333,-0.009
180
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.16,-0.363,-0.031
 
181
  FlowState,TiRex,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.12,-0.308,0.02
182
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.056,-0.154,0.037
184
- FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.076,-0.251,0.058
185
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.051,-0.155,0.045
186
- FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.055,-0.227,0.056
187
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.003,-0.136,0.112
188
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.307,0.147,0.442
189
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.241,-0.386,-0.134
@@ -195,31 +212,14 @@ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.142,-0.256,-0.059
195
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.111,-0.202,-0.056
196
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.088,-0.174,-0.036
197
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.501,-0.099,-0.223,-0.019
 
198
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.06,-0.159,0.003
199
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.053,-0.038,0.134
200
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.019,-0.102,0.052
202
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.005,-0.077,0.077
203
- citras-fm,PatchTST,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.001,-0.12,0.089
204
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.05,-0.018,0.112
205
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.344,0.211,0.473
206
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.218,-0.367,-0.129
207
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.217,-0.371,-0.126
208
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.352,-0.12
209
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.25,-0.088
210
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.109,-0.196,-0.055
211
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.121,-0.202,-0.056
212
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.052
213
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.068,-0.137,-0.027
214
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.13,-0.036
215
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.041,-0.07,-0.015
216
- Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.071,-0.062,0.201
217
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.019,-0.054,0.093
218
- Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.024,-0.061,0.104
220
- Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.064,0.081
221
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.425,0.825,0.068,-0.002,0.135
222
- Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.356,0.268,0.451
223
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.247,-0.446,-0.12
224
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.246,-0.466,-0.113
225
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.233,-0.432,-0.103
@@ -229,31 +229,31 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.148,-0.286,-0.055
229
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.117,-0.245,-0.014
230
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.093,-0.225,0.01
231
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.104,-0.229,-0.025
 
232
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.066,-0.176,0.03
233
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.047,0.134
234
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.005,-0.084,0.072
235
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.024,-0.116,0.057
236
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.004,-0.118,0.077
238
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.045,-0.057,0.144
239
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.34,0.224,0.444
240
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.242,-0.381,-0.137
241
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.241,-0.383,-0.132
242
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.228,-0.366,-0.118
243
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.172,-0.283,-0.074
244
- PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.131,-0.227,-0.035
245
- PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.143,-0.234,-0.07
246
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.112,-0.197,-0.02
247
- PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.174,0.01
248
- PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.1,-0.166,-0.038
249
- PatchTST,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.061,-0.134,0.028
250
- PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.052,-0.059,0.185
251
- PatchTST,citras-fm,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.001,-0.098,0.107
252
- PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.02,-0.089,0.06
253
- PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.004,-0.084,0.105
254
- PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.2,0.65,0.049,-0.039,0.137
256
- PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.343,0.237,0.456
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.307,-0.445,-0.194
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.452,-0.191
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.291,-0.429,-0.186
@@ -263,12 +263,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.202,-0.3,-0.112
263
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.252,-0.101
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.145,-0.225,-0.077
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.157,-0.248,-0.073
 
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.116,-0.198,-0.039
267
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.003,-0.127,0.12
268
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.053,-0.126,0.017
269
- Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.175,0.575,-0.073,-0.156,0.002
270
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.048,-0.169,0.054
271
- Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.55,0.35,0.8,-0.052,-0.159,0.037
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.309,0.185,0.434
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.891,-1.422,-0.588
@@ -280,11 +280,11 @@ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.74,-1.148,-0.496
280
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.693,-1.065,-0.459
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.657,-1.043,-0.414
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-1.003,-0.466
 
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.909,-0.418
284
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.443,-0.793,-0.172
285
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.523,-0.897,-0.267
286
- Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.552,-0.822,-0.365
287
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.516,-0.797,-0.289
288
- Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.522,-0.838,-0.31
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.447,-0.766,-0.228
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
8
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.061,0.155
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.077,0.173
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,0.07,0.181
11
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.118,0.073,0.172
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.082,0.223
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.237,0.125,0.356
14
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.194,0.118,0.279
 
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.198,0.107,0.308
16
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.179,0.114,0.268
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.235,0.163,0.308
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.587
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.012,0.011
 
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.06,0.157
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.077,0.175
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.068,0.183
28
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.117,0.076,0.167
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.084,0.223
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.236,0.115,0.36
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.116,0.285
 
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.197,0.101,0.318
33
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.112,0.271
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.16,0.311
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.372,0.586
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.012,-0.024,-0.002
 
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.056,0.144
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.113,0.073,0.158
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,0.058,0.173
45
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.108,0.067,0.158
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.076,0.212
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.228,0.113,0.349
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.185,0.112,0.273
 
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.189,0.093,0.302
50
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.107,0.26
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.157,0.3
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.465,0.364,0.583
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.06,-0.096,-0.032
 
59
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.03,0.076
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.071,0.046,0.096
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.061,0.016,0.111
62
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.065,0.032,0.102
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.094,0.047,0.149
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.191,0.077,0.306
65
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.085,0.218
 
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.15,0.058,0.249
67
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.081,0.2
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.189,0.128,0.252
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.439,0.34,0.551
70
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.099,-0.157,-0.052
 
76
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.45,0.9,0.016,-0.007,0.04
77
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.059
78
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.027,-0.02,0.072
79
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.031,0.005,0.057
80
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.061,0.027,0.114
81
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.041,0.286
82
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.115,0.057,0.196
 
83
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.119,0.024,0.226
84
+ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.098,0.052,0.164
85
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.159,0.094,0.224
86
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.323,0.528
87
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.087,-0.141,-0.05
 
93
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.027,-0.006,0.067
94
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.047,0.011,0.093
95
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,0.009,0.071
96
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.042,0.003,0.089
97
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.071,0.022,0.128
98
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.171,0.067,0.29
99
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.124,0.056,0.204
 
100
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.052,0.222
101
+ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.168
102
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.101,0.231
103
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.425,0.331,0.534
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.184,-0.065
 
110
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.021,0.008,0.034
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.011,-0.032,0.048
113
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.015,-0.017,0.042
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.017,0.083
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.148,0.032,0.269
116
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.1,0.053,0.168
 
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.014,0.197
118
+ Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.05,0.134
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.092,0.201
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.409,0.315,0.516
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.141,-0.209,-0.084
 
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.035,-0.008
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.01,-0.061,0.036
130
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.006,-0.045,0.025
131
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.025,-0.006,0.072
132
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.009,0.25
133
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.081,0.035,0.148
 
134
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.085,-0.01,0.184
135
+ TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.063,0.027,0.121
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.127,0.072,0.184
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.397,0.293,0.51
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.129,-0.22,-0.075
 
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.011,-0.05,0.031
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.01,-0.037,0.058
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.004,-0.033,0.047
148
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.035,-0.0,0.077
149
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.138,0.03,0.267
150
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.7,0.499,0.9,0.09,0.019,0.183
 
151
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.095,0.024,0.186
152
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.035,0.115
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.136,0.068,0.199
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.318,0.501
155
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.134,-0.207,-0.079
156
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.133,-0.2,-0.082
157
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.121,-0.188,-0.072
158
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.07,-0.114,-0.033
159
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.032,-0.061,-0.005
160
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.043,-0.098,-0.003
161
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.015,-0.044,0.017
162
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.006,-0.025,0.043
163
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.004,-0.049,0.032
164
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.031,-0.001,0.077
166
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.901,0.135,0.008,0.274
167
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.086,0.02,0.183
168
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.091,-0.008,0.204
169
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.069,0.023,0.128
170
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.132,0.065,0.202
171
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.4,0.315,0.503
172
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.287,-0.09
173
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.169,-0.287,-0.092
174
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.157,-0.27,-0.083
 
178
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.091,-0.017
179
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.026,-0.077,0.006
180
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.036,-0.083,0.0
181
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.032,-0.084,0.001
182
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  TiRex,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.107,-0.02,0.236
184
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.057,-0.003,0.138
 
185
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.062,-0.03,0.149
186
+ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.039,0.014,0.065
187
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.104,0.038,0.166
188
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.295,0.476
189
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.31,-0.554,-0.142
 
195
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.173,-0.368,-0.033
196
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.149,-0.333,-0.009
197
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.16,-0.363,-0.031
198
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.25,0.099,0.45,-0.156,-0.378,-0.008
199
  FlowState,TiRex,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.12,-0.308,0.02
200
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.056,-0.154,0.037
 
202
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.051,-0.155,0.045
203
+ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.076,-0.251,0.058
204
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.003,-0.136,0.112
205
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.307,0.147,0.442
206
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.241,-0.386,-0.134
 
212
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.111,-0.202,-0.056
213
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.088,-0.174,-0.036
214
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.501,-0.099,-0.223,-0.019
215
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.094,-0.223,-0.021
216
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.06,-0.159,0.003
217
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.053,-0.038,0.134
218
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
219
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.005,-0.077,0.077
220
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.019,-0.102,0.052
221
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.05,-0.018,0.112
222
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.344,0.211,0.473
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
223
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.247,-0.446,-0.12
224
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.246,-0.466,-0.113
225
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.233,-0.432,-0.103
 
229
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.117,-0.245,-0.014
230
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.093,-0.225,0.01
231
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.104,-0.229,-0.025
232
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.1,-0.256,0.008
233
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.066,-0.176,0.03
234
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.047,0.134
235
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.005,-0.084,0.072
 
236
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.024,-0.116,0.057
238
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.045,-0.057,0.144
239
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.34,0.224,0.444
240
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.218,-0.367,-0.129
241
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.217,-0.371,-0.126
242
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.352,-0.12
243
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.25,-0.088
244
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.109,-0.196,-0.055
245
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.121,-0.202,-0.056
246
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.052
247
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.068,-0.137,-0.027
248
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.13,-0.036
249
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.074,-0.147,-0.023
250
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.041,-0.07,-0.015
251
+ Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.071,-0.062,0.201
252
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.019,-0.054,0.093
253
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.024,-0.061,0.104
254
+ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.425,0.825,0.068,-0.002,0.135
256
+ Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.356,0.268,0.451
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.307,-0.445,-0.194
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.452,-0.191
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.291,-0.429,-0.186
 
263
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.252,-0.101
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.145,-0.225,-0.077
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.157,-0.248,-0.073
266
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.152,-0.253,-0.069
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.116,-0.198,-0.039
268
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.003,-0.127,0.12
269
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.053,-0.126,0.017
 
270
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.048,-0.169,0.054
271
+ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.175,0.575,-0.073,-0.156,0.002
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.309,0.185,0.434
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.891,-1.422,-0.588
 
280
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.693,-1.065,-0.459
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.657,-1.043,-0.414
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-1.003,-0.466
283
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.667,-1.014,-0.459
284
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.909,-0.418
285
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.443,-0.793,-0.172
286
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.523,-0.897,-0.267
 
287
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.516,-0.797,-0.289
288
+ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.552,-0.822,-0.365
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.447,-0.766,-0.228
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -8,12 +8,12 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.076,0.052,0.104
8
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.069,0.154
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.131,0.084,0.178
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.081,0.177
 
11
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.214
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.107,0.265
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.244,0.135,0.358
14
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.13,0.271
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.147,0.292
16
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.156,0.306
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.194,0.323
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.758
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.0,-0.012,0.014
@@ -25,12 +25,12 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.076,0.045,0.113
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.067,0.159
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.083,0.181
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.079,0.184
 
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.217
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.102,0.272
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.244,0.129,0.364
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.129,0.277
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.145,0.297
33
- Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.149,0.311
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.192,0.328
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.759
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.007,-0.021,0.005
@@ -42,12 +42,12 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.069,0.038,0.106
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.064,0.149
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.124,0.08,0.171
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.117,0.072,0.179
 
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.142,0.084,0.212
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.173,0.093,0.266
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.238,0.125,0.356
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.124,0.271
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.212,0.144,0.287
50
- Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.225,0.146,0.305
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.19,0.318
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.664,0.561,0.758
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.061,-0.091,-0.036
@@ -59,12 +59,12 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.02,-0.019,0.047
59
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.034,0.082
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.078,0.049,0.106
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.07,0.023,0.119
 
62
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.097,0.053,0.149
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.129,0.048,0.211
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.198,0.085,0.312
65
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.094,0.211
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.113,0.235
67
- Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.184,0.101,0.256
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.217,0.158,0.27
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.646,0.539,0.743
70
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.162,-0.064
@@ -76,12 +76,12 @@ Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.024,-0.08,0.018
76
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.014,-0.008,0.036
77
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.037,0.012,0.06
78
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.028,-0.025,0.076
 
79
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.056,0.022,0.104
80
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.09,0.005,0.175
81
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.04,0.284
82
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.112,0.064,0.169
83
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.079,0.202
84
- Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.148,0.055,0.221
85
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.182,0.124,0.236
86
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.631,0.52,0.73
87
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.082,-0.116,-0.055
@@ -93,12 +93,12 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.038,0.001,0.085
94
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.059,0.017,0.111
95
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.051,0.017,0.09
 
96
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.078,0.024,0.139
97
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.111,0.053,0.183
98
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.182,0.078,0.296
99
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.133,0.069,0.2
100
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.153,0.085,0.229
101
- Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.168,0.103,0.231
102
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.201,0.134,0.261
103
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.533,0.735
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.182,-0.074
@@ -110,12 +110,12 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.039,-0.093,-0.001
110
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.022,0.009,0.035
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.014,-0.039,0.056
 
113
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.042,0.015,0.077
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.076,-0.009,0.147
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.15,0.028,0.27
116
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.145
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.076,0.181
118
- Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.135,0.047,0.204
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.12,0.218
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.625,0.515,0.726
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.151,-0.216,-0.092
@@ -127,12 +127,12 @@ TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.063,-0.125,-0.017
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.023,-0.037,-0.009
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.55,0.349,0.75,-0.009,-0.07,0.04
 
130
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.02,-0.01,0.064
131
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.055,-0.036,0.135
132
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.13,0.007,0.247
133
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.078,0.043,0.128
134
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.1,0.06,0.155
135
- TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.115,0.021,0.184
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.106,0.197
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.617,0.505,0.72
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.216,-0.088
@@ -144,14 +144,31 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.054,-0.099,-0.017
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.014,-0.059,0.038
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.45,0.25,0.651,0.009,-0.041,0.065
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
147
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.014,0.08
148
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.063,0.005,0.129
149
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.138,0.034,0.263
150
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.038,0.143
151
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.108,0.037,0.192
152
- TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.123,0.058,0.187
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.158,0.095,0.217
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.62,0.519,0.713
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
155
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.273,-0.097
156
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.277,-0.096
157
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.166,-0.27,-0.091
@@ -161,12 +178,12 @@ TiRex,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.085,-0.162,-0.025
161
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.044,-0.083,-0.015
162
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.02,-0.068,0.01
163
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.029,-0.086,0.013
 
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.036,-0.056,0.102
166
  TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.112,-0.021,0.241
167
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.09
168
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.081,0.025,0.153
169
- TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.097,-0.003,0.171
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.073,0.186
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.609,0.499,0.709
172
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.218,-0.361,-0.12
@@ -178,12 +195,12 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.125,-0.223,-0.057
178
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.083,-0.172,0.009
179
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.058,-0.156,0.035
180
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.067,-0.148,-0.006
 
181
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.037,-0.113,0.053
182
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.08,-0.032,0.187
184
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.024,-0.037,0.104
185
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.55,0.3,0.75,0.047,-0.044,0.134
186
- TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.064,-0.012,0.126
187
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.101,0.008,0.193
188
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.594,0.486,0.694
189
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.323,-0.558,-0.156
@@ -195,12 +212,12 @@ FlowState,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.222,-0.421,-0.084
195
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.176,-0.37,-0.029
196
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.15,-0.328,-0.007
197
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.16,-0.356,-0.035
 
198
  FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.127,-0.318,0.02
199
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.086,-0.23,0.031
200
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.06,-0.225,0.076
202
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.035,-0.146,0.074
203
- FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.017,-0.152,0.083
204
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.023,-0.108,0.139
205
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.559,0.424,0.672
206
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.248,-0.371,-0.15
@@ -212,12 +229,12 @@ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.249,-0.074
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.169,-0.065
213
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.085,-0.146,-0.045
214
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.167,-0.039
 
215
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.063,-0.099,-0.03
216
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.025,-0.116,0.035
217
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.057,-0.083,0.184
218
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.024,-0.038,0.084
220
- Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.041,-0.065,0.115
221
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.079,0.017,0.14
222
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.584,0.469,0.689
223
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.278,-0.413,-0.173
@@ -229,31 +246,14 @@ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.181,-0.297,-0.092
229
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.221,-0.082
230
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.111,-0.184,-0.064
231
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.121,-0.237,-0.038
 
232
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.181,-0.026
233
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.45,0.25,0.7,-0.05,-0.155,0.042
234
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.034,-0.08,0.127
235
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.024,-0.091,0.037
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- citras-fm,PatchTST,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.017,-0.092,0.094
238
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.056,-0.001,0.111
239
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.574,0.432,0.693
240
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.442,-0.186
241
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.3,-0.452,-0.175
242
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.291,-0.438,-0.17
243
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.226,-0.344,-0.113
244
- PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.173,-0.284,-0.058
245
- PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.202,-0.3,-0.115
246
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.156,-0.256,-0.049
247
- PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.13,-0.226,-0.022
248
- PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.14,-0.23,-0.061
249
- PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.108,-0.207,0.003
250
- PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.068,-0.144,0.012
251
- PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.017,-0.09,0.132
252
- PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.042,-0.129,0.061
253
- PatchTST,citras-fm,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.018,-0.103,0.084
254
- PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.04,-0.034,0.126
256
- PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.567,0.435,0.68
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.355,-0.477,-0.24
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.354,-0.487,-0.237
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.345,-0.466,-0.235
@@ -263,12 +263,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.352,-0.155
263
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.279,-0.137
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.246,-0.119
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.187,-0.277,-0.105
 
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.229,-0.079
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.112,-0.239,-0.008
268
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.024,-0.161,0.097
269
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.086,-0.162,-0.017
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.06,-0.125,0.001
271
- Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.042,-0.144,0.033
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.549,0.413,0.67
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.001,-3.137,-1.304
@@ -280,11 +280,11 @@ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.772,-2.77,-1.139
280
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.668,-2.646,-1.063
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.608,-2.568,-1.019
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.631,-2.486,-1.077
 
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.556,-2.437,-0.997
284
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.464,-2.271,-0.947
285
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.268,-2.052,-0.736
286
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.405,-2.214,-0.883
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.348,-2.261,-0.762
288
- Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.307,-2.121,-0.769
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.215,-2.027,-0.704
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
8
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.069,0.154
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.131,0.084,0.178
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.081,0.177
11
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.081,0.172
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.214
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.107,0.265
14
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.244,0.135,0.358
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.13,0.271
16
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.147,0.292
 
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.194,0.323
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.758
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.0,-0.012,0.014
 
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.067,0.159
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.083,0.181
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.079,0.184
28
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.082,0.17
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.217
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.102,0.272
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.244,0.129,0.364
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.129,0.277
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.145,0.297
 
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.192,0.328
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.759
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.007,-0.021,0.005
 
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.064,0.149
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.124,0.08,0.171
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.117,0.072,0.179
45
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.118,0.077,0.165
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.142,0.084,0.212
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.173,0.093,0.266
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.238,0.125,0.356
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.124,0.271
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.212,0.144,0.287
 
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.19,0.318
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.664,0.561,0.758
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.061,-0.091,-0.036
 
59
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.034,0.082
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.078,0.049,0.106
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.07,0.023,0.119
62
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.071,0.04,0.106
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.097,0.053,0.149
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.129,0.048,0.211
65
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.198,0.085,0.312
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.094,0.211
67
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.113,0.235
 
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.217,0.158,0.27
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.646,0.539,0.743
70
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.162,-0.064
 
76
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.014,-0.008,0.036
77
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.037,0.012,0.06
78
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.028,-0.025,0.076
79
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.03,0.004,0.056
80
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.056,0.022,0.104
81
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.09,0.005,0.175
82
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.04,0.284
83
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.112,0.064,0.169
84
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.079,0.202
 
85
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.182,0.124,0.236
86
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.631,0.52,0.73
87
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.082,-0.116,-0.055
 
93
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.038,0.001,0.085
94
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.059,0.017,0.111
95
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.051,0.017,0.09
96
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.052,0.01,0.104
97
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.078,0.024,0.139
98
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.111,0.053,0.183
99
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.182,0.078,0.296
100
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.133,0.069,0.2
101
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.153,0.085,0.229
 
102
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.201,0.134,0.261
103
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.533,0.735
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.182,-0.074
 
110
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.022,0.009,0.035
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.014,-0.039,0.056
113
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.015,-0.014,0.039
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.042,0.015,0.077
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.076,-0.009,0.147
116
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.15,0.028,0.27
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.145
118
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.076,0.181
 
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.12,0.218
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.625,0.515,0.726
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.151,-0.216,-0.092
 
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.023,-0.037,-0.009
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.55,0.349,0.75,-0.009,-0.07,0.04
130
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.007,-0.046,0.022
131
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.02,-0.01,0.064
132
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.055,-0.036,0.135
133
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.13,0.007,0.247
134
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.078,0.043,0.128
135
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.1,0.06,0.155
 
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.106,0.197
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.617,0.505,0.72
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.216,-0.088
 
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.014,-0.059,0.038
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.45,0.25,0.651,0.009,-0.041,0.065
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.001,-0.038,0.052
148
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.014,0.08
149
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.063,0.005,0.129
150
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.138,0.034,0.263
151
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.038,0.143
152
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.108,0.037,0.192
 
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.158,0.095,0.217
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.62,0.519,0.713
155
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.142,-0.208,-0.088
156
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.142,-0.205,-0.09
157
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.134,-0.197,-0.083
158
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.077,-0.118,-0.041
159
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.031,-0.06,-0.004
160
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.055,-0.116,-0.01
161
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.016,-0.041,0.014
162
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.007,-0.023,0.044
163
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.001,-0.055,0.037
164
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.027,-0.001,0.067
166
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.062,-0.031,0.15
167
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.136,0.003,0.274
168
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.901,0.084,0.038,0.139
169
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.106,0.045,0.192
170
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.157,0.095,0.219
171
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.619,0.512,0.717
172
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.273,-0.097
173
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.277,-0.096
174
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.166,-0.27,-0.091
 
178
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.044,-0.083,-0.015
179
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.02,-0.068,0.01
180
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.029,-0.086,0.013
181
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.028,-0.072,0.001
182
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.036,-0.056,0.102
184
  TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.112,-0.021,0.241
185
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.09
186
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.081,0.025,0.153
 
187
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.073,0.186
188
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.609,0.499,0.709
189
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.218,-0.361,-0.12
 
195
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.083,-0.172,0.009
196
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.058,-0.156,0.035
197
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.067,-0.148,-0.006
198
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.066,-0.176,0.03
199
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.037,-0.113,0.053
200
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.08,-0.032,0.187
202
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.024,-0.037,0.104
203
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.55,0.3,0.75,0.047,-0.044,0.134
 
204
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.101,0.008,0.193
205
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.594,0.486,0.694
206
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.323,-0.558,-0.156
 
212
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.176,-0.37,-0.029
213
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.15,-0.328,-0.007
214
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.16,-0.356,-0.035
215
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.158,-0.378,-0.003
216
  FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.127,-0.318,0.02
217
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.086,-0.23,0.031
218
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.06,-0.225,0.076
220
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.035,-0.146,0.074
 
221
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.023,-0.108,0.139
222
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.559,0.424,0.672
223
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.248,-0.371,-0.15
 
229
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.169,-0.065
230
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.085,-0.146,-0.045
231
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.167,-0.039
232
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.25,0.099,0.45,-0.092,-0.161,-0.04
233
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.063,-0.099,-0.03
234
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.025,-0.116,0.035
235
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.057,-0.083,0.184
236
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.024,-0.038,0.084
 
238
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.079,0.017,0.14
239
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.584,0.469,0.689
240
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.278,-0.413,-0.173
 
246
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.221,-0.082
247
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.111,-0.184,-0.064
248
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.121,-0.237,-0.038
249
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.119,-0.238,-0.047
250
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.181,-0.026
251
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.45,0.25,0.7,-0.05,-0.155,0.042
252
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.034,-0.08,0.127
253
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.024,-0.091,0.037
254
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
255
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.056,-0.001,0.111
256
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.574,0.432,0.693
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.355,-0.477,-0.24
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.354,-0.487,-0.237
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.345,-0.466,-0.235
 
263
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.279,-0.137
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.246,-0.119
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.187,-0.277,-0.105
266
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.186,-0.28,-0.105
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.229,-0.079
268
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.112,-0.239,-0.008
269
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.024,-0.161,0.097
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.086,-0.162,-0.017
271
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.06,-0.125,0.001
 
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.549,0.413,0.67
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.001,-3.137,-1.304
 
280
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.668,-2.646,-1.063
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.608,-2.568,-1.019
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.631,-2.486,-1.077
283
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.627,-2.533,-1.049
284
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.556,-2.437,-0.997
285
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.464,-2.271,-0.947
286
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.268,-2.052,-0.736
287
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.405,-2.214,-0.883
288
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.348,-2.261,-0.762
 
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.215,-2.027,-0.704
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -9,11 +9,11 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.066,0.193
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.073,0.209
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.086,0.203
11
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.166,0.087,0.257
 
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.079,0.256
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.049,0.245
14
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.198,0.141,0.267
15
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.181,0.116,0.253
16
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.114,0.276
 
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.156,0.302
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.537,0.421,0.654
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.013,-0.034,0.0
@@ -26,11 +26,11 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.062,0.171
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.069,0.184
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.127,0.081,0.191
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.155,0.082,0.239
 
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.157,0.056,0.251
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.128,0.019,0.239
31
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.187,0.136,0.254
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.112,0.232
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.109,0.265
 
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.22,0.152,0.285
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.531,0.419,0.647
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.054,-0.003
@@ -43,11 +43,11 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.106,0.06,0.159
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.115,0.068,0.169
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.076,0.18
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.147,0.08,0.229
 
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.149,0.038,0.248
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.121,-0.004,0.231
48
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.131,0.245
49
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.163,0.112,0.218
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.173,0.108,0.251
 
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.213,0.151,0.275
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.527,0.414,0.642
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.142,-0.03
@@ -60,11 +60,11 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.068,0.042,0.099
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.036,0.118
62
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.102,0.053,0.16
 
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,-0.035,0.209
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.074,-0.075,0.178
65
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.137,0.098,0.186
66
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.119,0.087,0.154
67
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.081,0.192
 
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.171,0.122,0.223
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.502,0.392,0.613
70
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.068,-0.124,-0.023
@@ -77,11 +77,11 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.066,0.005,0.155
77
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.169
78
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.08,0.03,0.14
79
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.032,0.209
 
80
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.111,0.049,0.183
81
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.155
82
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.143,0.087,0.216
83
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.126,0.064,0.212
84
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.136,0.059,0.226
 
85
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.103,0.259
86
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.506,0.388,0.617
87
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.27,-0.056
@@ -94,11 +94,11 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.55,0.95,-0.0,-0.046,0.03
94
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.01,-0.05,0.046
95
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.016,-0.049,0.069
96
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,-0.002,0.1
 
97
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.12,0.172
98
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.016,-0.189,0.136
99
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.083,0.012,0.143
100
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.064,0.008,0.105
101
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.014,0.139
 
102
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.12,0.051,0.182
103
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.58
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.239,-0.07
@@ -111,11 +111,11 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.01,-0.012,0.033
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.016,-0.025,0.049
113
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.047,0.016,0.086
 
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.109,0.156
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.017,-0.155,0.119
116
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.083,0.042,0.126
117
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.064,0.043,0.086
118
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
 
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.077,0.168
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.364,0.579
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.155,-0.264,-0.079
@@ -128,11 +128,11 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.01,-0.034,0.012
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.006,-0.055,0.053
130
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.037,0.003,0.082
 
131
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.039,-0.135,0.155
132
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.006,-0.176,0.12
133
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.074,0.027,0.122
134
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.055,0.037,0.074
135
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.066,0.026,0.12
 
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.111,0.066,0.165
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.466,0.355,0.579
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.161,-0.255,-0.094
@@ -145,11 +145,11 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.016,-0.052,0.025
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.006,-0.056,0.052
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.031,-0.009,0.083
 
148
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.033,-0.09,0.123
149
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.001,-0.121,0.081
150
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.068,0.034,0.105
151
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.049,0.011,0.098
152
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.06,0.024,0.101
 
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.065,0.148
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.364,0.568
155
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.199,-0.346,-0.095
@@ -162,13 +162,30 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.049,-0.094,-0.016
162
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.038,-0.09,-0.003
163
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.032,-0.091,0.009
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
165
  TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.002,-0.176,0.116
166
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.901,-0.031,-0.219,0.065
167
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,-0.012,0.083
168
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.019,-0.018,0.044
169
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.03,0.004,0.056
 
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.124
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.445,0.35,0.545
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
172
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.201,-0.344,-0.085
173
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.186,-0.335,-0.059
174
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.175,-0.33,-0.04
@@ -179,11 +196,11 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.051,-0.185,0.099
179
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.04,-0.183,0.119
180
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.035,-0.141,0.083
181
  FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.002,-0.131,0.149
 
182
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.034,-0.124,0.05
184
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.036,-0.086,0.162
185
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.016,-0.107,0.162
186
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.028,-0.093,0.164
 
187
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.851,0.075,-0.004,0.187
188
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.444,0.326,0.558
189
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.162,-0.325,-0.051
@@ -196,47 +213,13 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.017,-0.135,0.134
196
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.006,-0.137,0.15
197
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.001,-0.088,0.108
198
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.25,0.099,0.45,0.03,-0.07,0.179
 
199
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.033,-0.052,0.11
200
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.068,-0.013,0.181
202
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.6,0.399,0.8,0.049,-0.067,0.19
203
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.026,0.187
 
204
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.105,-0.001,0.226
205
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.342,0.578
206
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.246,-0.363,-0.164
207
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.23,-0.341,-0.157
208
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.324,-0.151
209
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.158,-0.228,-0.109
210
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.167,-0.275,-0.095
211
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.091,-0.166,-0.012
212
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.091,-0.145,-0.043
213
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.08,-0.139,-0.028
214
- TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.073,-0.118,-0.035
215
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.04,-0.091,0.012
216
- TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.038,-0.193,0.079
217
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.073,-0.221,0.013
218
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.45,0.249,0.65,-0.02,-0.075,0.029
220
- TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.2,0.65,-0.009,-0.056,0.034
221
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.04,-0.028,0.105
222
- TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.423,0.304,0.541
223
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.221,-0.338,-0.132
224
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.205,-0.303,-0.127
225
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.195,-0.278,-0.126
226
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.135,-0.182,-0.095
227
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.144,-0.27,-0.068
228
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.069,-0.118,-0.008
229
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.069,-0.095,-0.045
230
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.058,-0.08,-0.039
231
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.052,-0.109,-0.011
232
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.019,-0.046,0.018
233
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.017,-0.193,0.097
234
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.601,-0.051,-0.235,0.063
235
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.751,0.02,-0.03,0.07
236
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.012,-0.026,0.059
238
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.059,0.024,0.105
239
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.435,0.322,0.551
240
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.382,-0.129
241
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.36,-0.122
242
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.209,-0.335,-0.121
@@ -247,13 +230,30 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
247
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.07,-0.136,-0.027
248
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.064,-0.112,-0.025
249
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.031,-0.06,-0.004
 
250
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.029,-0.197,0.085
251
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.23,0.026
252
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.8,0.008,-0.035,0.053
253
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.012,-0.063,0.025
254
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
255
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.048,0.003,0.096
256
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.428,0.333,0.532
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.433,-0.184
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.281,-0.399,-0.179
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.271,-0.38,-0.178
@@ -264,11 +264,11 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.201,-0.083
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.125,-0.197,-0.071
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.174,-0.069
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.083,-0.141,-0.031
 
267
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.081,-0.231,0.004
268
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.117,-0.293,0.001
269
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.042,-0.117,0.028
270
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.063,-0.117,-0.024
271
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.106,-0.003
 
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.399,0.295,0.512
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.16,-1.888,-0.726
@@ -281,10 +281,10 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.89,-1.375,-0.572
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.871,-1.377,-0.55
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.86,-1.313,-0.572
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.802,-1.198,-0.539
 
284
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.798,-1.26,-0.483
285
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.859,-1.369,-0.521
286
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.733,-1.18,-0.436
287
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.769,-1.227,-0.475
288
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.748,-1.138,-0.499
 
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.664,-1.049,-0.418
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.073,0.209
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.086,0.203
11
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.166,0.087,0.257
12
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.144,0.086,0.219
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.079,0.256
14
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.049,0.245
 
 
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.114,0.276
16
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.181,0.116,0.253
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.156,0.302
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.537,0.421,0.654
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.013,-0.034,0.0
 
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.069,0.184
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.127,0.081,0.191
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.155,0.082,0.239
29
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.133,0.082,0.193
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.157,0.056,0.251
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.128,0.019,0.239
 
 
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.109,0.265
33
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.112,0.232
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.22,0.152,0.285
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.531,0.419,0.647
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.054,-0.003
 
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.115,0.068,0.169
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.076,0.18
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.147,0.08,0.229
46
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.079,0.176
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.149,0.038,0.248
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.121,-0.004,0.231
 
 
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.173,0.108,0.251
50
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.163,0.112,0.218
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.213,0.151,0.275
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.527,0.414,0.642
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.142,-0.03
 
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.068,0.042,0.099
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.036,0.118
62
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.102,0.053,0.16
63
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.079,0.05,0.11
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,-0.035,0.209
65
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.074,-0.075,0.178
 
 
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.081,0.192
67
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.119,0.087,0.154
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.171,0.122,0.223
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.502,0.392,0.613
70
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.068,-0.124,-0.023
 
77
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.169
78
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.08,0.03,0.14
79
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.032,0.209
80
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.029,0.175
81
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.111,0.049,0.183
82
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.155
 
 
83
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.136,0.059,0.226
84
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.126,0.064,0.212
85
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.103,0.259
86
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.506,0.388,0.617
87
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.27,-0.056
 
94
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.01,-0.05,0.046
95
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.016,-0.049,0.069
96
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,-0.002,0.1
97
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.022,-0.02,0.054
98
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.12,0.172
99
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.016,-0.189,0.136
 
 
100
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.014,0.139
101
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.064,0.008,0.105
102
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.12,0.051,0.182
103
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.58
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.239,-0.07
 
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.01,-0.012,0.033
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.016,-0.025,0.049
113
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.047,0.016,0.086
114
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.022,0.0,0.042
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.109,0.156
116
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.017,-0.155,0.119
 
 
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
118
+ Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.064,0.043,0.086
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.077,0.168
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.364,0.579
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.155,-0.264,-0.079
 
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.006,-0.055,0.053
130
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.037,0.003,0.082
131
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.012,-0.013,0.038
132
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.039,-0.135,0.155
133
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.006,-0.176,0.12
 
 
134
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.066,0.026,0.12
135
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.055,0.037,0.074
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.111,0.066,0.165
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.466,0.355,0.579
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.161,-0.255,-0.094
 
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.006,-0.056,0.052
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.031,-0.009,0.083
148
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.006,-0.033,0.051
149
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.033,-0.09,0.123
150
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.001,-0.121,0.081
 
 
151
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.06,0.024,0.101
152
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.049,0.011,0.098
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.065,0.148
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.364,0.568
155
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.199,-0.346,-0.095
 
162
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.038,-0.09,-0.003
163
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.032,-0.091,0.009
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.026,-0.071,0.004
166
  TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.002,-0.176,0.116
167
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.901,-0.031,-0.219,0.065
 
 
168
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.03,0.004,0.056
169
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.019,-0.018,0.044
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.124
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.445,0.35,0.545
172
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.168,-0.28,-0.094
173
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.239,-0.09
174
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.213,-0.086
175
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.086,-0.124,-0.053
176
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.212,-0.03
177
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.022,-0.057,0.02
178
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.022,-0.044,-0.0
179
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.012,-0.04,0.013
180
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.006,-0.054,0.032
181
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.025,-0.004,0.066
182
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.133,0.132
184
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,-0.005,-0.182,0.104
185
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.055,0.019,0.107
186
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.044,0.021,0.068
187
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.1,0.058,0.146
188
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.459,0.355,0.568
189
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.201,-0.344,-0.085
190
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.186,-0.335,-0.059
191
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.175,-0.33,-0.04
 
196
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.04,-0.183,0.119
197
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.035,-0.141,0.083
198
  FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.002,-0.131,0.149
199
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.152,0.117
200
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.034,-0.124,0.05
 
 
202
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.028,-0.093,0.164
203
+ FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.016,-0.107,0.162
204
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.851,0.075,-0.004,0.187
205
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.444,0.326,0.558
206
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.162,-0.325,-0.051
 
213
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.006,-0.137,0.15
214
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.001,-0.088,0.108
215
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.25,0.099,0.45,0.03,-0.07,0.179
216
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.25,0.05,0.45,0.005,-0.116,0.154
217
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.033,-0.052,0.11
218
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
219
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.026,0.187
220
+ TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.6,0.399,0.8,0.049,-0.067,0.19
221
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.105,-0.001,0.226
222
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.342,0.578
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
223
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.382,-0.129
224
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.36,-0.122
225
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.209,-0.335,-0.121
 
230
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.07,-0.136,-0.027
231
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.064,-0.112,-0.025
232
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.031,-0.06,-0.004
233
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.058,-0.12,-0.02
234
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.029,-0.197,0.085
235
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.23,0.026
 
 
236
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.012,-0.063,0.025
238
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.048,0.003,0.096
239
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.428,0.333,0.532
240
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.221,-0.338,-0.132
241
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.205,-0.303,-0.127
242
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.195,-0.278,-0.126
243
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.135,-0.182,-0.095
244
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.144,-0.27,-0.068
245
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.069,-0.118,-0.008
246
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.069,-0.095,-0.045
247
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.058,-0.08,-0.039
248
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.052,-0.109,-0.011
249
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.019,-0.046,0.018
250
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.046,-0.074,-0.021
251
+ citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.017,-0.193,0.097
252
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.601,-0.051,-0.235,0.063
253
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.012,-0.026,0.059
254
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.059,0.024,0.105
256
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.435,0.322,0.551
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.433,-0.184
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.281,-0.399,-0.179
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.271,-0.38,-0.178
 
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.125,-0.197,-0.071
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.174,-0.069
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.083,-0.141,-0.031
267
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.112,-0.171,-0.062
268
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.081,-0.231,0.004
269
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.117,-0.293,0.001
 
 
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.106,-0.003
271
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.063,-0.117,-0.024
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.399,0.295,0.512
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.16,-1.888,-0.726
 
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.871,-1.377,-0.55
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.86,-1.313,-0.572
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.802,-1.198,-0.539
284
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.849,-1.313,-0.551
285
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.798,-1.26,-0.483
286
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.859,-1.369,-0.521
 
 
287
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.748,-1.138,-0.499
288
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.769,-1.227,-0.475
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.664,-1.049,-0.418
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -8,12 +8,12 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.058,0.225
8
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.069,0.205
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.077,0.222
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.204
 
11
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.091,0.263
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.047,0.222
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.171,0.084,0.255
14
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.204,0.129,0.288
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.206,0.141,0.289
16
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.124,0.326
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.26,0.189,0.332
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.69,0.609,0.766
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.009,-0.027,0.004
@@ -25,12 +25,12 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.121,0.056,0.205
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.068,0.187
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.132,0.076,0.205
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.138,0.091,0.191
 
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.161,0.088,0.248
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.025,0.223
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.163,0.068,0.254
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.197,0.125,0.279
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.138,0.27
33
- Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.224,0.107,0.322
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.186,0.32
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.688,0.607,0.763
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.02,-0.056,0.002
@@ -42,12 +42,12 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.054,0.181
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.112,0.065,0.165
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.074,0.182
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.128,0.087,0.182
 
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.152,0.086,0.227
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,-0.005,0.22
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.154,0.045,0.251
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.188,0.124,0.259
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.19,0.137,0.25
50
- Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.216,0.083,0.318
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.185,0.304
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.684,0.602,0.763
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.133,-0.034
@@ -59,12 +59,12 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.065,0.023,0.123
59
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.036,0.1
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.044,0.12
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.084,0.052,0.121
 
62
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.108,0.057,0.168
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.068,-0.074,0.168
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.111,-0.022,0.213
65
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.205
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.149,0.106,0.195
67
- Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.176,0.029,0.281
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.206,0.157,0.257
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.668,0.584,0.745
70
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.068,-0.107,-0.03
@@ -76,12 +76,12 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.07,-0.014,0.185
76
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.071,0.004,0.171
77
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.082,0.016,0.185
78
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.088,0.033,0.155
 
79
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.113,0.032,0.222
80
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.072,0.011,0.147
81
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.115,0.05,0.188
82
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.151,0.066,0.248
83
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.153,0.085,0.251
84
- Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.18,0.08,0.27
85
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.21,0.134,0.3
86
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.669,0.582,0.746
87
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.148,-0.291,-0.061
@@ -93,12 +93,12 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.001,-0.04,0.028
94
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.013,-0.041,0.047
95
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.02,-0.047,0.073
 
96
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.0,0.095
97
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.003,-0.211,0.127
98
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.049,-0.131,0.178
99
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
100
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.089,0.033,0.131
101
- Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.118,-0.078,0.246
102
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.089,0.21
103
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.645,0.563,0.725
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.258,-0.075
@@ -110,12 +110,12 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.029,0.038
110
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.012,-0.009,0.034
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.028,0.056
 
113
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.045,0.016,0.082
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.002,-0.182,0.109
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.048,-0.128,0.162
116
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.049,0.128
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.088,0.061,0.117
118
- Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.117,-0.066,0.232
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.107,0.197
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.559,0.727
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.163,-0.286,-0.084
@@ -127,12 +127,12 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.013,-0.049,0.039
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.012,-0.035,0.009
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.007,-0.056,0.053
 
130
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.034,0.004,0.075
131
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.6,0.9,-0.01,-0.207,0.11
132
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.036,-0.151,0.155
133
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
134
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.06,0.098
135
- TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,-0.096,0.232
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.099,0.185
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.64,0.55,0.728
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.171,-0.256,-0.105
@@ -144,14 +144,31 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.02,-0.079,0.045
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.019,-0.059,0.027
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.007,-0.056,0.053
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
147
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.027,-0.018,0.086
148
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.017,-0.149,0.071
149
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.03,-0.104,0.121
150
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.069,0.028,0.116
151
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.071,0.023,0.131
152
- TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.1,-0.044,0.208
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.134,0.092,0.179
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.638,0.557,0.714
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
155
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.203,-0.356,-0.1
156
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.192,-0.33,-0.096
157
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.179,-0.294,-0.094
@@ -161,12 +178,12 @@ TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.105,-0.0
161
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.047,-0.089,-0.016
162
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.035,-0.081,-0.004
163
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.095,0.018
 
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,-0.045,-0.247,0.06
166
  TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.003,-0.19,0.122
167
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.043,0.019,0.07
168
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.072
169
- TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.075,-0.133,0.211
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.11,0.064,0.155
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.627,0.54,0.71
172
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.151,-0.285,-0.049
@@ -178,12 +195,12 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.003,-0.146,0.175
178
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.002,-0.123,0.154
179
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.25,0.1,0.4,0.01,-0.124,0.172
180
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.017,-0.077,0.13
 
181
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,0.043,-0.064,0.198
182
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.046,-0.042,0.123
184
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.399,0.8,0.084,-0.013,0.224
185
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.087,-0.036,0.236
186
- TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.115,0.011,0.208
187
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.148,0.036,0.276
188
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.549,0.724
189
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.206,-0.343,-0.092
@@ -195,12 +212,12 @@ FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.217,0.116
195
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.05,-0.194,0.113
196
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.037,-0.184,0.131
197
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.03,-0.137,0.094
 
198
  FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.003,-0.139,0.159
199
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.048,-0.141,0.04
200
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.04,-0.089,0.189
202
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.043,-0.092,0.201
203
- FlowState,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.073,-0.056,0.185
204
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.107,0.023,0.228
205
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.626,0.538,0.704
206
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.257,-0.404,-0.148
@@ -212,12 +229,12 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.095,-0.17,-0.03
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.147,-0.052
213
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
214
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.074,-0.131,-0.029
 
215
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.044,-0.075,-0.02
216
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.601,-0.092,-0.288,0.013
217
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.042,-0.233,0.082
218
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.003,-0.048,0.042
220
- Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.034,-0.175,0.172
221
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.699,0.975,0.07,0.023,0.118
222
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.611,0.523,0.693
223
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.26,-0.406,-0.164
@@ -229,31 +246,14 @@ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.098,-0.151,-0.034
229
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.097,-0.133,-0.065
230
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.084,-0.109,-0.064
231
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.077,-0.15,-0.024
 
232
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.047,-0.078,-0.007
233
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.095,-0.309,0.035
234
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.045,-0.252,0.084
235
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.003,-0.044,0.046
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- citras-fm,PatchTST,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.031,-0.192,0.171
238
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.067,0.03,0.115
239
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.61,0.511,0.705
240
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.483,-0.142
241
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.289,-0.474,-0.119
242
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.275,-0.467,-0.091
243
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.213,-0.392,-0.029
244
- PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.219,-0.369,-0.087
245
- PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.134,-0.327,0.072
246
- PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.133,-0.303,0.062
247
- PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.119,-0.302,0.088
248
- PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.112,-0.262,0.042
249
- PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.081,-0.267,0.118
250
- PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.13,-0.262,-0.011
251
- PatchTST,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.079,-0.227,0.053
252
- PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.035,-0.208,0.149
253
- PatchTST,citras-fm,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.032,-0.207,0.161
254
- PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.037,-0.124,0.209
256
- PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.597,0.477,0.698
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.351,-0.498,-0.233
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.471,-0.228
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.437,-0.227
@@ -263,12 +263,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.267,-0.098
263
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.246,-0.12
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.227,-0.11
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.218,-0.101
 
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.123,-0.183,-0.069
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.174,-0.382,-0.037
268
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.12,-0.295,-0.023
269
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.025,0.301,-0.075,-0.134,-0.024
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.072,-0.13,-0.031
271
- Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.039,-0.264,0.11
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.582,0.486,0.675
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.229,-3.277,-1.556
@@ -280,11 +280,11 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.814,-2.639,-1.287
280
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.811,-2.664,-1.269
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.778,-2.67,-1.221
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.759,-2.495,-1.259
 
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.684,-2.448,-1.175
284
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.806,-2.622,-1.215
285
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.677,-2.381,-1.163
286
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.57,-2.259,-1.095
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.563,-2.394,-1.044
288
- Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.482,-2.307,-0.914
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.39,-2.073,-0.945
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
8
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.069,0.205
9
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.077,0.222
10
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.204
11
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.147,0.088,0.228
12
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.091,0.263
13
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.047,0.222
14
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.171,0.084,0.255
15
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.204,0.129,0.288
16
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.206,0.141,0.289
 
17
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.26,0.189,0.332
18
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.69,0.609,0.766
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.009,-0.027,0.004
 
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.068,0.187
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.132,0.076,0.205
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.138,0.091,0.191
28
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.086,0.209
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.161,0.088,0.248
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.025,0.223
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.163,0.068,0.254
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.197,0.125,0.279
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.138,0.27
 
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.186,0.32
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.688,0.607,0.763
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.02,-0.056,0.002
 
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.112,0.065,0.165
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.074,0.182
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.128,0.087,0.182
45
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.083,0.188
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.152,0.086,0.227
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,-0.005,0.22
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.154,0.045,0.251
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.188,0.124,0.259
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.19,0.137,0.25
 
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.185,0.304
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.684,0.602,0.763
53
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.133,-0.034
 
59
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.036,0.1
60
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.044,0.12
61
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.084,0.052,0.121
62
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.085,0.052,0.126
63
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.108,0.057,0.168
64
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.068,-0.074,0.168
65
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.111,-0.022,0.213
66
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.205
67
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.149,0.106,0.195
 
68
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.206,0.157,0.257
69
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.668,0.584,0.745
70
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.068,-0.107,-0.03
 
76
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.071,0.004,0.171
77
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.082,0.016,0.185
78
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.088,0.033,0.155
79
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.09,0.026,0.189
80
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.113,0.032,0.222
81
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.072,0.011,0.147
82
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.115,0.05,0.188
83
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.151,0.066,0.248
84
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.153,0.085,0.251
 
85
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.21,0.134,0.3
86
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.669,0.582,0.746
87
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.148,-0.291,-0.061
 
93
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.001,-0.04,0.028
94
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.013,-0.041,0.047
95
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.02,-0.047,0.073
96
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.022,-0.018,0.052
97
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.0,0.095
98
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.003,-0.211,0.127
99
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.049,-0.131,0.178
100
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
101
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.089,0.033,0.131
 
102
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.089,0.21
103
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.645,0.563,0.725
104
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.258,-0.075
 
110
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.012,-0.009,0.034
112
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.028,0.056
113
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.021,0.0,0.04
114
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.045,0.016,0.082
115
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.002,-0.182,0.109
116
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.048,-0.128,0.162
117
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.049,0.128
118
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.088,0.061,0.117
 
119
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.107,0.197
120
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.559,0.727
121
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.163,-0.286,-0.084
 
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.012,-0.035,0.009
128
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.007,-0.056,0.053
130
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.009,-0.011,0.03
131
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.034,0.004,0.075
132
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.6,0.9,-0.01,-0.207,0.11
133
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.036,-0.151,0.155
134
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
135
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.06,0.098
 
136
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.099,0.185
137
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.64,0.55,0.728
138
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.171,-0.256,-0.105
 
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.019,-0.059,0.027
145
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.007,-0.056,0.053
146
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.55,0.3,0.75,0.002,-0.039,0.052
148
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.027,-0.018,0.086
149
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.017,-0.149,0.071
150
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.03,-0.104,0.121
151
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.069,0.028,0.116
152
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.071,0.023,0.131
 
153
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.134,0.092,0.179
154
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.638,0.557,0.714
155
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.173,-0.296,-0.096
156
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.264,-0.095
157
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.15,-0.232,-0.091
158
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.093,-0.144,-0.055
159
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.099,-0.234,-0.027
160
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.022,-0.055,0.018
161
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.021,-0.041,-0.0
162
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.009,-0.031,0.011
163
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.45,0.25,0.7,-0.002,-0.055,0.037
164
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.025,-0.001,0.061
166
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,-0.019,-0.211,0.095
167
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.028,-0.153,0.141
168
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.067,0.032,0.109
169
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.069,0.044,0.098
170
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.132,0.093,0.176
171
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.637,0.552,0.72
172
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.203,-0.356,-0.1
173
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.192,-0.33,-0.096
174
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.179,-0.294,-0.094
 
178
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.047,-0.089,-0.016
179
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.035,-0.081,-0.004
180
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.095,0.018
181
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.026,-0.065,0.001
182
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,-0.045,-0.247,0.06
184
  TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.003,-0.19,0.122
185
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.043,0.019,0.07
186
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.072
 
187
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.11,0.064,0.155
188
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.627,0.54,0.71
189
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.151,-0.285,-0.049
 
195
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.002,-0.123,0.154
196
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.25,0.1,0.4,0.01,-0.124,0.172
197
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.017,-0.077,0.13
198
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.25,0.05,0.45,0.019,-0.105,0.174
199
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,0.043,-0.064,0.198
200
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.046,-0.042,0.123
202
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.399,0.8,0.084,-0.013,0.224
203
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.087,-0.036,0.236
 
204
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.148,0.036,0.276
205
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.549,0.724
206
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.206,-0.343,-0.092
 
212
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.05,-0.194,0.113
213
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.037,-0.184,0.131
214
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.03,-0.137,0.094
215
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.028,-0.164,0.132
216
  FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.003,-0.139,0.159
217
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.048,-0.141,0.04
218
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.04,-0.089,0.189
220
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.043,-0.092,0.201
 
221
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.107,0.023,0.228
222
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.626,0.538,0.704
223
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.257,-0.404,-0.148
 
229
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.147,-0.052
230
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
231
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.074,-0.131,-0.029
232
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.071,-0.122,-0.033
233
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.044,-0.075,-0.02
234
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.601,-0.092,-0.288,0.013
235
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.042,-0.233,0.082
236
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.003,-0.048,0.042
 
238
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.699,0.975,0.07,0.023,0.118
239
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.611,0.523,0.693
240
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.26,-0.406,-0.164
 
246
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.097,-0.133,-0.065
247
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.084,-0.109,-0.064
248
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.077,-0.15,-0.024
249
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.074,-0.109,-0.046
250
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.047,-0.078,-0.007
251
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.095,-0.309,0.035
252
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.045,-0.252,0.084
253
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.003,-0.044,0.046
254
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
255
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.067,0.03,0.115
256
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.61,0.511,0.705
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.351,-0.498,-0.233
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.471,-0.228
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.437,-0.227
 
263
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.246,-0.12
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.227,-0.11
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.218,-0.101
266
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.152,-0.214,-0.102
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.123,-0.183,-0.069
268
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.174,-0.382,-0.037
269
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.12,-0.295,-0.023
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.025,0.301,-0.075,-0.134,-0.024
271
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.072,-0.13,-0.031
 
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.582,0.486,0.675
274
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.229,-3.277,-1.556
 
280
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.811,-2.664,-1.269
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.778,-2.67,-1.221
282
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.759,-2.495,-1.259
283
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.753,-2.574,-1.232
284
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.684,-2.448,-1.175
285
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.806,-2.622,-1.215
286
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.677,-2.381,-1.163
287
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.57,-2.259,-1.095
288
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.563,-2.394,-1.044
 
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.39,-2.073,-0.945
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,89.58333333333333,40.553930524399625,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
- Stat. Ensemble,78.86904761904762,38.47702197421158,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-22m,74.99999999999999,37.883510512986405,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-1B,73.2142857142857,37.647796213911036,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-313m,70.83333333333334,37.637104246897856,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,70.5357142857143,37.649421436010044,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,67.85714285714288,36.87592044073875,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
9
- Chronos-2,67.85714285714286,36.307128273958256,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
10
- LightGBM,66.07142857142854,36.739370201928836,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
11
- AutoETS,63.39285714285713,35.908870624227376,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
12
- FlowState,62.20238095238094,35.21482359572895,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
13
- CatBoost,61.011904761904766,35.982559330359685,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
14
- Toto-2.0-4m,56.250000000000014,35.180832137280916,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-1.0,55.952380952380956,32.41516602344565,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
16
- citras-fm,52.976190476190474,34.02322385198361,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
17
- AutoARIMA,51.78571428571429,33.893658085803416,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
18
- TabPFN-TS,48.51190476190476,34.19057001716027,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
19
- AutoTheta,47.916666666666664,32.52926186802178,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
20
- TimesFM-2.5,45.833333333333336,32.83344751489832,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
21
- Drift,45.83333333333333,29.639454067966152,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
22
- TabPFN-TS-3,36.01190476190476,28.575629786307356,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
23
- Chronos-Bolt,35.41666666666667,30.133730029400986,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
24
- Moirai-2.0,35.41666666666667,28.236498726126015,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
25
- DeepAR,27.38095238095238,24.302560020818376,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
26
- Sundial-Base,19.047619047619044,19.70951503418047,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
27
- PatchTST,14.285714285714285,15.279108700450617,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
28
- Naive,13.095238095238098,15.593612422240255,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
29
- TFT,10.714285714285717,9.838087249658834,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
30
- Seasonal Naive,7.142857142857142,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,89.36781609195403,40.553930524399625,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
+ Stat. Ensemble,78.73563218390805,38.47702197421158,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-22m,75.28735632183907,37.883510512986405,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-1B,73.5632183908046,37.647796213911036,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-313m,71.26436781609196,37.637104246897856,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,70.97701149425289,37.649421436010044,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex,67.816091954023,36.87592044073875,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
9
+ Chronos-2,67.81609195402298,36.307128273958256,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
10
+ LightGBM,66.09195402298849,36.739370201928836,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
11
+ AutoETS,63.50574712643677,35.908870624227376,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
12
+ FlowState,62.06896551724137,35.21482359572895,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
13
+ CatBoost,60.91954022988505,35.982559330359685,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
14
+ Toto-2.0-4m,56.32183908045978,35.180832137280916,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
15
+ Toto-1.0,56.03448275862068,32.41516602344565,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
16
+ citras-fm,53.44827586206896,34.02322385198361,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
17
+ AutoARIMA,51.72413793103448,33.893658085803416,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS,48.85057471264368,34.19057001716027,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
19
+ AutoTheta,48.275862068965516,32.52926186802178,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
20
+ TimesFM-2.5,46.264367816091955,32.83344751489832,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
21
+ Drift,45.97701149425287,29.639454067966152,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
22
+ TS-ICL,45.11494252873563,29.501972032987776,0.0,0.8407145490361518,0.0,0.0
23
+ TabPFN-TS-3,36.49425287356321,28.575629786307356,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
24
+ Chronos-Bolt,35.63218390804598,30.133730029400986,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
25
+ Moirai-2.0,35.632183908045974,28.236498726126015,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
26
+ DeepAR,27.298850574712645,24.302560020818376,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
27
+ Sundial-Base,19.252873563218387,19.70951503418047,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
28
+ PatchTST,14.367816091954023,15.279108700450617,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
29
+ Naive,13.505747126436784,15.593612422240255,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
30
+ TFT,10.919540229885058,9.838087249658834,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
31
+ Seasonal Naive,7.471264367816091,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,92.85714285714286,41.37587435805797,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.27380952380952,38.54527045088485,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
4
- Chronos-2,77.97619047619048,37.73601252203713,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-1B,77.97619047619048,38.30540837943911,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-313m,77.67857142857143,38.27714813601945,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-22m,77.67857142857143,38.28322277552283,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,77.38095238095238,38.16787226217255,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
9
- Stat. Ensemble,69.9404761904762,37.119576639717835,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
10
- FlowState,65.77380952380952,35.273957411546085,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
11
- Toto-2.0-4m,62.5,35.90432755342822,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
12
- citras-fm,61.30952380952381,35.245938628620046,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-1.0,59.523809523809526,33.496371356107844,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
14
- TabPFN-TS,58.92857142857143,35.173459448094114,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
15
- AutoETS,55.952380952380956,29.18586393990128,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
16
- TimesFM-2.5,50.000000000000014,32.772070331944484,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
17
- AutoARIMA,48.214285714285715,31.72145242450589,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
18
- Chronos-Bolt,46.42857142857144,31.81815534740079,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
19
- Moirai-2.0,39.88095238095238,29.079628766325204,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
20
- AutoTheta,39.285714285714285,29.61896808086114,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
21
- TabPFN-TS-3,38.98809523809524,29.19971717461506,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
22
- Drift,38.69047619047619,25.58270375016218,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
23
- DeepAR,36.60714285714285,25.12762288287479,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
24
- LightGBM,27.083333333333332,24.325044506495818,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
25
- CatBoost,22.321428571428566,23.419716355230047,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
26
- PatchTST,19.345238095238095,16.930294384775955,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
27
- Sundial-Base,15.178571428571427,14.510260955147846,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
28
- Naive,13.690476190476192,11.510640002523509,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
29
- TFT,13.095238095238097,9.329379481293765,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
30
- Seasonal Naive,7.440476190476189,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,92.81609195402298,41.37587435805797,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.44827586206895,38.54527045088485,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-1B,78.16091954022988,38.30540837943911,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,77.8735632183908,38.27714813601945,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-22m,77.8735632183908,38.28322277552283,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
7
+ TiRex,77.58620689655173,38.16787226217255,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
8
+ Chronos-2,77.58620689655172,37.73601252203713,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
9
+ Stat. Ensemble,69.82758620689656,37.119576639717835,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
10
+ FlowState,65.80459770114942,35.273957411546085,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
11
+ Toto-2.0-4m,62.93103448275862,35.90432755342822,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
12
+ citras-fm,62.068965517241395,35.245938628620046,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-1.0,59.482758620689644,33.496371356107844,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
14
+ TabPFN-TS,59.19540229885059,35.173459448094114,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
15
+ AutoETS,55.7471264367816,29.18586393990128,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
16
+ TimesFM-2.5,50.28735632183909,32.772070331944484,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
17
+ AutoARIMA,48.275862068965516,31.72145242450589,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
18
+ Chronos-Bolt,46.264367816091955,31.81815534740079,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
19
+ TS-ICL,45.68965517241379,29.358753198562194,0.0,0.8407145490361518,0.0,0.0
20
+ Moirai-2.0,40.22988505747126,29.079628766325204,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
21
+ TabPFN-TS-3,39.36781609195403,29.19971717461506,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
22
+ AutoTheta,39.367816091954026,29.61896808086114,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
23
+ Drift,38.793103448275865,25.58270375016218,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
24
+ DeepAR,37.068965517241374,25.12762288287479,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
25
+ LightGBM,27.29885057471264,24.325044506495818,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
26
+ CatBoost,22.413793103448274,23.419716355230047,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
27
+ PatchTST,19.54022988505747,16.930294384775955,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
28
+ Sundial-Base,14.942528735632182,14.510260955147846,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
29
+ Naive,13.793103448275861,11.510640002523509,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
30
+ TFT,13.218390804597702,9.329379481293765,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
31
+ Seasonal Naive,8.045977011494253,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,88.0952380952381,42.13247790984753,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,79.76190476190477,38.80502192761649,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.57142857142857,39.10703314170318,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-313m,74.70238095238095,38.257695402459,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-22m,71.13095238095238,37.906655236674865,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
7
- TiRex,68.45238095238095,37.758720587285445,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
8
- Stat. Ensemble,63.6904761904762,38.177219528557146,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
9
- Chronos-2,63.09523809523808,36.558735189016225,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
10
- TimesFM-2.5,58.92857142857143,35.89256072267927,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
11
- Toto-1.0,58.63095238095239,33.97875884401389,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
12
- TabPFN-TS,57.73809523809524,36.531743334435674,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
13
- FlowState,56.547619047619044,37.645403955852096,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
14
- citras-fm,55.654761904761905,34.4896707490341,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
15
- CatBoost,55.0595238095238,35.20082715344605,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,53.273809523809526,33.31225235226658,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
17
- AutoETS,53.27380952380951,34.84116662551825,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
18
- LightGBM,51.488095238095234,35.02206834104291,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
19
- AutoARIMA,48.51190476190476,35.732170334358024,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
20
- Chronos-Bolt,44.94047619047619,30.478143266802604,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
21
- TabPFN-TS-3,44.345238095238095,29.457560079978773,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
22
- Moirai-2.0,43.154761904761905,28.277512977220987,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
23
- AutoTheta,41.66666666666666,31.812923074763923,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
24
- Drift,41.36904761904761,28.435824921980835,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
25
- Naive,19.345238095238095,15.872310498117715,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
26
- Sundial-Base,18.45238095238095,17.737235971841127,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
27
- PatchTST,17.261904761904763,15.619782622761335,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
28
- DeepAR,17.26190476190476,19.60425306556468,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
29
- TFT,14.880952380952378,6.946074243338563,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
30
- Seasonal Naive,10.714285714285717,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,88.50574712643679,42.13247790984753,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,80.45977011494254,38.80502192761649,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.02298850574712,39.10703314170318,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,75.57471264367815,38.257695402459,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-22m,71.55172413793103,37.906655236674865,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
7
+ TiRex,69.25287356321839,37.758720587285445,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
8
+ Stat. Ensemble,63.50574712643679,38.177219528557146,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
9
+ Chronos-2,63.50574712643677,36.558735189016225,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
10
+ TimesFM-2.5,59.48275862068966,35.89256072267927,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
11
+ Toto-1.0,59.195402298850574,33.97875884401389,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS,58.04597701149425,36.531743334435674,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
13
+ FlowState,56.60919540229885,37.645403955852096,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
14
+ citras-fm,56.03448275862068,34.4896707490341,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
15
+ CatBoost,55.172413793103445,35.20082715344605,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
16
+ AutoETS,53.44827586206896,34.84116662551825,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,53.44827586206896,33.31225235226658,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
18
+ LightGBM,51.43678160919539,35.02206834104291,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
19
+ AutoARIMA,48.275862068965516,35.732170334358024,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
20
+ Chronos-Bolt,45.40229885057471,30.478143266802604,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
21
+ TabPFN-TS-3,44.827586206896555,29.457560079978773,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
22
+ Moirai-2.0,43.67816091954023,28.277512977220987,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
23
+ AutoTheta,41.95402298850575,31.812923074763923,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
24
+ Drift,41.37931034482758,28.435824921980835,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
25
+ TS-ICL,39.94252873563219,25.73612363732908,0.0,0.8407145490361518,0.0,0.0
26
+ Naive,19.827586206896548,15.872310498117715,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
27
+ Sundial-Base,18.678160919540225,17.737235971841127,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
28
+ DeepAR,17.816091954022987,19.60425306556468,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
29
+ PatchTST,17.816091954022983,15.619782622761335,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
30
+ TFT,14.94252873563218,6.946074243338563,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
31
+ Seasonal Naive,11.20689655172414,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,89.58333333333333,45.53906787899109,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,81.54761904761905,42.35200647023204,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.76190476190476,42.8032329067254,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-313m,75.59523809523809,42.088190864136244,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-22m,75.0,42.320942130283335,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
7
- TiRex,74.70238095238095,42.09146596586096,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
8
- Chronos-2,69.3452380952381,40.960757337476025,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
9
- citras-fm,64.58333333333333,39.04918118052987,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
10
- FlowState,63.6904761904762,40.9054936267241,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
11
- TabPFN-TS,62.20238095238094,40.20371520247606,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
12
- Toto-1.0,61.60714285714286,38.100769058535434,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
13
- TimesFM-2.5,61.01190476190476,39.266493040907115,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
14
- Toto-2.0-4m,59.523809523809526,38.36462827294697,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
15
- Stat. Ensemble,57.14285714285714,37.992090519620156,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
16
- Chronos-Bolt,52.08333333333333,35.534952430792764,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
17
- AutoETS,50.89285714285714,36.76571988294681,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
18
- TabPFN-TS-3,48.80952380952381,34.00880337940215,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
19
- Moirai-2.0,47.023809523809526,32.793225265991246,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
20
- AutoARIMA,45.833333333333336,34.44615311952015,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
21
- AutoTheta,36.607142857142854,29.146207850323268,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
22
- Drift,30.952380952380942,23.828649343246187,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
23
- CatBoost,26.19047619047618,26.0945614678313,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
24
- LightGBM,26.19047619047618,25.89068156049532,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
25
- DeepAR,25.595238095238095,21.869167576579297,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
26
- PatchTST,22.321428571428566,19.911167839333967,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
27
- Sundial-Base,18.45238095238095,17.532849869365606,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
28
- TFT,16.36904761904762,9.939963215759995,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,16.071428571428566,11.371958531244664,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
30
- Seasonal Naive,11.309523809523812,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,89.94252873563218,45.53906787899109,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,82.18390804597699,42.35200647023204,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.17241379310344,42.8032329067254,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,76.4367816091954,42.088190864136244,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-22m,75.86206896551724,42.320942130283335,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
7
+ TiRex,75.2873563218391,42.09146596586096,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
8
+ Chronos-2,69.82758620689656,40.960757337476025,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
9
+ citras-fm,65.22988505747126,39.04918118052987,0.0,0.12518068105908503,0.0,0.0
10
+ FlowState,63.50574712643679,40.9054936267241,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
11
+ TabPFN-TS,62.35632183908045,40.20371520247606,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-1.0,62.35632183908045,38.100769058535434,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
13
+ TimesFM-2.5,61.49425287356321,39.266493040907115,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
14
+ Toto-2.0-4m,59.77011494252874,38.36462827294697,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
15
+ Stat. Ensemble,56.60919540229884,37.992090519620156,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
16
+ Chronos-Bolt,52.01149425287357,35.534952430792764,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
17
+ AutoETS,51.14942528735632,36.76571988294681,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS-3,49.137931034482754,34.00880337940215,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
19
+ Moirai-2.0,47.70114942528736,32.793225265991246,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
20
+ AutoARIMA,45.689655172413794,34.44615311952015,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
21
+ TS-ICL,43.39080459770115,29.757321220508814,0.0,0.8407145490361518,0.0,0.0
22
+ AutoTheta,36.49425287356322,29.146207850323268,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
23
+ Drift,30.747126436781603,23.828649343246187,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
24
+ LightGBM,26.149425287356316,25.89068156049532,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
25
+ CatBoost,26.149425287356316,26.0945614678313,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
26
+ DeepAR,25.287356321839077,21.869167576579297,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
27
+ PatchTST,22.701149425287348,19.911167839333967,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
28
+ Sundial-Base,18.103448275862068,17.532849869365606,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
29
+ TFT,16.379310344827587,9.939963215759995,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,16.091954022988503,11.371958531244664,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
31
+ Seasonal Naive,11.781609195402302,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_econ/pairwise_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -10,10 +10,10 @@ TiRex-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.064,-0.008,0.14
10
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.124,0.043,0.2
11
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.097,0.043,0.154
12
  TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.107,-0.003,0.217
13
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,0.001,0.173
14
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.072,-0.004,0.126
 
15
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.117,0.053,0.186
16
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.132,0.068,0.203
17
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.168,0.089,0.254
18
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.305,0.538
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.058,-0.156,0.019
@@ -27,10 +27,10 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.138,0.106
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.073,-0.013,0.157
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.045,-0.002,0.093
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.056,-0.124,0.175
30
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.036,-0.112,0.136
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.152,0.114
 
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.066,0.032,0.103
33
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,-0.005,0.154
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.12,0.045,0.197
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.388,0.248,0.515
36
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.052,-0.132,0.021
@@ -44,10 +44,10 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.015,-0.114,0.104
44
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.078,-0.001,0.164
45
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.05,0.012,0.094
46
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.104,0.172
47
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,-0.09,0.131
48
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.023,-0.13,0.115
 
49
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.07,0.035,0.107
50
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.087,0.01,0.16
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.124,0.054,0.199
52
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.391,0.26,0.511
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.067,-0.156,0.007
@@ -61,10 +61,10 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.001,-0.131,0.091
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.065,-0.011,0.147
62
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.004,0.079
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.108,0.154
64
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.108,0.124
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.142,0.106
 
66
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.058,0.014,0.098
67
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.074,0.005,0.14
68
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.112,0.053,0.179
69
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.383,0.252,0.506
70
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.073,-0.145,-0.018
@@ -78,10 +78,10 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.084,0.066
78
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.059,-0.005,0.12
79
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.031,-0.046,0.105
80
  Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.042,-0.064,0.136
81
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.022,-0.074,0.112
82
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.004,-0.084,0.08
 
83
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,-0.018,0.13
84
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.069,0.048,0.092
85
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.107,0.057,0.155
86
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.379,0.262,0.497
87
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.076,-0.135,-0.023
@@ -95,10 +95,10 @@ TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.007,-0.118,0.073
95
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.057,-0.011,0.131
96
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.066
97
  TiRex,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.039,-0.111,0.151
98
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.098,0.11
99
  TiRex,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.002,-0.132,0.081
 
100
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.05,0.012,0.089
101
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.067,0.006,0.127
102
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.043,0.176
103
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.378,0.252,0.503
104
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.096,-0.178,-0.018
@@ -112,10 +112,10 @@ Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.026,-0.142,0.05
112
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.039,-0.047,0.129
113
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.01,-0.025,0.05
114
  Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.021,-0.142,0.136
115
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.134,0.102
116
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.017,-0.169,0.081
 
117
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.032,-0.004,0.065
118
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.049,-0.031,0.135
119
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.087,0.014,0.175
120
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.366,0.237,0.489
121
  Stat. Ensemble,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.068,-0.163,0.008
@@ -129,10 +129,10 @@ Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.064,-0.025,0.153
130
  Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.036,-0.044,0.138
131
  Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.046,-0.019,0.117
132
- Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.033,0.082
133
  Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.049,0.064
 
134
  Stat. Ensemble,citras-fm,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.056,-0.041,0.172
135
- Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.073,-0.009,0.154
136
  Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.111,0.016,0.202
137
  Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.284,0.478
138
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.141,-0.249,-0.045
@@ -146,10 +146,10 @@ Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.068,-0.181,0.024
146
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.03,-0.139,0.05
148
  Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.019,-0.168,0.102
149
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.192,0.084
150
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.059,-0.205,0.059
 
151
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.008,-0.106,0.078
152
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.248,0.75,0.01,-0.051,0.066
153
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.542,0.958,0.05,0.006,0.093
154
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.34,0.203,0.463
155
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.108,-0.182,-0.045
@@ -163,10 +163,10 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.037,-0.161,0.042
163
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.029,-0.053,0.122
164
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.011,-0.151,0.126
166
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.144,0.086
167
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.174,0.06
 
168
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.032,0.058
169
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.039,-0.044,0.124
170
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.078,0.002,0.167
171
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.359,0.235,0.479
172
  CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.12,-0.278,0.003
@@ -180,29 +180,12 @@ CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.048,-0.133,0.018
180
  CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.019,-0.114,0.144
181
  CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.011,-0.145,0.131
182
  CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
- CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.113,0.061
184
  CatBoost,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.039,-0.146,0.029
 
185
  CatBoost,citras-fm,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.011,-0.143,0.169
186
- CatBoost,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.028,-0.083,0.129
187
  CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.068,-0.042,0.181
188
  CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.249,0.443
189
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.209,-0.001
190
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.158,0.101
191
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.151,0.082
192
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.142,0.097
193
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.022,-0.126,0.069
194
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.124,0.089
195
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.113,0.119
196
- TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.089,0.032
197
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.039,-0.092,0.161
198
- TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.095,0.126
199
- TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.021,-0.065,0.101
200
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
- TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.086,0.053
202
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.031,-0.101,0.16
203
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.048,-0.067,0.151
204
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.087,-0.047,0.2
205
- TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.273,0.457
206
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.144,0.004
207
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.129,0.132
208
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.13,0.115
@@ -214,12 +197,29 @@ FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.068,0.047
214
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.056,-0.062,0.17
215
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.064,0.149
216
  FlowState,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.038,-0.03,0.127
217
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.056,0.079
218
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
219
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.048,-0.056,0.183
220
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.065,-0.028,0.157
221
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.103,-0.011,0.214
222
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.258,0.488
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
223
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.132,-0.229,-0.056
224
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.071,-0.115,-0.033
225
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.076,-0.119,-0.036
@@ -231,29 +231,29 @@ citras-fm,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.06,-0.208,0.04
231
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.008,-0.085,0.096
232
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.022,-0.062,0.031
233
  citras-fm,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.011,-0.203,0.125
234
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.032,-0.191,0.092
235
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.051,-0.224,0.053
 
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.018,-0.074,0.1
238
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.058,-0.021,0.147
239
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.345,0.198,0.487
240
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.152,-0.255,-0.073
241
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.09,-0.182,0.005
242
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.095,-0.19,-0.011
243
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.08,-0.163,-0.005
244
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.074,-0.101,-0.051
245
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.145,-0.006
246
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.051,-0.155,0.03
247
- Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.079,-0.182,0.009
248
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.752,-0.01,-0.071,0.048
249
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.04,-0.142,0.043
250
- Toto-2.0-4m,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.029,-0.148,0.077
251
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.051,-0.178,0.063
252
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.069,-0.186,0.027
253
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.018,-0.111,0.069
254
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,0.002,0.082
256
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.333,0.197,0.46
257
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.201,-0.34,-0.098
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.136,-0.246,-0.047
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.142,-0.249,-0.058
@@ -265,10 +265,10 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.125,-0.253,-0.016
265
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.458,-0.053,-0.102,-0.006
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.084,-0.2,-0.002
267
  Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.073,-0.221,0.041
268
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.095,-0.249,0.045
269
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.115,-0.272,0.01
 
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.061,-0.173,0.021
271
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.089,-0.002
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.305,0.17,0.432
274
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-1.165,-0.439
@@ -282,9 +282,9 @@ Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.618,-0.915,-0.396
282
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.515,-0.863,-0.255
283
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.56,-0.92,-0.308
284
  Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.543,-0.796,-0.331
285
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.842,-0.375
286
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.954,-0.348
 
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.526,-0.95,-0.247
288
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.5,-0.851,-0.245
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.438,-0.76,-0.205
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
10
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.124,0.043,0.2
11
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.097,0.043,0.154
12
  TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.107,-0.003,0.217
 
13
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.072,-0.004,0.126
14
+ TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,0.001,0.173
15
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.117,0.053,0.186
16
+ TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.112,0.051,0.185
17
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.168,0.089,0.254
18
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.305,0.538
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.058,-0.156,0.019
 
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.073,-0.013,0.157
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.045,-0.002,0.093
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.056,-0.124,0.175
 
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.152,0.114
31
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.036,-0.112,0.136
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.066,0.032,0.103
33
+ Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.061,-0.038,0.14
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.12,0.045,0.197
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.388,0.248,0.515
36
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.052,-0.132,0.021
 
44
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.078,-0.001,0.164
45
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.05,0.012,0.094
46
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.104,0.172
 
47
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.023,-0.13,0.115
48
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,-0.09,0.131
49
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.07,0.035,0.107
50
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.065,-0.017,0.138
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.124,0.054,0.199
52
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.391,0.26,0.511
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.067,-0.156,0.007
 
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.065,-0.011,0.147
62
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.004,0.079
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.108,0.154
 
64
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.142,0.106
65
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.108,0.124
66
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.058,0.014,0.098
67
+ Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.052,-0.025,0.119
68
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.112,0.053,0.179
69
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.383,0.252,0.506
70
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.073,-0.145,-0.018
 
78
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.059,-0.005,0.12
79
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.031,-0.046,0.105
80
  Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.042,-0.064,0.136
 
81
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.004,-0.084,0.08
82
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.022,-0.074,0.112
83
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,-0.018,0.13
84
+ Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.016,0.095
85
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.107,0.057,0.155
86
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.379,0.262,0.497
87
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.076,-0.135,-0.023
 
95
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.057,-0.011,0.131
96
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.066
97
  TiRex,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.039,-0.111,0.151
 
98
  TiRex,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.002,-0.132,0.081
99
+ TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.098,0.11
100
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.05,0.012,0.089
101
+ TiRex,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.045,-0.022,0.113
102
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.043,0.176
103
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.378,0.252,0.503
104
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.096,-0.178,-0.018
 
112
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.039,-0.047,0.129
113
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.01,-0.025,0.05
114
  Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.021,-0.142,0.136
 
115
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.017,-0.169,0.081
116
+ Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.134,0.102
117
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.032,-0.004,0.065
118
+ Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.04,0.085
119
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.087,0.014,0.175
120
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.366,0.237,0.489
121
  Stat. Ensemble,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.068,-0.163,0.008
 
129
  Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.064,-0.025,0.153
130
  Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.036,-0.044,0.138
131
  Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.046,-0.019,0.117
 
132
  Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.049,0.064
133
+ Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.033,0.082
134
  Stat. Ensemble,citras-fm,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.056,-0.041,0.172
135
+ Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.051,0.006,0.104
136
  Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.111,0.016,0.202
137
  Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.284,0.478
138
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.141,-0.249,-0.045
 
146
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.03,-0.139,0.05
148
  Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.019,-0.168,0.102
 
149
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.059,-0.205,0.059
150
+ Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.192,0.084
151
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.008,-0.106,0.078
152
+ Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.1,0.062
153
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.542,0.958,0.05,0.006,0.093
154
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.34,0.203,0.463
155
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.108,-0.182,-0.045
 
163
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.029,-0.053,0.122
164
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.011,-0.151,0.126
 
166
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.174,0.06
167
+ TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.144,0.086
168
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.032,0.058
169
+ TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.016,-0.058,0.087
170
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.078,0.002,0.167
171
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.359,0.235,0.479
172
  CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.12,-0.278,0.003
 
180
  CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.019,-0.114,0.144
181
  CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.011,-0.145,0.131
182
  CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
183
  CatBoost,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.039,-0.146,0.029
184
+ CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.113,0.061
185
  CatBoost,citras-fm,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.011,-0.143,0.169
186
+ CatBoost,AutoETS,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.006,-0.085,0.101
187
  CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.068,-0.042,0.181
188
  CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.249,0.443
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
189
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.144,0.004
190
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.129,0.132
191
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.13,0.115
 
197
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.056,-0.062,0.17
198
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.064,0.149
199
  FlowState,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.038,-0.03,0.127
 
200
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
+ FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.056,0.079
202
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.048,-0.056,0.183
203
+ FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.043,-0.045,0.131
204
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.103,-0.011,0.214
205
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.258,0.488
206
+ TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.209,-0.001
207
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.158,0.101
208
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.151,0.082
209
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.142,0.097
210
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.022,-0.126,0.069
211
+ TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.124,0.089
212
+ TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.113,0.119
213
+ TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.089,0.032
214
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.039,-0.092,0.161
215
+ TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.095,0.126
216
+ TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.021,-0.065,0.101
217
+ TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.086,0.053
218
+ TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
+ TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.031,-0.101,0.16
220
+ TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.063,0.099
221
+ TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.087,-0.047,0.2
222
+ TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.273,0.457
223
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.132,-0.229,-0.056
224
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.071,-0.115,-0.033
225
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.076,-0.119,-0.036
 
231
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.008,-0.085,0.096
232
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.022,-0.062,0.031
233
  citras-fm,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.011,-0.203,0.125
 
234
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.051,-0.224,0.053
235
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.032,-0.191,0.092
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
+ citras-fm,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.005,-0.096,0.076
238
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.058,-0.021,0.147
239
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.345,0.198,0.487
240
+ AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.126,-0.227,-0.054
241
+ AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.065,-0.163,0.036
242
+ AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.07,-0.16,0.017
243
+ AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.055,-0.135,0.025
244
+ AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.049,-0.105,0.016
245
+ AutoETS,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.047,-0.127,0.022
246
+ AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.093,0.039
247
+ AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.054,-0.115,-0.006
248
+ AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.013,-0.066,0.091
249
+ AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.016,-0.095,0.055
250
+ AutoETS,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.006,-0.113,0.079
251
+ AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.045,-0.151,0.043
252
+ AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.11,0.059
253
+ AutoETS,citras-fm,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.005,-0.082,0.088
254
+ AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
+ AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.063,-0.003,0.135
256
+ AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.348,0.248,0.455
257
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.201,-0.34,-0.098
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.136,-0.246,-0.047
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.142,-0.249,-0.058
 
265
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.458,-0.053,-0.102,-0.006
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.084,-0.2,-0.002
267
  Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.073,-0.221,0.041
 
268
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.115,-0.272,0.01
269
+ Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.095,-0.249,0.045
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.061,-0.173,0.021
271
+ Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.067,-0.156,0.003
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.305,0.17,0.432
274
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-1.165,-0.439
 
282
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.515,-0.863,-0.255
283
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.56,-0.92,-0.308
284
  Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.543,-0.796,-0.331
 
285
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.954,-0.348
286
+ Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.842,-0.375
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.526,-0.95,-0.247
288
+ Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.834,-0.33
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.438,-0.76,-0.205
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,84.34065934065931,35.398351985937104,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,76.64835164835165,27.64063711794009,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,76.37362637362638,27.403361161284135,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
5
- TiRex-2,75.41208791208793,32.34547171146631,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
6
- TabPFN-TS-3,75.13736263736266,34.00489490838103,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-313m,74.17582417582416,27.247610226794162,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
8
- citras-fm,70.74175824175822,29.70839682432842,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
9
- TiRex,65.79670329670327,25.111125954829205,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
10
- TabPFN-TS,64.01098901098902,29.948417313219487,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
11
- TimesFM-2.5,62.63736263736263,24.470577229456005,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-22m,62.22527472527473,25.222517255488896,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
13
- Chronos-Bolt,59.2032967032967,24.79493112223894,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
14
- FlowState,58.1043956043956,24.74097538777954,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
15
- Moirai-2.0,56.730769230769226,23.276855703905884,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,53.84615384615385,21.834602126597346,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
17
- Sundial-Base,53.84615384615385,25.973733886600225,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
18
- Toto-1.0,53.708791208791204,22.17352687153604,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
19
- TFT,47.11538461538463,24.332626654075018,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
20
- DeepAR,41.964285714285715,20.515410969632153,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
21
- PatchTST,39.14835164835164,18.853426287300014,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
22
- CatBoost,38.73626373626372,17.15191259995018,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
23
- LightGBM,35.989010989010985,14.854815383201469,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,26.717032967032967,4.447406228151163,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
25
- AutoARIMA,25.20604395604395,2.212327431466543,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
26
- Seasonal Naive,21.01648351648351,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
27
- AutoTheta,19.36813186813187,1.1815956958414753,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoETS,14.835164835164832,-34.97549884253801,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,12.156593406593405,-44.773921203129,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,4.807692307692308,-52.29912347479908,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,84.35013262599469,35.398351985937104,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,75.86206896551724,27.64063711794009,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,75.72944297082229,27.403361161284135,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
5
+ TiRex-2,74.9336870026525,32.34547171146631,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
6
+ TabPFN-TS-3,74.80106100795759,34.00489490838103,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-313m,73.60742705570293,27.247610226794162,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
8
+ citras-fm,70.026525198939,29.70839682432842,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
9
+ TS-ICL,67.6392572944297,29.724948642495818,0.0,3.3364023637841456,0.0,0.0
10
+ TiRex,65.11936339522545,25.111125954829205,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
11
+ TabPFN-TS,63.12997347480107,29.948417313219487,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-2.0-22m,61.67108753315651,25.222517255488896,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
13
+ TimesFM-2.5,61.53846153846153,24.470577229456005,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
14
+ Chronos-Bolt,58.48806366047745,24.79493112223894,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
15
+ FlowState,57.29442970822281,24.74097538777954,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
16
+ Moirai-2.0,55.83554376657824,23.276855703905884,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,53.18302387267904,21.834602126597346,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
18
+ Sundial-Base,53.05039787798408,25.973733886600225,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
19
+ Toto-1.0,52.785145888594165,22.17352687153604,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
20
+ TFT,46.551724137931046,24.332626654075018,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
21
+ DeepAR,41.44562334217506,20.515410969632153,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
22
+ PatchTST,38.594164456233415,18.853426287300014,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
23
+ CatBoost,37.931034482758605,17.15191259995018,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
24
+ LightGBM,35.14588859416445,14.854815383201469,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,26.061007957559678,4.447406228151163,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
26
+ AutoARIMA,24.46949602122016,2.212327431466543,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
27
+ Seasonal Naive,20.689655172413786,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
28
+ AutoTheta,18.83289124668435,1.1815956958414753,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoETS,14.72148541114058,-34.97549884253801,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,11.870026525198938,-44.773921203129,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,4.641909814323608,-52.29912347479908,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,85.43956043956042,43.696037899366445,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,80.35714285714286,37.19233498724061,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
4
- TiRex-2,79.94505494505495,40.955040522328076,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.53296703296704,36.942973998246586,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
6
- TabPFN-TS-3,77.60989010989012,42.12648526492014,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-313m,76.92307692307693,36.69282240000613,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,70.46703296703299,34.44791484004565,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
9
- citras-fm,69.36813186813185,37.06311174153901,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
10
- TabPFN-TS,67.71978021978022,38.63838178079146,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
11
- Toto-2.0-22m,67.3076923076923,34.72199927167168,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
12
- TimesFM-2.5,64.28571428571429,33.040194549839576,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
13
- FlowState,59.203296703296694,32.4100685185642,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
14
- Chronos-Bolt,57.829670329670336,32.881689430291104,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
15
- Moirai-2.0,56.730769230769226,31.52282472603488,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,56.31868131868132,31.473352334477845,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
17
- Toto-1.0,55.21978021978021,31.112045696230428,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
18
- TFT,52.06043956043956,32.085719324643314,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
19
- Sundial-Base,43.95604395604395,28.52842311909273,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
20
- DeepAR,43.0631868131868,26.66949092254881,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
21
- PatchTST,42.3076923076923,25.60679591439182,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
22
- AutoARIMA,28.640109890109887,9.139931178596383,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
23
- Stat. Ensemble,26.304945054945055,6.196332966589502,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
24
- CatBoost,25.13736263736263,8.874064288365757,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
25
- LightGBM,21.84065934065934,6.34745033907752,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
26
- Seasonal Naive,18.40659340659341,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
27
- AutoETS,17.170329670329668,-30.210229740669558,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoTheta,15.247252747252743,-10.643501874241924,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,8.585164835164836,-60.57154490567112,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,3.021978021978022,-67.3016518958006,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,85.41114058355438,43.696037899366445,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
+ TiRex-2,79.70822281167108,40.955040522328076,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-1B,79.57559681697613,37.19233498724061,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.77984084880636,36.942973998246586,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
6
+ TabPFN-TS-3,77.18832891246686,42.12648526492014,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-313m,76.25994694960212,36.69282240000613,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
8
+ TS-ICL,69.76127320954907,38.54265308034851,0.0,3.3364023637841456,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex,69.76127320954907,34.44791484004565,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
10
+ citras-fm,68.56763925729442,37.06311174153901,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
11
+ Toto-2.0-22m,66.71087533156499,34.72199927167168,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS,66.57824933687003,38.63838178079146,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
13
+ TimesFM-2.5,63.395225464190986,33.040194549839576,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
14
+ FlowState,58.48806366047745,32.4100685185642,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
15
+ Chronos-Bolt,57.02917771883288,32.881689430291104,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
16
+ Moirai-2.0,55.57029177718832,31.52282472603488,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,55.57029177718832,31.473352334477845,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
18
+ Toto-1.0,54.111405835543756,31.112045696230428,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
19
+ TFT,51.32625994694961,32.085719324643314,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
20
+ Sundial-Base,43.10344827586206,28.52842311909273,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
21
+ DeepAR,42.24137931034482,26.66949092254881,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
22
+ PatchTST,41.511936339522535,25.60679591439182,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
23
+ AutoARIMA,27.78514588859416,9.139931178596383,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
24
+ Stat. Ensemble,25.53050397877984,6.196332966589502,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
25
+ CatBoost,24.40318302387267,8.874064288365757,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
26
+ LightGBM,21.22015915119363,6.34745033907752,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
27
+ Seasonal Naive,17.77188328912467,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
28
+ AutoETS,16.710875331564985,-30.210229740669558,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoTheta,14.72148541114058,-10.643501874241924,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,8.289124668435013,-60.57154490567112,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.9177718832891246,-67.3016518958006,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,82.28021978021978,37.557901536977845,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,75.54945054945054,31.032868019309202,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,75.13736263736264,30.705322754813878,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,72.93956043956042,30.308651726585033,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
6
- TiRex-2,70.87912087912088,34.43124058342566,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS-3,70.1923076923077,34.61666637481101,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
8
- citras-fm,68.26923076923076,31.682561212984318,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-22m,64.83516483516483,28.863859566477203,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex,61.263736263736256,27.322662354204475,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
11
- TimesFM-2.5,60.027472527472526,26.65794953458317,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
12
- TabPFN-TS,59.75274725274725,30.36322876478197,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
13
- Chronos-Bolt,56.31868131868132,26.606852502371968,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,55.90659340659341,25.99988075597758,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
15
- FlowState,52.88461538461539,26.89142712985859,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
16
- Sundial-Base,52.33516483516484,28.265544600882,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
17
- Toto-1.0,50.96153846153847,24.207524581618266,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
18
- TFT,49.587912087912095,26.59412613673687,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
19
- Toto-2.0-4m,48.489010989010985,23.82250300845572,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
20
- PatchTST,43.26923076923078,20.65325504182872,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
21
- DeepAR,41.1401098901099,21.82047445619971,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
22
- LightGBM,40.79670329670329,20.63835609604817,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
23
- CatBoost,39.28571428571428,20.174610152005823,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,33.44780219780219,8.430993583997726,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
25
- AutoARIMA,24.381868131868128,3.8316800542679386,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
26
- AutoETS,22.52747252747253,-24.06197476117884,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
27
- Naive,22.18406593406593,-29.595393529303713,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoTheta,21.428571428571423,4.200265666572001,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
29
- Seasonal Naive,19.642857142857135,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,14.285714285714288,-36.91555319026642,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,82.09549071618036,37.557901536977845,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-313m,74.53580901856766,30.705322754813878,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-1B,74.53580901856765,31.032868019309202,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,72.01591511936338,30.308651726585033,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
6
+ TS-ICL,71.0875331564987,34.05152672280454,0.0,3.3364023637841456,0.0,0.0
7
+ TiRex-2,70.15915119363395,34.43124058342566,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
8
+ TabPFN-TS-3,69.62864721485411,34.61666637481101,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
9
+ citras-fm,67.24137931034481,31.682561212984318,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
10
+ Toto-2.0-22m,64.05835543766578,28.863859566477203,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
11
+ TiRex,60.742705570291776,27.322662354204475,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
12
+ TimesFM-2.5,59.0185676392573,26.65794953458317,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
13
+ TabPFN-TS,58.88594164456234,30.36322876478197,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
14
+ Chronos-Bolt,55.83554376657824,26.606852502371968,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,55.03978779840848,25.99988075597758,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
16
+ FlowState,52.122015915119356,26.89142712985859,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
17
+ Sundial-Base,51.45888594164456,28.265544600882,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
18
+ Toto-1.0,49.86737400530503,24.207524581618266,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
19
+ TFT,49.07161803713529,26.59412613673687,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
20
+ Toto-2.0-4m,47.74535809018566,23.82250300845572,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
21
+ PatchTST,42.57294429708224,20.65325504182872,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
22
+ DeepAR,40.384615384615394,21.82047445619971,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
23
+ LightGBM,39.78779840848806,20.63835609604817,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
24
+ CatBoost,38.3289124668435,20.174610152005823,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,32.559681697612724,8.430993583997726,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
26
+ AutoARIMA,23.541114058355433,3.8316800542679386,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
27
+ AutoETS,22.148541114058354,-24.06197476117884,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
28
+ Naive,21.68435013262599,-29.595393529303713,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoTheta,20.822281167108752,4.200265666572001,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
30
+ Seasonal Naive,19.098143236074264,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,13.925729442970825,-36.91555319026642,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,85.30219780219781,45.99295404026385,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,82.28021978021977,40.95974538328001,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,79.8076923076923,40.431908864449696,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.53296703296705,40.25120913531922,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
6
- TiRex-2,77.60989010989012,43.430525812131435,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS-3,74.5879120879121,43.103980194426214,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-22m,69.5054945054945,38.501099243397576,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
9
- citras-fm,68.95604395604396,39.746283079915145,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex,67.99450549450549,37.015923795326046,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
11
- TabPFN-TS,66.07142857142858,39.634990899313024,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
12
- TimesFM-2.5,62.36263736263735,35.74711028493935,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
13
- Chronos-Bolt,57.692307692307686,35.346534587472554,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
14
- FlowState,57.55494505494505,35.238708603025636,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
15
- Moirai-2.0,56.59340659340659,34.54029716114274,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,54.53296703296703,33.916952411684484,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
17
- Toto-1.0,53.84615384615385,33.68160197994784,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
18
- TFT,52.609890109890124,34.858358688960024,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
19
- Sundial-Base,44.368131868131854,31.420585268607393,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
20
- PatchTST,43.818681318681314,28.17762114987711,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
21
- DeepAR,41.9642857142857,28.82551876839535,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
22
- LightGBM,29.39560439560439,13.804281918946282,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
23
- Stat. Ensemble,28.640109890109887,11.001763956139254,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
24
- AutoARIMA,27.129120879120876,10.956865003323434,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
25
- CatBoost,26.098901098901095,13.30060154143199,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
26
- AutoETS,16.208791208791208,-24.269495322854407,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
27
- Seasonal Naive,16.208791208791208,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoTheta,15.659340659340657,-4.896832310667398,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,9.271978021978022,-50.976730476610335,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,4.395604395604396,-57.44553171159505,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,85.14588859416446,45.99295404026385,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,81.16710875331563,40.95974538328001,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-313m,79.0450928381963,40.431908864449696,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.51458885941646,40.25120913531922,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
6
+ TiRex-2,76.79045092838194,43.430525812131435,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
7
+ TabPFN-TS-3,73.87267904509284,43.103980194426214,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
8
+ TS-ICL,73.342175066313,43.02532257188423,0.0,3.3364023637841456,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-22m,68.83289124668434,38.501099243397576,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
10
+ citras-fm,68.03713527851458,39.746283079915145,0.0,7.748614246350674,0.0,0.0
11
+ TiRex,67.3740053050398,37.015923795326046,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS,64.9867374005305,39.634990899313024,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
13
+ TimesFM-2.5,61.40583554376657,35.74711028493935,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
14
+ FlowState,56.63129973474801,35.238708603025636,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
15
+ Chronos-Bolt,56.631299734748,35.346534587472554,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
16
+ Moirai-2.0,55.57029177718832,34.54029716114274,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,53.44827586206896,33.916952411684484,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
18
+ Toto-1.0,52.785145888594165,33.68160197994784,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
19
+ TFT,51.59151193633954,34.858358688960024,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
20
+ Sundial-Base,43.368700265251974,31.420585268607393,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
21
+ PatchTST,42.9708222811671,28.17762114987711,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
22
+ DeepAR,40.91511936339521,28.82551876839535,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
23
+ LightGBM,28.381962864721483,13.804281918946282,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
24
+ Stat. Ensemble,27.78514588859416,11.001763956139254,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
25
+ AutoARIMA,26.326259946949605,10.956865003323434,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
26
+ CatBoost,25.331564986737398,13.30060154143199,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
27
+ AutoETS,15.782493368700266,-24.269495322854407,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
28
+ Seasonal Naive,15.649867374005305,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoTheta,15.119363395225463,-4.896832310667398,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,8.952254641909816,-50.976730476610335,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,4.244031830238727,-57.44553171159505,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/pairwise_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -3,9 +3,10 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.107,0.04,0.174
4
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.11,0.043,0.177
5
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,0.001,0.092
6
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.112,0.04,0.182
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.021,-0.014,0.058
 
8
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.081,0.038,0.119
 
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.137,0.066,0.203
10
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.078,0.038,0.118
11
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.145,0.072,0.212
@@ -13,15 +14,15 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.136,0.072,0.201
13
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.142,0.073,0.202
14
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.141,0.078,0.202
15
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.158,0.092,0.222
16
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.174,0.1,0.245
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.354,0.278,0.422
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.12,-0.211,-0.042
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.003,-0.004,0.011
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.07,-0.162,0.004
22
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.008,0.019
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.096,-0.205,0.001
 
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.029,-0.097,0.024
 
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.034,0.011,0.059
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.033,-0.13,0.048
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.042,0.012,0.074
@@ -29,15 +30,15 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.032,0.02,0.046
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.039,0.004,0.069
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.038,0.007,0.066
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.057,0.034,0.083
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.074,0.043,0.107
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.276,0.21,0.34
34
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.124,-0.214,-0.045
35
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.003,-0.011,0.004
36
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.073,-0.162,-0.001
38
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.002,-0.013,0.016
39
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.1,-0.208,-0.003
 
40
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.033,-0.098,0.02
 
41
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,0.007,0.055
42
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.036,-0.133,0.042
43
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.039,0.01,0.071
@@ -45,15 +46,15 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.029,0.016,0.042
45
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.035,-0.0,0.067
46
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.035,0.005,0.062
47
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.054,0.028,0.083
48
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.071,0.04,0.102
49
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.274,0.211,0.335
50
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.101,-0.001
51
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.065,-0.004,0.139
52
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.068,0.001,0.14
53
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.07,-0.001,0.147
55
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.025,-0.087,0.028
 
56
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.038,-0.02,0.091
 
57
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.097,0.031,0.165
58
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,-0.02,0.085
59
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.104,0.032,0.177
@@ -61,31 +62,15 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.095,0.029,0.163
61
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.101,0.03,0.169
62
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.1,0.031,0.175
63
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.118,0.055,0.181
64
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.134,0.063,0.205
65
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.323,0.243,0.395
66
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.126,-0.222,-0.042
67
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.019,0.008
68
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.002,-0.016,0.013
69
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.075,-0.172,0.001
70
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.102,-0.213,-0.002
72
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.035,-0.101,0.016
73
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,0.011,0.048
74
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.039,-0.142,0.043
75
- Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.847,0.037,0.012,0.062
76
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.027,0.014,0.041
77
- Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.033,0.002,0.062
78
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.033,0.004,0.06
79
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.052,0.025,0.08
80
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.069,0.039,0.098
81
- Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.272,0.206,0.336
82
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.022,-0.062,0.013
83
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.088,-0.001,0.17
84
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.091,0.003,0.172
85
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.025,-0.029,0.08
86
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.002,0.175
87
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
88
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,0.003,0.113
 
89
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.119,0.032,0.197
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.058,0.011,0.101
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.126,0.038,0.206
@@ -93,15 +78,31 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.615,0.423,0.77,0.117,0.034,0.194
93
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.123,0.036,0.198
94
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.122,0.043,0.198
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.14,0.054,0.22
96
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.156,0.071,0.231
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.34,0.265,0.41
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.088,-0.135,-0.039
99
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.029,-0.025,0.088
100
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.032,-0.021,0.089
101
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.039,-0.1,0.019
102
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.034,-0.016,0.091
103
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.065,-0.127,-0.003
 
104
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
105
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,0.015,0.112
106
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.003,-0.052,0.044
107
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.069,0.02,0.123
@@ -109,15 +110,31 @@ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.06,0.015,0.113
109
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.066,0.023,0.111
110
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.065,0.024,0.112
111
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.084,0.033,0.141
112
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.101,0.045,0.161
113
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.297,0.224,0.36
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
114
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.159,-0.255,-0.07
115
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.035,-0.063,-0.011
116
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.059,-0.007
117
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.107,-0.198,-0.032
118
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.029,-0.051,-0.011
119
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.135,-0.246,-0.034
 
120
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.065,-0.126,-0.015
 
121
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.069,-0.171,0.013
123
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.519,0.327,0.731,0.008,-0.015,0.033
@@ -125,15 +142,15 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.001,-0.024,0.017
125
  TiRex,FlowState,0.481,0.308,0.654,0.005,-0.022,0.033
126
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.558,0.385,0.731,0.004,-0.021,0.032
127
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.558,0.365,0.731,0.024,-0.003,0.056
128
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.042,0.014,0.069
129
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.251,0.191,0.308
130
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.084,-0.133,-0.039
131
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.032,-0.05,0.115
132
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.035,-0.043,0.117
133
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.093,0.02
134
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.037,-0.045,0.124
135
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.061,-0.112,-0.012
 
136
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.003,-0.046,0.049
 
137
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.065,-0.014,0.146
138
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.073,-0.003,0.152
@@ -141,15 +158,15 @@ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.063,-0.016,0.142
141
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.069,-0.011,0.143
142
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.069,0.002,0.143
143
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.087,0.008,0.169
144
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.018,0.188
145
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.299,0.216,0.373
146
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.169,-0.269,-0.077
147
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.044,-0.08,-0.012
148
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.04,-0.076,-0.01
149
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.116,-0.214,-0.033
150
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.153,0.5,-0.038,-0.066,-0.012
151
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.144,-0.259,-0.04
 
152
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.075,-0.14,-0.02
 
153
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.481,0.269,0.673,-0.009,-0.034,0.014
154
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.078,-0.179,0.003
155
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -157,15 +174,15 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.01,-0.044,0.02
157
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.004,-0.035,0.027
158
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.769,-0.004,-0.033,0.024
159
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.016,-0.028,0.057
160
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.002,0.068
161
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.245,0.182,0.306
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.158,-0.252,-0.077
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.033,-0.048,-0.021
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.03,-0.044,-0.016
165
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.105,-0.195,-0.029
166
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.028,-0.043,-0.014
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.133,-0.241,-0.035
 
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.064,-0.128,-0.015
 
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.001,-0.018,0.024
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.067,-0.166,0.016
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.01,-0.02,0.042
@@ -173,15 +190,15 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.423,0.268,0.615,0.006,-0.028,0.038
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.006,-0.025,0.036
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.025,0.002,0.052
176
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.043,0.016,0.073
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.252,0.188,0.315
178
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.165,-0.253,-0.079
179
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.04,-0.074,-0.004
180
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.037,-0.071,0.0
181
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.112,-0.204,-0.031
182
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.034,-0.066,-0.002
183
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.14,-0.246,-0.037
 
184
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.071,-0.125,-0.024
 
185
  FlowState,TiRex,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.005,-0.034,0.022
186
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.074,-0.167,0.011
187
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.004,-0.027,0.034
@@ -189,15 +206,15 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.732,-0.006,-0.039,0.027
189
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.001,-0.029,0.034
191
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.307,0.635,0.019,-0.019,0.062
192
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.037,-0.003,0.077
193
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.247,0.177,0.309
194
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.164,-0.254,-0.085
195
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.039,-0.071,-0.007
196
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.036,-0.066,-0.005
197
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.112,-0.213,-0.032
198
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.034,-0.064,-0.004
199
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.14,-0.248,-0.045
 
200
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.07,-0.126,-0.024
 
201
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.615,-0.004,-0.034,0.02
202
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.074,-0.167,-0.002
203
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.231,0.596,0.004,-0.025,0.032
@@ -205,15 +222,15 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.006,-0.037,0.025
205
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.001,-0.035,0.028
206
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.423,0.731,0.02,-0.022,0.064
208
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.038,-0.001,0.077
209
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.248,0.188,0.306
210
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.188,-0.285,-0.101
211
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.06,-0.091,-0.035
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.057,-0.091,-0.029
213
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.134,-0.221,-0.058
214
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.055,-0.087,-0.026
215
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.163,-0.282,-0.057
 
216
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.091,-0.164,-0.034
 
217
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.635,-0.024,-0.059,0.003
218
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.095,-0.203,-0.008
219
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.016,-0.061,0.027
@@ -221,31 +238,15 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.026,-0.055,-0.002
221
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.693,-0.019,-0.066,0.018
222
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.577,-0.02,-0.068,0.021
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.018,-0.018,0.053
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.233,0.167,0.293
226
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.21,-0.324,-0.111
227
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.08,-0.12,-0.045
228
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.077,-0.114,-0.042
229
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.155,-0.257,-0.068
230
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.074,-0.109,-0.04
231
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.3,-0.076
232
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.112,-0.192,-0.047
233
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.044,-0.074,-0.014
234
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.231,-0.018
235
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.035,-0.073,0.002
236
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.045,-0.079,-0.016
237
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.083,0.003
238
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.083,0.001
239
- Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.019,-0.056,0.018
240
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.167,0.276
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.548,-0.729,-0.384
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.382,-0.514,-0.266
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.377,-0.504,-0.267
245
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.478,-0.652,-0.321
246
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.375,-0.505,-0.259
247
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.515,-0.695,-0.36
 
248
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.423,-0.563,-0.289
 
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.335,-0.445,-0.237
250
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.428,-0.596,-0.276
251
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.324,-0.441,-0.223
@@ -253,5 +254,4 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.337,-0.46,-0.231
253
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.329,-0.447,-0.215
254
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.33,-0.44,-0.232
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.303,-0.415,-0.201
256
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.279,-0.381,-0.201
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.107,0.04,0.174
4
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.11,0.043,0.177
5
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,0.001,0.092
 
6
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.021,-0.014,0.058
7
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.112,0.04,0.182
8
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.081,0.038,0.119
9
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.04,0.122
10
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.137,0.066,0.203
11
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.078,0.038,0.118
12
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.145,0.072,0.212
 
14
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.142,0.073,0.202
15
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.141,0.078,0.202
16
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.158,0.092,0.222
 
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.354,0.278,0.422
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.12,-0.211,-0.042
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.003,-0.004,0.011
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.07,-0.162,0.004
 
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.096,-0.205,0.001
23
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.008,0.019
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.029,-0.097,0.024
25
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.03,-0.103,0.038
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.034,0.011,0.059
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.033,-0.13,0.048
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.042,0.012,0.074
 
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.039,0.004,0.069
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.038,0.007,0.066
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.057,0.034,0.083
 
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.276,0.21,0.34
34
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.124,-0.214,-0.045
35
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.003,-0.011,0.004
36
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.073,-0.162,-0.001
 
38
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.1,-0.208,-0.003
39
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.002,-0.013,0.016
40
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.033,-0.098,0.02
41
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.033,-0.106,0.033
42
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,0.007,0.055
43
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.036,-0.133,0.042
44
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.039,0.01,0.071
 
46
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.035,-0.0,0.067
47
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.035,0.005,0.062
48
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.054,0.028,0.083
 
49
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.274,0.211,0.335
50
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.101,-0.001
51
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.065,-0.004,0.139
52
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.068,0.001,0.14
53
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
54
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.025,-0.087,0.028
55
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.07,-0.001,0.147
56
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.038,-0.02,0.091
57
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.037,-0.012,0.084
58
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.097,0.031,0.165
59
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,-0.02,0.085
60
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.104,0.032,0.177
 
62
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.101,0.03,0.169
63
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.1,0.031,0.175
64
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.118,0.055,0.181
 
65
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.323,0.243,0.395
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
66
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.022,-0.062,0.013
67
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.088,-0.001,0.17
68
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.091,0.003,0.172
69
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.025,-0.029,0.08
 
70
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.002,0.175
72
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,0.003,0.113
73
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.061,0.009,0.116
74
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.119,0.032,0.197
75
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.058,0.011,0.101
76
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.126,0.038,0.206
 
78
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.123,0.036,0.198
79
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.122,0.043,0.198
80
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.14,0.054,0.22
 
81
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.34,0.265,0.41
82
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.126,-0.222,-0.042
83
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.019,0.008
84
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.002,-0.016,0.013
85
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.075,-0.172,0.001
86
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.102,-0.213,-0.002
87
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.035,-0.101,0.016
89
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.035,-0.11,0.029
90
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,0.011,0.048
91
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.039,-0.142,0.043
92
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.847,0.037,0.012,0.062
93
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.027,0.014,0.041
94
+ Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.033,0.002,0.062
95
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.033,0.004,0.06
96
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.052,0.025,0.08
97
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.272,0.206,0.336
98
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.088,-0.135,-0.039
99
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.029,-0.025,0.088
100
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.032,-0.021,0.089
101
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.039,-0.1,0.019
 
102
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.065,-0.127,-0.003
103
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.034,-0.016,0.091
104
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.0,-0.048,0.048
106
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,0.015,0.112
107
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.003,-0.052,0.044
108
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.069,0.02,0.123
 
110
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.066,0.023,0.111
111
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.065,0.024,0.112
112
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.084,0.033,0.141
 
113
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.297,0.224,0.36
114
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.14,-0.041
115
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.029,-0.039,0.094
116
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.032,-0.034,0.096
117
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.091,0.012
118
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.065,-0.131,-0.009
119
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.034,-0.029,0.099
120
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.0,-0.051,0.046
121
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.062,-0.002,0.125
123
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.003,-0.066,0.055
124
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.538,0.885,0.07,0.006,0.132
125
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.06,0.002,0.121
126
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.654,0.5,0.808,0.066,0.0,0.129
127
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.066,-0.001,0.132
128
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.084,0.022,0.143
129
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.297,0.215,0.37
130
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.159,-0.255,-0.07
131
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.035,-0.063,-0.011
132
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.059,-0.007
133
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.107,-0.198,-0.032
 
134
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.135,-0.246,-0.034
135
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.029,-0.051,-0.011
136
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.065,-0.126,-0.015
137
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.066,-0.143,0.002
138
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.069,-0.171,0.013
140
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.519,0.327,0.731,0.008,-0.015,0.033
 
142
  TiRex,FlowState,0.481,0.308,0.654,0.005,-0.022,0.033
143
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.558,0.385,0.731,0.004,-0.021,0.032
144
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.558,0.365,0.731,0.024,-0.003,0.056
 
145
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.251,0.191,0.308
146
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.084,-0.133,-0.039
147
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.032,-0.05,0.115
148
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.035,-0.043,0.117
149
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.093,0.02
 
150
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.061,-0.112,-0.012
151
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.037,-0.045,0.124
152
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.003,-0.046,0.049
153
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.003,-0.059,0.062
154
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.065,-0.014,0.146
155
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.073,-0.003,0.152
 
158
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.069,-0.011,0.143
159
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.069,0.002,0.143
160
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.087,0.008,0.169
 
161
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.299,0.216,0.373
162
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.169,-0.269,-0.077
163
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.044,-0.08,-0.012
164
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.04,-0.076,-0.01
165
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.116,-0.214,-0.033
 
166
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.144,-0.259,-0.04
167
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.153,0.5,-0.038,-0.066,-0.012
168
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.075,-0.14,-0.02
169
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.308,0.115,0.462,-0.075,-0.152,-0.006
170
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.481,0.269,0.673,-0.009,-0.034,0.014
171
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.078,-0.179,0.003
172
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
174
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.004,-0.035,0.027
175
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.769,-0.004,-0.033,0.024
176
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.016,-0.028,0.057
 
177
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.245,0.182,0.306
178
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.158,-0.252,-0.077
179
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.033,-0.048,-0.021
180
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.03,-0.044,-0.016
181
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.105,-0.195,-0.029
 
182
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.133,-0.241,-0.035
183
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.028,-0.043,-0.014
184
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.064,-0.128,-0.015
185
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.064,-0.138,-0.002
186
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.001,-0.018,0.024
187
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.067,-0.166,0.016
188
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.01,-0.02,0.042
 
190
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.423,0.268,0.615,0.006,-0.028,0.038
191
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.006,-0.025,0.036
192
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.025,0.002,0.052
 
193
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.252,0.188,0.315
194
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.165,-0.253,-0.079
195
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.04,-0.074,-0.004
196
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.037,-0.071,0.0
197
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.112,-0.204,-0.031
 
198
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.14,-0.246,-0.037
199
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.034,-0.066,-0.002
200
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.071,-0.125,-0.024
201
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.346,0.192,0.5,-0.071,-0.149,-0.0
202
  FlowState,TiRex,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.005,-0.034,0.022
203
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.074,-0.167,0.011
204
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.004,-0.027,0.034
 
206
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.001,-0.029,0.034
208
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.307,0.635,0.019,-0.019,0.062
 
209
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.247,0.177,0.309
210
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.164,-0.254,-0.085
211
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.039,-0.071,-0.007
212
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.036,-0.066,-0.005
213
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.112,-0.213,-0.032
 
214
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.14,-0.248,-0.045
215
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.034,-0.064,-0.004
216
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.07,-0.126,-0.024
217
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.07,-0.153,0.001
218
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.615,-0.004,-0.034,0.02
219
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.074,-0.167,-0.002
220
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.231,0.596,0.004,-0.025,0.032
 
222
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.001,-0.035,0.028
223
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.423,0.731,0.02,-0.022,0.064
 
225
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.248,0.188,0.306
226
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.188,-0.285,-0.101
227
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.06,-0.091,-0.035
228
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.057,-0.091,-0.029
229
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.134,-0.221,-0.058
 
230
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.163,-0.282,-0.057
231
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.055,-0.087,-0.026
232
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.091,-0.164,-0.034
233
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.092,-0.167,-0.023
234
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.635,-0.024,-0.059,0.003
235
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.095,-0.203,-0.008
236
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.016,-0.061,0.027
 
238
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.693,-0.019,-0.066,0.018
239
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.577,-0.02,-0.068,0.021
240
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.233,0.167,0.293
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.548,-0.729,-0.384
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.382,-0.514,-0.266
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.377,-0.504,-0.267
245
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.478,-0.652,-0.321
 
246
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.515,-0.695,-0.36
247
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.375,-0.505,-0.259
248
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.423,-0.563,-0.289
249
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.423,-0.586,-0.273
250
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.335,-0.445,-0.237
251
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.428,-0.596,-0.276
252
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.324,-0.441,-0.223
 
254
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.329,-0.447,-0.215
255
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.33,-0.44,-0.232
256
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.303,-0.415,-0.201
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/pairwise_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.037,0.17
4
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.107,0.041,0.173
5
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.046,0.003,0.094
6
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.111,0.041,0.178
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.027,-0.009,0.067
 
 
8
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.141,0.072,0.204
9
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.105,0.06,0.145
10
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.082,0.044,0.12
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.137,0.072,0.202
12
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.159,0.083,0.225
13
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.167,0.099,0.227
14
- Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.178,0.111,0.242
15
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.161,0.096,0.219
16
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.178,0.104,0.248
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.437,0.368,0.497
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.204,-0.038
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.692,0.004,-0.003,0.012
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.064,-0.157,0.009
22
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.008,-0.003,0.02
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.194,0.015
 
 
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.042,0.016,0.07
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.002,-0.064,0.055
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.024,-0.12,0.056
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.038,0.025,0.054
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.062,0.029,0.096
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.071,0.039,0.104
30
- Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.083,0.055,0.111
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.064,0.029,0.097
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.083,0.051,0.117
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.312,0.433
34
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.12,-0.209,-0.043
35
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.462,0.308,0.654,-0.004,-0.012,0.003
36
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.068,-0.162,0.007
38
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.004,-0.008,0.015
39
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.09,-0.198,0.008
40
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.038,0.013,0.065
41
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.002,-0.07,0.051
42
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.028,-0.125,0.049
43
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.034,0.021,0.048
44
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,0.025,0.092
45
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.067,0.035,0.101
46
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.079,0.051,0.108
47
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.061,0.028,0.091
48
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.08,0.048,0.112
49
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.312,0.43
50
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.049,-0.104,-0.003
51
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.06,-0.009,0.136
52
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.007,0.139
53
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.067,-0.004,0.147
55
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.02,-0.087,0.038
 
 
56
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.099,0.033,0.169
57
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.062,0.004,0.116
58
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.038,-0.015,0.087
59
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.095,0.027,0.165
60
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.118,0.044,0.193
61
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.126,0.058,0.197
62
- TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.138,0.076,0.204
63
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.12,0.05,0.194
64
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.138,0.066,0.209
65
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.334,0.479
66
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.124,-0.216,-0.043
67
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
68
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.004,-0.015,0.008
69
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.072,-0.172,0.004
70
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.094,-0.204,0.006
72
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,0.013,0.057
73
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.006,-0.069,0.044
74
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.032,-0.133,0.048
75
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.03,0.017,0.045
76
- Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.055,0.025,0.084
77
- Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.063,0.034,0.094
78
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.075,0.046,0.105
79
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.057,0.023,0.089
80
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.046,0.105
81
- Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.309,0.428
82
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.028,-0.072,0.009
83
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.079,-0.015,0.163
84
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.082,-0.008,0.165
85
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.02,-0.04,0.08
86
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.086,-0.006,0.169
87
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
88
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.117,0.03,0.195
89
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.692,0.538,0.885,0.08,0.022,0.134
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.008,0.098
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.113,0.029,0.192
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.136,0.046,0.217
93
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.144,0.053,0.217
94
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.07,0.235
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.138,0.059,0.21
96
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.067,0.235
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.35,0.49
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.164,-0.257,-0.078
99
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.044,-0.075,-0.016
100
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.04,-0.069,-0.013
101
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.11,-0.204,-0.034
102
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.061,-0.013
103
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.133,-0.242,-0.031
 
 
104
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.042,-0.101,0.005
106
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.068,-0.171,0.014
107
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.004,-0.029,0.02
108
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.481,0.846,0.021,-0.002,0.045
109
  TiRex,FlowState,0.635,0.461,0.808,0.03,0.003,0.06
110
- TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.788,0.615,0.923,0.043,0.014,0.075
111
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.005,0.052
112
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.043,0.012,0.072
113
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.286,0.404
114
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.118,-0.17,-0.063
115
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.002,-0.058,0.06
116
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.002,-0.053,0.065
117
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.066,-0.131,-0.004
118
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.006,-0.046,0.065
119
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.115,0.462,-0.087,-0.155,-0.022
 
 
120
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.04,-0.005,0.091
121
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.026,-0.077,0.023
123
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.036,-0.015,0.094
124
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.06,0.012,0.114
125
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.069,0.021,0.117
126
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.081,0.027,0.144
127
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.062,0.024,0.108
128
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.082,0.024,0.142
129
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.371,0.307,0.432
130
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.09,-0.136,-0.046
131
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.023,-0.059,0.107
132
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.027,-0.051,0.111
133
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.039,-0.095,0.015
134
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.031,-0.05,0.117
135
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.109,-0.008
 
 
136
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.014,0.146
137
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.025,-0.023,0.071
138
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.06,-0.022,0.145
140
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.084,0.006,0.167
141
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.092,0.015,0.166
142
- TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.104,0.024,0.189
143
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.086,0.022,0.16
144
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.105,0.018,0.189
145
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.386,0.308,0.462
146
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.159,-0.254,-0.077
147
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.039,-0.057,-0.025
148
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.035,-0.05,-0.021
149
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.198,-0.028
150
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.031,-0.047,-0.018
151
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.128,-0.238,-0.029
 
 
152
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.004,-0.02,0.028
153
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.037,-0.104,0.015
154
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.064,-0.17,0.021
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.025,-0.009,0.059
157
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.001,0.07
158
- Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.018,0.075
159
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.027,-0.009,0.062
160
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.047,0.022,0.073
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.347,0.288,0.407
162
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.189,-0.291,-0.09
163
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.066,-0.106,-0.029
164
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.102,-0.025
165
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.134,-0.24,-0.046
166
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.058,-0.092,-0.026
167
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.157,-0.277,-0.048
 
 
168
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.519,-0.021,-0.047,0.002
169
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.064,-0.128,-0.012
170
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.091,-0.2,-0.006
171
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.026,-0.062,0.009
172
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.04
174
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.022,-0.023,0.067
175
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.002,-0.028,0.029
176
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.023,-0.015,0.057
177
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.33,0.269,0.394
178
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.2,-0.294,-0.11
179
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.076,-0.116,-0.04
180
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.072,-0.113,-0.036
181
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.145,-0.245,-0.061
182
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.068,-0.104,-0.035
183
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.168,-0.277,-0.057
 
 
184
  FlowState,TiRex,0.365,0.192,0.539,-0.031,-0.064,-0.003
185
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.074,-0.133,-0.021
186
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.102,-0.199,-0.015
187
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.035,-0.075,0.001
188
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.042,0.022
189
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
- FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.384,0.712,0.013,-0.029,0.059
191
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.007,-0.041,0.029
192
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.014,-0.03,0.052
193
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.324,0.259,0.389
194
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.216,-0.319,-0.125
195
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.09,-0.125,-0.058
196
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.086,-0.122,-0.054
197
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.16,-0.257,-0.082
198
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.082,-0.117,-0.048
199
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.183,-0.308,-0.075
200
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.385,-0.045,-0.081,-0.014
201
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.088,-0.168,-0.028
202
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.116,-0.233,-0.025
203
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.081,-0.018
204
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.023,-0.071,0.023
205
- Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.616,-0.013,-0.062,0.029
206
- Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.346,0.673,-0.02,-0.075,0.025
208
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.001,-0.036,0.039
209
- Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.315,0.249,0.385
210
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.192,-0.28,-0.106
211
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.069,-0.108,-0.029
212
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.064,-0.101,-0.028
213
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.137,-0.24,-0.053
214
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.06,-0.097,-0.024
215
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.16,-0.266,-0.063
 
 
216
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.115,0.423,-0.024,-0.055,0.005
217
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.066,-0.121,-0.024
218
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.094,-0.19,-0.023
219
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.028,-0.066,0.009
220
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.002,-0.03,0.027
221
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.007,-0.03,0.039
222
- Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.327,0.654,0.02,-0.025,0.07
223
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.023,0.063
225
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.273,0.388
226
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.217,-0.33,-0.116
227
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.091,-0.132,-0.054
228
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.087,-0.126,-0.05
229
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.161,-0.264,-0.071
230
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.117,-0.049
231
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.307,-0.072
232
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.045,-0.078,-0.012
233
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.089,-0.166,-0.025
234
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.117,-0.234,-0.018
235
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.05,-0.079,-0.023
236
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.023,-0.061,0.015
237
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.014,-0.054,0.029
238
- Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.001,-0.041,0.035
239
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.021,-0.067,0.023
240
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.315,0.256,0.378
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.776,-0.987,-0.581
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.765,-0.454
244
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.586,-0.754,-0.453
245
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.92,-0.5
246
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.58,-0.749,-0.446
247
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-0.962,-0.539
 
 
248
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.526,-0.679,-0.401
249
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.589,-0.761,-0.444
250
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.63,-0.858,-0.445
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.532,-0.686,-0.404
252
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.493,-0.65,-0.368
253
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.48,-0.638,-0.35
254
- Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.46,-0.627,-0.331
255
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.633,-0.376
256
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.459,-0.608,-0.344
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.037,0.17
 
4
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.046,0.003,0.094
5
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.107,0.041,0.173
6
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.027,-0.009,0.067
7
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.111,0.041,0.178
8
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.084,0.048,0.12
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.141,0.072,0.204
10
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.105,0.06,0.145
11
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.082,0.044,0.12
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.137,0.072,0.202
13
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.159,0.083,0.225
14
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.167,0.099,0.227
 
15
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.161,0.096,0.219
16
+ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.178,0.111,0.242
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.437,0.368,0.497
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.204,-0.038
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
20
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.064,-0.157,0.009
21
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.692,0.004,-0.003,0.012
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.194,0.015
23
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.008,-0.003,0.02
24
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.022,-0.093,0.043
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.042,0.016,0.07
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.002,-0.064,0.055
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.024,-0.12,0.056
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.038,0.025,0.054
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.062,0.029,0.096
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.071,0.039,0.104
 
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.064,0.029,0.097
32
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.083,0.055,0.111
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.312,0.433
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.049,-0.104,-0.003
35
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.06,-0.009,0.136
 
36
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.007,0.139
38
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.02,-0.087,0.038
39
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.067,-0.004,0.147
40
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.731,0.538,0.923,0.039,-0.009,0.084
41
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.099,0.033,0.169
42
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.062,0.004,0.116
43
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.038,-0.015,0.087
44
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.095,0.027,0.165
45
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.118,0.044,0.193
46
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.126,0.058,0.197
 
47
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.12,0.05,0.194
48
+ TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.138,0.076,0.204
49
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.334,0.479
50
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.12,-0.209,-0.043
51
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.462,0.308,0.654,-0.004,-0.012,0.003
52
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.068,-0.162,0.007
53
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.09,-0.198,0.008
55
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.004,-0.008,0.015
56
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.026,-0.095,0.036
57
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.038,0.013,0.065
58
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.002,-0.07,0.051
59
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.028,-0.125,0.049
60
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.034,0.021,0.048
61
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,0.025,0.092
62
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.067,0.035,0.101
63
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.061,0.028,0.091
64
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.079,0.051,0.108
65
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.312,0.43
66
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.028,-0.072,0.009
67
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.079,-0.015,0.163
 
68
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.02,-0.04,0.08
69
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.082,-0.008,0.165
70
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.086,-0.006,0.169
72
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.058,0.005,0.113
73
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.117,0.03,0.195
74
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.692,0.538,0.885,0.08,0.022,0.134
75
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.008,0.098
76
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.113,0.029,0.192
77
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.136,0.046,0.217
78
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.144,0.053,0.217
 
79
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.138,0.059,0.21
80
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.07,0.235
81
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.35,0.49
82
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.124,-0.216,-0.043
83
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
84
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.072,-0.172,0.004
85
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.004,-0.015,0.008
86
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.094,-0.204,0.006
87
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.03,-0.101,0.034
89
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,0.013,0.057
90
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.006,-0.069,0.044
91
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.032,-0.133,0.048
92
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.03,0.017,0.045
93
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.055,0.025,0.084
94
+ Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.063,0.034,0.094
95
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.057,0.023,0.089
96
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.075,0.046,0.105
97
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.309,0.428
98
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.092,-0.136,-0.051
99
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.021,-0.045,0.085
100
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.269,0.077,0.462,-0.041,-0.092,0.008
101
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.025,-0.038,0.087
102
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.062,-0.127,-0.005
103
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.029,-0.035,0.092
104
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.062,0.0,0.123
106
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.024,-0.026,0.069
107
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.002,-0.063,0.053
108
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.345,0.692,0.059,-0.003,0.119
109
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.082,0.014,0.146
110
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.091,0.024,0.151
111
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.084,0.02,0.148
112
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.103,0.043,0.161
113
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.316,0.455
114
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.164,-0.257,-0.078
115
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.044,-0.075,-0.016
 
116
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.11,-0.204,-0.034
117
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.04,-0.069,-0.013
118
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.133,-0.242,-0.031
119
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.061,-0.013
120
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.067,-0.14,-0.0
121
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.042,-0.101,0.005
123
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.068,-0.171,0.014
124
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.004,-0.029,0.02
125
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.481,0.846,0.021,-0.002,0.045
126
  TiRex,FlowState,0.635,0.461,0.808,0.03,0.003,0.06
 
127
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.005,0.052
128
+ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.788,0.615,0.923,0.043,0.014,0.075
129
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.286,0.404
130
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.118,-0.17,-0.063
131
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.002,-0.058,0.06
 
132
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.066,-0.131,-0.004
133
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.002,-0.053,0.065
134
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.115,0.462,-0.087,-0.155,-0.022
135
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.006,-0.046,0.065
136
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.024,-0.074,0.025
137
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.04,-0.005,0.091
138
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.026,-0.077,0.023
140
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.036,-0.015,0.094
141
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.06,0.012,0.114
142
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.069,0.021,0.117
 
143
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.062,0.024,0.108
144
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.081,0.027,0.144
145
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.371,0.307,0.432
146
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.09,-0.136,-0.046
147
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.023,-0.059,0.107
 
148
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.039,-0.095,0.015
149
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.027,-0.051,0.111
150
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.109,-0.008
151
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.031,-0.05,0.117
152
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.002,-0.056,0.059
153
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.014,0.146
154
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.025,-0.023,0.071
155
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.06,-0.022,0.145
157
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.084,0.006,0.167
158
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.092,0.015,0.166
 
159
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.086,0.022,0.16
160
+ TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.104,0.024,0.189
161
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.386,0.308,0.462
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.159,-0.254,-0.077
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.039,-0.057,-0.025
 
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.198,-0.028
165
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.035,-0.05,-0.021
166
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.128,-0.238,-0.029
167
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.031,-0.047,-0.018
168
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.655,-0.062,-0.135,0.003
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.004,-0.02,0.028
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.037,-0.104,0.015
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.064,-0.17,0.021
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.025,-0.009,0.059
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.001,0.07
 
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.027,-0.009,0.062
176
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.018,0.075
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.347,0.288,0.407
178
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.189,-0.291,-0.09
179
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.066,-0.106,-0.029
 
180
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.134,-0.24,-0.046
181
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.102,-0.025
182
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.157,-0.277,-0.048
183
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.058,-0.092,-0.026
184
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.09,-0.17,-0.014
185
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.519,-0.021,-0.047,0.002
186
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.064,-0.128,-0.012
187
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.091,-0.2,-0.006
188
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.026,-0.062,0.009
189
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.04
 
191
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.002,-0.028,0.029
192
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.022,-0.023,0.067
193
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.33,0.269,0.394
194
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.2,-0.294,-0.11
195
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.076,-0.116,-0.04
 
196
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.145,-0.245,-0.061
197
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.072,-0.113,-0.036
198
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.168,-0.277,-0.057
199
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.068,-0.104,-0.035
200
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.1,-0.178,-0.025
201
  FlowState,TiRex,0.365,0.192,0.539,-0.031,-0.064,-0.003
202
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.074,-0.133,-0.021
203
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.102,-0.199,-0.015
204
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.035,-0.075,0.001
205
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.042,0.022
206
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
207
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.007,-0.041,0.029
208
+ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.384,0.712,0.013,-0.029,0.059
209
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.324,0.259,0.389
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
210
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.192,-0.28,-0.106
211
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.069,-0.108,-0.029
 
212
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.137,-0.24,-0.053
213
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.064,-0.101,-0.028
214
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.16,-0.266,-0.063
215
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.06,-0.097,-0.024
216
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.092,-0.174,-0.02
217
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.115,0.423,-0.024,-0.055,0.005
218
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.066,-0.121,-0.024
219
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.094,-0.19,-0.023
220
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.028,-0.066,0.009
221
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.002,-0.03,0.027
222
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.007,-0.03,0.039
 
223
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
+ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.327,0.654,0.02,-0.025,0.07
225
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.273,0.388
226
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.216,-0.319,-0.125
227
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.09,-0.125,-0.058
228
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.16,-0.257,-0.082
229
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.086,-0.122,-0.054
230
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.183,-0.308,-0.075
231
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.082,-0.117,-0.048
232
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.114,-0.192,-0.045
233
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.385,-0.045,-0.081,-0.014
234
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.088,-0.168,-0.028
235
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.116,-0.233,-0.025
236
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.081,-0.018
237
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.023,-0.071,0.023
238
+ Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.616,-0.013,-0.062,0.029
239
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.346,0.673,-0.02,-0.075,0.025
240
+ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
+ Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.315,0.249,0.385
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.776,-0.987,-0.581
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.765,-0.454
 
244
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.92,-0.5
245
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.586,-0.754,-0.453
246
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-0.962,-0.539
247
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.58,-0.749,-0.446
248
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.627,-0.834,-0.462
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.526,-0.679,-0.401
250
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.589,-0.761,-0.444
251
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.63,-0.858,-0.445
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.532,-0.686,-0.404
253
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.493,-0.65,-0.368
254
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.48,-0.638,-0.35
 
255
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.633,-0.376
256
+ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.46,-0.627,-0.331
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.095,0.019,0.17
4
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.099,0.028,0.168
 
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.03,0.173
6
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.048,0.002,0.096
 
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.045,-0.012,0.099
8
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.086,0.041,0.13
9
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.054,0.188
10
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.103,0.035,0.178
11
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.141,0.074,0.204
12
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.149,0.075,0.214
13
- Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.156,0.089,0.221
14
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.149,0.081,0.219
 
15
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.146,0.079,0.202
16
- Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.13,0.071,0.194
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.376,0.282,0.449
18
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.104,-0.204,-0.02
19
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.005,-0.012,0.025
21
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.01,-0.003,0.026
22
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.052,-0.153,0.034
23
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.055,-0.17,0.057
24
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.01,-0.081,0.053
25
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.03,0.006,0.053
26
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.01,-0.1,0.109
27
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.094
28
- Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.02,0.109
29
- Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.068,0.029,0.113
30
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.011,0.118
31
- Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.015,0.097
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.039,-0.069,0.14
33
- Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.31,0.223,0.392
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.11,-0.202,-0.029
35
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.005,-0.026,0.012
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.006,-0.007,0.018
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.057,-0.158,0.028
 
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.06,-0.174,0.05
40
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.014,-0.084,0.042
41
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.026,0.005,0.044
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.005,-0.109,0.1
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.019,0.079
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.055,0.019,0.099
45
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.064,0.026,0.103
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.056,0.014,0.105
 
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.052,0.012,0.09
48
- Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.034,-0.073,0.132
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.307,0.221,0.386
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
50
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.209,-0.031
51
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.011,-0.027,0.003
52
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.006,-0.018,0.007
 
53
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.063,-0.16,0.02
 
55
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.066,-0.174,0.041
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.02,-0.088,0.038
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.02,0.002,0.037
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.001,-0.108,0.094
59
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.041,0.011,0.077
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.05,0.012,0.097
61
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.058,0.019,0.099
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.05,0.005,0.099
 
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.047,0.006,0.086
64
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.028,-0.075,0.128
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.303,0.219,0.384
66
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.05,-0.106,-0.002
67
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.049,-0.035,0.133
68
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.054,-0.029,0.137
 
69
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.059,-0.02,0.138
70
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
71
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.003,-0.078,0.069
72
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.04,-0.024,0.102
73
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.078,0.004,0.154
74
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,-0.019,0.139
75
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.098,0.027,0.167
76
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.106,0.033,0.182
77
- TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.114,0.041,0.183
78
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.107,0.025,0.193
 
79
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.103,0.027,0.175
80
- TiRex-2,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.086,0.001,0.169
81
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.344,0.247,0.425
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
82
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.047,-0.11,0.012
83
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.052,-0.061,0.145
84
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.056,-0.053,0.148
 
85
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.062,-0.043,0.148
86
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.003,-0.074,0.072
 
87
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.043,-0.024,0.104
89
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.016,0.164
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,-0.003,0.119
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.1,0.002,0.189
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.109,0.018,0.192
93
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.116,0.015,0.206
94
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.109,0.021,0.191
 
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.106,0.011,0.188
96
- TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.089,0.008,0.164
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.346,0.261,0.422
98
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.094,-0.149,-0.042
99
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.009,-0.056,0.075
100
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.014,-0.044,0.078
 
101
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.02,-0.039,0.081
102
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.042,-0.114,0.024
 
103
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.045,-0.117,0.023
104
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.04,-0.013,0.095
106
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.019,-0.043,0.08
107
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.06,0.009,0.11
108
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.069,0.014,0.126
109
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.077,0.019,0.137
110
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.069,0.02,0.123
 
111
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.066,0.014,0.112
112
- citras-fm,Sundial-Base,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.048,-0.04,0.125
113
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.317,0.235,0.384
114
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.232,-0.057
115
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.031,-0.055,-0.006
116
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.027,-0.046,-0.005
 
117
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.021,-0.039,-0.002
118
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.181,-0.004
 
119
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.197,0.015
120
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.041,-0.105,0.013
121
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.126,0.071
123
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.012,0.058
124
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.03,-0.011,0.078
125
- Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.039,-0.002,0.079
126
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,-0.011,0.077
 
127
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.654,0.5,0.808,0.027,-0.018,0.066
128
- Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.008,-0.099,0.104
129
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.289,0.209,0.365
130
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.115,-0.216,-0.036
131
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.01,-0.123,0.091
132
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.005,-0.112,0.098
 
133
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.001,-0.103,0.098
134
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.161,0.018
 
135
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.065,-0.135,0.003
136
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.019,-0.086,0.041
137
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.076,0.112
138
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.042,-0.07,0.138
140
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.047,0.137
141
- TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.059,-0.056,0.163
142
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.035,0.132
 
143
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.047,-0.06,0.132
144
- TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,-0.086,0.132
145
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.304,0.213,0.381
146
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.164,-0.256,-0.08
147
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.104,-0.017
148
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.085,-0.019
 
149
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.043,-0.084,-0.011
150
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.108,-0.201,-0.027
 
151
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.112,-0.233,-0.002
152
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.064,-0.124,-0.009
153
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.061,0.012
154
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.044,-0.161,0.065
155
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.558,0.365,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.041
157
- TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.442,0.269,0.615,0.018,-0.013,0.051
158
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.01,-0.028,0.06
 
159
  TiRex,FlowState,0.519,0.346,0.692,0.006,-0.029,0.041
160
- TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.635,0.462,0.808,-0.013,-0.12,0.076
161
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.273,0.184,0.352
162
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.175,-0.273,-0.081
163
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.063,-0.122,-0.021
164
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.058,-0.11,-0.019
 
165
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.052,-0.107,-0.012
166
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.119,-0.222,-0.034
 
167
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.122,-0.238,-0.019
168
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.074,-0.144,-0.014
169
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.031,-0.085,0.011
170
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.053,-0.159,0.045
171
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.442,0.25,0.635,-0.009,-0.043,0.023
172
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.046,0.062
174
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.674,0.001,-0.039,0.042
 
175
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.003,-0.048,0.038
176
- TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.022,-0.12,0.067
177
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.267,0.184,0.338
178
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.185,-0.284,-0.098
179
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.073,-0.128,-0.029
180
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.068,-0.114,-0.027
181
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.062,-0.11,-0.02
182
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.129,-0.223,-0.043
183
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.132,-0.26,-0.016
184
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.083,-0.159,-0.019
185
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.04,-0.086,0.002
186
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.063,-0.195,0.053
187
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.558,0.385,0.731,-0.018,-0.054,0.013
188
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.067,0.044
189
- Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.596,-0.008,-0.073,0.062
191
- Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.012,-0.065,0.03
192
- Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.769,-0.032,-0.143,0.065
193
- Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.26,0.164,0.341
194
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.175,-0.28,-0.089
195
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.064,-0.133,-0.011
196
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.059,-0.118,-0.014
 
197
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.053,-0.109,-0.005
198
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.119,-0.24,-0.026
 
199
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.123,-0.236,-0.021
200
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.074,-0.14,-0.02
201
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.083,0.011
202
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.054,-0.152,0.034
203
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.01,-0.064,0.027
204
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.326,0.673,-0.001,-0.044,0.038
205
- Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.731,0.008,-0.066,0.068
206
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
207
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.327,0.673,-0.004,-0.072,0.041
208
- Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.023,-0.128,0.067
209
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.266,0.183,0.339
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
210
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.171,-0.253,-0.086
211
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.108,-0.016
212
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.055,-0.098,-0.012
 
213
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.049,-0.094,-0.006
214
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.115,-0.212,-0.027
 
215
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.118,-0.231,-0.011
216
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.07,-0.126,-0.014
217
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.192,0.5,-0.028,-0.07,0.018
218
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.05,-0.152,0.056
219
  FlowState,TiRex,0.481,0.308,0.654,-0.006,-0.043,0.028
220
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.003,-0.04,0.046
221
- FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.012,-0.031,0.061
222
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.673,0.004,-0.043,0.067
 
223
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.558,0.385,0.75,-0.019,-0.118,0.069
225
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.269,0.178,0.347
226
- Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.149,-0.241,-0.077
227
- Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.04,-0.162,0.064
228
- Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.035,-0.153,0.068
229
- Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.029,-0.146,0.07
230
- Sundial-Base,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.094,-0.203,-0.001
231
- Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.097,-0.196,-0.008
232
- Sundial-Base,citras-fm,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.05,-0.143,0.038
233
- Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.008,-0.116,0.09
234
- Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.03,-0.153,0.08
235
- Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.365,0.192,0.538,0.013,-0.083,0.107
236
- Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.404,0.212,0.577,0.022,-0.072,0.107
237
- Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.404,0.231,0.577,0.031,-0.069,0.125
238
- Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.023,-0.072,0.113
239
- Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.442,0.25,0.615,0.019,-0.074,0.106
240
- Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.283,0.183,0.364
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.601,-0.814,-0.393
243
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.45,-0.645,-0.288
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.443,-0.63,-0.284
 
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.435,-0.623,-0.28
246
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.525,-0.739,-0.328
 
247
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.529,-0.73,-0.353
248
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.464,-0.622,-0.308
249
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.406,-0.574,-0.264
250
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.436,-0.616,-0.27
251
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.376,-0.544,-0.225
252
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.511,-0.225
253
- Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.351,-0.517,-0.196
254
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.513,-0.225
 
255
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.368,-0.532,-0.217
256
- Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.394,-0.572,-0.225
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.099,0.028,0.168
4
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.095,0.019,0.17
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.03,0.173
6
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.048,0.002,0.096
7
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.053,-0.002,0.103
8
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.045,-0.012,0.099
9
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.086,0.041,0.13
10
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.054,0.188
11
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.103,0.035,0.178
12
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.141,0.074,0.204
13
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.149,0.075,0.214
 
14
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.149,0.081,0.219
15
+ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.156,0.089,0.221
16
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.146,0.079,0.202
 
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.376,0.282,0.449
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.11,-0.202,-0.029
 
19
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.005,-0.026,0.012
21
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.006,-0.007,0.018
22
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.057,-0.158,0.028
23
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.051,-0.139,0.026
24
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.06,-0.174,0.05
25
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.014,-0.084,0.042
26
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.026,0.005,0.044
27
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.005,-0.109,0.1
28
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.019,0.079
29
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.055,0.019,0.099
 
30
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.056,0.014,0.105
31
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.064,0.026,0.103
32
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.052,0.012,0.09
 
33
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.307,0.221,0.386
34
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.104,-0.204,-0.02
35
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.005,-0.012,0.025
36
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.01,-0.003,0.026
38
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.052,-0.153,0.034
39
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.046,-0.136,0.034
40
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.055,-0.17,0.057
41
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.01,-0.081,0.053
42
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.03,0.006,0.053
43
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.01,-0.1,0.109
44
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.094
45
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.02,0.109
46
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.011,0.118
47
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.068,0.029,0.113
48
+ Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.015,0.097
49
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.31,0.223,0.392
50
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.209,-0.031
 
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.006,-0.018,0.007
52
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.011,-0.027,0.003
53
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.063,-0.16,0.02
55
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.057,-0.143,0.019
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.066,-0.174,0.041
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.02,-0.088,0.038
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.02,0.002,0.037
59
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.001,-0.108,0.094
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.041,0.011,0.077
61
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.05,0.012,0.097
 
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.05,0.005,0.099
63
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.058,0.019,0.099
64
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.047,0.006,0.086
 
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.303,0.219,0.384
66
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.05,-0.106,-0.002
 
67
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.054,-0.029,0.137
68
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.049,-0.035,0.133
69
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.059,-0.02,0.138
70
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.006,-0.049,0.06
72
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.003,-0.078,0.069
73
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.04,-0.024,0.102
74
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.078,0.004,0.154
75
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,-0.019,0.139
76
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.098,0.027,0.167
77
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.106,0.033,0.182
 
78
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.107,0.025,0.193
79
+ TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.114,0.041,0.183
80
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.103,0.027,0.175
 
81
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.344,0.247,0.425
82
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.056,-0.114,0.002
83
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.048,-0.027,0.122
84
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.044,-0.035,0.12
85
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.054,-0.02,0.125
86
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.006,-0.064,0.047
87
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.009,-0.061,0.04
89
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.035,-0.019,0.084
90
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.073,0.01,0.137
91
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.053,-0.008,0.111
92
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.018,0.163
93
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.101,0.029,0.168
94
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.101,0.027,0.173
95
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.109,0.035,0.176
96
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.098,0.021,0.166
97
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.341,0.266,0.408
98
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.047,-0.11,0.012
 
99
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.056,-0.053,0.148
100
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.052,-0.061,0.145
101
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.062,-0.043,0.148
102
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.003,-0.074,0.072
103
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.009,-0.042,0.058
104
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.043,-0.024,0.104
106
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.016,0.164
107
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,-0.003,0.119
108
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.1,0.002,0.189
109
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.109,0.018,0.192
 
110
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.109,0.021,0.191
111
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.116,0.015,0.206
112
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.106,0.011,0.188
 
113
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.346,0.261,0.422
114
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.094,-0.149,-0.042
 
115
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.014,-0.044,0.078
116
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.009,-0.056,0.075
117
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.02,-0.039,0.081
118
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.042,-0.114,0.024
119
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.036,-0.091,0.019
120
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.045,-0.117,0.023
121
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.04,-0.013,0.095
123
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.019,-0.043,0.08
124
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.06,0.009,0.11
125
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.069,0.014,0.126
 
126
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.069,0.02,0.123
127
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.077,0.019,0.137
128
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.066,0.014,0.112
 
129
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.317,0.235,0.384
130
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.232,-0.057
 
131
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.027,-0.046,-0.005
132
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.031,-0.055,-0.006
133
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.021,-0.039,-0.002
134
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.181,-0.004
135
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.079,-0.158,-0.01
136
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.197,0.015
137
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.041,-0.105,0.013
138
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.126,0.071
140
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.012,0.058
141
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.03,-0.011,0.078
 
142
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,-0.011,0.077
143
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.039,-0.002,0.079
144
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.654,0.5,0.808,0.027,-0.018,0.066
 
145
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.289,0.209,0.365
146
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.115,-0.216,-0.036
 
147
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.005,-0.112,0.098
148
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.01,-0.123,0.091
149
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.001,-0.103,0.098
150
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.161,0.018
151
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.056,-0.125,0.008
152
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.065,-0.135,0.003
153
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.019,-0.086,0.041
154
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.076,0.112
155
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.042,-0.07,0.138
157
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.047,0.137
 
158
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.035,0.132
159
+ TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.059,-0.056,0.163
160
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.047,-0.06,0.132
 
161
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.304,0.213,0.381
162
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.164,-0.256,-0.08
 
163
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.085,-0.019
164
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.104,-0.017
165
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.043,-0.084,-0.011
166
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.108,-0.201,-0.027
167
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.102,-0.195,-0.018
168
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.112,-0.233,-0.002
169
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.064,-0.124,-0.009
170
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.061,0.012
171
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.044,-0.161,0.065
172
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.558,0.365,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.041
 
174
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.01,-0.028,0.06
175
+ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.442,0.269,0.615,0.018,-0.013,0.051
176
  TiRex,FlowState,0.519,0.346,0.692,0.006,-0.029,0.041
 
177
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.273,0.184,0.352
178
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.175,-0.273,-0.081
 
179
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.058,-0.11,-0.019
180
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.063,-0.122,-0.021
181
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.052,-0.107,-0.012
182
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.119,-0.222,-0.034
183
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.112,-0.202,-0.03
184
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.122,-0.238,-0.019
185
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.074,-0.144,-0.014
186
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.031,-0.085,0.011
187
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.053,-0.159,0.045
188
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.442,0.25,0.635,-0.009,-0.043,0.023
189
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
190
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.674,0.001,-0.039,0.042
191
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.046,0.062
192
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.003,-0.048,0.038
 
193
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.267,0.184,0.338
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
194
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.175,-0.28,-0.089
 
195
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.059,-0.118,-0.014
196
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.064,-0.133,-0.011
197
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.053,-0.109,-0.005
198
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.119,-0.24,-0.026
199
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.113,-0.21,-0.028
200
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.123,-0.236,-0.021
201
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.074,-0.14,-0.02
202
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.083,0.011
203
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.054,-0.152,0.034
204
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.01,-0.064,0.027
205
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.326,0.673,-0.001,-0.044,0.038
 
206
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
+ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.731,0.008,-0.066,0.068
208
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.327,0.673,-0.004,-0.072,0.041
 
209
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.266,0.183,0.339
210
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.185,-0.284,-0.098
211
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.068,-0.114,-0.027
212
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.073,-0.128,-0.029
213
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.062,-0.11,-0.02
214
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.129,-0.223,-0.043
215
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.122,-0.214,-0.036
216
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.132,-0.26,-0.016
217
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.083,-0.159,-0.019
218
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.04,-0.086,0.002
219
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.063,-0.195,0.053
220
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.558,0.385,0.731,-0.018,-0.054,0.013
221
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.067,0.044
222
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.596,-0.008,-0.073,0.062
223
+ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
+ Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.012,-0.065,0.03
225
+ Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.26,0.164,0.341
226
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.171,-0.253,-0.086
 
227
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.055,-0.098,-0.012
228
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.108,-0.016
229
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.049,-0.094,-0.006
230
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.115,-0.212,-0.027
231
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.109,-0.199,-0.021
232
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.118,-0.231,-0.011
233
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.07,-0.126,-0.014
234
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.192,0.5,-0.028,-0.07,0.018
235
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.05,-0.152,0.056
236
  FlowState,TiRex,0.481,0.308,0.654,-0.006,-0.043,0.028
237
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.003,-0.04,0.046
 
238
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.673,0.004,-0.043,0.067
239
+ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.012,-0.031,0.061
240
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.269,0.178,0.347
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.601,-0.814,-0.393
 
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.443,-0.63,-0.284
244
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.45,-0.645,-0.288
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.435,-0.623,-0.28
246
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.525,-0.739,-0.328
247
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.516,-0.69,-0.363
248
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.529,-0.73,-0.353
249
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.464,-0.622,-0.308
250
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.406,-0.574,-0.264
251
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.436,-0.616,-0.27
252
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.376,-0.544,-0.225
253
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.511,-0.225
 
254
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.513,-0.225
255
+ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.351,-0.517,-0.196
256
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.368,-0.532,-0.217
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -5,15 +5,15 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.022,0.164
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.096,0.024,0.164
6
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,-0.001,0.094
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.051,-0.003,0.106
 
8
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.052,0.188
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.143,0.076,0.204
10
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.846,0.731,0.962,0.104,0.057,0.146
11
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.105,0.046,0.172
12
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.159,0.086,0.224
13
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.166,0.098,0.224
14
- Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.165,0.099,0.23
15
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.175,0.108,0.243
16
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.183,0.114,0.247
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.46,0.384,0.522
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.093,-0.19,-0.012
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -21,15 +21,15 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.009,-0.011,0.036
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.012,-0.002,0.029
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.044,-0.148,0.041
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.038,-0.155,0.074
 
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.04,0.019,0.065
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.063,0.022,0.115
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.02,-0.053,0.085
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.022,-0.085,0.112
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.037,0.131
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.088,0.047,0.131
30
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.087,0.036,0.138
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.098,0.054,0.147
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.107,0.065,0.155
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.333,0.481
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.103,-0.196,-0.022
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.009,-0.037,0.011
@@ -37,15 +37,15 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.231,0.577,0.003,-0.012,0.018
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.053,-0.156,0.03
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.047,-0.16,0.066
 
40
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.031,0.014,0.049
41
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.054,0.021,0.09
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.011,-0.056,0.066
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.013,-0.097,0.104
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.073,0.032,0.121
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.08,0.042,0.122
46
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.079,0.033,0.131
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.09,0.047,0.134
48
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.139
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.404,0.333,0.471
50
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.196,-0.025
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.012,-0.03,0.002
@@ -53,15 +53,15 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.769,-0.003,-0.018,0.012
53
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.056,-0.158,0.027
55
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.05,-0.161,0.059
 
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.028,0.011,0.045
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.092
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.008,-0.058,0.068
59
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.01,-0.093,0.098
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.07,0.031,0.118
61
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.077,0.036,0.12
62
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.031,0.122
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.087,0.046,0.133
64
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.096,0.057,0.137
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.329,0.473
66
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.104,0.001
67
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.042,-0.043,0.129
@@ -69,15 +69,15 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.05,-0.031,0.135
69
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.053,-0.028,0.137
70
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.006,-0.078,0.082
 
72
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.08,0.002,0.161
73
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.102,0.031,0.173
74
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.061,-0.001,0.121
75
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.063,-0.006,0.135
76
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.12,0.044,0.196
77
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.126,0.052,0.194
78
- TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.125,0.045,0.209
79
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.136,0.067,0.203
80
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.144,0.068,0.221
81
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.434,0.355,0.506
82
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.053,-0.119,0.003
83
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.036,-0.08,0.134
@@ -85,31 +85,47 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.045,-0.071,0.138
85
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.048,-0.063,0.139
86
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.006,-0.089,0.073
87
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
88
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.075,-0.031,0.163
89
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.097,-0.002,0.184
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.654,0.499,0.808,0.056,-0.016,0.118
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,-0.009,0.113
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.114,0.023,0.198
93
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.121,0.019,0.206
94
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.12,0.034,0.196
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.131,0.027,0.222
96
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.139,0.049,0.221
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.431,0.357,0.498
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.231,-0.055
99
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.042,-0.07,-0.019
100
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.032,-0.052,-0.014
101
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.029,-0.047,-0.011
102
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.087,-0.192,-0.002
103
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.081,-0.195,0.03
 
104
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.024,-0.012,0.064
106
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.021,-0.091,0.038
107
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.019,-0.126,0.073
108
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.043,0.0,0.09
109
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.05,0.007,0.089
110
- Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.049,0.002,0.098
111
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.061,0.018,0.104
112
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.069,0.038,0.103
113
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.315,0.453
114
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.166,-0.256,-0.083
115
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.067,-0.129,-0.023
@@ -117,15 +133,15 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.057,-0.099,-0.021
117
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.102,-0.016
118
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.113,-0.209,-0.032
119
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.107,-0.225,0.002
 
120
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.024,-0.068,0.012
121
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.045,-0.103,0.007
123
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.043,-0.153,0.057
124
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.02,-0.015,0.053
125
  TiRex,FlowState,0.596,0.404,0.769,0.027,-0.013,0.066
126
- TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.712,0.538,0.865,0.026,-0.018,0.077
127
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.577,0.904,0.038,0.007,0.071
128
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.047,0.012,0.079
129
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.37,0.299,0.439
130
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.269,-0.116,-0.171,-0.061
131
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.021,-0.093,0.051
@@ -133,15 +149,15 @@ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.012,-0.071,0.053
133
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.008,-0.073,0.055
134
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.065,-0.138,0.001
135
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.501,-0.059,-0.134,0.015
 
136
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.02,-0.04,0.083
137
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.043,-0.007,0.094
138
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.002,-0.057,0.06
140
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.062,0.007,0.12
141
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.07,0.017,0.118
142
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.068,0.019,0.125
143
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.08,0.021,0.143
144
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.088,0.026,0.151
145
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.397,0.328,0.457
146
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.118,-0.207,-0.048
147
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.022,-0.126,0.078
@@ -149,15 +165,15 @@ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.013,-0.116,0.088
149
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.01,-0.109,0.085
150
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.067,-0.156,0.006
151
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.061,-0.128,0.009
 
152
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.018,-0.078,0.112
153
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.042,-0.06,0.132
154
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.002,-0.064,0.054
155
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,-0.032,0.147
157
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.068,-0.037,0.15
158
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.066,-0.013,0.144
159
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.078,-0.027,0.177
160
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.087,-0.017,0.179
161
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.396,0.322,0.469
162
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.19,-0.289,-0.094
163
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.15,-0.039
@@ -165,15 +181,15 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.079,-0.137,-0.033
165
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.075,-0.134,-0.032
166
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.136,-0.244,-0.046
167
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.129,-0.247,-0.023
 
168
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.045,-0.098,-0.0
169
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.02,-0.056,0.015
170
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.066,-0.136,-0.007
171
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.064,-0.172,0.031
172
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.008,-0.042,0.052
174
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.006,-0.031,0.046
175
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.018,-0.038,0.072
176
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.028,-0.014,0.068
177
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.357,0.288,0.423
178
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.199,-0.288,-0.109
179
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.097,-0.151,-0.049
@@ -181,77 +197,61 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.087,-0.139,-0.043
181
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.084,-0.136,-0.038
182
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.145,-0.241,-0.055
183
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.138,-0.259,-0.02
 
184
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.053,-0.098,-0.007
185
  FlowState,TiRex,0.404,0.231,0.596,-0.028,-0.071,0.013
186
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.075,-0.134,-0.018
187
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.073,-0.177,0.036
188
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.008,-0.055,0.04
189
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
- FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.326,0.674,-0.002,-0.052,0.067
191
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.011,-0.039,0.061
192
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.02,-0.033,0.065
193
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.352,0.275,0.427
194
- Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.197,-0.299,-0.11
195
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.095,-0.16,-0.038
196
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.085,-0.15,-0.035
197
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.139,-0.032
198
- Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.143,-0.264,-0.047
199
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.136,-0.244,-0.035
200
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.051,-0.108,-0.002
201
- Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.288,0.135,0.462,-0.027,-0.084,0.018
202
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.073,-0.142,-0.019
203
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.071,-0.168,0.013
204
- Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.006,-0.048,0.03
205
- Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.326,0.674,0.002,-0.072,0.05
206
- Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
- Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.308,0.635,0.012,-0.062,0.076
208
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.77,0.022,-0.038,0.07
209
- Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.287,0.417
210
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.212,-0.32,-0.122
211
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.109,-0.173,-0.057
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.099,-0.154,-0.05
213
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.096,-0.154,-0.048
214
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.157,-0.255,-0.072
215
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.151,-0.285,-0.028
 
216
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.064,-0.116,-0.018
217
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.423,-0.039,-0.077,-0.007
218
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.086,-0.167,-0.022
219
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.084,-0.216,0.026
220
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.019,-0.077,0.037
221
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.011,-0.066,0.037
222
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.692,-0.012,-0.082,0.058
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.009,-0.03,0.051
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.345,0.266,0.421
226
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.224,-0.327,-0.128
227
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.119,-0.184,-0.069
228
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.109,-0.161,-0.065
229
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.106,-0.159,-0.06
230
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.168,-0.283,-0.072
231
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.161,-0.283,-0.052
232
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.075,-0.115,-0.039
233
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.049,-0.086,-0.012
234
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.097,-0.177,-0.027
235
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.095,-0.218,0.017
236
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.028,-0.073,0.014
237
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.02,-0.07,0.032
238
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.022,-0.075,0.036
239
- Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.01,-0.053,0.029
240
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.27,0.408
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.852,-1.093,-0.622
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.927,-0.5
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.679,-0.891,-0.5
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-0.899,-0.491
246
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.768,-1.023,-0.55
247
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.758,-0.992,-0.556
 
248
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.626,-0.83,-0.46
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.588,-0.782,-0.427
250
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.66,-0.841,-0.488
251
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.657,-0.882,-0.476
252
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.556,-0.734,-0.404
253
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.544,-0.745,-0.38
254
- Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.547,-0.716,-0.403
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.528,-0.727,-0.362
256
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.513,-0.688,-0.369
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.096,0.024,0.164
6
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,-0.001,0.094
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.051,-0.003,0.106
8
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.052,-0.0,0.095
9
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.052,0.188
10
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.143,0.076,0.204
11
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.846,0.731,0.962,0.104,0.057,0.146
12
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.105,0.046,0.172
13
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.159,0.086,0.224
14
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.166,0.098,0.224
 
15
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.175,0.108,0.243
16
+ Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.165,0.099,0.23
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.46,0.384,0.522
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.093,-0.19,-0.012
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.012,-0.002,0.029
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.044,-0.148,0.041
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.038,-0.155,0.074
24
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.036,-0.116,0.038
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.04,0.019,0.065
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.063,0.022,0.115
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.02,-0.053,0.085
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.022,-0.085,0.112
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.037,0.131
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.088,0.047,0.131
 
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.098,0.054,0.147
32
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.087,0.036,0.138
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.333,0.481
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.103,-0.196,-0.022
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.009,-0.037,0.011
 
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.231,0.577,0.003,-0.012,0.018
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.053,-0.156,0.03
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.047,-0.16,0.066
40
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.046,-0.128,0.027
41
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.031,0.014,0.049
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.054,0.021,0.09
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.011,-0.056,0.066
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.013,-0.097,0.104
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.073,0.032,0.121
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.08,0.042,0.122
 
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.09,0.047,0.134
48
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.079,0.033,0.131
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.404,0.333,0.471
50
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.196,-0.025
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.012,-0.03,0.002
 
53
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.056,-0.158,0.027
55
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.05,-0.161,0.059
56
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.049,-0.127,0.023
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.028,0.011,0.045
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.092
59
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.008,-0.058,0.068
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.01,-0.093,0.098
61
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.07,0.031,0.118
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.077,0.036,0.12
 
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.087,0.046,0.133
64
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.031,0.122
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.329,0.473
66
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.104,0.001
67
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.042,-0.043,0.129
 
69
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.053,-0.028,0.137
70
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.006,-0.078,0.082
72
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.007,-0.052,0.061
73
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.08,0.002,0.161
74
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.102,0.031,0.173
75
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.061,-0.001,0.121
76
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.063,-0.006,0.135
77
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.12,0.044,0.196
78
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.126,0.052,0.194
 
79
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.136,0.067,0.203
80
+ TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.125,0.045,0.209
81
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.434,0.355,0.506
82
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.053,-0.119,0.003
83
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.036,-0.08,0.134
 
85
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.048,-0.063,0.139
86
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.006,-0.089,0.073
87
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.001,-0.057,0.052
89
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.075,-0.031,0.163
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.097,-0.002,0.184
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.654,0.499,0.808,0.056,-0.016,0.118
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,-0.009,0.113
93
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.114,0.023,0.198
94
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.121,0.019,0.206
 
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.131,0.027,0.222
96
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.12,0.034,0.196
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.431,0.357,0.498
98
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.055,-0.105,0.0
99
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.035,-0.04,0.104
100
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.044,-0.028,0.113
101
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.046,-0.024,0.113
102
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.007,-0.064,0.05
103
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.001,-0.055,0.054
104
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.074,0.006,0.139
106
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.095,0.022,0.169
107
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.054,0.003,0.105
108
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.056,-0.002,0.109
109
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.113,0.043,0.179
110
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.12,0.047,0.185
111
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.13,0.059,0.198
112
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.119,0.048,0.187
113
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.43,0.361,0.492
114
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.231,-0.055
115
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.042,-0.07,-0.019
116
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.032,-0.052,-0.014
117
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.029,-0.047,-0.011
118
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.087,-0.192,-0.002
119
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.081,-0.195,0.03
120
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.079,-0.161,-0.006
121
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.024,-0.012,0.064
123
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.021,-0.091,0.038
124
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.019,-0.126,0.073
125
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.043,0.0,0.09
126
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.05,0.007,0.089
 
127
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.061,0.018,0.104
128
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.049,0.002,0.098
129
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.315,0.453
130
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.166,-0.256,-0.083
131
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.067,-0.129,-0.023
 
133
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.102,-0.016
134
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.113,-0.209,-0.032
135
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.107,-0.225,0.002
136
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.105,-0.203,-0.023
137
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.024,-0.068,0.012
138
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.045,-0.103,0.007
140
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.043,-0.153,0.057
141
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.02,-0.015,0.053
142
  TiRex,FlowState,0.596,0.404,0.769,0.027,-0.013,0.066
 
143
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.577,0.904,0.038,0.007,0.071
144
+ TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.712,0.538,0.865,0.026,-0.018,0.077
145
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.37,0.299,0.439
146
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.269,-0.116,-0.171,-0.061
147
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.021,-0.093,0.051
 
149
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.008,-0.073,0.055
150
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.065,-0.138,0.001
151
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.501,-0.059,-0.134,0.015
152
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.058,-0.118,-0.003
153
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.02,-0.04,0.083
154
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.043,-0.007,0.094
155
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.002,-0.057,0.06
157
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.062,0.007,0.12
158
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.07,0.017,0.118
 
159
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.08,0.021,0.143
160
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.068,0.019,0.125
161
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.397,0.328,0.457
162
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.118,-0.207,-0.048
163
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.022,-0.126,0.078
 
165
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.01,-0.109,0.085
166
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.067,-0.156,0.006
167
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.061,-0.128,0.009
168
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.06,-0.122,0.002
169
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.018,-0.078,0.112
170
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.042,-0.06,0.132
171
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.002,-0.064,0.054
172
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,-0.032,0.147
174
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.068,-0.037,0.15
 
175
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.078,-0.027,0.177
176
+ TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.066,-0.013,0.144
177
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.396,0.322,0.469
178
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.19,-0.289,-0.094
179
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.15,-0.039
 
181
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.075,-0.134,-0.032
182
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.136,-0.244,-0.046
183
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.129,-0.247,-0.023
184
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.128,-0.218,-0.045
185
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.045,-0.098,-0.0
186
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.02,-0.056,0.015
187
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.066,-0.136,-0.007
188
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.064,-0.172,0.031
189
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.008,-0.042,0.052
 
191
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.018,-0.038,0.072
192
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.006,-0.031,0.046
193
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.357,0.288,0.423
194
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.199,-0.288,-0.109
195
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.097,-0.151,-0.049
 
197
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.084,-0.136,-0.038
198
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.145,-0.241,-0.055
199
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.138,-0.259,-0.02
200
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.137,-0.226,-0.05
201
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.053,-0.098,-0.007
202
  FlowState,TiRex,0.404,0.231,0.596,-0.028,-0.071,0.013
203
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.075,-0.134,-0.018
204
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.073,-0.177,0.036
205
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.008,-0.055,0.04
206
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
207
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.011,-0.039,0.061
208
+ FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.326,0.674,-0.002,-0.052,0.067
209
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.352,0.275,0.427
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
210
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.212,-0.32,-0.122
211
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.109,-0.173,-0.057
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.099,-0.154,-0.05
213
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.096,-0.154,-0.048
214
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.157,-0.255,-0.072
215
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.151,-0.285,-0.028
216
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.149,-0.247,-0.062
217
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.064,-0.116,-0.018
218
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.423,-0.039,-0.077,-0.007
219
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.086,-0.167,-0.022
220
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.084,-0.216,0.026
221
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.019,-0.077,0.037
222
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.011,-0.066,0.037
 
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.692,-0.012,-0.082,0.058
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.345,0.266,0.421
226
+ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.197,-0.299,-0.11
227
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.095,-0.16,-0.038
228
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.085,-0.15,-0.035
229
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.139,-0.032
230
+ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.143,-0.264,-0.047
231
+ Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.136,-0.244,-0.035
232
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.135,-0.23,-0.05
233
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.051,-0.108,-0.002
234
+ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.288,0.135,0.462,-0.027,-0.084,0.018
235
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.073,-0.142,-0.019
236
+ Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.071,-0.168,0.013
237
+ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.006,-0.048,0.03
238
+ Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.326,0.674,0.002,-0.072,0.05
239
+ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.308,0.635,0.012,-0.062,0.076
240
+ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
+ Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.287,0.417
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.852,-1.093,-0.622
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.927,-0.5
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.679,-0.891,-0.5
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-0.899,-0.491
246
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.768,-1.023,-0.55
247
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.758,-0.992,-0.556
248
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.755,-0.969,-0.565
249
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.626,-0.83,-0.46
250
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.588,-0.782,-0.427
251
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.66,-0.841,-0.488
252
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.657,-0.882,-0.476
253
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.556,-0.734,-0.404
254
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.544,-0.745,-0.38
 
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.528,-0.727,-0.362
256
+ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.547,-0.716,-0.403
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
  TiRex-2,80.0,34.9166343514373,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
3
- TimesFM-2.5,70.00000000000001,32.87474894024488,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
4
- Chronos-2,68.5714285714286,31.78597649489514,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
5
- TabPFN-TS-3,67.5,28.963255047296542,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
6
- TabPFN-TS,66.07142857142857,34.55373879766452,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
7
- TiRex,63.92857142857144,32.47588770643868,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
8
- FlowState,63.21428571428572,27.93729353213241,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
9
- citras-fm,62.85714285714287,32.759601774152436,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
10
- LightGBM,62.5,33.38915880315173,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
11
- CatBoost,61.78571428571429,33.16623383500657,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
12
- Moirai-2.0,61.24999999999999,33.79488506711863,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
13
- Toto-2.0-313m,60.71428571428573,27.130941962281884,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
14
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,60.0,27.02155839964281,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-2.0-1B,56.42857142857143,26.055688762834595,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-22m,56.07142857142857,27.354995059689568,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
17
- Toto-1.0,54.28571428571429,31.700573837170467,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
18
- Chronos-Bolt,54.107142857142854,30.041136052707273,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
19
- Toto-2.0-4m,53.571428571428584,28.997499277709025,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
20
- AutoETS,48.21428571428572,28.071655328734924,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
21
- Stat. Ensemble,48.214285714285715,29.22979017092695,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
22
- Sundial-Base,43.92857142857143,22.70787609837541,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoARIMA,32.14285714285713,5.881738752268506,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
24
- TFT,28.57142857142857,8.056299346355855,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
25
- AutoTheta,26.071428571428573,15.20916710141943,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
26
- DeepAR,22.857142857142858,8.848833829469338,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
27
- PatchTST,22.142857142857135,12.927869318522445,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,19.82142857142857,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,17.678571428571427,0.30982947391161586,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,17.5,7.491051482058886,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
  TiRex-2,80.0,34.9166343514373,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
3
+ TimesFM-2.5,69.65517241379312,32.87474894024488,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
4
+ Chronos-2,68.62068965517246,31.78597649489514,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
5
+ TabPFN-TS-3,67.24137931034483,28.963255047296542,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
6
+ TabPFN-TS,65.86206896551725,34.55373879766452,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
7
+ TiRex,63.44827586206897,32.47588770643868,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
8
+ FlowState,62.41379310344828,27.93729353213241,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
9
+ LightGBM,62.41379310344827,33.38915880315173,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
10
+ citras-fm,62.06896551724138,32.759601774152436,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
11
+ CatBoost,61.37931034482757,33.16623383500657,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
12
+ TS-ICL,61.0344827586207,31.90295044124469,0.0,1.3692244438010608,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-313m,61.03448275862069,27.130941962281884,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
14
+ Moirai-2.0,60.86206896551724,33.79488506711863,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
15
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,59.31034482758621,27.02155839964281,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
16
+ Toto-2.0-22m,55.86206896551725,27.354995059689568,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-1B,55.86206896551724,26.055688762834595,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
18
+ Toto-1.0,54.13793103448277,31.700573837170467,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
19
+ Chronos-Bolt,53.27586206896553,30.041136052707273,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
20
+ Toto-2.0-4m,52.758620689655174,28.997499277709025,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
21
+ AutoETS,47.931034482758626,28.071655328734924,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
22
+ Stat. Ensemble,47.93103448275862,29.22979017092695,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
23
+ Sundial-Base,43.44827586206897,22.70787609837541,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoARIMA,31.379310344827577,5.881738752268506,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
25
+ TFT,27.93103448275862,8.056299346355855,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
26
+ AutoTheta,25.51724137931034,15.20916710141943,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
27
+ DeepAR,22.758620689655174,8.848833829469338,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
28
+ PatchTST,21.724137931034473,12.927869318522445,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,19.482758620689662,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,17.41379310344827,0.30982947391161586,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,17.241379310344822,7.491051482058886,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,83.57142857142857,39.425727939082535,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
3
- Chronos-2,77.85714285714286,38.08875531260849,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
4
- TimesFM-2.5,72.85714285714288,38.03594071146331,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-313m,68.57142857142857,33.76977925435224,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
6
- Moirai-2.0,66.96428571428571,38.69101646514035,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS,66.07142857142857,37.79500412291329,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
8
- citras-fm,65.35714285714288,37.8794168351068,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,65.35714285714286,33.54660585794915,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex,64.64285714285714,36.908809542631595,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
11
- TabPFN-TS-3,63.92857142857144,33.86938070997042,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-1B,62.500000000000014,32.77732666419397,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-1.0,62.5,37.78506660666954,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
14
- Toto-2.0-22m,61.78571428571429,33.710262442699914,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
15
- Chronos-Bolt,61.24999999999999,36.49963478571547,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
16
- FlowState,56.07142857142857,32.77403706037661,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
17
- Toto-2.0-4m,53.92857142857142,34.41096517434523,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
18
- AutoETS,52.142857142857146,31.12404358258436,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
19
- Stat. Ensemble,46.42857142857143,31.666899122864876,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
20
- LightGBM,41.07142857142857,24.996902028028057,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
21
- CatBoost,36.785714285714285,24.745890887412404,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
22
- Sundial-Base,35.7142857142857,23.555776042271713,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoARIMA,33.214285714285715,8.15543220497067,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
24
- TFT,32.14285714285713,13.487049535026774,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
25
- PatchTST,25.35714285714285,17.70708962424181,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
26
- AutoTheta,24.64285714285714,17.733419411019135,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
27
- DeepAR,22.5,13.730380882991922,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,19.107142857142854,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,14.464285714285714,-7.297793646802875,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,13.214285714285715,0.404190086867684,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,83.44827586206898,39.425727939082535,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
3
+ Chronos-2,77.93103448275865,38.08875531260849,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
4
+ TimesFM-2.5,72.41379310344828,38.03594071146331,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,68.27586206896552,33.76977925435224,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
6
+ Moirai-2.0,66.37931034482757,38.69101646514035,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
7
+ TS-ICL,65.86206896551725,36.735170870136194,0.0,1.3692244438010608,0.0,0.0
8
+ TabPFN-TS,65.51724137931035,37.79500412291329,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,64.82758620689656,33.54660585794915,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
10
+ citras-fm,64.48275862068965,37.8794168351068,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
11
+ TiRex,64.13793103448276,36.908809542631595,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS-3,63.79310344827588,33.86938070997042,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-1B,62.068965517241395,32.77732666419397,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
14
+ Toto-1.0,61.7241379310345,37.78506660666954,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
15
+ Toto-2.0-22m,61.37931034482759,33.710262442699914,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
16
+ Chronos-Bolt,60.517241379310335,36.49963478571547,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
17
+ FlowState,55.51724137931034,32.77403706037661,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
18
+ Toto-2.0-4m,53.44827586206896,34.41096517434523,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
19
+ AutoETS,51.724137931034484,31.12404358258436,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
20
+ Stat. Ensemble,45.51724137931034,31.666899122864876,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
21
+ LightGBM,40.3448275862069,24.996902028028057,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
22
+ CatBoost,36.206896551724135,24.745890887412404,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
23
+ Sundial-Base,35.17241379310344,23.555776042271713,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoARIMA,32.41379310344827,8.15543220497067,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
25
+ TFT,31.379310344827577,13.487049535026774,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
26
+ PatchTST,24.482758620689648,17.70708962424181,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
27
+ AutoTheta,23.793103448275854,17.733419411019135,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
28
+ DeepAR,22.068965517241377,13.730380882991922,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,18.448275862068964,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,13.96551724137931,-7.297793646802875,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,12.758620689655176,0.404190086867684,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TimesFM-2.5,69.2857142857143,30.236433011588616,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
3
- TiRex-2,67.85714285714289,26.601930748682324,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
4
- TabPFN-TS-3,67.14285714285715,27.06736057976333,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
5
- Chronos-2,65.71428571428572,29.12048347898083,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
6
- citras-fm,64.2857142857143,29.549083444333757,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
7
- TiRex,63.21428571428572,29.759653720585042,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,63.21428571428571,23.803402469752132,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
9
- FlowState,62.14285714285715,25.714346434991153,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
10
- Moirai-2.0,60.17857142857142,31.595921669939887,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
11
- Toto-1.0,59.64285714285714,28.753205083598854,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-313m,58.57142857142858,23.159110215973843,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-2.0-1B,57.85714285714286,22.479955103457115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
14
- Toto-2.0-22m,57.857142857142854,23.737937635347716,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
15
- TabPFN-TS,56.785714285714285,29.1761523445201,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
16
- AutoETS,56.785714285714285,29.45241897965094,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
17
- Stat. Ensemble,55.714285714285715,29.6956210738891,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
18
- Toto-2.0-4m,55.00000000000001,24.961571876693643,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
19
- LightGBM,54.285714285714285,28.23998648969035,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
20
- Chronos-Bolt,51.964285714285715,25.883263022341175,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
21
- CatBoost,47.857142857142854,24.80079887494443,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
22
- Sundial-Base,41.071428571428555,16.462366143379946,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoARIMA,36.07142857142857,15.90999185953288,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
24
- AutoTheta,29.999999999999993,14.265515876146328,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
25
- DeepAR,27.500000000000004,4.835755105983619,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
26
- Drift,25.71428571428571,6.995102476216641,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
27
- TFT,24.642857142857142,-0.6246028567987283,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,24.107142857142858,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,24.107142857142854,0.09410405602899852,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
30
- PatchTST,21.428571428571423,2.754946880183251,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TimesFM-2.5,68.96551724137933,30.236433011588616,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
3
+ TiRex-2,67.93103448275865,26.601930748682324,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
4
+ TabPFN-TS-3,66.89655172413794,27.06736057976333,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
5
+ Chronos-2,65.51724137931035,29.12048347898083,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
6
+ citras-fm,63.44827586206897,29.549083444333757,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
7
+ TS-ICL,63.44827586206896,28.45442598437944,0.0,1.3692244438010608,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,63.10344827586207,23.803402469752132,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex,63.10344827586207,29.759653720585042,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
10
+ FlowState,61.3793103448276,25.714346434991153,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
11
+ Moirai-2.0,59.482758620689644,31.595921669939887,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
12
+ Toto-1.0,58.620689655172406,28.753205083598854,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-313m,58.27586206896551,23.159110215973843,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
14
+ Toto-2.0-22m,57.93103448275861,23.737937635347716,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
15
+ Toto-2.0-1B,57.586206896551715,22.479955103457115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
16
+ AutoETS,56.20689655172414,29.45241897965094,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
17
+ TabPFN-TS,56.20689655172414,29.1761523445201,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
18
+ Stat. Ensemble,55.172413793103445,29.6956210738891,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
19
+ Toto-2.0-4m,54.13793103448277,24.961571876693643,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
20
+ LightGBM,54.137931034482754,28.23998648969035,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
21
+ Chronos-Bolt,51.20689655172414,25.883263022341175,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
22
+ CatBoost,47.58620689655172,24.80079887494443,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
23
+ Sundial-Base,40.34482758620688,16.462366143379946,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoARIMA,35.51724137931034,15.90999185953288,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoTheta,29.310344827586203,14.265515876146328,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
26
+ DeepAR,26.896551724137936,4.835755105983619,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
27
+ Drift,25.17241379310345,6.995102476216641,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
28
+ TFT,24.137931034482758,-0.6246028567987283,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,23.620689655172416,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,23.620689655172413,0.09410405602899852,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
31
+ PatchTST,21.034482758620683,2.754946880183251,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,72.85714285714285,40.421377709866235,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
3
- TimesFM-2.5,71.07142857142857,40.552489916172874,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
4
- citras-fm,70.35714285714289,40.356679864874486,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
5
- TiRex-2,70.35714285714285,37.313049400685664,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
6
- Moirai-2.0,68.39285714285712,41.64215770095807,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS-3,67.85714285714286,37.518925534209544,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,64.28571428571429,34.86494484839163,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-313m,63.92857142857141,34.84636139478182,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex,63.21428571428571,38.88592212674449,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
11
- Toto-1.0,62.85714285714287,40.320844847410996,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-22m,62.14285714285713,35.47613872211428,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-2.0-1B,61.428571428571445,34.52744790415115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
14
- Chronos-Bolt,59.10714285714286,38.083893021927985,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
15
- TabPFN-TS,58.92857142857143,38.14282869293443,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
16
- FlowState,58.214285714285715,36.31335951896396,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
17
- Toto-2.0-4m,55.00000000000001,35.62915272518256,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
18
- Stat. Ensemble,54.28571428571429,33.50707751988894,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
19
- AutoETS,53.92857142857144,32.19312847125849,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
20
- LightGBM,36.78571428571429,25.255259089696292,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
21
- AutoARIMA,36.42857142857142,19.925031039747566,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
22
- Sundial-Base,35.7142857142857,24.248203702135108,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
23
- CatBoost,31.428571428571434,21.67302472205549,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
24
- DeepAR,30.714285714285705,15.68929320376099,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
25
- AutoTheta,29.28571428571428,18.143895495008643,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
26
- TFT,26.42857142857143,6.246826522995086,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
27
- PatchTST,26.071428571428562,15.548311275264371,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,21.964285714285715,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
29
- Drift,19.285714285714285,0.8421348846480603,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
30
- Naive,17.678571428571423,-6.552998310854519,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,72.75862068965516,40.421377709866235,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
3
+ TimesFM-2.5,70.68965517241381,40.552489916172874,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
4
+ citras-fm,70.00000000000003,40.356679864874486,0.0,0.3327079909164846,0.0,0.0
5
+ TiRex-2,70.0,37.313049400685664,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
6
+ Moirai-2.0,67.75862068965517,41.64215770095807,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
7
+ TabPFN-TS-3,67.58620689655173,37.518925534209544,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,64.13793103448276,34.86494484839163,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
9
+ TS-ICL,64.13793103448275,38.86640859412728,0.0,1.3692244438010608,0.0,0.0
10
+ Toto-2.0-313m,63.79310344827584,34.84636139478182,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
11
+ TiRex,63.103448275862064,38.88592212674449,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-1.0,62.06896551724138,40.320844847410996,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-22m,62.06896551724137,35.47613872211428,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
14
+ Toto-2.0-1B,61.37931034482759,34.52744790415115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
15
+ TabPFN-TS,58.27586206896552,38.14282869293443,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
16
+ Chronos-Bolt,58.10344827586206,38.083893021927985,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
17
+ FlowState,57.58620689655174,36.31335951896396,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
18
+ Toto-2.0-4m,54.48275862068965,35.62915272518256,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
19
+ AutoETS,53.79310344827587,32.19312847125849,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
20
+ Stat. Ensemble,53.448275862068975,33.50707751988894,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
21
+ LightGBM,36.20689655172414,25.255259089696292,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
22
+ AutoARIMA,35.517241379310335,19.925031039747566,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
23
+ Sundial-Base,35.17241379310344,24.248203702135108,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
24
+ CatBoost,30.3448275862069,21.67302472205549,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
25
+ DeepAR,29.999999999999993,15.68929320376099,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
26
+ AutoTheta,28.62068965517241,18.143895495008643,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
27
+ TFT,25.517241379310345,6.246826522995086,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
28
+ PatchTST,25.517241379310335,15.548311275264371,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,21.55172413793104,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
30
+ Drift,18.965517241379306,0.8421348846480603,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
31
+ Naive,17.41379310344827,-6.552998310854519,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/pairwise_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -3,288 +3,288 @@ TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.03,-0.041,0.111
4
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.046,0.007,0.092
5
  TiRex-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.023,-0.068,0.13
6
- TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.061,0.126
7
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.084,0.014,0.165
 
8
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.051,0.055
9
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.097,-0.012,0.196
10
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.021,0.091
11
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.036,0.002,0.069
 
 
12
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.017,-0.034,0.061
13
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.108,0.039,0.166
14
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.107,0.031,0.187
15
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.104,0.042,0.158
16
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.12,0.044,0.19
17
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.07,0.005,0.131
18
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.2,0.495
19
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.031,-0.125,0.04
20
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
21
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.093,0.11
22
  TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.151,0.132
23
- TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.004,-0.149,0.123
24
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.033,0.157
 
25
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.026,-0.178,0.069
26
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.069,-0.018,0.168
27
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.132,0.117
28
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.088,0.075
 
 
29
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.094,0.036
30
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.08,-0.008,0.176
31
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.006,0.154
32
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.002,0.159
33
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.092,0.014,0.176
34
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.041,-0.026,0.112
35
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.204,0.472
36
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.048,-0.102,-0.007
37
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.124,0.085
38
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
39
  Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.024,-0.166,0.118
40
- Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.154,0.112
41
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.012,0.095
 
42
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.101,0.001
43
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.056,0.143
44
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.054,0.022
45
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.052,0.023
 
 
46
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.03,-0.114,0.028
47
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.003,0.126
48
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.022,0.16
49
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.133
50
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.077,0.004,0.159
51
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.04,0.08
52
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.318,0.17,0.455
53
  LightGBM,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.023,-0.149,0.064
54
  LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.152,0.131
55
  LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.134,0.142
56
  LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
57
- LightGBM,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.02,0.028
58
  LightGBM,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.124,0.203
 
59
  LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.018,-0.155,0.089
60
  LightGBM,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.119,0.233
61
  LightGBM,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.136,0.138
62
  LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.136,0.114
 
 
63
  LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.006,-0.147,0.089
64
  LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.087,-0.086,0.211
65
- LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.086,-0.093,0.211
66
  LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.079,0.19
67
- LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.099,-0.085,0.221
68
  LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.118,0.168
69
  LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.334,0.122,0.504
70
- CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.144,0.058
71
- CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.004,-0.14,0.129
72
- CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.127,0.134
73
- CatBoost,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.029,0.019
74
- CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
75
- CatBoost,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.114,0.189
76
- CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.14,0.076
77
- CatBoost,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.073,-0.112,0.218
78
- CatBoost,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.006,-0.137,0.13
79
- CatBoost,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.126,0.107
80
- CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.137,0.079
81
- CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.084,-0.076,0.205
82
- CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.083,0.213
83
- CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.08,-0.071,0.185
84
- CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.096,-0.073,0.217
85
- CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.115,0.157
86
- CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.332,0.125,0.498
87
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.091,-0.198,-0.014
88
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.186,0.032
89
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.105,0.012
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.255,0.11
91
- TabPFN-TS-3,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.234,0.102
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
93
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.189,-0.005
94
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.051,0.075
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.156,0.029
96
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.134,0.003
 
 
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.185,0.003
98
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.07,0.11
99
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.09,0.121
100
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.093,0.114
101
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.058,0.122
102
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.067,0.028
103
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.29,0.176,0.398
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
104
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.059,0.049
105
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.025,-0.074,0.151
106
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.001,0.091
107
  TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.017,-0.098,0.134
108
- TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.082,0.123
109
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.005,0.159
 
110
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.014,0.193
112
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.027,-0.025,0.087
113
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.031,-0.006,0.079
 
 
114
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.055,0.076
115
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.103,0.01,0.195
116
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.102,-0.005,0.22
117
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.099,0.001,0.188
118
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.115,0.015,0.226
119
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.002,0.145
120
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.346,0.194,0.48
121
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.107,-0.244,0.012
122
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.074,-0.201,0.018
123
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.167,0.053
124
  FlowState,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.303,0.107
125
- FlowState,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.078,-0.28,0.101
126
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.081,0.048
 
127
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.239,0.014
128
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.072,-0.213,0.064
130
  FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.171,0.025
 
 
131
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.088,-0.212,0.013
132
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.139
133
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.011,-0.144,0.134
134
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.146,0.136
135
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.115,0.145
136
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.03,-0.119,0.052
137
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.279,0.18,0.379
138
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.1,0.021
139
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.132,0.116
140
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.023,0.051
141
  citras-fm,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.16,0.12
142
- citras-fm,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.006,-0.15,0.12
143
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.03,0.135
 
144
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.095,0.024
145
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.067,-0.069,0.176
146
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.004,-0.06,0.048
 
 
148
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.016,-0.119,0.055
149
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.003,0.156
150
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.077,-0.026,0.187
151
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.074,-0.012,0.16
152
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.091,-0.001,0.189
153
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.054,0.115
154
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.328,0.157,0.481
155
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.038,-0.075,-0.002
156
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.081,0.081
157
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.024,0.049
158
  TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.129,0.119
159
- TiRex,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.12,0.112
160
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.003,0.118
 
161
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.032,-0.085,0.006
162
  TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.026,0.146
163
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.004,-0.05,0.057
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
165
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.02,-0.063,0.015
166
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.003,0.149
167
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,-0.012,0.166
168
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.006,0.145
169
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,0.004,0.168
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.035,-0.013,0.085
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.184,0.464
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
172
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.017,-0.065,0.033
173
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.037,0.086
174
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.029,-0.029,0.102
175
  Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.006,-0.097,0.128
176
- Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.086,0.121
177
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.003,0.156
 
178
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.082,0.052
179
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.081,-0.013,0.175
180
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.058,0.106
181
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.02,-0.015,0.059
 
 
182
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.093,-0.001,0.183
184
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.091,-0.01,0.186
185
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,-0.002,0.173
186
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.105,0.003,0.197
187
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.054,0.003,0.111
188
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.338,0.203,0.482
189
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.121,-0.2,-0.041
190
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.087,-0.213,0.008
191
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.07,-0.144,-0.003
192
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.096,-0.268,0.079
193
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.092,-0.257,0.07
194
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.027,-0.123,0.066
 
195
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.115,-0.242,-0.01
196
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.162,0.119
197
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.185,-0.003
198
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.175,0.003
 
 
199
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.102,-0.223,0.001
200
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.056,0.05
202
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.005,-0.046,0.029
203
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.013,-0.014,0.046
204
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.145,0.039
205
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.27,0.097,0.424
206
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.12,-0.231,-0.032
207
- Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.182,-0.006
208
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.19,0.022
209
- Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.094,-0.268,0.085
210
- Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.09,-0.27,0.077
211
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.138,0.082
212
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.113,-0.282,0.005
213
- Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.011,-0.155,0.126
214
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.084,-0.23,0.025
215
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.199,0.012
216
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.101,-0.229,0.01
217
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.052,0.053
218
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.054,0.033
220
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.01,0.046
221
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.042,-0.144,0.049
222
- Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.271,0.114,0.434
223
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.116,-0.187,-0.044
224
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.189,0.002
225
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.065,-0.153,0.014
226
  Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.091,-0.235,0.073
227
- Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.087,-0.228,0.066
228
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.129,0.085
 
229
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.11,-0.231,-0.001
230
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.157,0.127
231
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.08,-0.191,0.012
232
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.169,0.006
 
 
233
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.097,-0.209,0.002
234
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.005,-0.03,0.044
235
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.003,-0.034,0.051
236
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.018,-0.019,0.059
238
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.038,-0.146,0.054
239
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.274,0.095,0.44
240
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.136,-0.234,-0.047
241
- Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.102,-0.213,-0.014
242
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.084,-0.188,-0.005
243
- Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.11,-0.283,0.078
244
- Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.106,-0.277,0.068
245
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.041,-0.139,0.055
246
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.13,-0.292,-0.015
247
- Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.169,0.103
248
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.1,-0.233,0.001
249
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.095,-0.202,-0.004
250
- Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.117,-0.246,-0.003
251
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.013,-0.048,0.014
252
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.048,0.01
253
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.018,-0.063,0.019
254
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.153,0.026
256
- Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.261,0.1,0.412
257
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.075,-0.151,-0.005
258
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.127,0.025
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.087,0.038
260
  Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.05,-0.201,0.106
261
- Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.186,0.103
262
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.029,0.063
 
263
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.169,0.002
264
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.029,-0.055,0.107
265
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.129,0.051
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.036,-0.092,0.013
 
 
267
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.057,-0.125,-0.003
268
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.04,0.127
269
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.04,-0.052,0.126
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.037,-0.057,0.127
271
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.027,0.133
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.183,0.423
274
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.536,-0.978,-0.25
275
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.893,-0.257
276
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.466,-0.835,-0.204
277
  Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.501,-1.017,-0.14
278
- Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.496,-0.991,-0.143
279
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.408,-0.661,-0.214
 
280
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.528,-0.922,-0.241
281
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.388,-0.61,-0.22
282
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.487,-0.927,-0.187
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.481,-0.865,-0.226
 
 
284
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.51,-0.93,-0.255
285
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.37,-0.735,-0.107
286
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.372,-0.767,-0.129
287
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.377,-0.787,-0.105
288
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.352,-0.7,-0.111
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.732,-0.224
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
3
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.03,-0.041,0.111
4
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.046,0.007,0.092
5
  TiRex-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.023,-0.068,0.13
 
6
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.084,0.014,0.165
7
+ TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.061,0.126
8
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.051,0.055
9
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.097,-0.012,0.196
10
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.021,0.091
11
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.036,0.002,0.069
12
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.044,-0.014,0.093
13
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.107,0.031,0.187
14
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.017,-0.034,0.061
15
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.108,0.039,0.166
 
16
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.104,0.042,0.158
 
17
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.07,0.005,0.131
18
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.2,0.495
19
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.031,-0.125,0.04
20
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
21
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.093,0.11
22
  TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.151,0.132
 
23
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.033,0.157
24
+ TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.004,-0.149,0.123
25
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.026,-0.178,0.069
26
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.069,-0.018,0.168
27
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.132,0.117
28
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.088,0.075
29
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.132,0.123
30
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.006,0.154
31
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.094,0.036
32
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.08,-0.008,0.176
 
33
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.002,0.159
 
34
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.041,-0.026,0.112
35
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.204,0.472
36
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.048,-0.102,-0.007
37
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.124,0.085
38
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
39
  Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.024,-0.166,0.118
 
40
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.012,0.095
41
+ Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.154,0.112
42
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.101,0.001
43
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.056,0.143
44
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.054,0.022
45
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.052,0.023
46
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.002,-0.049,0.04
47
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.022,0.16
48
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.03,-0.114,0.028
49
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.003,0.126
 
50
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.133
 
51
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.04,0.08
52
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.318,0.17,0.455
53
  LightGBM,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.023,-0.149,0.064
54
  LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.152,0.131
55
  LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.134,0.142
56
  LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
57
  LightGBM,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.124,0.203
58
+ LightGBM,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.02,0.028
59
  LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.018,-0.155,0.089
60
  LightGBM,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.119,0.233
61
  LightGBM,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.136,0.138
62
  LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.136,0.114
63
+ LightGBM,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.022,-0.128,0.138
64
+ LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.086,-0.093,0.211
65
  LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.006,-0.147,0.089
66
  LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.087,-0.086,0.211
 
67
  LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.079,0.19
 
68
  LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.118,0.168
69
  LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.334,0.122,0.504
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
70
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.091,-0.198,-0.014
71
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.186,0.032
72
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.105,0.012
73
  TabPFN-TS-3,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.255,0.11
 
74
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
75
+ TabPFN-TS-3,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.234,0.102
76
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.189,-0.005
77
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.051,0.075
78
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.156,0.029
79
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.134,0.003
80
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.148,0.045
81
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.09,0.121
82
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.185,0.003
83
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.07,0.11
 
84
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.093,0.114
 
85
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.067,0.028
86
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.29,0.176,0.398
87
+ CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.144,0.058
88
+ CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.004,-0.14,0.129
89
+ CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.127,0.134
90
+ CatBoost,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.029,0.019
91
+ CatBoost,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.114,0.189
92
+ CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
+ CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.14,0.076
94
+ CatBoost,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.073,-0.112,0.218
95
+ CatBoost,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.006,-0.137,0.13
96
+ CatBoost,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.126,0.107
97
+ CatBoost,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.019,-0.118,0.129
98
+ CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.083,0.213
99
+ CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.137,0.079
100
+ CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.084,-0.076,0.205
101
+ CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.08,-0.071,0.185
102
+ CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.115,0.157
103
+ CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.332,0.125,0.498
104
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.059,0.049
105
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.025,-0.074,0.151
106
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.001,0.091
107
  TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.017,-0.098,0.134
 
108
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.005,0.159
109
+ TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.082,0.123
110
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.014,0.193
112
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.027,-0.025,0.087
113
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.031,-0.006,0.079
114
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.001,0.082
115
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.102,-0.005,0.22
116
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.055,0.076
117
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.103,0.01,0.195
 
118
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.099,0.001,0.188
 
119
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.002,0.145
120
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.346,0.194,0.48
121
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.107,-0.244,0.012
122
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.074,-0.201,0.018
123
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.167,0.053
124
  FlowState,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.303,0.107
 
125
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.081,0.048
126
+ FlowState,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.078,-0.28,0.101
127
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.239,0.014
128
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.072,-0.213,0.064
130
  FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.171,0.025
131
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.058,-0.213,0.078
132
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.011,-0.144,0.134
133
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.088,-0.212,0.013
134
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.139
 
135
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.146,0.136
 
136
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.03,-0.119,0.052
137
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.279,0.18,0.379
138
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.1,0.021
139
  citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.132,0.116
140
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.023,0.051
141
  citras-fm,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.16,0.12
 
142
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.03,0.135
143
+ citras-fm,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.006,-0.15,0.12
144
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.095,0.024
145
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.067,-0.069,0.176
146
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.004,-0.06,0.048
148
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.029,0.06
149
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.077,-0.026,0.187
150
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.016,-0.119,0.055
151
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.003,0.156
 
152
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.074,-0.012,0.16
 
153
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.054,0.115
154
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.328,0.157,0.481
155
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.038,-0.075,-0.002
156
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.081,0.081
157
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.024,0.049
158
  TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.129,0.119
 
159
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.003,0.118
160
+ TiRex,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.12,0.112
161
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.032,-0.085,0.006
162
  TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.026,0.146
163
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.004,-0.05,0.057
164
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.052,0.066
166
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,-0.012,0.166
167
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.02,-0.063,0.015
168
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.003,0.149
 
169
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.006,0.145
 
170
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.035,-0.013,0.085
171
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.184,0.464
172
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.046,-0.103,0.014
173
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.14,0.117
174
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.002,-0.042,0.047
175
+ TS-ICL,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.022,-0.16,0.113
176
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.047,0.129
177
+ TS-ICL,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.019,-0.148,0.105
178
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.041,-0.089,0.001
179
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.055,-0.084,0.176
180
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.064,0.028
181
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.07,0.049
182
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.065,-0.02,0.185
184
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.125,0.049
185
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.067,-0.001,0.151
186
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.014,0.148
187
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.027,-0.061,0.114
188
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.319,0.142,0.473
189
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.12,-0.231,-0.032
190
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.182,-0.006
191
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.19,0.022
192
+ Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.094,-0.268,0.085
193
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.138,0.082
194
+ Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.09,-0.27,0.077
195
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.113,-0.282,0.005
196
+ Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.011,-0.155,0.126
197
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.084,-0.23,0.025
198
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.199,0.012
199
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.07,-0.227,0.019
200
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.101,-0.229,0.01
202
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.052,0.053
203
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.054,0.033
204
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.042,-0.144,0.049
205
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.271,0.114,0.434
206
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.017,-0.065,0.033
207
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.037,0.086
208
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.029,-0.029,0.102
209
  Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.006,-0.097,0.128
 
210
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.003,0.156
211
+ Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.086,0.121
212
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.082,0.052
213
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.081,-0.013,0.175
214
  Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.058,0.106
215
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.02,-0.015,0.059
216
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.052,0.111
217
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.091,-0.01,0.186
218
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.093,-0.001,0.183
 
220
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,-0.002,0.173
 
221
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.054,0.003,0.111
222
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.338,0.203,0.482
223
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.121,-0.2,-0.041
224
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.087,-0.213,0.008
225
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.07,-0.144,-0.003
226
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.096,-0.268,0.079
 
227
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.027,-0.123,0.066
228
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.092,-0.257,0.07
229
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.115,-0.242,-0.01
230
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.162,0.119
231
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.185,-0.003
232
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.175,0.003
233
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.072,-0.178,0.001
234
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.056,0.05
235
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.102,-0.223,0.001
236
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
237
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.005,-0.046,0.029
 
238
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.145,0.039
239
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.27,0.097,0.424
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
240
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.116,-0.187,-0.044
241
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.189,0.002
242
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.065,-0.153,0.014
243
  Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.091,-0.235,0.073
 
244
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.129,0.085
245
+ Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.087,-0.228,0.066
246
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.11,-0.231,-0.001
247
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.157,0.127
248
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.08,-0.191,0.012
249
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.169,0.006
250
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.174,0.013
251
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.003,-0.034,0.051
252
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.097,-0.209,0.002
253
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.005,-0.03,0.044
 
254
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
255
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.038,-0.146,0.054
256
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.274,0.095,0.44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
257
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.075,-0.151,-0.005
258
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.127,0.025
259
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.087,0.038
260
  Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.05,-0.201,0.106
 
261
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.029,0.063
262
+ Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.186,0.103
263
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.169,0.002
264
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.029,-0.055,0.107
265
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.129,0.051
266
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.036,-0.092,0.013
267
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.027,-0.129,0.058
268
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.04,-0.052,0.126
269
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.057,-0.125,-0.003
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.04,0.127
 
271
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.037,-0.057,0.127
 
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.183,0.423
274
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.536,-0.978,-0.25
275
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.893,-0.257
276
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.466,-0.835,-0.204
277
  Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.501,-1.017,-0.14
 
278
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.408,-0.661,-0.214
279
+ Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.496,-0.991,-0.143
280
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.528,-0.922,-0.241
281
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.388,-0.61,-0.22
282
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.487,-0.927,-0.187
283
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.481,-0.865,-0.226
284
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.468,-0.898,-0.165
285
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.372,-0.767,-0.129
286
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.51,-0.93,-0.255
287
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.37,-0.735,-0.107
 
288
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.377,-0.787,-0.105
 
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.732,-0.224
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/pairwise_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -4,254 +4,254 @@ TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.01,0.059
4
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.022,-0.04,0.096
5
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,0.014,0.154
6
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.088,0.023,0.15
7
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.025,-0.026,0.083
8
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.026,-0.001,0.06
9
- TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.012,-0.031,0.053
10
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.084,0.022,0.151
 
11
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.04,0.008,0.069
12
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.099,0.03,0.163
 
13
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.026,-0.023,0.077
 
14
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.086,0.02,0.144
15
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.046,-0.007,0.098
16
- TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.099,0.005,0.182
17
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.394,0.256,0.521
18
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.062,0.01
19
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.091,0.094
21
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.065,-0.023,0.154
22
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.001,0.133
23
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.037,0.043
24
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.03
25
- Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.01,-0.086,0.045
26
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.064,0.009,0.119
 
27
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.019,-0.022,0.054
28
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.002,0.157
 
29
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.598,1.0,0.005,-0.053,0.052
 
30
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.066,-0.016,0.142
31
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.035,0.08
32
- Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.021,0.16
33
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.504
34
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.023,-0.106,0.039
35
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.104,0.084
36
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.006,0.141
38
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.024,0.165
39
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.116,0.114
40
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.096,0.075
41
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.011,-0.085,0.035
42
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.014,0.15
 
43
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.018,-0.05,0.072
44
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.004,0.156
 
45
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.105,0.104
 
46
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.012,0.149
47
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.032,0.08
48
- TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.001,0.158
49
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.264,0.511
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.182,-0.014
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.07,-0.182,0.022
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.164,0.006
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.049,0.056
55
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.066,-0.195,0.03
56
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.175,0.032
57
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.195,0.018
58
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.106,0.105
 
59
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.144,0.033
60
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.006,0.041
 
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.178,0.016
 
62
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.037,0.027
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.147,0.047
64
- Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.121,0.142
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.338,0.182,0.488
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.097,-0.177,-0.023
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.073,-0.154,0.001
68
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.072,-0.198,0.023
69
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.059,0.046
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.157,0.004
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.068,-0.169,0.018
73
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.084,-0.205,0.013
74
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.107,0.091
 
75
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.145,0.024
76
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.011,-0.022,0.045
 
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.141,0.001
 
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.046,0.032
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.159,0.041
80
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.142,0.135
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.335,0.163,0.479
82
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.026,-0.091,0.026
83
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.045,0.036
84
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.128,0.104
85
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.062,-0.03,0.163
86
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.004,0.136
87
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.074,0.06
89
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.112,0.054
90
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.026,0.146
91
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.051,0.069
92
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.007,0.165
93
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.002,-0.044,0.043
94
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.016,0.142
95
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.022,-0.07,0.093
96
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.076,-0.058,0.182
97
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.379,0.212,0.52
98
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.027,-0.064,0.001
99
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.005,-0.031,0.031
100
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.081,0.087
101
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.033,0.149
102
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.064,-0.018,0.144
103
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.064,0.069
104
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
- TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.077,0.034
106
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,0.004,0.112
 
107
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.023,0.052
108
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.075,-0.01,0.157
 
109
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.071,0.059
 
110
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.032,0.135
111
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.02,-0.025,0.07
112
- TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.015,0.159
113
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.247,0.498
114
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.056,0.03
115
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.01,-0.047,0.079
116
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.011,-0.036,0.078
117
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.018,0.163
118
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.077,-0.013,0.17
119
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.057,0.101
120
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.035,0.072
121
- Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,0.004,0.162
123
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.009,0.068
124
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.004,0.174
125
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.052,0.084
126
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.01,0.156
127
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.35,0.9,0.035,-0.011,0.083
128
- Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.088,-0.002,0.175
129
- Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.387,0.253,0.522
130
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.092,-0.178,-0.023
131
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.068,-0.135,-0.009
132
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.177,0.013
133
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.117,0.096
134
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.1,0.097
135
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.171,0.025
136
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.126,-0.004
137
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.194,-0.004
138
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
139
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.121,-0.001
140
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.087,0.104
 
141
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.063,-0.191,0.029
 
142
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.12,0.097
143
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.106,0.011
144
- TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.048,0.076
145
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.227,0.44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.042,-0.074,-0.008
147
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.019,-0.057,0.021
148
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.018,-0.077,0.048
149
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.034,0.126
150
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.051,-0.025,0.126
151
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.074,0.049
152
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.055,0.023
153
- TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.073,0.009
154
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,0.001,0.108
 
155
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.016,0.136
 
157
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.014,-0.082,0.044
 
158
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.028,0.12
159
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.035,0.045
160
- TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.016,0.132
161
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.24,0.497
162
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.11,-0.195,-0.031
163
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.186,-0.002
164
- Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.185,-0.005
165
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.043,0.005
166
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.047,0.021
167
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.198,0.007
168
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.081,-0.186,0.01
169
- Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.211,0.004
170
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.017,-0.116,0.08
171
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.157,0.015
172
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.08,-0.177,0.0
174
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.051,0.017
175
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.059,-0.158,0.025
176
- Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.137,0.124
177
- Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.328,0.168,0.472
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
178
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.027,-0.084,0.022
179
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.402,-0.005,-0.054,0.05
180
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.116,0.095
181
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.016,0.151
182
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.001,0.124
183
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.002,-0.045,0.042
184
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.063,0.066
185
- Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.092,0.049
186
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.059,-0.03,0.161
 
187
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.014,-0.046,0.076
188
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.074,-0.0,0.151
 
189
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
190
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.006,0.123
191
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.06,0.091
192
- Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.06,0.197
193
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.214,0.526
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
194
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.094,-0.168,-0.021
195
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.071,-0.166,0.015
196
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.175,0.011
197
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.028,0.036
198
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.033,0.044
199
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.165,0.016
200
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.156,0.031
201
- Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.185,0.01
202
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.107,0.107
 
203
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.051,-0.137,0.027
204
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.017,0.048
 
205
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.14,0.006
 
206
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.148,0.046
208
- Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.129,0.14
209
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.337,0.162,0.491
210
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.048,-0.108,0.007
211
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.086,0.033
212
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.087,0.031
213
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.05,0.128
214
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.043,0.137
215
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.103,0.066
216
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.021,-0.075,0.024
217
- Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.1,0.65,-0.036,-0.091,0.01
218
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.011,0.095
 
219
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.048,0.033
220
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.026,0.136
 
221
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.1,0.057
 
222
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.048,0.129
223
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.055,-0.03,0.134
225
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.247,0.481
226
- FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.11,-0.222,-0.005
227
- FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.191,0.02
228
- FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.187,-0.001
229
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.165,0.108
230
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.156,0.124
231
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.082,-0.222,0.055
232
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.189,0.015
233
- FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.213,0.002
234
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.083,0.046
235
- FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.152,0.016
236
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.142,0.121
237
- FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.245,0.057
238
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.163,0.114
239
- FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.059,-0.154,0.03
240
- FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.328,0.22,0.435
242
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.651,-1.086,-0.344
243
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.015,-0.319
244
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-1.045,-0.359
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.51,-0.953,-0.223
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.505,-0.918,-0.195
247
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.61,-1.083,-0.269
248
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.608,-0.992,-0.328
249
- Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.631,-1.091,-0.338
250
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.512,-0.787,-0.293
 
251
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.585,-0.99,-0.316
252
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.488,-0.893,-0.202
 
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.607,-1.108,-0.272
 
254
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.509,-0.966,-0.194
255
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.575,-0.927,-0.328
256
- Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.488,-0.769,-0.282
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
4
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.022,-0.04,0.096
5
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,0.014,0.154
6
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.088,0.023,0.15
 
7
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.026,-0.001,0.06
 
8
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.084,0.022,0.151
9
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.025,-0.026,0.083
10
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.04,0.008,0.069
11
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.043,-0.005,0.087
12
+ TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.012,-0.031,0.053
13
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.026,-0.023,0.077
14
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.099,0.03,0.163
15
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.086,0.02,0.144
16
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.046,-0.007,0.098
 
17
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.394,0.256,0.521
18
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.062,0.01
19
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.091,0.094
21
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.065,-0.023,0.154
22
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.001,0.133
 
23
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.03
 
24
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.064,0.009,0.119
25
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.037,0.043
26
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.019,-0.022,0.054
27
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.021,-0.013,0.058
28
+ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.01,-0.086,0.045
29
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.598,1.0,0.005,-0.053,0.052
30
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.002,0.157
31
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.066,-0.016,0.142
32
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.035,0.08
 
33
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.504
34
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.023,-0.106,0.039
35
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.104,0.084
36
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.006,0.141
38
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.024,0.165
 
39
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.096,0.075
 
40
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.014,0.15
41
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.116,0.114
42
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.018,-0.05,0.072
43
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.102,0.114
44
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.011,-0.085,0.035
45
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.105,0.104
46
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.004,0.156
47
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.012,0.149
48
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.032,0.08
 
49
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.264,0.511
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.182,-0.014
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.07,-0.182,0.022
52
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.164,0.006
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.049,0.056
 
55
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.175,0.032
 
56
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.106,0.105
57
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.066,-0.195,0.03
58
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.144,0.033
59
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.171,0.034
60
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.195,0.018
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.178,0.016
62
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.006,0.041
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.037,0.027
64
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.147,0.047
 
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.338,0.182,0.488
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.097,-0.177,-0.023
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.073,-0.154,0.001
68
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.072,-0.198,0.023
69
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.059,0.046
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
71
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.068,-0.169,0.018
 
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.107,0.091
73
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.157,0.004
74
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.145,0.024
75
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.14,0.019
76
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.084,-0.205,0.013
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.141,0.001
78
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.011,-0.022,0.045
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.046,0.032
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.159,0.041
 
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.335,0.163,0.479
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
82
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.027,-0.064,0.001
83
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.005,-0.031,0.031
84
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.081,0.087
85
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.033,0.149
86
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.064,-0.018,0.144
 
87
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
88
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,0.004,0.112
89
+ TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.064,0.069
90
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.023,0.052
91
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.017,-0.023,0.059
92
+ TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.077,0.034
93
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.071,0.059
94
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.075,-0.01,0.157
95
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.032,0.135
96
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.02,-0.025,0.07
 
97
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.247,0.498
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.092,-0.178,-0.023
99
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.068,-0.135,-0.009
100
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.177,0.013
101
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.117,0.096
102
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.1,0.097
 
103
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.126,-0.004
 
104
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.171,0.025
106
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.121,-0.001
107
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.134,0.031
108
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.194,-0.004
109
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.063,-0.191,0.029
110
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.087,0.104
111
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.12,0.097
112
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.106,0.011
 
113
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.227,0.44
114
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.026,-0.091,0.026
115
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.045,0.036
116
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.128,0.104
117
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.062,-0.03,0.163
118
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.004,0.136
119
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.074,0.06
120
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.026,0.146
121
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.051,0.069
123
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.018,-0.025,0.061
124
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.112,0.054
125
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.002,-0.044,0.043
126
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.007,0.165
127
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.016,0.142
128
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.022,-0.07,0.093
129
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.379,0.212,0.52
130
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.042,-0.074,-0.008
131
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.019,-0.057,0.021
132
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.018,-0.077,0.048
133
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.034,0.126
134
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.051,-0.025,0.126
 
135
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.055,0.023
 
136
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,0.001,0.108
137
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.074,0.049
138
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.056,0.055
140
+ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.073,0.009
141
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.014,-0.082,0.044
142
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.016,0.136
143
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.028,0.12
144
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.035,0.045
 
145
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.24,0.497
146
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.044,-0.096,0.005
147
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.022,-0.061,0.013
148
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.129,0.093
149
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.045,-0.035,0.146
150
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.019,0.123
151
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.017,-0.063,0.023
152
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.032,0.118
153
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.018,-0.065,0.024
154
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.058,0.053
155
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.032,-0.107,0.033
157
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.017,-0.064,0.023
158
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.013,0.152
159
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.046,-0.031,0.121
160
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.07,0.075
161
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.205,0.506
162
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.056,0.03
163
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.01,-0.047,0.079
164
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.011,-0.036,0.078
165
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.018,0.163
166
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.077,-0.013,0.17
167
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.035,0.072
168
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,0.004,0.162
169
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.057,0.101
170
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.009,0.068
171
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.031,-0.035,0.097
172
+ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.052,0.084
174
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.004,0.174
175
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.01,0.156
176
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.35,0.9,0.035,-0.011,0.083
177
+ Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.387,0.253,0.522
178
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.027,-0.084,0.022
179
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.402,-0.005,-0.054,0.05
180
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.116,0.095
181
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.016,0.151
182
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.001,0.124
 
183
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.063,0.066
 
184
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.059,-0.03,0.161
185
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.002,-0.045,0.042
186
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.014,-0.046,0.076
187
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.017,-0.023,0.061
188
+ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.092,0.049
189
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.074,-0.0,0.151
191
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.006,0.123
192
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.06,0.091
 
193
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.214,0.526
194
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.11,-0.195,-0.031
195
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.186,-0.002
196
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.185,-0.005
197
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.043,0.005
198
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.047,0.021
199
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.081,-0.186,0.01
200
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.017,-0.116,0.08
201
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.198,0.007
202
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.157,0.015
203
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.179,0.013
204
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.211,0.004
205
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.08,-0.177,0.0
206
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.051,0.017
208
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.059,-0.158,0.025
209
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.328,0.168,0.472
210
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.094,-0.168,-0.021
211
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.071,-0.166,0.015
212
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.175,0.011
213
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.028,0.036
214
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.033,0.044
 
215
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.156,0.031
 
216
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.107,0.107
217
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.165,0.016
218
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.051,-0.137,0.027
219
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.048,-0.138,0.03
220
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.185,0.01
221
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.14,0.006
222
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.017,0.048
223
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.148,0.046
 
225
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.337,0.162,0.491
226
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.048,-0.108,0.007
227
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.086,0.033
228
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.087,0.031
229
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.05,0.128
230
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.043,0.137
 
231
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.021,-0.075,0.024
 
232
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.011,0.095
233
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.103,0.066
234
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.048,0.033
235
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.081,0.065
236
+ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.1,0.65,-0.036,-0.091,0.01
237
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.1,0.057
238
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.026,0.136
239
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.048,0.129
240
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.247,0.481
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.651,-1.086,-0.344
243
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.015,-0.319
244
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-1.045,-0.359
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.51,-0.953,-0.223
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.505,-0.918,-0.195
 
247
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.608,-0.992,-0.328
 
248
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.512,-0.787,-0.293
249
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.61,-1.083,-0.269
250
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.585,-0.99,-0.316
251
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.581,-1.022,-0.258
252
+ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.631,-1.091,-0.338
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.607,-1.108,-0.272
254
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.488,-0.893,-0.202
255
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.509,-0.966,-0.194
256
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.575,-0.927,-0.328
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/pairwise_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -4,16 +4,16 @@ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.05,-0.037,0.153
4
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.042,0.157
5
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.108,0.137
6
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.022,0.202
7
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.109,0.129
8
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.063,0.073
 
 
9
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.02,-0.124,0.049
10
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.057,0.195
11
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.021,0.205
 
12
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.095,0.138
13
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.007,0.209
14
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.01,0.182
15
  TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.166,0.152
16
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.089,0.113
17
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.059,-0.012,0.139
18
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.302,0.151,0.466
19
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.18,0.036
@@ -21,16 +21,16 @@ TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
21
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.116,0.104
22
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.156,0.044
23
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.037,0.003,0.073
24
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.137,0.019
25
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.141,0.028
 
 
26
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.232,0.042
27
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.012,-0.194,0.191
28
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.002,0.099
 
29
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.111,0.031
30
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.053,0.016,0.093
31
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.02,0.091
32
  TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.04,-0.265,0.136
33
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.036,-0.145,0.04
34
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.01,-0.111,0.117
35
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.266,0.03,0.446
36
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.186,0.041
@@ -38,16 +38,16 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.006,-0.116,0.104
38
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
39
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.128,0.059
40
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.043,-0.069,0.141
41
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.035,-0.131,0.053
42
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.038,-0.168,0.031
 
 
43
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.193,0.03
44
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.084,0.109
45
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.101,0.171
 
46
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.153,0.076
47
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.072,0.167
48
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.044,-0.115,0.149
49
  TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.034,-0.196,0.113
50
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.11,0.034
51
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.04,0.071
52
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.271,0.109,0.406
53
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.159,0.097
@@ -55,16 +55,16 @@ Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.034,-0.047,0.135
55
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.062,0.114
56
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
57
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.07,-0.016,0.158
58
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.006,-0.054,0.035
59
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.092,0.059
 
 
60
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.036,-0.144,0.052
61
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.141,0.185
62
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.078,-0.034,0.196
 
63
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.065,0.075
64
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.012,0.196
65
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.071,-0.036,0.181
66
  Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.165,0.134
67
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.001,-0.035,0.025
68
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.071,0.143
69
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.291,0.052,0.471
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.253,0.021
@@ -72,67 +72,84 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.038,-0.079,-0.003
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.045,-0.164,0.065
73
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.075,-0.188,0.016
74
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
75
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.173,-0.001
76
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.194,0.009
 
 
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.114,-0.286,0.022
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.249,0.151
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.043,0.054
 
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.145,-0.0
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.012,0.05
82
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.076,0.055
83
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.321,0.104
84
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.076,-0.183,0.012
85
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.028,-0.167,0.084
86
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.238,-0.014,0.419
87
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.148,0.099
88
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.019,0.12
89
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.034,-0.056,0.116
90
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.006,-0.037,0.051
91
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,0.001,0.148
92
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.083,0.057
94
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.03,-0.127,0.037
95
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.052,-0.137,0.196
96
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.083,-0.021,0.19
97
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.039,0.059
98
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.091,0.002,0.189
99
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.024,0.175
100
- citras-fm,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.001,-0.163,0.144
101
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.037,0.045
102
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.049,-0.06,0.134
103
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.295,0.073,0.472
104
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.078,0.059
105
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.029,0.123
106
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.037,-0.032,0.144
107
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.062,0.084
108
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.009,0.162
109
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.06,0.077
110
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
111
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.087,0.031
112
  TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.054,-0.089,0.201
113
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.013,0.18
 
114
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.053,0.073
115
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.094,0.0,0.183
116
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.005,0.156
117
  TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.139,0.133
118
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.044,0.069
119
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.028,0.146
120
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.298,0.098,0.478
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
121
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.052,0.11
122
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.044,0.188
123
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.031,0.162
124
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.035,-0.055,0.126
125
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.102,-0.023,0.223
126
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.029,-0.039,0.113
127
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.032,0.08
 
 
128
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.061,0.204
130
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.11,-0.037,0.242
 
131
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.045,0.126
132
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.118,-0.024,0.242
133
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.103,-0.025,0.22
134
  Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.03,-0.08,0.138
135
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.034,-0.041,0.101
136
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.158
137
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.316,0.124,0.487
138
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.242,0.054
@@ -140,16 +157,16 @@ FlowState,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.012,-0.236,0.162
140
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.122,0.078
141
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.227,0.124
142
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.178,0.199
143
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.054,-0.245,0.12
144
  FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.058,-0.251,0.082
 
 
145
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.257,0.058
146
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.033,-0.204,0.217
 
148
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.273,0.14
149
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.042,-0.177,0.214
150
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.204,0.195
151
  FlowState,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.274,0.151
152
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.208,0.096
153
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.133,0.112
154
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.257,0.128,0.376
155
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.258,0.021
@@ -157,33 +174,50 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.109,0.002
157
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.207,0.092
158
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.084,-0.243,0.033
159
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.057,0.041
160
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.234,0.02
161
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.22,0.013
 
 
162
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.123,-0.32,0.036
163
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.034,-0.278,0.17
164
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
165
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.079,-0.187,0.009
166
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.009,-0.011,0.033
167
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.04,0.026
168
  Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.089,-0.353,0.109
169
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.085,-0.231,0.029
170
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.037,-0.193,0.102
171
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.232,-0.027,0.431
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
172
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.161,0.087
173
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.032,0.1
174
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.082,0.133
175
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.081,0.061
176
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.0,0.126
177
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.063,0.038
178
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.079,0.051
 
 
179
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.144,0.043
180
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.163,0.214
181
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.073,-0.009,0.157
 
182
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,0.004,0.159
184
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.014,0.143
185
  Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.17,0.12
186
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.073,0.057
187
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.039,-0.077,0.133
188
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.288,0.053,0.476
189
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.111,-0.265,0.007
@@ -191,84 +225,50 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.056,-0.102,-0.016
191
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.2,0.067
192
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.243,0.012
193
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.053,0.012
194
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.1,-0.232,-0.002
195
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.104,-0.223,-0.0
 
 
196
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.133,-0.319,0.023
197
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.044,-0.272,0.151
198
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.009,-0.035,0.011
 
199
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.189,-0.004
200
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.069,0.026
202
  Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.099,-0.356,0.093
203
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.095,-0.226,0.007
204
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.046,-0.196,0.08
205
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.225,-0.025,0.414
206
- Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.222,0.01
207
- Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.039,-0.1,0.019
208
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.046,-0.175,0.103
209
- Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.076,-0.22,0.035
210
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.058,0.071
211
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.213,0.024
212
- Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.185,0.005
213
- Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.115,-0.282,0.025
214
- Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.243,0.169
215
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.027,0.038
216
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.166,0.013
217
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.027,0.064
218
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
- Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.33,0.102
220
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.077,-0.203,0.031
221
- Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.176,0.113
222
- Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.237,-0.01,0.447
223
  AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.179,0.143
224
  AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.039,-0.158,0.21
225
  AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.033,-0.128,0.164
226
  AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.154,0.142
227
  AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.116,0.243
228
- AutoETS,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.001,-0.168,0.14
229
  AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.153,0.122
 
 
230
  AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.031,-0.16,0.074
231
  AutoETS,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.178,0.215
232
  AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.082,-0.122,0.261
 
233
  AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.136,0.145
234
  AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.09,-0.102,0.262
235
- AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.114,0.248
236
  AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.146,0.122
238
  AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.082,0.166
239
  AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.295,0.066,0.481
240
- TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.128,0.082
241
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.035,-0.042,0.127
242
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.035,0.099
243
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.001,-0.026,0.034
244
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.071,-0.012,0.155
245
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.048,0.036
246
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.074,0.042
247
- TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.035,-0.112,0.039
248
- TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.106,0.172
249
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.078,-0.03,0.188
250
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.006,-0.061,0.068
251
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.086,-0.007,0.184
252
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.071,-0.032,0.169
253
- TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.139,0.128
254
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.043,0.124
256
- TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.292,0.081,0.459
257
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.062,-0.161,0.011
258
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.01,-0.133,0.1
259
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.076,0.038
260
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.167,0.066
261
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.027,-0.091,0.143
262
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.052,-0.155,0.057
263
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.055,-0.171,0.027
 
 
264
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.084,-0.188,0.001
265
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.126,0.117
266
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.035,-0.114,0.162
 
267
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.04,-0.154,0.072
268
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.087,0.164
269
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.127,0.149
270
  Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.051,-0.199,0.076
271
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.142,0.041
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.259,0.102,0.399
274
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.433,-0.874,-0.179
@@ -276,15 +276,15 @@ Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.362,-0.804,-0.031
276
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.371,-0.684,-0.122
277
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.411,-0.889,-0.054
278
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.312,-0.721,0.014
279
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.419,-0.895,-0.078
280
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.424,-0.915,-0.109
 
 
281
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.462,-0.951,-0.141
282
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.346,-0.602,-0.147
283
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.301,-0.758,0.027
 
284
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.404,-0.91,-0.055
285
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.29,-0.707,0.024
286
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.311,-0.809,0.009
287
  Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.417,-0.928,-0.07
288
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.412,-0.85,-0.089
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.349,-0.664,-0.113
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
4
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.042,0.157
5
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.108,0.137
6
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.022,0.202
 
7
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.063,0.073
8
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.109,0.129
9
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.025,-0.128,0.159
10
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.02,-0.124,0.049
11
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.057,0.195
12
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.021,0.205
13
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.01,0.182
14
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.095,0.138
15
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.007,0.209
 
16
  TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.166,0.152
 
17
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.059,-0.012,0.139
18
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.302,0.151,0.466
19
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.18,0.036
 
21
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.116,0.104
22
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.156,0.044
23
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.037,0.003,0.073
 
24
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.141,0.028
25
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.137,0.019
26
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.026,-0.175,0.068
27
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.232,0.042
28
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.012,-0.194,0.191
29
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.002,0.099
30
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.02,0.091
31
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.111,0.031
32
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.053,0.016,0.093
 
33
  TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.04,-0.265,0.136
 
34
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.01,-0.111,0.117
35
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.266,0.03,0.446
36
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.186,0.041
 
38
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
39
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.128,0.059
40
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.043,-0.069,0.141
 
41
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.038,-0.168,0.031
42
+ TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.035,-0.131,0.053
43
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.019,-0.135,0.079
44
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.193,0.03
45
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.084,0.109
46
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.101,0.171
47
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.044,-0.115,0.149
48
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.153,0.076
49
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.072,0.167
 
50
  TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.034,-0.196,0.113
 
51
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.04,0.071
52
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.271,0.109,0.406
53
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.159,0.097
 
55
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.062,0.114
56
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
57
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.07,-0.016,0.158
 
58
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.092,0.059
59
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.006,-0.054,0.035
60
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.009,-0.034,0.061
61
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.036,-0.144,0.052
62
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.141,0.185
63
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.078,-0.034,0.196
64
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.071,-0.036,0.181
65
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.065,0.075
66
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.012,0.196
 
67
  Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.165,0.134
 
68
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.071,0.143
69
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.291,0.052,0.471
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.253,0.021
 
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.045,-0.164,0.065
73
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.075,-0.188,0.016
74
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
75
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.194,0.009
76
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.173,-0.001
77
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.065,-0.214,0.037
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.114,-0.286,0.022
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.249,0.151
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.043,0.054
81
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.076,0.055
82
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.145,-0.0
83
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.012,0.05
 
84
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.321,0.104
 
85
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.028,-0.167,0.084
86
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.238,-0.014,0.419
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
87
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.078,0.059
88
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.029,0.123
89
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.037,-0.032,0.144
90
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.062,0.084
91
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.009,0.162
 
92
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.06,0.077
94
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.018,-0.073,0.098
95
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.087,0.031
96
  TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.054,-0.089,0.201
97
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.013,0.18
98
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.005,0.156
99
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.053,0.073
100
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.094,0.0,0.183
 
101
  TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.139,0.133
 
102
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.028,0.146
103
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.298,0.098,0.478
104
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.148,0.099
105
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.019,0.12
106
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.034,-0.056,0.116
107
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.006,-0.037,0.051
108
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,0.001,0.148
109
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.083,0.057
110
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.041,0.07
112
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.03,-0.127,0.037
113
+ citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.052,-0.137,0.196
114
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.083,-0.021,0.19
115
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.024,0.175
116
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.039,0.059
117
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.091,0.002,0.189
118
+ citras-fm,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.001,-0.163,0.144
119
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.049,-0.06,0.134
120
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.295,0.073,0.472
121
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.026,-0.188,0.114
122
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.025,-0.073,0.149
123
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.086,0.119
124
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.009,-0.065,0.033
125
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.061,-0.038,0.177
126
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.019,-0.109,0.068
127
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.016,-0.075,0.039
128
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.046,-0.15,0.031
130
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.037,-0.165,0.189
131
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.056,0.21
132
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.061,0.196
133
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.004,-0.084,0.071
134
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.077,-0.031,0.209
135
+ TS-ICL,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.144,0.088
136
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.035,-0.085,0.14
137
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.285,0.037,0.472
138
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.052,0.11
139
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.044,0.188
140
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.031,0.162
141
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.035,-0.055,0.126
142
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.102,-0.023,0.223
 
143
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.032,0.08
144
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.029,-0.039,0.113
145
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.032,0.131
146
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.061,0.204
148
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.11,-0.037,0.242
149
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.103,-0.025,0.22
150
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.045,0.126
151
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.118,-0.024,0.242
 
152
  Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.03,-0.08,0.138
 
153
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.158
154
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.316,0.124,0.487
155
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.242,0.054
 
157
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.122,0.078
158
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.227,0.124
159
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.178,0.199
 
160
  FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.058,-0.251,0.082
161
+ FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.054,-0.245,0.12
162
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.038,-0.232,0.142
163
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.257,0.058
164
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.033,-0.204,0.217
166
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.204,0.195
167
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.273,0.14
168
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.042,-0.177,0.214
 
169
  FlowState,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.274,0.151
 
170
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.133,0.112
171
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.257,0.128,0.376
172
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.258,0.021
 
174
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.207,0.092
175
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.084,-0.243,0.033
176
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.057,0.041
 
177
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.22,0.013
178
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.234,0.02
179
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.266,0.053
180
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.123,-0.32,0.036
181
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.034,-0.278,0.17
182
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.04,0.026
184
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.079,-0.187,0.009
185
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.009,-0.011,0.033
 
186
  Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.089,-0.353,0.109
 
187
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.037,-0.193,0.102
188
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.232,-0.027,0.431
189
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.222,0.01
190
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.039,-0.1,0.019
191
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.046,-0.175,0.103
192
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.076,-0.22,0.035
193
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.058,0.071
194
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.185,0.005
195
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.213,0.024
196
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.244,0.057
197
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.115,-0.282,0.025
198
+ Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.243,0.169
199
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.027,0.038
200
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.166,0.013
202
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.027,0.064
203
+ Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.33,0.102
204
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.176,0.113
205
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.237,-0.01,0.447
206
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.161,0.087
207
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.032,0.1
208
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.082,0.133
209
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.081,0.061
210
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.0,0.126
 
211
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.079,0.051
212
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.063,0.038
213
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.004,-0.076,0.077
214
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.144,0.043
215
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.163,0.214
216
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.073,-0.009,0.157
217
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.014,0.143
218
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,0.004,0.159
 
220
  Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.17,0.12
 
221
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.039,-0.077,0.133
222
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.288,0.053,0.476
223
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.111,-0.265,0.007
 
225
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.2,0.067
226
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.243,0.012
227
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.053,0.012
 
228
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.104,-0.223,-0.0
229
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.1,-0.232,-0.002
230
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.084,-0.263,0.03
231
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.133,-0.319,0.023
232
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.044,-0.272,0.151
233
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.009,-0.035,0.011
234
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.069,0.026
235
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.189,-0.004
236
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
237
  Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.099,-0.356,0.093
 
238
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.046,-0.196,0.08
239
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.225,-0.025,0.414
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
240
  AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.179,0.143
241
  AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.039,-0.158,0.21
242
  AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.033,-0.128,0.164
243
  AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.154,0.142
244
  AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.116,0.243
 
245
  AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.153,0.122
246
+ AutoETS,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.001,-0.168,0.14
247
+ AutoETS,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.096,0.126
248
  AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.031,-0.16,0.074
249
  AutoETS,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.178,0.215
250
  AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.082,-0.122,0.261
251
+ AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.114,0.248
252
  AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.136,0.145
253
  AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.09,-0.102,0.262
 
254
  AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
255
  AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.082,0.166
256
  AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.295,0.066,0.481
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
257
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.062,-0.161,0.011
258
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.01,-0.133,0.1
259
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.076,0.038
260
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.167,0.066
261
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.027,-0.091,0.143
 
262
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.055,-0.171,0.027
263
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.052,-0.155,0.057
264
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.036,-0.163,0.078
265
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.084,-0.188,0.001
266
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.126,0.117
267
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.035,-0.114,0.162
268
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.127,0.149
269
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.04,-0.154,0.072
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.087,0.164
 
271
  Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.051,-0.199,0.076
 
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.259,0.102,0.399
274
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.433,-0.874,-0.179
 
276
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.371,-0.684,-0.122
277
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.411,-0.889,-0.054
278
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.312,-0.721,0.014
 
279
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.424,-0.915,-0.109
280
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.419,-0.895,-0.078
281
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.398,-0.893,-0.038
282
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.462,-0.951,-0.141
283
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.346,-0.602,-0.147
284
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.301,-0.758,0.027
285
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.311,-0.809,0.009
286
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.404,-0.91,-0.055
287
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.29,-0.707,0.024
 
288
  Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.417,-0.928,-0.07
 
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.349,-0.664,-0.113
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_health/pairwise_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
- Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.119,0.095
4
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.05,-0.019,0.145
5
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.045,0.049
6
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.046,-0.035,0.122
 
7
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.021,-0.11,0.055
8
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.085,0.001,0.166
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.055,0.099
10
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.086,-0.028,0.197
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.077,0.077
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.077,-0.036,0.182
 
13
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.09,-0.002,0.181
14
- Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.097,0.191
15
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.037,-0.004,0.081
16
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.038,-0.07,0.13
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.404,0.211,0.549
18
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.002,-0.105,0.106
19
- TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.052,-0.018,0.138
21
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.088,0.1
22
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.018,0.139
23
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.019,-0.109,0.043
24
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,-0.017,0.208
25
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.023,0.085
26
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.024,0.197
27
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.109,0.114
28
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.017,0.17
29
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.007,0.198
30
- TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.067,-0.041,0.182
31
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.039,-0.028,0.11
32
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.04,-0.018,0.102
33
- TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.406,0.261,0.536
34
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.052,-0.169,0.019
35
- TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.054,-0.16,0.018
36
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.051,-0.138,0.004
38
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.092,0.089
 
39
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.213,0.029
40
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.038,-0.014,0.093
41
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.096,0.031
42
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.022,0.097
43
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.15,0.034
44
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.028,-0.034,0.082
 
45
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.043,0.002,0.089
46
- TiRex-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.164,0.17
47
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.092,0.052
48
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.012,-0.128,0.083
49
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.373,0.19,0.521
50
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.051,0.043
51
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.111,0.081
52
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.004,0.121
53
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.036,0.125
55
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.097,0.032
56
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.014,0.152
57
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.034,0.075
58
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.012,0.174
59
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.05,0.048
60
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.014,0.158
61
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,0.014,0.16
62
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.063,-0.1,0.198
63
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.036,-0.014,0.091
64
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.037,-0.056,0.112
65
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.404,0.218,0.551
66
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.139,0.034
67
- TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.051,-0.162,0.018
68
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.003,-0.097,0.084
69
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.048,-0.143,0.035
70
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
71
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.071,-0.195,0.021
72
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.071,0.15
73
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.022,-0.141,0.042
74
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.041,-0.111,0.159
75
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.192,0.064
76
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.032,-0.123,0.132
 
77
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.084,0.147
78
- TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.019,-0.074,0.107
79
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.076,0.047
80
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.078,0.056
81
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.375,0.232,0.495
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
82
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.02,-0.058,0.099
83
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.018,-0.045,0.098
84
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.03,0.176
85
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.022,-0.033,0.089
86
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.021,0.163
 
87
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.104,-0.014,0.215
89
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.008,0.103
90
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.104,-0.032,0.225
91
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.059,0.098
92
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.096,-0.019,0.201
 
93
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.109,-0.011,0.22
94
- Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.084,-0.05,0.203
95
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.057,-0.016,0.126
96
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.951,0.057,-0.013,0.128
97
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.416,0.242,0.564
98
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.093,-0.199,-0.001
99
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.096,-0.262,0.017
100
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.102,0.014
101
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.179,-0.014
102
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.176,0.067
 
103
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.116,-0.274,0.014
104
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.178,0.021
106
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.07,0.057
107
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.179,-0.009
108
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.097,0.053
 
109
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.032,0.038
110
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.023,-0.265,0.157
111
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.158,0.036
112
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.219,0.063
113
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.349,0.118,0.513
114
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.11,0.052
115
- TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.028,-0.093,0.023
116
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.032,0.088
117
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.025,-0.081,0.033
118
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.022,-0.044,0.123
 
119
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.047,-0.114,0.007
120
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.022,0.151
121
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.026,0.149
123
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.099,0.043
124
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.053,-0.016,0.118
 
125
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.067,-0.01,0.141
126
- TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.104,0.184
127
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.012,-0.046,0.072
128
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.013,-0.067,0.096
129
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.389,0.216,0.543
130
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.094,-0.246,0.028
131
- Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.245,0.023
132
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.039,-0.107,0.021
133
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.211,0.012
134
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.043,-0.188,0.1
 
135
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.116,-0.291,0.031
136
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.06,0.065
137
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.175,0.026
138
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.205,0.003
140
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.041,0.022
 
141
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.023,0.037
142
- Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.023,-0.259,0.177
143
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.053,-0.178,0.058
144
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.209,0.086
145
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.348,0.132,0.525
146
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.084,0.072
147
- Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.128,0.098
148
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.035,0.131
149
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.05,0.048
150
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.045,-0.068,0.161
 
151
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.109,0.056
152
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.009,0.152
153
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.045,0.09
154
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.003,0.17
155
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.005,0.157
 
157
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.088,0.013,0.159
158
- Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.138,0.234
159
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.035,-0.044,0.112
160
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.036,-0.076,0.13
161
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.403,0.197,0.565
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.083,-0.222,0.035
163
- Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.205,0.017
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.029,-0.089,0.033
165
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.188,0.014
166
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.033,-0.152,0.11
 
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.106,-0.251,0.019
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.056,0.088
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.056,-0.134,0.016
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.023,0.039
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.186,0.005
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.014,-0.027,0.061
174
- Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.226,0.175
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.043,-0.15,0.064
176
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.184,0.09
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.355,0.161,0.532
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
178
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.099,-0.221,0.002
179
- Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.247,0.007
180
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.044,-0.097,-0.002
181
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.098,-0.191,-0.015
182
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.173,0.078
 
183
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.122,-0.282,0.011
184
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.04,0.031
185
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.071,-0.164,0.009
186
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.039,0.023
187
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.097,-0.189,-0.013
188
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.065,0.026
 
189
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
- Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.028,-0.249,0.159
191
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.16,0.033
192
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.209,0.061
193
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.345,0.128,0.509
194
- FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.237,0.088
195
- FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.222,0.039
196
- FlowState,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.205,0.141
197
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.068,-0.247,0.091
198
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.019,-0.12,0.069
199
- FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.091,-0.255,0.048
200
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.022,-0.186,0.209
201
- FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.225,0.094
202
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.215,0.206
203
- FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.305,0.121
204
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.212,0.184
205
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.027,-0.189,0.2
206
- FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.177,0.097
208
- FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.166,0.091
209
- FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.363,0.225,0.479
210
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.038,-0.088,0.004
211
- TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.123,0.027
212
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.055,0.084
213
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.1,0.014
214
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.049,0.07
 
215
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.06,-0.144,0.016
216
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.037,0.136
217
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.077,0.044
218
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.051,-0.061,0.151
219
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.126,0.043
220
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.069,0.13
 
221
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.034,0.138
222
- TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.108,0.151
223
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.077,0.073
225
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.381,0.215,0.518
226
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.039,-0.149,0.066
227
- Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.113,0.018
228
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.012,-0.091,0.113
229
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.038,-0.126,0.053
230
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.059,0.073
 
231
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.049,0.5,-0.061,-0.147,0.013
232
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.067,0.18
233
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.013,-0.106,0.062
234
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.094,0.173
235
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.037,-0.15,0.071
236
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.099,0.156
 
237
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.065,0.173
238
- Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.1,0.142
239
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.078,0.072
240
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.501
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.678,-1.217,-0.268
243
- Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.682,-1.155,-0.354
244
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.595,-1.088,-0.234
245
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.677,-1.229,-0.279
246
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.6,-0.979,-0.302
 
247
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.714,-1.293,-0.32
248
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.053,-0.133
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.636,-1.186,-0.275
250
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.104,-0.153
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.676,-1.297,-0.246
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.55,-1.137,-0.191
 
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.527,-1.038,-0.147
254
- Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.57,-0.92,-0.291
255
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.617,-1.074,-0.273
256
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.006,-0.319
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
3
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.05,-0.019,0.145
4
+ Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.119,0.095
5
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.046,-0.035,0.122
6
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.045,0.049
7
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.021,-0.11,0.055
8
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.085,0.001,0.166
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.055,0.099
10
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.086,-0.028,0.197
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.077,0.077
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.077,-0.036,0.182
13
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.025,-0.019,0.081
14
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.09,-0.002,0.181
 
15
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.037,-0.004,0.081
16
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.038,-0.07,0.13
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.404,0.211,0.549
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.052,-0.169,0.019
 
19
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
+ TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.054,-0.16,0.018
21
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.092,0.089
22
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.051,-0.138,0.004
23
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.213,0.029
24
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.038,-0.014,0.093
25
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.096,0.031
26
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.022,0.097
27
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.15,0.034
28
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.028,-0.034,0.082
29
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.025,-0.174,0.066
30
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.043,0.002,0.089
 
31
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.092,0.052
32
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.012,-0.128,0.083
33
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.373,0.19,0.521
34
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.002,-0.105,0.106
35
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.052,-0.018,0.138
36
+ TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
+ TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.018,0.139
38
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.088,0.1
39
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.019,-0.109,0.043
40
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,-0.017,0.208
41
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.023,0.085
42
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.024,0.197
43
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.109,0.114
44
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.017,0.17
45
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.028,-0.104,0.136
46
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.007,0.198
47
+ TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.039,-0.028,0.11
48
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.04,-0.018,0.102
49
+ TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.406,0.261,0.536
50
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.139,0.034
 
51
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.003,-0.097,0.084
52
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.051,-0.162,0.018
53
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
+ TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.048,-0.143,0.035
55
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.071,-0.195,0.021
56
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.071,0.15
57
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.022,-0.141,0.042
58
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.041,-0.111,0.159
59
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.192,0.064
60
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.032,-0.123,0.132
61
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.022,-0.135,0.072
62
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.084,0.147
 
63
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.076,0.047
64
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.078,0.056
65
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.375,0.232,0.495
66
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.051,0.043
67
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.004,0.121
68
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.111,0.081
69
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.036,0.125
70
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.097,0.032
72
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.014,0.152
73
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.034,0.075
74
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.012,0.174
75
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.05,0.048
76
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.014,0.158
77
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.037,0.077
78
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,0.014,0.16
79
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.036,-0.014,0.091
80
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.037,-0.056,0.112
81
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.404,0.218,0.551
82
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.02,-0.058,0.099
 
83
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.03,0.176
84
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.018,-0.045,0.098
85
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.021,0.163
86
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.022,-0.033,0.089
87
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.104,-0.014,0.215
89
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.008,0.103
90
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.104,-0.032,0.225
91
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.059,0.098
92
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.096,-0.019,0.201
93
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.021,0.117
94
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.109,-0.011,0.22
 
95
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.057,-0.016,0.126
96
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.951,0.057,-0.013,0.128
97
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.416,0.242,0.564
98
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.093,-0.199,-0.001
 
99
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.102,0.014
100
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.096,-0.262,0.017
101
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.176,0.067
102
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.179,-0.014
103
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.116,-0.274,0.014
104
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.178,0.021
106
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.07,0.057
107
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.179,-0.009
108
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.097,0.053
109
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.065,-0.197,0.036
110
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.032,0.038
 
111
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.158,0.036
112
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.219,0.063
113
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.349,0.118,0.513
114
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.11,0.052
 
115
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.032,0.088
116
+ TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.028,-0.093,0.023
117
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.022,-0.044,0.123
118
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.025,-0.081,0.033
119
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.047,-0.114,0.007
120
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.022,0.151
121
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.026,0.149
123
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.099,0.043
124
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.053,-0.016,0.118
125
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.0,-0.099,0.079
126
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.067,-0.01,0.141
 
127
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.012,-0.046,0.072
128
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.013,-0.067,0.096
129
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.389,0.216,0.543
130
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.094,-0.246,0.028
 
131
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.039,-0.107,0.021
132
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.245,0.023
133
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.043,-0.188,0.1
134
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.211,0.012
135
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.116,-0.291,0.031
136
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.06,0.065
137
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.175,0.026
138
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.205,0.003
140
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.041,0.022
141
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.24,0.061
142
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.023,0.037
 
143
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.053,-0.178,0.058
144
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.209,0.086
145
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.348,0.132,0.525
146
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.084,0.072
 
147
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.035,0.131
148
+ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.128,0.098
149
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.045,-0.068,0.161
150
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.05,0.048
151
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.109,0.056
152
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.009,0.152
153
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.045,0.09
154
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.003,0.17
155
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.005,0.157
157
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.024,-0.052,0.095
158
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.088,0.013,0.159
 
159
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.035,-0.044,0.112
160
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.036,-0.076,0.13
161
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.403,0.197,0.565
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.083,-0.222,0.035
 
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.029,-0.089,0.033
164
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.205,0.017
165
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.033,-0.152,0.11
166
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.188,0.014
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.106,-0.251,0.019
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.056,0.088
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.056,-0.134,0.016
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.023,0.039
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.186,0.005
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.055,-0.218,0.068
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.014,-0.027,0.061
 
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.043,-0.15,0.064
176
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.184,0.09
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.355,0.161,0.532
178
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.026,-0.088,0.019
179
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.071,0.148
180
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.028,-0.158,0.095
181
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.022,-0.078,0.119
182
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.025,-0.084,0.036
183
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.048,-0.132,0.02
184
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.061,-0.038,0.165
185
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.0,-0.086,0.09
186
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.064,0.194
187
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.105,0.05
188
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.053,-0.073,0.179
189
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.066,-0.037,0.185
191
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.012,-0.06,0.085
192
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.013,-0.093,0.11
193
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.389,0.192,0.54
194
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.099,-0.221,0.002
 
195
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.044,-0.097,-0.002
196
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.247,0.007
197
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.173,0.078
198
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.098,-0.191,-0.015
199
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.122,-0.282,0.011
200
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.04,0.031
201
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.071,-0.164,0.009
202
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.039,0.023
203
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.097,-0.189,-0.013
204
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.065,0.026
205
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.071,-0.228,0.036
206
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
207
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.16,0.033
208
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.209,0.061
209
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.345,0.128,0.509
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
210
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.038,-0.088,0.004
 
211
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.055,0.084
212
+ TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.123,0.027
213
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.049,0.07
214
+ TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.1,0.014
215
  TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.06,-0.144,0.016
216
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.037,0.136
217
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.077,0.044
218
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.051,-0.061,0.151
219
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.126,0.043
220
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.069,0.13
221
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.092,0.057
222
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.034,0.138
 
223
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.077,0.073
225
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.381,0.215,0.518
226
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.039,-0.149,0.066
 
227
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.012,-0.091,0.113
228
+ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.113,0.018
229
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.059,0.073
230
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.038,-0.126,0.053
231
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.049,0.5,-0.061,-0.147,0.013
232
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.067,0.18
233
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.013,-0.106,0.062
234
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.094,0.173
235
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.037,-0.15,0.071
236
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.099,0.156
237
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.013,-0.123,0.085
238
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.065,0.173
 
239
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.078,0.072
240
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.501
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.678,-1.217,-0.268
 
243
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.595,-1.088,-0.234
244
+ Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.682,-1.155,-0.354
245
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.6,-0.979,-0.302
246
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.677,-1.229,-0.279
247
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.714,-1.293,-0.32
248
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.053,-0.133
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.636,-1.186,-0.275
250
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.104,-0.153
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.676,-1.297,-0.246
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.55,-1.137,-0.191
253
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.636,-1.172,-0.237
254
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.527,-1.038,-0.147
 
255
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.617,-1.074,-0.273
256
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.006,-0.319
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,89.79591836734696,31.297845826674763,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,86.73469387755102,29.93744282184213,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
4
- TimesFM-2.5,83.16326530612247,30.08997810079499,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-313m,82.14285714285715,29.655413564276433,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.61224489795919,29.34036054759431,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
7
- FlowState,77.55102040816327,28.358976057331542,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,76.53061224489797,28.869849458291053,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
9
  TiRex-2,71.42857142857143,28.6618144795166,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
10
- Toto-2.0-22m,67.3469387755102,27.624459375998768,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
11
- TabPFN-TS-3,66.83673469387755,26.238904121348316,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
12
- TFT,54.59183673469388,21.59101828180743,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
13
- Moirai-2.0,52.806122448979586,25.335908970299936,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
14
- Chronos-Bolt,52.806122448979586,25.335908970299936,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-1.0,51.02040816326531,25.573203950705693,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
16
- citras-fm,50.51020408163265,24.96481070359039,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
17
- TabPFN-TS,48.46938775510204,24.532719864713304,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
18
- Toto-2.0-4m,47.95918367346939,23.095596464945533,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
19
- Sundial-Base,47.95918367346938,23.393412693458927,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
20
- CatBoost,40.3061224489796,18.807513597537383,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
21
- LightGBM,40.306122448979586,19.233879992772206,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
22
- DeepAR,39.795918367346935,20.158757124750093,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
23
- PatchTST,35.714285714285715,16.989509965321957,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,26.02040816326531,7.694422260326506,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
25
- AutoARIMA,20.918367346938773,3.300627782307375,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
26
- AutoTheta,18.877551020408163,2.2840445944943277,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
27
- Seasonal Naive,18.367346938775512,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoETS,14.795918367346935,-16.79021320144407,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,5.612244897959184,-40.74006367145597,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,1.0204081632653061,-55.85219582340872,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,89.16256157635469,31.297845826674763,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,86.69950738916256,29.93744282184213,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
4
+ TimesFM-2.5,83.25123152709362,30.08997810079499,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,82.26600985221675,29.655413564276433,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.29556650246306,29.34036054759431,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
7
+ FlowState,76.35467980295566,28.358976057331542,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex,75.86206896551722,28.869849458291053,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
9
  TiRex-2,71.42857142857143,28.6618144795166,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
10
+ TS-ICL,68.96551724137929,27.616306234152965,0.0,1.2980779820384505,0.0,0.0
11
+ Toto-2.0-22m,66.99507389162561,27.624459375998768,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS-3,65.51724137931033,26.238904121348316,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
13
+ TFT,53.69458128078818,21.59101828180743,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
14
+ Moirai-2.0,51.47783251231527,25.335908970299936,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
15
+ Chronos-Bolt,51.47783251231527,25.335908970299936,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
16
+ Toto-1.0,50.2463054187192,25.573203950705693,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
17
+ citras-fm,49.26108374384236,24.96481070359039,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS,48.275862068965516,24.532719864713304,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
19
+ Sundial-Base,47.29064039408866,23.393412693458927,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
20
+ Toto-2.0-4m,46.79802955665024,23.095596464945533,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
21
+ CatBoost,39.4088669950739,18.807513597537383,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
22
+ LightGBM,39.40886699507389,19.233879992772206,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
23
+ DeepAR,38.916256157635466,20.158757124750093,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
24
+ PatchTST,34.97536945812808,16.989509965321957,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,25.1231527093596,7.694422260326506,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
26
+ AutoARIMA,20.197044334975367,3.300627782307375,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
27
+ AutoTheta,18.226600985221676,2.2840445944943277,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
28
+ Seasonal Naive,17.733990147783253,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoETS,14.285714285714288,-16.79021320144407,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,5.41871921182266,-40.74006367145597,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,0.9852216748768473,-55.85219582340872,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,91.83673469387756,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
  TimesFM-2.5,85.71428571428574,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-1B,85.20408163265306,42.89784402878507,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-313m,81.12244897959184,42.58037472652917,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
6
- TiRex,79.59183673469387,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.59183673469387,42.389618394267615,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex-2,75.51020408163265,41.88624154012951,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
9
- FlowState,75.0,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
10
- TabPFN-TS-3,72.95918367346938,39.7795308730858,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
11
- Toto-2.0-22m,69.89795918367346,41.25081408595533,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
12
- TFT,59.18367346938776,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
13
- citras-fm,54.591836734693864,37.27325369456074,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
14
- Toto-1.0,53.57142857142857,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-2.0-4m,53.57142857142857,37.62294495333535,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
16
- TabPFN-TS,51.53061224489795,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
17
- Chronos-Bolt,51.275510204081634,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
18
- Moirai-2.0,51.275510204081634,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
19
- DeepAR,48.97959183673469,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
20
- PatchTST,43.367346938775505,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
21
- Sundial-Base,38.265306122448976,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
22
- AutoARIMA,26.53061224489796,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
23
- CatBoost,24.48979591836735,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,23.46938775510204,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
25
- LightGBM,23.46938775510204,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
26
- Seasonal Naive,17.346938775510203,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
27
- AutoTheta,15.306122448979592,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoETS,10.714285714285712,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,5.1020408163265305,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,1.530612244897959,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,91.13300492610838,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
  TimesFM-2.5,85.71428571428574,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-1B,85.2216748768473,42.89784402878507,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,80.78817733990147,42.58037472652917,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.3103448275862,42.389618394267615,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
7
+ TiRex,79.31034482758619,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex-2,75.36945812807882,41.88624154012951,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
9
+ FlowState,73.89162561576356,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
10
+ TabPFN-TS-3,71.92118226600984,39.7795308730858,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
11
+ TS-ICL,70.44334975369456,41.129041277782655,0.0,1.2980779820384505,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-2.0-22m,69.45812807881772,41.25081408595533,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
13
+ TFT,58.12807881773401,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
14
+ citras-fm,53.201970443349744,37.27325369456074,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
15
+ Toto-2.0-4m,52.709359605911324,37.62294495333535,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
16
+ Toto-1.0,52.21674876847291,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
17
+ TabPFN-TS,50.73891625615763,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
18
+ Chronos-Bolt,50.0,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
19
+ Moirai-2.0,50.0,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
20
+ DeepAR,47.78325123152709,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
21
+ PatchTST,42.364532019704434,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
22
+ Sundial-Base,37.43842364532019,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
23
+ AutoARIMA,25.615763546798032,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
24
+ CatBoost,23.645320197044338,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,22.66009852216749,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
26
+ LightGBM,22.660098522167488,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
27
+ Seasonal Naive,16.748768472906402,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
28
+ AutoTheta,14.778325123152708,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoETS,10.344827586206895,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,4.926108374384237,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,1.477832512315271,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,87.24489795918366,31.4266145251638,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,84.6938775510204,30.040761293064854,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,83.16326530612245,29.64325026676846,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.14285714285714,29.487453453885294,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
6
- TimesFM-2.5,82.14285714285714,30.138028587482914,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
7
- FlowState,76.53061224489797,28.54102491089481,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
8
- TabPFN-TS-3,70.91836734693878,27.003058480070795,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
9
- TiRex,69.89795918367348,28.6697990451958,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex-2,69.89795918367348,28.23741951420192,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
11
- Toto-2.0-22m,67.3469387755102,27.95924087455105,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
12
- TFT,57.14285714285714,22.688998509483994,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
13
- TabPFN-TS,52.04081632653062,25.32355760868511,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
14
- Chronos-Bolt,51.78571428571428,25.18849985695557,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
15
- Moirai-2.0,51.78571428571428,25.18849985695557,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
16
- citras-fm,51.53061224489795,25.104163556462588,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
17
- Toto-1.0,51.02040816326531,25.92723519256259,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
18
- Toto-2.0-4m,48.97959183673469,22.970522942844074,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
19
- Sundial-Base,46.42857142857143,23.330206407241285,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
20
- DeepAR,44.38775510204081,21.081187839834037,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
21
- CatBoost,41.32653061224491,19.108828334469262,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
22
- LightGBM,38.265306122448976,19.415152538379978,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
23
- PatchTST,36.73469387755102,16.97148442691696,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
24
- Stat. Ensemble,26.530612244897956,6.5098083173125705,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
25
- AutoARIMA,22.959183673469386,2.9139047191151235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
26
- Seasonal Naive,18.367346938775512,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
27
- AutoTheta,16.3265306122449,0.04374386375031181,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoETS,13.775510204081634,-23.08073712658869,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,5.612244897959184,-43.56382539762269,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,1.0204081632653061,-58.78908533558298,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,86.69950738916255,31.4266145251638,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,84.72906403940887,30.040761293064854,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-313m,83.25123152709361,29.64325026676846,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
5
+ TimesFM-2.5,82.26600985221675,30.138028587482914,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.77339901477832,29.487453453885294,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
7
+ FlowState,75.3694581280788,28.54102491089481,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex-2,69.45812807881772,28.23741951420192,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
9
+ TiRex,69.45812807881772,28.6697990451958,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
10
+ TS-ICL,69.45812807881772,27.870758295207644,0.0,1.2980779820384505,0.0,0.0
11
+ TabPFN-TS-3,69.45812807881772,27.003058480070795,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-2.0-22m,66.50246305418719,27.95924087455105,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
13
+ TFT,56.157635467980306,22.688998509483994,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
14
+ TabPFN-TS,51.72413793103448,25.32355760868511,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,50.49261083743842,25.18849985695557,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
16
+ Chronos-Bolt,50.49261083743842,25.18849985695557,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
17
+ Toto-1.0,50.2463054187192,25.92723519256259,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
18
+ citras-fm,50.2463054187192,25.104163556462588,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
19
+ Toto-2.0-4m,48.275862068965516,22.970522942844074,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
20
+ Sundial-Base,45.812807881773395,23.330206407241285,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
21
+ DeepAR,43.34975369458128,21.081187839834037,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
22
+ CatBoost,40.39408866995075,19.108828334469262,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
23
+ LightGBM,37.4384236453202,19.415152538379978,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
24
+ PatchTST,35.960591133004925,16.97148442691696,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
25
+ Stat. Ensemble,25.615763546798025,6.5098083173125705,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
26
+ AutoARIMA,22.16748768472906,2.9139047191151235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
27
+ Seasonal Naive,17.733990147783253,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
28
+ AutoTheta,15.763546798029559,0.04374386375031181,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoETS,13.30049261083744,-23.08073712658869,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,5.41871921182266,-43.56382539762269,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,0.9852216748768473,-58.78908533558298,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,89.28571428571429,44.54705190137261,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
- Toto-2.0-1B,85.71428571428571,43.57639471435733,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
4
- TimesFM-2.5,85.20408163265307,43.23343389055629,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,83.16326530612244,43.15731600629924,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-313m,82.14285714285715,43.095077993747296,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS-3,76.02040816326529,40.91138061014927,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,73.46938775510205,42.41994460150037,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
9
- FlowState,72.95918367346938,41.75327825678771,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
10
- TiRex-2,72.44897959183673,41.95261502258993,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
11
- Toto-2.0-22m,69.89795918367346,41.89301824181608,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
12
- TFT,62.24489795918367,36.840744132528904,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
13
- citras-fm,55.102040816326515,37.89846253371203,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
14
- TabPFN-TS,54.08163265306122,37.74075942414697,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-1.0,53.57142857142857,39.810526410008265,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,52.55102040816326,38.05335876302368,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
17
- DeepAR,52.55102040816326,36.14199113093005,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
18
- Moirai-2.0,51.275510204081634,37.73183131937476,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
19
- Chronos-Bolt,51.275510204081634,37.73183131937476,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
20
- PatchTST,39.795918367346935,28.980793211199895,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
21
- Sundial-Base,39.28571428571428,34.17893470020018,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
22
- AutoARIMA,27.040816326530614,12.839232215840235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
23
- CatBoost,25.000000000000007,19.204492596603718,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
24
- LightGBM,23.979591836734695,19.51045461394707,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
25
- Stat. Ensemble,21.938775510204085,3.9294085240204057,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
26
- Seasonal Naive,17.857142857142858,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
27
- AutoTheta,14.795918367346935,-35.07795159983096,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoETS,10.714285714285712,-351.4556695151647,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,5.1020408163265305,-144.85036530396843,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,1.530612244897959,-159.03481525283004,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,88.66995073891626,44.54705190137261,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
3
+ Toto-2.0-1B,85.7142857142857,43.57639471435733,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
4
+ TimesFM-2.5,84.72906403940888,43.23343389055629,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.26600985221675,43.15731600629924,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-313m,81.2807881773399,43.095077993747296,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
7
+ TabPFN-TS-3,74.87684729064037,40.91138061014927,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex,73.39901477832512,42.41994460150037,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
9
+ TS-ICL,72.90640394088668,41.94648840704044,0.0,1.2980779820384505,0.0,0.0
10
+ TiRex-2,71.92118226600985,41.95261502258993,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
11
+ FlowState,71.92118226600984,41.75327825678771,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-2.0-22m,69.45812807881772,41.89301824181608,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
13
+ TFT,61.08374384236453,36.840744132528904,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
14
+ citras-fm,53.69458128078817,37.89846253371203,0.0,0.550207410667402,0.0,0.0
15
+ TabPFN-TS,53.201970443349744,37.74075942414697,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
16
+ Toto-1.0,52.21674876847291,39.810526410008265,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,51.72413793103448,38.05335876302368,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
18
+ DeepAR,51.231527093596064,36.14199113093005,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
19
+ Moirai-2.0,50.000000000000014,37.73183131937476,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
20
+ Chronos-Bolt,50.000000000000014,37.73183131937476,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
21
+ PatchTST,38.916256157635466,28.980793211199895,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
22
+ Sundial-Base,37.93103448275861,34.17893470020018,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
23
+ AutoARIMA,26.108374384236456,12.839232215840235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
24
+ CatBoost,24.13793103448276,19.204492596603718,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
25
+ LightGBM,23.15270935960591,19.51045461394707,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
26
+ Stat. Ensemble,21.182266009852217,3.9294085240204057,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
27
+ Seasonal Naive,17.24137931034483,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
28
+ AutoTheta,14.285714285714285,-35.07795159983096,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoETS,10.344827586206895,-351.4556695151647,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,4.926108374384237,-144.85036530396843,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,1.477832512315271,-159.03481525283004,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.019,-0.004,0.059
4
- Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.024,0.061
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.023,-0.005,0.069
 
6
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.028,-0.004,0.074
7
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,0.003,0.083
8
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,0.009,0.076
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,0.005,0.089
10
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.069,0.01,0.138
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.009,0.117
 
12
  Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.124,0.027,0.265
13
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
14
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
15
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.14
16
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.084,0.035,0.145
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.313,0.233,0.391
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.02,-0.063,0.004
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
- Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.038,0.036
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.002,0.01
 
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.002,0.02
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.007,0.059
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,0.005,0.027
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,0.006,0.034
26
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.004,0.118
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.032,0.008,0.063
 
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.106,0.001,0.254
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.093
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.026,0.128
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.225,0.368
34
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.065,0.024
35
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.038,0.037
36
- TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.035,0.042
38
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.025,0.043
39
- TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,0.01,0.038
40
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.021,0.051
41
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.02,-0.024,0.062
42
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,0.008,0.103
43
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.024,0.09
44
- TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.108,0.007,0.239
45
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
46
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
47
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,-0.003,0.117
48
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.029,0.115
49
- TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.39
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.024,-0.074,0.005
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.011,0.002
52
- Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.044,0.033
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
54
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.004,0.013
55
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.014,0.057
56
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.002,0.025
57
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.014,0.003,0.027
58
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.046,0.0,0.113
59
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.006,0.055
 
60
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.103,-0.008,0.254
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
62
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.028,0.086
64
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.02,0.124
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.224,0.365
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.028,-0.079,0.004
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.009,-0.021,0.002
68
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.045,0.024
69
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.014,0.004
 
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.014,-0.014,0.047
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.007,-0.009,0.02
73
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.01,-0.004,0.022
74
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.042,0.004,0.101
75
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.007,0.052
 
76
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.014,0.25
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.019,0.083
80
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.021,0.114
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.215,0.364
82
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.043,-0.09,-0.003
83
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.023,-0.062,0.007
84
- FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.039,-0.01
85
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.06,0.014
 
86
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.014
87
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.046,0.022
89
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.049,0.032
90
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.081
91
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.052,0.063
 
92
  FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.086,-0.018,0.218
93
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
94
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
95
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.037,-0.027,0.09
96
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.009,0.088
97
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.284,0.193,0.366
98
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.082,-0.009
99
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.015,-0.028,-0.005
100
- TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.054,0.02
101
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.011,-0.026,0.002
 
102
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.007,-0.02,0.009
103
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.022,0.044
104
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.003,-0.01,0.018
106
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.036,-0.006,0.104
107
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.017,-0.007,0.048
 
108
  TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,-0.014,0.239
109
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
110
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
111
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.044,0.016,0.075
112
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.052,0.013,0.116
113
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.214,0.356
114
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.098,-0.005
115
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.018,-0.035,-0.006
116
- TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.066,0.024
117
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.014,-0.027,-0.003
 
118
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.01,-0.022,0.004
119
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.033,0.047
120
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.003,-0.018,0.01
121
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.011,0.103
123
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.004,0.032
 
124
  TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.031,0.244
125
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.092
126
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.092
127
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.041,0.019,0.065
128
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.049,0.001,0.118
129
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.218,0.352
130
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.074,-0.16,-0.01
131
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.053,-0.134,-0.004
132
- TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.115,-0.009
133
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.128,-0.0
134
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.044,-0.112,-0.004
135
- TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.088,0.01
136
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.037,-0.116,0.006
137
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.034,-0.114,0.011
138
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.019,-0.118,0.04
140
- TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.059,-0.093,0.223
141
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
142
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
143
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.092,0.07
144
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.017,0.0,0.031
145
- TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.262,0.138,0.349
146
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.133,-0.009
147
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.033,-0.067,-0.008
148
- Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.099,0.024
149
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.058,-0.006
 
150
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.055,0.007
151
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.067,0.049
152
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.018,-0.05,0.007
153
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.015,-0.033,0.004
154
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.019,-0.042,0.106
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
156
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.063,0.239
157
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
158
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
159
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.028,0.015,0.041
160
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.035,-0.032,0.122
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.276,0.213,0.338
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
162
  TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.36,-0.027
163
  TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.119,-0.341,-0.001
164
- TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.315,-0.008
165
  TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.115,-0.341,0.008
 
166
  TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.334,0.014
167
  TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.094,-0.279,0.017
168
  TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.102,-0.314,0.014
169
  TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.03
170
- TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.063,-0.288,0.085
171
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.083,-0.314,0.06
 
172
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
174
  TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
175
  TFT,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.054,-0.283,0.085
176
- TFT,citras-fm,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.045,-0.252,0.095
177
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.216,0.01,0.356
178
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
179
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
180
- Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
181
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
 
182
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
183
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
184
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
185
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.101,-0.005
186
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
187
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
 
188
  Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
189
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
191
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
192
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.04
193
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
194
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
195
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
196
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
197
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
 
198
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
199
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
200
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
201
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.101,-0.005
202
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
203
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
 
204
  Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
205
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
206
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
208
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.04
209
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
210
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.083,-0.163,-0.031
211
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.103,-0.031
212
- Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.133,0.003
213
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.094,-0.029
 
214
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.09,-0.019
215
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.039,-0.099,0.026
216
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.046,-0.081,-0.016
217
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.043,-0.069,-0.019
218
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.009,-0.076,0.084
219
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.043,-0.016
 
220
  Toto-1.0,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.051,-0.093,0.221
221
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
222
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
223
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.062,0.095
225
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.189,0.319
226
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.092,-0.169,-0.037
227
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.071,-0.147,-0.026
228
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.13,-0.03
229
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.142,-0.02
230
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.062,-0.128,-0.021
231
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.009
232
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.055,-0.131,-0.013
233
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.052,-0.133,-0.001
234
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.017,-0.032,-0.0
235
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.037,-0.139,0.031
236
- citras-fm,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.043,-0.104,0.201
237
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.005,-0.042,0.031
238
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.005,-0.042,0.031
239
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.106,0.058
240
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.25,0.129,0.34
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.456,-0.641,-0.304
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.582,-0.291
244
- Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.43,-0.639,-0.257
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.422,-0.575,-0.289
 
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.415,-0.573,-0.274
247
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.396,-0.577,-0.238
248
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.406,-0.554,-0.272
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.542,-0.279
250
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.356,-0.536,-0.16
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.382,-0.512,-0.27
 
252
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.275,-0.552,-0.01
253
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
254
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
255
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.468,-0.232
256
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.333,-0.514,-0.148
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.019,-0.004,0.059
 
4
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.023,-0.005,0.069
5
+ Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.024,0.061
6
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.028,-0.004,0.074
7
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,0.003,0.083
8
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,0.009,0.076
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,0.005,0.089
10
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.051,-0.001,0.11
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.009,0.117
12
+ Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.069,0.01,0.138
13
  Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.124,0.027,0.265
14
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
15
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
16
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.14
 
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.313,0.233,0.391
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.02,-0.063,0.004
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
20
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.002,0.01
21
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.038,0.036
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.002,0.02
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.007,0.059
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,0.005,0.027
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,0.006,0.034
26
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.032,-0.003,0.073
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.032,0.008,0.063
28
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.004,0.118
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.106,0.001,0.254
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.093
 
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.225,0.368
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.024,-0.074,0.005
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.011,0.002
 
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.044,0.033
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.004,0.013
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.014,0.057
40
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.002,0.025
41
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.014,0.003,0.027
42
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,-0.003,0.067
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.006,0.055
44
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.046,0.0,0.113
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.103,-0.008,0.254
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.028,0.086
 
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.224,0.365
50
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.065,0.024
51
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.038,0.037
52
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.035,0.042
53
+ TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.025,0.043
55
+ TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,0.01,0.038
56
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.021,0.051
57
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.02,-0.024,0.062
58
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,0.005,0.066
59
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.024,0.09
60
+ TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,0.008,0.103
61
+ TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.108,0.007,0.239
62
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
63
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
64
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,-0.003,0.117
65
+ TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.39
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.028,-0.079,0.004
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.009,-0.021,0.002
 
68
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.014,0.004
69
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.045,0.024
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.014,-0.014,0.047
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.007,-0.009,0.02
73
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.01,-0.004,0.022
74
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.024,-0.002,0.054
75
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.007,0.052
76
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.042,0.004,0.101
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.014,0.25
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.019,0.083
 
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.215,0.364
82
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.043,-0.09,-0.003
83
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.023,-0.062,0.007
 
84
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.06,0.014
85
+ FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.039,-0.01
86
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.014
87
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.046,0.022
89
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.049,0.032
90
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.02,0.042
91
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.052,0.063
92
+ FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.081
93
  FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.086,-0.018,0.218
94
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
95
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
96
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.037,-0.027,0.09
 
97
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.284,0.193,0.366
98
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.082,-0.009
99
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.015,-0.028,-0.005
 
100
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.011,-0.026,0.002
101
+ TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.054,0.02
102
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.007,-0.02,0.009
103
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.022,0.044
104
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.003,-0.01,0.018
106
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.018,0.06
107
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.017,-0.007,0.048
108
+ TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.036,-0.006,0.104
109
  TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,-0.014,0.239
110
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
111
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
112
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.044,0.016,0.075
 
113
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.214,0.356
114
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.098,-0.005
115
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.018,-0.035,-0.006
 
116
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.014,-0.027,-0.003
117
+ TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.066,0.024
118
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.01,-0.022,0.004
119
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.033,0.047
120
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.003,-0.018,0.01
121
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.014,-0.019,0.058
123
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.004,0.032
124
+ TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.011,0.103
125
  TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.031,0.244
126
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.092
127
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.092
128
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.041,0.019,0.065
 
129
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.218,0.352
130
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.054,-0.124,0.001
131
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.033,-0.079,0.003
132
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.072,0.003
133
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.07,-0.005
134
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.024,-0.057,0.002
135
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.044,0.019
136
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.064,0.017
137
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.015,-0.061,0.019
138
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.0,-0.061,0.042
140
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.019,-0.016,0.06
141
+ TS-ICL,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.077,-0.055,0.224
142
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.031,-0.003,0.072
143
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.031,-0.003,0.072
144
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.027,-0.03,0.072
145
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.276,0.175,0.361
146
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.133,-0.009
147
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.033,-0.067,-0.008
 
148
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.058,-0.006
149
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.099,0.024
150
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.055,0.007
151
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.067,0.049
152
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.018,-0.05,0.007
153
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.015,-0.033,0.004
154
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.0,-0.043,0.057
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.019,-0.042,0.106
157
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.063,0.239
158
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
159
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
160
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.028,0.015,0.041
 
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.276,0.213,0.338
162
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.074,-0.16,-0.01
163
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.053,-0.134,-0.004
164
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.128,-0.0
165
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.115,-0.009
166
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.044,-0.112,-0.004
167
+ TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.088,0.01
168
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.037,-0.116,0.006
169
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.034,-0.114,0.011
170
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.019,-0.064,0.016
171
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.019,-0.118,0.04
172
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.059,-0.093,0.223
174
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
175
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
176
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.092,0.07
177
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.262,0.138,0.349
178
  TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.36,-0.027
179
  TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.119,-0.341,-0.001
 
180
  TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.115,-0.341,0.008
181
+ TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.315,-0.008
182
  TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.334,0.014
183
  TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.094,-0.279,0.017
184
  TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.102,-0.314,0.014
185
  TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.03
186
+ TFT,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.083,-0.289,0.052
187
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.083,-0.314,0.06
188
+ TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.063,-0.288,0.085
189
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
191
  TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
192
  TFT,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.054,-0.283,0.085
 
193
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.216,0.01,0.356
194
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
195
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
 
196
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
197
+ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
198
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
199
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
200
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
201
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.101,-0.005
202
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.032,-0.078,0.003
203
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
204
+ Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
205
  Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
206
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
208
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
 
209
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
210
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
211
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
 
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
213
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
214
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
215
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
216
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
217
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.101,-0.005
218
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.032,-0.078,0.003
219
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
220
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
221
  Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
222
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
 
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
226
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.083,-0.163,-0.031
227
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.103,-0.031
 
228
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.094,-0.029
229
+ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.133,0.003
230
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.09,-0.019
231
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.039,-0.099,0.026
232
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.046,-0.081,-0.016
233
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.043,-0.069,-0.019
234
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.028,-0.078,0.029
235
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.043,-0.016
236
+ Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.009,-0.076,0.084
237
  Toto-1.0,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.051,-0.093,0.221
238
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
239
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
240
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.189,0.319
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.456,-0.641,-0.304
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.582,-0.291
 
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.422,-0.575,-0.289
245
+ Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.43,-0.639,-0.257
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.415,-0.573,-0.274
247
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.396,-0.577,-0.238
248
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.406,-0.554,-0.272
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.542,-0.279
250
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.382,-0.564,-0.212
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.382,-0.512,-0.27
252
+ Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.356,-0.536,-0.16
253
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.275,-0.552,-0.01
254
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
256
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.468,-0.232
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -8,12 +8,12 @@ Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.034,0.012,0.07
8
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,0.006,0.085
9
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.013,0.09
10
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.071,0.011,0.146
 
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.111
12
  Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.036,0.278
13
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.103,0.044,0.169
14
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.047,0.195
15
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.044,0.137
16
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.118,0.065,0.171
17
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
18
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.44,0.347,0.521
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.02,-0.06,0.007
@@ -25,12 +25,12 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,-0.002,0.031
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.017,0.002,0.036
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.03,-0.001,0.07
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,-0.001,0.124
 
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.005,0.058
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.118,0.011,0.273
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.085,0.042,0.131
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.09,0.027,0.184
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.038,0.093
33
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.1,0.047,0.164
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.028,0.164
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.429,0.332,0.513
36
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.069,0.013
@@ -42,12 +42,12 @@ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.028,0.042
42
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.031,0.055
43
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.016,0.038
44
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.096
 
45
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.038,0.08
46
  TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.114,0.011,0.253
47
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.081,0.002,0.157
48
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.034,0.158
49
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.005,0.11
50
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.097,0.05,0.142
51
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
52
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.314,0.522
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.026,-0.075,0.008
@@ -59,12 +59,12 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.01,0.029
59
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.012,-0.002,0.028
60
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.025,-0.008,0.065
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,-0.005,0.12
 
62
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.002,0.049
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.113,-0.0,0.271
64
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.079,0.038,0.121
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.085,0.02,0.178
66
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
67
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.095,0.038,0.16
68
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.023,0.155
69
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.426,0.327,0.51
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.029,-0.08,0.004
@@ -76,12 +76,12 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.006,-0.011,0.024
76
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.004,0.022
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.008,0.055
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.043,-0.002,0.11
 
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.019,-0.005,0.045
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.11,-0.003,0.266
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.076,0.031,0.122
82
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.02,0.171
83
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,0.03,0.081
84
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.092,0.036,0.156
85
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.081,0.027,0.148
86
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.323,0.51
87
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.035,-0.076,-0.012
@@ -93,12 +93,12 @@ TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.003,-0.01,0.017
94
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.016,-0.011,0.051
95
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,-0.007,0.11
 
96
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.013,0.045
97
  TiRex,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.105,0.005,0.253
98
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.022,0.119
99
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.076,0.016,0.17
100
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.029,0.073
101
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
102
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
103
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.325,0.506
104
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.093,-0.006
@@ -110,12 +110,12 @@ TiRex-2,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.003,-0.017,0.01
110
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.013,-0.021,0.052
112
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.035,-0.01,0.108
 
113
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.031
114
  TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.102,-0.012,0.258
115
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,0.027,0.109
116
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.074,0.007,0.168
117
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.029,0.063
118
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.022,0.146
119
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.073,0.019,0.145
120
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.322,0.502
121
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.052,-0.099,-0.013
@@ -127,12 +127,12 @@ FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.016,-0.053,0.01
127
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.013,-0.054,0.021
128
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,0.022,-0.011,0.071
 
130
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.062,0.048
131
  FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.02,0.235
132
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.056,-0.021,0.125
133
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,0.01,0.133
134
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.034,-0.017,0.078
135
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.072,0.027,0.116
136
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
137
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.411,0.301,0.504
138
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.076,-0.171,-0.011
@@ -144,14 +144,31 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.039,-0.123,0.007
144
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.036,-0.121,0.01
145
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.718,-0.023,-0.077,0.01
146
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
147
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.025,-0.127,0.037
148
  TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.069,-0.088,0.235
149
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.085,0.113
150
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.011,0.07
151
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.083,0.069
152
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,-0.028,0.118
153
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.014,0.074
154
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.268,0.502
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.125,-0.006
156
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.062,-0.005
157
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.087,0.037
@@ -161,12 +178,12 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.014,-0.047,0.013
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.011,-0.032,0.007
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.05,0.058
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.024,-0.039,0.113
 
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.092,-0.042,0.259
166
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.027,0.092
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,-0.021,0.175
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.023,0.051
169
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.074,-0.003,0.15
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.063,-0.005,0.147
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.413,0.315,0.494
172
  TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.156,-0.385,-0.038
@@ -178,12 +195,12 @@ TFT,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.117,-0.339,-0.005
178
  TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.114,-0.347,0.012
179
  TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.307,0.019
180
  TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.075,-0.306,0.081
 
181
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.102,-0.35,0.04
182
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.038,-0.282,0.112
184
  TFT,citras-fm,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.032,-0.252,0.134
185
  TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.062,-0.283,0.066
186
- TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.02,-0.156,0.074
187
  TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
188
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.219,0.471
189
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.114,-0.204,-0.046
@@ -195,12 +212,12 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.076,-0.135,-0.022
195
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.122,-0.028
196
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.059,-0.143,0.021
197
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.036,-0.128,0.078
 
198
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.101,-0.028
199
  Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.036,-0.126,0.22
200
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.099,0.142
202
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.065,0.013
203
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.076,0.116
204
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.083,0.107
205
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.285,0.456
206
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.121,-0.243,-0.049
@@ -212,12 +229,12 @@ citras-fm,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.082,-0.205,-0.016
212
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.079,-0.202,-0.007
213
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.153,-0.01
214
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.076,-0.011
 
215
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.212,0.021
216
  citras-fm,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.031,-0.155,0.201
217
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.165,0.09
218
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.165,0.053
220
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.098,0.093
221
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.0,-0.043,0.04
222
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.373,0.222,0.484
223
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.159,-0.046
@@ -229,31 +246,14 @@ Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.052,-0.079,-0.03
229
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.049,-0.068,-0.03
230
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.035,-0.085,0.017
231
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.074,0.076
 
232
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.054,-0.023
233
  Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.058,-0.071,0.221
234
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.061
235
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.056,0.141
236
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.039,-0.039,0.113
238
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
239
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.39,0.294,0.473
240
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.134,-0.206,-0.07
241
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.111,-0.196,-0.049
242
- TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.107,-0.165,-0.052
243
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.105,-0.19,-0.04
244
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.102,-0.184,-0.038
245
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.17,-0.03
246
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.171,-0.023
247
- TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.078,-0.131,-0.028
248
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.054,-0.134,0.027
249
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.08,-0.176,0.003
250
- TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.019,-0.08,0.135
251
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.131,0.071
252
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.102,0.089
253
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.041,-0.127,0.037
254
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
255
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
256
- TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.268,0.459
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.098,-0.195,-0.029
259
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
@@ -263,12 +263,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
263
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.079,-0.17,-0.019
264
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.08,-0.015
 
266
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.173,0.005
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
268
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.12,0.077
269
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.0,-0.042,0.042
270
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
271
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
274
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.787,-1.087,-0.531
@@ -280,11 +280,11 @@ Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.726,-1.023,-0.482
280
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.475
281
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.698,-1.017,-0.431
282
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-1.007,-0.366
 
283
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.702,-0.977,-0.46
284
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.545,-0.89,-0.28
285
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.603,-0.837,-0.4
286
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.594,-0.938,-0.285
287
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.64,-0.897,-0.416
288
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.849,-0.366
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
8
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,0.006,0.085
9
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.013,0.09
10
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.071,0.011,0.146
11
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.049,-0.001,0.106
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.111
13
  Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.036,0.278
14
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.103,0.044,0.169
15
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.047,0.195
16
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.044,0.137
 
17
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
18
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.44,0.347,0.521
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.02,-0.06,0.007
 
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.017,0.002,0.036
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.03,-0.001,0.07
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,-0.001,0.124
28
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.03,-0.01,0.073
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.005,0.058
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.118,0.011,0.273
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.085,0.042,0.131
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.09,0.027,0.184
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.038,0.093
 
34
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.028,0.164
35
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.429,0.332,0.513
36
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.069,0.013
 
42
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.031,0.055
43
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.016,0.038
44
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.096
45
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.026,0.007,0.053
46
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.038,0.08
47
  TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.114,0.011,0.253
48
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.081,0.002,0.157
49
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.034,0.158
50
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.005,0.11
 
51
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
52
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.314,0.522
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.026,-0.075,0.008
 
59
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.012,-0.002,0.028
60
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.025,-0.008,0.065
61
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,-0.005,0.12
62
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.025,-0.015,0.067
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.002,0.049
64
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.113,-0.0,0.271
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.079,0.038,0.121
66
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.085,0.02,0.178
67
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
 
68
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.023,0.155
69
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.426,0.327,0.51
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.029,-0.08,0.004
 
76
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.004,0.022
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.008,0.055
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.043,-0.002,0.11
79
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.021,-0.011,0.056
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.019,-0.005,0.045
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.11,-0.003,0.266
82
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.076,0.031,0.122
83
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.02,0.171
84
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,0.03,0.081
 
85
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.081,0.027,0.148
86
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.323,0.51
87
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.035,-0.076,-0.012
 
93
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.003,-0.01,0.017
94
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.016,-0.011,0.051
95
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,-0.007,0.11
96
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.016,-0.018,0.055
97
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.013,0.045
98
  TiRex,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.105,0.005,0.253
99
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.022,0.119
100
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.076,0.016,0.17
101
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.029,0.073
 
102
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
103
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.325,0.506
104
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.093,-0.006
 
110
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.013,-0.021,0.052
112
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.035,-0.01,0.108
113
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.013,-0.023,0.054
114
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.031
115
  TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.102,-0.012,0.258
116
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,0.027,0.109
117
  TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.074,0.007,0.168
118
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.029,0.063
 
119
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.073,0.019,0.145
120
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.322,0.502
121
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.052,-0.099,-0.013
 
127
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.013,-0.054,0.021
128
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,0.022,-0.011,0.071
130
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.0,-0.022,0.025
131
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.062,0.048
132
  FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.02,0.235
133
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.056,-0.021,0.125
134
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,0.01,0.133
135
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.034,-0.017,0.078
 
136
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
137
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.411,0.301,0.504
138
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.076,-0.171,-0.011
 
144
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.036,-0.121,0.01
145
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.718,-0.023,-0.077,0.01
146
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.023,-0.079,0.017
148
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.025,-0.127,0.037
149
  TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.069,-0.088,0.235
150
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.085,0.113
151
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.011,0.07
152
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.083,0.069
 
153
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.014,0.074
154
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.268,0.502
155
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.052,-0.119,0.001
156
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.031,-0.079,0.01
157
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.027,-0.056,-0.007
158
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.025,-0.071,0.015
159
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.022,-0.06,0.011
160
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.016,-0.058,0.017
161
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.013,-0.057,0.023
162
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.0,-0.025,0.022
163
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.022,-0.017,0.073
164
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.059,0.042
166
+ TS-ICL,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.031,0.236
167
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.056,-0.024,0.126
168
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.061,-0.005,0.136
169
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,-0.016,0.074
170
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.061,0.013,0.118
171
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.411,0.291,0.511
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.125,-0.006
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.062,-0.005
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.087,0.037
 
178
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.011,-0.032,0.007
179
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.05,0.058
180
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.024,-0.039,0.113
181
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.044,0.056
182
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.092,-0.042,0.259
184
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.027,0.092
185
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,-0.021,0.175
186
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.023,0.051
 
187
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.063,-0.005,0.147
188
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.413,0.315,0.494
189
  TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.156,-0.385,-0.038
 
195
  TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.114,-0.347,0.012
196
  TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.307,0.019
197
  TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.075,-0.306,0.081
198
+ TFT,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.309,0.03
199
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.102,-0.35,0.04
200
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
  TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.038,-0.282,0.112
202
  TFT,citras-fm,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.032,-0.252,0.134
203
  TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.062,-0.283,0.066
 
204
  TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
205
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.219,0.471
206
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.114,-0.204,-0.046
 
212
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.122,-0.028
213
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.059,-0.143,0.021
214
  Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.036,-0.128,0.078
215
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.06,-0.144,0.024
216
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.101,-0.028
217
  Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.036,-0.126,0.22
218
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.099,0.142
220
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.065,0.013
 
221
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.083,0.107
222
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.285,0.456
223
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.121,-0.243,-0.049
 
229
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.079,-0.202,-0.007
230
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.153,-0.01
231
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.076,-0.011
232
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.065,-0.157,0.005
233
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.212,0.021
234
  citras-fm,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.031,-0.155,0.201
235
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.165,0.09
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.165,0.053
 
238
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.0,-0.043,0.04
239
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.373,0.222,0.484
240
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.159,-0.046
 
246
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.049,-0.068,-0.03
247
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.035,-0.085,0.017
248
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.074,0.076
249
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.08,0.016
250
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.054,-0.023
251
  Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.058,-0.071,0.221
252
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.061
253
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.056,0.141
254
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
255
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
256
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.39,0.294,0.473
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
257
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
258
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.098,-0.195,-0.029
259
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
 
263
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.079,-0.17,-0.019
264
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
265
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.08,-0.015
266
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.065,-0.133,-0.013
267
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.173,0.005
268
  Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
269
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.12,0.077
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.0,-0.042,0.042
271
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
 
272
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
273
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
274
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.787,-1.087,-0.531
 
280
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.475
281
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.698,-1.017,-0.431
282
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-1.007,-0.366
283
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.699,-1.044,-0.411
284
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.702,-0.977,-0.46
285
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.545,-0.89,-0.28
286
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.603,-0.837,-0.4
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.594,-0.938,-0.285
288
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.64,-0.897,-0.416
 
289
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
290
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.02,-0.008,0.067
4
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.028,-0.01,0.083
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.025,-0.01,0.082
 
6
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.018,-0.024,0.065
7
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.04,0.004,0.081
8
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.061,0.008,0.13
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.044,0.007,0.106
 
10
  Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.039,0.011,0.084
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.112
12
  Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.113,0.018,0.255
13
- Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
14
- Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
15
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.049,0.113
16
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.084,0.036,0.149
 
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.314,0.232,0.391
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.02,-0.072,0.008
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
20
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.008,-0.003,0.02
21
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.002,0.016
 
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.035,0.035
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.021,-0.013,0.061
24
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.042,-0.012,0.12
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.011,0.044
 
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.01,0.03
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.051
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.095,-0.026,0.244
29
- Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
30
- Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.025,0.097
32
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.014,0.137
 
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.224,0.371
34
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.028,-0.09,0.01
35
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
36
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.002,-0.013,0.006
38
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.047,0.026
39
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.013,-0.022,0.05
40
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.02,0.104
41
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.017,0.0,0.034
42
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.027
43
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,-0.005,0.042
44
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.043,0.24
45
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
46
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
47
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,0.013,0.093
48
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.059,0.005,0.125
49
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.215,0.366
50
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.026,-0.09,0.01
51
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.017,0.002
52
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.002,-0.006,0.013
53
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
54
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.047,0.033
55
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.015,-0.025,0.057
56
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.116
57
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.02,0.007,0.033
 
58
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.014,-0.005,0.03
59
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.005,0.039
60
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.041,0.244
61
- Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
62
- Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
63
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.011,0.098
64
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.061,0.002,0.134
 
65
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.218,0.369
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
66
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.019,-0.069,0.024
67
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.036,0.034
68
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.027,0.045
69
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.035,0.045
 
70
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,0.007,0.037
72
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.043,-0.004,0.104
73
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.023,0.074
 
74
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.021,-0.017,0.056
75
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.03,-0.023,0.081
76
  TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.096,-0.01,0.224
77
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
78
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
79
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.035,0.097
80
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.067,0.023,0.122
 
81
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.392
82
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.088,-0.004
83
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.021,-0.065,0.012
84
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.013,-0.052,0.021
85
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.016,-0.06,0.024
 
86
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.039,-0.007
87
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.021,-0.021,0.077
89
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.048,0.051
 
90
  FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.043,0.031
91
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.054,0.06
92
  FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.076,-0.033,0.205
93
- FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
94
- FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
95
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.023,0.067
96
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.046,0.01,0.096
 
97
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.285,0.189,0.371
98
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.065,-0.149,-0.008
99
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.043,-0.136,0.012
100
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.116,0.02
101
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.038,-0.131,0.023
102
- TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.045,-0.116,0.004
103
- TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.022,-0.084,0.02
104
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.114,0.048
106
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.113,0.029
107
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.013,-0.121,0.057
108
- TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.056,-0.099,0.215
109
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
110
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
111
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.05,0.073
112
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.015,0.036
113
- TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.27,0.138,0.362
114
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.119,-0.007
115
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.046,-0.011
116
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.018,-0.035,-0.0
117
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.034,-0.007
 
118
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.027,-0.08,0.022
119
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.054,0.045
120
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.051,0.103
121
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
122
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.006,-0.029,0.012
123
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.004,-0.006,0.011
124
  TiRex-2,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.072,-0.075,0.231
125
- TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,-0.011,0.099
126
- TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,-0.011,0.099
127
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.039,-0.009,0.081
128
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.042,-0.024,0.125
 
129
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.282,0.211,0.351
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
130
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.04,-0.091,-0.011
131
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.01
132
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.012,-0.028,0.008
133
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.014,-0.031,0.005
 
134
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.021,-0.059,0.016
135
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.031,0.041
136
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.03,0.101
137
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.006,-0.012,0.028
 
138
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.01,-0.011,0.034
140
  TiRex,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.044,0.226
141
- TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
142
- TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
143
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.045,0.01,0.078
144
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,-0.003,0.122
 
145
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.21,0.357
146
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.051,-0.127,-0.009
147
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.054,-0.01
148
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.005
149
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.041,-0.005
 
150
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.031,-0.088,0.023
151
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.064,0.051
152
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.013,-0.061,0.108
153
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.004,-0.011,0.006
 
154
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.01,-0.036,0.011
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.068,-0.079,0.229
157
- Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
158
- Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
159
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.018,0.083
160
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,-0.034,0.13
 
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.28,0.212,0.347
162
  TFT,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.127,-0.342,-0.018
163
  TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.105,-0.322,0.025
164
- TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.096,-0.317,0.041
165
  TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.04
 
166
  TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.107,-0.289,0.01
167
  TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.082,-0.258,0.032
168
- TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.059,-0.273,0.09
169
  TFT,TiRex-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.077,-0.3,0.069
 
170
  TFT,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.084,-0.292,0.042
171
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.073,-0.296,0.073
172
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
- TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
174
- TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
175
  TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.035,-0.202,0.071
176
- TFT,citras-fm,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.032,-0.23,0.108
 
177
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.227,0.023,0.368
178
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
179
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
180
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
181
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
182
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
183
- Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
184
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
185
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.109,0.011
186
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
187
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
188
- Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
189
- Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
- Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
191
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
192
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.001,-0.04,0.039
193
- Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
194
- Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
195
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
196
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
197
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
198
- Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
199
- Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
200
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
201
- Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.109,0.011
202
- Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
203
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
204
- Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
205
- Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
206
- Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
208
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.001,-0.04,0.039
209
- Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
210
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.128,-0.052
211
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.108,-0.026
212
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.102,-0.013
213
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.108,-0.011
 
214
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.036
215
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.072,-0.023
216
- TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.047
217
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.041,-0.088,0.009
 
218
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.047,-0.085,-0.01
219
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.091,0.017
220
  TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.034,-0.077,0.168
221
- TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
222
- TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
223
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.045,0.066
 
225
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.163,0.331
226
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.092,-0.174,-0.037
227
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.159,-0.015
228
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.062,-0.143,-0.005
229
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.065,-0.155,-0.002
230
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.072,-0.139,-0.024
231
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.048,-0.106,-0.01
232
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.037,-0.015
233
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.044,-0.143,0.024
234
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.139,0.003
235
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.04,-0.149,0.033
236
- citras-fm,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.031,-0.121,0.187
237
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.001,-0.04,0.038
238
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.001,-0.04,0.038
239
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.071,0.043
240
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.251,0.118,0.347
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.458,-0.643,-0.303
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.591,-0.289
244
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.418,-0.577,-0.274
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.421,-0.584,-0.279
 
246
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.431,-0.644,-0.257
247
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.399,-0.59,-0.233
248
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.37,-0.567,-0.16
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.393,-0.54,-0.267
 
250
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.555,-0.267
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.388,-0.53,-0.269
252
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.293,-0.583,-0.023
253
- Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
254
- Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
255
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.495,-0.195
256
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.335,-0.53,-0.134
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
1
  model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
2
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
3
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.02,-0.008,0.067
 
4
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.025,-0.01,0.082
5
+ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.028,-0.01,0.083
6
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.018,-0.024,0.065
7
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.04,0.004,0.081
8
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.049,-0.002,0.109
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.044,0.007,0.106
10
+ Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.061,0.008,0.13
11
  Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.039,0.011,0.084
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.112
13
  Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.113,0.018,0.255
 
 
14
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.049,0.113
15
+ Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
16
+ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.314,0.232,0.391
18
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.02,-0.072,0.008
19
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
20
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.002,0.016
21
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.008,-0.003,0.02
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.035,0.035
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.021,-0.013,0.061
24
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.03,0.001,0.071
25
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.011,0.044
26
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.042,-0.012,0.12
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.01,0.03
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.051
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.095,-0.026,0.244
 
 
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.025,0.097
31
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
32
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.224,0.371
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.026,-0.09,0.01
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.017,0.002
 
36
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.002,-0.006,0.013
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.047,0.033
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.015,-0.025,0.057
40
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.025,-0.002,0.062
41
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.02,0.007,0.033
42
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.116
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.014,-0.005,0.03
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.005,0.039
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.041,0.244
 
 
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.011,0.098
47
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
48
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.218,0.369
50
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.028,-0.09,0.01
51
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
52
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.002,-0.013,0.006
53
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.047,0.026
55
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.013,-0.022,0.05
56
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.022,0.0,0.053
57
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.017,0.0,0.034
58
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.02,0.104
59
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.027
60
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,-0.005,0.042
61
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.043,0.24
62
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,0.013,0.093
63
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
64
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
65
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.215,0.366
66
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.019,-0.069,0.024
67
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.036,0.034
 
68
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.035,0.045
69
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.027,0.045
70
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,0.007,0.037
72
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.031,0.005,0.06
73
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.023,0.074
74
+ TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.043,-0.004,0.104
75
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.021,-0.017,0.056
76
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.03,-0.023,0.081
77
  TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.096,-0.01,0.224
 
 
78
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.035,0.097
79
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
80
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
81
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.392
82
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.088,-0.004
83
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.021,-0.065,0.012
 
84
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.016,-0.06,0.024
85
+ FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.013,-0.052,0.021
86
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.039,-0.007
87
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.022,0.043
89
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.048,0.051
90
+ FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.021,-0.021,0.077
91
  FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.043,0.031
92
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.054,0.06
93
  FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.076,-0.033,0.205
 
 
94
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.023,0.067
95
+ FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
96
+ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
97
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.285,0.189,0.371
98
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.052,-0.122,0.002
99
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.031,-0.076,-0.001
100
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.067,0.002
101
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.023,-0.056,-0.0
102
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.032,-0.064,-0.005
103
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.045,0.022
104
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.056,0.031
106
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.012,-0.036,0.063
107
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.011,-0.056,0.023
108
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.001,-0.06,0.039
109
+ TS-ICL,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.067,-0.071,0.214
110
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.034,-0.019,0.08
111
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.036,-0.002,0.081
112
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.036,-0.002,0.081
113
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.279,0.173,0.365
114
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.119,-0.007
115
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.046,-0.011
 
116
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.034,-0.007
117
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.018,-0.035,-0.0
118
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.027,-0.08,0.022
119
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.054,0.045
120
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.032,0.053
121
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.051,0.103
123
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.006,-0.029,0.012
124
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.004,-0.006,0.011
125
  TiRex-2,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.072,-0.075,0.231
 
 
126
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.039,-0.009,0.081
127
+ TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,-0.011,0.099
128
+ TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,-0.011,0.099
129
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.282,0.211,0.351
130
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.065,-0.149,-0.008
131
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.043,-0.136,0.012
132
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.038,-0.131,0.023
133
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.116,0.02
134
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.045,-0.116,0.004
135
+ TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.022,-0.084,0.02
136
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.012,-0.067,0.035
137
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.114,0.048
138
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.113,0.029
140
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.013,-0.121,0.057
141
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.056,-0.099,0.215
142
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.05,0.073
143
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
144
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
145
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.27,0.138,0.362
146
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.04,-0.091,-0.011
147
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.01
 
148
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.014,-0.031,0.005
149
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.012,-0.028,0.008
150
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.021,-0.059,0.016
151
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.031,0.041
152
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.011,-0.023,0.053
153
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.006,-0.012,0.028
154
+ TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.03,0.101
155
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.01,-0.011,0.034
157
  TiRex,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.044,0.226
 
 
158
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.045,0.01,0.078
159
+ TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
160
+ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
161
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.21,0.357
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.051,-0.127,-0.009
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.054,-0.01
 
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.041,-0.005
165
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.005
166
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.031,-0.088,0.023
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.064,0.051
168
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.001,-0.041,0.057
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.004,-0.011,0.006
170
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.013,-0.061,0.108
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.01,-0.036,0.011
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.068,-0.079,0.229
 
 
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.018,0.083
175
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
176
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.28,0.212,0.347
178
  TFT,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.127,-0.342,-0.018
179
  TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.105,-0.322,0.025
 
180
  TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.04
181
+ TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.096,-0.317,0.041
182
  TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.107,-0.289,0.01
183
  TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.082,-0.258,0.032
184
+ TFT,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.272,0.066
185
  TFT,TiRex-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.077,-0.3,0.069
186
+ TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.059,-0.273,0.09
187
  TFT,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.084,-0.292,0.042
188
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.073,-0.296,0.073
189
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
190
  TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.035,-0.202,0.071
191
+ TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
192
+ TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
193
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.227,0.023,0.368
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
194
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.128,-0.052
195
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.108,-0.026
 
196
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.108,-0.011
197
+ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.102,-0.013
198
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.036
199
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.072,-0.023
200
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.035,-0.086,0.019
201
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.041,-0.088,0.009
202
+ TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.047
203
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.047,-0.085,-0.01
204
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.091,0.017
205
  TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.034,-0.077,0.168
 
 
206
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
+ TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
208
+ TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
209
  TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.163,0.331
210
+ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
211
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
212
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
213
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
214
+ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
215
+ Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
216
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.037,-0.088,0.002
217
+ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.109,0.011
218
+ Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
219
+ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
220
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
221
+ Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
222
+ Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
223
+ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
+ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
225
+ Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
226
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
227
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
228
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
229
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
230
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
231
+ Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
232
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.037,-0.088,0.002
233
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.109,0.011
234
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
235
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
236
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
237
+ Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
238
+ Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
239
+ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
240
+ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
+ Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.458,-0.643,-0.303
243
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.591,-0.289
 
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.421,-0.584,-0.279
245
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.418,-0.577,-0.274
246
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.431,-0.644,-0.257
247
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.399,-0.59,-0.233
248
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.386,-0.576,-0.209
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.393,-0.54,-0.267
250
+ Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.37,-0.567,-0.16
251
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.555,-0.267
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.388,-0.53,-0.269
253
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.293,-0.583,-0.023
 
 
254
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.495,-0.195
255
+ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
256
+ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -5,12 +5,12 @@ Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.065
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.024,-0.011,0.075
6
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.026,-0.011,0.079
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.062,0.008,0.137
8
- Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.008,0.102
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.072
 
10
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.014,0.086
11
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.046,0.006,0.107
12
  Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.122,0.025,0.267
13
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.046,0.169
14
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.058,0.168
15
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.107,0.047,0.2
16
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.044,0.129
@@ -22,12 +22,12 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.032,0.05
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.004,0.019
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.001,0.022
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.045,-0.012,0.127
25
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.012,0.048
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.006,0.035
 
27
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.031,-0.002,0.073
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.052
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.107,-0.013,0.261
30
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.089,0.043,0.135
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.031,0.161
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.091,0.019,0.194
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.042,0.084
@@ -39,12 +39,12 @@ TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
39
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.04,0.04
40
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.049,0.048
41
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.039,-0.001,0.094
42
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.022,-0.03,0.071
43
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.025,0.047
 
44
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.015,0.036
45
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.023,-0.039,0.08
46
  TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.101,-0.006,0.24
47
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.084,0.001,0.163
48
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.042,0.134
49
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.03,0.162
50
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.004,0.105
@@ -56,12 +56,12 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.042,0.038
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.001,-0.009,0.009
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.038,-0.019,0.114
59
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.004,0.037
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.013,-0.008,0.031
 
61
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.01,0.06
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.0,0.042
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.1,-0.028,0.257
64
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.034,0.131
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.019,0.157
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.085,0.01,0.182
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.033,0.077
@@ -73,12 +73,12 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.051,0.046
73
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.001,-0.009,0.009
74
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
75
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.037,-0.03,0.122
76
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.02,0.008,0.032
77
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.012,0.032
 
78
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.023,-0.019,0.068
79
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.007,0.035
80
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.032,0.257
81
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.081,0.038,0.127
82
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.015,0.158
83
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.002,0.189
84
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.036,0.075
@@ -90,63 +90,80 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.041,-0.104,0.001
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.04,-0.129,0.019
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.038,-0.139,0.029
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.123,0.051
94
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.026,-0.119,0.026
 
95
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,-0.014,-0.075,0.022
96
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.132,0.058
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.064,-0.093,0.23
98
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.046,-0.078,0.134
99
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.051,-0.033,0.119
100
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.027,0.077
101
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,-0.086,0.083
102
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.029,0.085
103
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.409,0.27,0.515
104
- TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.114,-0.008
105
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.051,-0.012
106
- TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.076,0.029
107
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.038,-0.004
108
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.034,-0.008
109
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.053,0.11
110
- TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
- TiRex-2,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.008,-0.034,0.012
112
- TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.043,0.051
113
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.001,-0.01,0.011
114
- TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.081,-0.058,0.241
115
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.023,0.105
116
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,-0.009,0.143
117
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.065,-0.023,0.177
118
- TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.022,0.05
119
- TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.068,0.001,0.151
120
- TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.42,0.321,0.501
121
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.078,-0.015
122
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.037,-0.006
123
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.024
124
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.013,-0.032,0.007
125
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.034,0.012
126
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.027,0.107
127
- TiRex,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.012,0.033
128
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
129
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.016,0.046
130
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.017,0.041
131
  TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.023,0.237
132
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.07,0.018,0.12
133
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.139
134
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.073,0.002,0.175
135
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.026,0.064
136
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
137
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.325,0.511
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
138
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.05,-0.094,-0.014
139
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.032,-0.079,0.002
140
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.037,-0.015
141
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.063,0.01
142
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.024,-0.073,0.019
143
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,0.014,-0.022,0.069
144
- FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.054,0.042
145
  FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.049,0.016
 
146
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.065,0.051
148
  FlowState,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.078,-0.035,0.221
149
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.06,-0.019,0.133
150
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.021,0.112
151
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.062,0.009,0.139
152
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.032,-0.019,0.076
@@ -158,12 +175,12 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.024,-0.086,0.038
158
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
159
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.037,-0.007
160
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.062,0.117
161
- Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.001,-0.011,0.01
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.009,-0.042,0.017
 
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.054,0.061
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.08,-0.064,0.248
166
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.062,0.026,0.101
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.067,-0.017,0.149
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,-0.029,0.184
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.035,0.019,0.05
@@ -175,46 +192,29 @@ TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.113,-0.315,0.006
175
  TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.111,-0.346,0.027
176
  TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.346,0.031
177
  TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.069,-0.298,0.085
178
- TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.088,-0.317,0.055
179
  TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.097,-0.311,0.022
 
180
  TFT,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.084,-0.283,0.034
181
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.087,-0.329,0.06
182
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
- TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.262,0.136
184
  TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.142,0.075
185
  TFT,citras-fm,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.017,-0.229,0.146
186
  TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.049,-0.268,0.085
187
  TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
188
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.368,0.241,0.486
189
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.203,-0.048
190
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.098,-0.157,-0.045
191
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.091,-0.195,-0.001
192
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.09,-0.151,-0.035
193
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.145,-0.039
194
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.048,-0.155,0.073
195
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.117,-0.023
196
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.076,-0.136,-0.018
197
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.064,-0.154,0.019
198
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.066,-0.113,-0.026
199
- Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.019,-0.157,0.208
200
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
201
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.099,0.113
202
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.113,0.148
203
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.029,-0.079,0.011
204
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.092,0.117
205
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.287,0.465
206
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.202,-0.061
207
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.103,-0.191,-0.032
208
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.154,-0.044
209
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.186,-0.02
210
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.187,-0.015
211
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.054,-0.135,0.032
212
- TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.166,0.009
213
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.081,-0.161,-0.013
 
214
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.126,-0.022
215
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.071,-0.175,0.017
216
  TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.081,0.124
217
- TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.127,0.09
218
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.096,0.104
220
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.034,-0.124,0.047
@@ -226,12 +226,12 @@ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.194,-0.031
226
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.093,-0.222,-0.01
227
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.091,-0.232,-0.002
228
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.051,-0.084,-0.028
229
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.07,-0.215,0.022
230
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.079,-0.213,-0.002
 
231
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.066,-0.162,-0.009
232
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.069,-0.226,0.028
233
  citras-fm,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.017,-0.171,0.186
234
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.174,0.101
235
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.116,0.088
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.032,-0.176,0.057
@@ -243,12 +243,12 @@ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.06,-0.118,-0.004
243
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.083,-0.034
244
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.081,-0.037
245
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.019,-0.091,0.079
246
- Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.037,-0.053,-0.023
247
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.068,-0.027
 
248
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.033,-0.083,0.019
249
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.036,-0.053,-0.019
250
  Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.047,-0.093,0.211
251
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.028,-0.012,0.073
252
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.033,-0.05,0.11
253
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.031,-0.06,0.149
254
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -260,12 +260,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
260
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.19,-0.027
261
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.201,-0.019
262
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.054,-0.093,-0.03
263
- Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.073,-0.178,-0.001
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
 
265
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
266
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.185,0.009
267
  Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
268
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.132,0.084
269
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.003,-0.05,0.042
271
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
@@ -277,12 +277,12 @@ Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.762,-1.122,-0.461
277
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.759,-1.087,-0.477
278
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.757,-1.076,-0.483
279
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.692,-1.063,-0.37
280
- Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.723,-1.006,-0.472
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.737,-1.043,-0.481
 
282
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.717,-1.057,-0.436
283
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.47
284
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.583,-0.946,-0.318
285
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-0.868,-0.403
286
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.908,-0.381
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.61,-0.975,-0.284
288
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.934,-0.421
 
5
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.024,-0.011,0.075
6
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.026,-0.011,0.079
7
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.062,0.008,0.137
8
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,-0.003,0.099
9
  Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.072
10
+ Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.008,0.102
11
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.014,0.086
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.046,0.006,0.107
13
  Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.122,0.025,0.267
 
14
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.058,0.168
15
  Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.107,0.047,0.2
16
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.044,0.129
 
22
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.004,0.019
23
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.001,0.022
24
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.045,-0.012,0.127
25
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,-0.006,0.07
26
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.006,0.035
27
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.012,0.048
28
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.031,-0.002,0.073
29
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.052
30
  Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.107,-0.013,0.261
 
31
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.031,0.161
32
  Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.091,0.019,0.194
33
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.042,0.084
 
39
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.04,0.04
40
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.049,0.048
41
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.039,-0.001,0.094
42
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.022,0.005,0.045
43
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.025,0.047
44
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.022,-0.03,0.071
45
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.015,0.036
46
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.023,-0.039,0.08
47
  TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.101,-0.006,0.24
 
48
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.042,0.134
49
  TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.03,0.162
50
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.004,0.105
 
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.001,-0.009,0.009
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.038,-0.019,0.114
59
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.021,-0.008,0.054
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.013,-0.008,0.031
61
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.004,0.037
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.01,0.06
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.0,0.042
64
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.1,-0.028,0.257
 
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.019,0.157
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.085,0.01,0.182
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.033,0.077
 
73
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.001,-0.009,0.009
74
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
75
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.037,-0.03,0.122
76
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.02,-0.015,0.061
77
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.012,0.032
78
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.02,0.008,0.032
79
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.023,-0.019,0.068
80
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.007,0.035
81
  Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.032,0.257
 
82
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.015,0.158
83
  Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.002,0.189
84
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.036,0.075
 
90
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.04,-0.129,0.019
91
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.038,-0.139,0.029
92
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
93
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.018,-0.08,0.032
94
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.026,-0.119,0.026
95
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.123,0.051
96
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,-0.014,-0.075,0.022
97
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.132,0.058
98
  TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.064,-0.093,0.23
 
99
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.051,-0.033,0.119
100
  TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.027,0.077
101
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,-0.086,0.083
102
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.029,0.085
103
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.409,0.27,0.515
104
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.11,0.003
105
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.075,0.006
106
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.023,-0.047,-0.005
107
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.021,-0.058,0.008
108
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.065,0.014
109
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.018,-0.033,0.074
110
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
111
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.008,-0.051,0.024
112
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.0,-0.049,0.041
113
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.023,0.026
114
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.056,0.049
115
+ TS-ICL,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.081,-0.041,0.223
116
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.068,0.0,0.127
117
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.065,-0.005,0.146
118
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.035,-0.015,0.076
119
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,0.014,0.128
120
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.296,0.522
121
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.078,-0.015
122
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.037,-0.006
123
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.024
124
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.013,-0.032,0.007
125
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.034,0.012
126
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.027,0.107
127
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.025,0.048
128
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
129
+ TiRex,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.012,0.033
130
  TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.016,0.046
131
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.017,0.041
132
  TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.023,0.237
 
133
  TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.139
134
  TiRex,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.073,0.002,0.175
135
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.026,0.064
136
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
137
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.325,0.511
138
+ TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.114,-0.008
139
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.051,-0.012
140
+ TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.076,0.029
141
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.038,-0.004
142
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.034,-0.008
143
+ TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.053,0.11
144
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.0,-0.043,0.047
145
+ TiRex-2,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.008,-0.034,0.012
146
+ TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
147
+ TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.043,0.051
148
+ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.001,-0.01,0.011
149
+ TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.081,-0.058,0.241
150
+ TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,-0.009,0.143
151
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.065,-0.023,0.177
152
+ TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.022,0.05
153
+ TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.068,0.001,0.151
154
+ TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.42,0.321,0.501
155
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.05,-0.094,-0.014
156
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.032,-0.079,0.002
157
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.037,-0.015
158
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.063,0.01
159
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.024,-0.073,0.019
160
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,0.014,-0.022,0.069
161
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.027,0.023
162
  FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.049,0.016
163
+ FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.054,0.042
164
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
165
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.065,0.051
166
  FlowState,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.078,-0.035,0.221
 
167
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.021,0.112
168
  FlowState,citras-fm,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.062,0.009,0.139
169
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.032,-0.019,0.076
 
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
176
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.037,-0.007
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.062,0.117
178
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.051,0.053
179
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.009,-0.042,0.017
180
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.001,-0.011,0.01
181
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.054,0.061
182
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
183
  Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.08,-0.064,0.248
 
184
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.067,-0.017,0.149
185
  Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,-0.029,0.184
186
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.035,0.019,0.05
 
192
  TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.111,-0.346,0.027
193
  TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.346,0.031
194
  TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.069,-0.298,0.085
195
+ TFT,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.088,-0.287,0.04
196
  TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.097,-0.311,0.022
197
+ TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.088,-0.317,0.055
198
  TFT,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.084,-0.283,0.034
199
  TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.087,-0.329,0.06
200
  TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
201
  TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.142,0.075
202
  TFT,citras-fm,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.017,-0.229,0.146
203
  TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.049,-0.268,0.085
204
  TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
205
  TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.368,0.241,0.486
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
206
  TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.202,-0.061
207
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.103,-0.191,-0.032
208
  TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.154,-0.044
209
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.186,-0.02
210
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.187,-0.015
211
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.054,-0.135,0.032
212
+ TabPFN-TS,TS-ICL,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.072,-0.146,-0.0
213
  TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.081,-0.161,-0.013
214
+ TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.166,0.009
215
  TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.126,-0.022
216
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.071,-0.175,0.017
217
  TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.081,0.124
 
218
  TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
219
  TabPFN-TS,citras-fm,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.096,0.104
220
  TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.034,-0.124,0.047
 
226
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.093,-0.222,-0.01
227
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.091,-0.232,-0.002
228
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.051,-0.084,-0.028
229
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.07,-0.17,0.005
230
  citras-fm,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.079,-0.213,-0.002
231
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.07,-0.215,0.022
232
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.066,-0.162,-0.009
233
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.069,-0.226,0.028
234
  citras-fm,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.017,-0.171,0.186
 
235
  citras-fm,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.116,0.088
236
  citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
237
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.032,-0.176,0.057
 
243
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.083,-0.034
244
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.081,-0.037
245
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.019,-0.091,0.079
246
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.037,-0.082,0.015
247
  Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.068,-0.027
248
+ Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.037,-0.053,-0.023
249
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.033,-0.083,0.019
250
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.036,-0.053,-0.019
251
  Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.047,-0.093,0.211
 
252
  Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.033,-0.05,0.11
253
  Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.031,-0.06,0.149
254
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
260
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.19,-0.027
261
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.201,-0.019
262
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.054,-0.093,-0.03
263
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.147,-0.015
264
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
265
+ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.073,-0.178,-0.001
266
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
267
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.185,0.009
268
  Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
 
269
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
270
  Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.003,-0.05,0.042
271
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
 
277
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.759,-1.087,-0.477
278
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.757,-1.076,-0.483
279
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.692,-1.063,-0.37
280
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.723,-1.093,-0.42
281
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.737,-1.043,-0.481
282
+ Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.723,-1.006,-0.472
283
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.717,-1.057,-0.436
284
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.47
285
  Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.583,-0.946,-0.318
 
286
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.908,-0.381
287
  Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.61,-0.975,-0.284
288
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.934,-0.421
tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,89.2857142857143,32.66797317900995,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
3
- TiRex-2,82.14285714285715,30.201739251352212,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
4
- TiRex,79.28571428571429,29.260350065108376,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
5
- citras-fm,79.28571428571429,29.209520364239804,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,77.14285714285715,29.93563029482772,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-1B,76.42857142857142,29.99164696817904,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
8
- FlowState,73.57142857142858,29.357226912555344,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-313m,73.57142857142857,29.754752173256584,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
10
- Chronos-Bolt,71.78571428571428,28.93605738519158,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
11
- TimesFM-2.5,70.0,29.394157929053712,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-22m,65.0,28.76118230177598,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
13
- Moirai-2.0,63.2142857142857,27.399232776718353,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
14
- Sundial-Base,62.142857142857125,27.294413166287423,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-1.0,60.7142857142857,27.802663844137786,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,59.28571428571428,27.78289022024678,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
17
- Stat. Ensemble,49.999999999999986,23.420687735560985,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
18
- TabPFN-TS-3,49.285714285714285,24.109596179935487,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
19
- TabPFN-TS,45.7142857142857,23.98149756470208,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
20
- AutoTheta,43.571428571428555,21.542038924284434,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
21
- AutoARIMA,30.714285714285722,17.97726241921238,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
22
- AutoETS,29.28571428571428,-29.622695283539358,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
23
- TFT,18.571428571428577,11.739357763049185,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
24
- Naive,18.571428571428573,7.795601696116828,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
25
- PatchTST,17.142857142857142,9.449688890714715,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
26
- LightGBM,14.285714285714285,4.1721599099919455,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
27
- Drift,14.285714285714285,4.078700196776586,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
28
- CatBoost,13.571428571428571,4.184526702220593,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
29
- DeepAR,12.142857142857142,3.384538751976529,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
30
- Seasonal Naive,10.0,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,88.96551724137932,32.66797317900995,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
3
+ TiRex-2,81.3793103448276,30.201739251352212,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
4
+ TiRex,79.3103448275862,29.260350065108376,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
5
+ citras-fm,78.62068965517243,29.209520364239804,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,76.55172413793105,29.93563029482772,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-1B,75.86206896551724,29.99164696817904,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
8
+ FlowState,73.79310344827587,29.357226912555344,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-313m,73.10344827586206,29.754752173256584,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
10
+ Chronos-Bolt,71.37931034482756,28.93605738519158,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
11
+ TimesFM-2.5,70.34482758620689,29.394157929053712,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
12
+ Toto-2.0-22m,64.82758620689656,28.76118230177598,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
13
+ Moirai-2.0,63.10344827586204,27.399232776718353,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
14
+ TS-ICL,62.06896551724136,27.337264578289744,0.0,3.338946787241314,0.0,0.0
15
+ Sundial-Base,61.379310344827566,27.294413166287423,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
16
+ Toto-1.0,60.68965517241377,27.802663844137786,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,59.31034482758619,27.78289022024678,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS-3,48.96551724137931,24.109596179935487,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
19
+ Stat. Ensemble,48.965517241379295,23.420687735560985,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
20
+ TabPFN-TS,44.82758620689654,23.98149756470208,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
21
+ AutoTheta,42.75862068965516,21.542038924284434,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
22
+ AutoARIMA,30.3448275862069,17.97726241921238,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
23
+ AutoETS,28.965517241379306,-29.622695283539358,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
24
+ TFT,17.931034482758623,11.739357763049185,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
25
+ Naive,17.93103448275862,7.795601696116828,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
26
+ PatchTST,16.551724137931036,9.449688890714715,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
27
+ Drift,13.793103448275861,4.078700196776586,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
28
+ LightGBM,13.793103448275861,4.1721599099919455,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
29
+ CatBoost,13.103448275862068,4.184526702220593,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
30
+ DeepAR,11.724137931034482,3.384538751976529,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
31
+ Seasonal Naive,9.655172413793105,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,90.00000000000001,40.14261361598851,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
3
- TiRex-2,85.71428571428574,38.09386445171089,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
4
- TiRex,82.14285714285714,37.43876342889425,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.28571428571428,37.83157222733069,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-1B,77.14285714285715,37.66612649055474,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-313m,76.42857142857143,37.58550747009978,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
8
- TimesFM-2.5,74.28571428571429,37.188322050437485,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
9
- citras-fm,72.85714285714288,36.04259739782568,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
10
- FlowState,70.71428571428571,36.31166826953211,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
11
- Chronos-Bolt,70.35714285714285,36.03582808206656,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-22m,65.71428571428571,36.293037504059534,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
13
- Moirai-2.0,64.64285714285712,34.85309081790271,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
14
- Toto-1.0,64.28571428571429,35.99499337037837,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
15
- Toto-2.0-4m,61.42857142857142,35.936651145406394,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
16
- TabPFN-TS-3,57.857142857142854,32.679408744349004,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
17
- TabPFN-TS,55.71428571428571,32.757599647708304,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
18
- Sundial-Base,47.14285714285714,30.90991527640704,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
19
- Stat. Ensemble,39.999999999999986,17.231323121576647,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
20
- AutoARIMA,35.0,22.423106139028192,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
21
- TFT,30.714285714285722,18.511138237688506,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
22
- PatchTST,27.857142857142858,17.09711611460085,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoETS,24.28571428571429,-136.42889638840893,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
24
- DeepAR,24.285714285714285,9.609592105853038,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
25
- AutoTheta,17.85714285714286,-2.841792105310592,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
26
- Seasonal Naive,17.142857142857146,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
27
- CatBoost,13.571428571428573,-6.491295800307162,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
28
- LightGBM,13.571428571428571,-6.505040508588555,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,7.142857142857142,-23.56398425913284,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,2.857142857142857,-28.21332719128542,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,89.65517241379311,40.14261361598851,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
3
+ TiRex-2,85.51724137931036,38.09386445171089,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
4
+ TiRex,82.06896551724138,37.43876342889425,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.3103448275862,37.83157222733069,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
6
+ Toto-2.0-1B,76.55172413793103,37.66612649055474,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-313m,75.86206896551722,37.58550747009978,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
8
+ TimesFM-2.5,74.48275862068965,37.188322050437485,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
9
+ citras-fm,71.72413793103449,36.04259739782568,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
10
+ FlowState,70.34482758620688,36.31166826953211,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
11
+ Chronos-Bolt,69.31034482758618,36.03582808206656,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
12
+ TS-ICL,66.89655172413794,35.85151872644183,0.0,3.338946787241314,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-22m,64.82758620689654,36.293037504059534,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
14
+ Moirai-2.0,63.793103448275836,34.85309081790271,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
15
+ Toto-1.0,63.44827586206896,35.99499337037837,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
16
+ Toto-2.0-4m,61.37931034482757,35.936651145406394,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
17
+ TabPFN-TS-3,56.551724137931025,32.679408744349004,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS,54.48275862068963,32.757599647708304,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
19
+ Sundial-Base,46.20689655172413,30.90991527640704,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
20
+ Stat. Ensemble,39.31034482758619,17.231323121576647,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
21
+ AutoARIMA,33.79310344827586,22.423106139028192,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
22
+ TFT,29.655172413793107,18.511138237688506,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
23
+ PatchTST,26.896551724137936,17.09711611460085,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoETS,24.13793103448276,-136.42889638840893,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
25
+ DeepAR,23.448275862068964,9.609592105853038,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
26
+ AutoTheta,17.93103448275862,-2.841792105310592,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
27
+ Seasonal Naive,16.551724137931036,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
28
+ CatBoost,13.10344827586207,-6.491295800307162,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
29
+ LightGBM,13.103448275862068,-6.505040508588555,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,6.896551724137931,-23.56398425913284,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.7586206896551726,-28.21332719128542,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,82.85714285714286,46.261525282913595,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
3
- Chronos-2,81.42857142857146,47.03832863128653,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-1B,77.85714285714288,47.015579237547286,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-313m,77.85714285714286,46.63720411823188,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
6
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,76.42857142857144,46.712323883118025,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
7
- FlowState,76.42857142857142,45.94421147950074,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,75.0,45.26550169523424,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-1.0,72.85714285714286,45.658876884431066,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
10
- Chronos-Bolt,69.64285714285714,44.270996715968245,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
11
- TimesFM-2.5,69.28571428571428,45.234350223405905,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
12
- citras-fm,67.85714285714286,44.24561217925266,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-2.0-22m,67.14285714285714,45.58255213545739,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,65.35714285714286,43.560110317907345,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
15
- Toto-2.0-4m,63.571428571428555,44.832337002858004,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
16
- TabPFN-TS-3,57.857142857142854,43.22149190972845,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
17
- TabPFN-TS,53.57142857142857,42.24241790735197,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
18
- Stat. Ensemble,44.999999999999986,36.39656206472499,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
19
- AutoTheta,42.85714285714285,37.25191993036196,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
20
- Sundial-Base,39.28571428571427,32.15916008390624,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
21
- AutoETS,30.714285714285705,-7.089563361203255,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
22
- TFT,27.857142857142858,31.89215730204118,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
23
- PatchTST,27.142857142857146,32.26789204762996,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
24
- DeepAR,25.0,30.485156307041137,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
25
- AutoARIMA,19.285714285714285,-5.351235687949107,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
26
- Naive,17.142857142857142,25.364806013828144,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
27
- Seasonal Naive,11.428571428571429,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
28
- Drift,10.714285714285714,15.777737575686047,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
29
- CatBoost,10.0,9.204507505376158,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
30
- LightGBM,8.571428571428573,-21.610796222594896,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,82.0689655172414,46.261525282913595,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
3
+ Chronos-2,80.68965517241381,47.03832863128653,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
4
+ Toto-2.0-1B,77.24137931034484,47.015579237547286,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,77.24137931034483,46.63720411823188,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
6
+ FlowState,76.55172413793105,45.94421147950074,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,75.86206896551725,46.712323883118025,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex,74.48275862068965,45.26550169523424,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-1.0,71.72413793103449,45.658876884431066,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
10
+ TimesFM-2.5,69.6551724137931,45.234350223405905,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
11
+ Chronos-Bolt,68.62068965517241,44.270996715968245,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
12
+ TS-ICL,68.2758620689655,44.57858046889211,0.0,3.338946787241314,0.0,0.0
13
+ citras-fm,66.89655172413794,44.24561217925266,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
14
+ Toto-2.0-22m,66.89655172413791,45.58255213545739,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,64.48275862068965,43.560110317907345,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
16
+ Toto-2.0-4m,63.44827586206895,44.832337002858004,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
17
+ TabPFN-TS-3,56.551724137931025,43.22149190972845,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS,52.41379310344827,42.24241790735197,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
19
+ Stat. Ensemble,44.13793103448274,36.39656206472499,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
20
+ AutoTheta,42.06896551724137,37.25191993036196,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
21
+ Sundial-Base,38.6206896551724,32.15916008390624,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
22
+ AutoETS,30.344827586206886,-7.089563361203255,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
23
+ TFT,26.896551724137936,31.89215730204118,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
24
+ PatchTST,26.20689655172414,32.26789204762996,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
25
+ DeepAR,24.137931034482758,30.485156307041137,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
26
+ AutoARIMA,18.620689655172416,-5.351235687949107,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
27
+ Naive,16.551724137931036,25.364806013828144,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
28
+ Seasonal Naive,11.03448275862069,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
29
+ Drift,10.344827586206897,15.777737575686047,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
30
+ CatBoost,9.655172413793103,9.204507505376158,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
31
+ LightGBM,8.275862068965518,-21.610796222594896,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- TiRex-2,83.5714285714286,65.24685534837047,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
3
- FlowState,81.42857142857146,65.46785431424527,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
4
- Toto-2.0-313m,80.00000000000001,65.47877258222164,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
5
- Chronos-2,79.2857142857143,65.09181820451573,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
6
- TimesFM-2.5,75.7142857142857,65.02250890932473,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
7
- Toto-2.0-1B,75.00000000000003,65.08289133257598,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,74.28571428571429,63.901555686088926,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,73.57142857142858,64.93808949583952,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
10
- Toto-1.0,72.14285714285715,64.33412565306647,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
11
- Toto-2.0-22m,71.42857142857143,64.78913859128755,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
12
- citras-fm,69.28571428571428,63.60825806205861,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
13
- TabPFN-TS-3,68.57142857142857,64.30734538835908,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
14
- Chronos-Bolt,67.49999999999997,63.27794107878868,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
15
- Moirai-2.0,64.64285714285712,62.94483721709532,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
16
- Toto-2.0-4m,60.7142857142857,63.91544587103641,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
17
- TabPFN-TS,52.85714285714285,62.22591860898127,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
18
- Sundial-Base,38.57142857142856,52.74866339515212,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
19
- PatchTST,37.14285714285714,56.14683480931129,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
20
- Stat. Ensemble,34.28571428571428,10.0322967065957,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
21
- TFT,32.857142857142854,54.31239646459889,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
22
- AutoARIMA,30.71428571428571,26.636130811588664,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
23
- DeepAR,30.0,53.40506481164482,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
24
- AutoETS,21.428571428571434,-162.5181303956725,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
25
- CatBoost,20.0,28.559039675458386,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
26
- Seasonal Naive,18.571428571428573,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
27
- LightGBM,14.285714285714285,4.312518151888689,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
28
- AutoTheta,14.285714285714285,-21.431026745629268,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,5.714285714285714,-59.16477242026188,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,2.1428571428571432,-65.48141502161853,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ TiRex-2,83.44827586206898,65.24685534837047,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
3
+ FlowState,81.3793103448276,65.46785431424527,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
4
+ Chronos-2,78.62068965517244,65.09181820451573,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-313m,78.62068965517243,65.47877258222164,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
6
+ TimesFM-2.5,75.86206896551722,65.02250890932473,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-1B,74.48275862068967,65.08289133257598,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex,73.79310344827584,63.901555686088926,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,73.10344827586208,64.93808949583952,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
10
+ Toto-1.0,71.0344827586207,64.33412565306647,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
11
+ Toto-2.0-22m,70.34482758620689,64.78913859128755,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS-3,68.27586206896551,64.30734538835908,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
13
+ citras-fm,68.27586206896551,63.60825806205861,0.0,2.3397720910989763,0.0,0.0
14
+ TS-ICL,67.58620689655173,63.75038371377927,0.0,3.338946787241314,0.0,0.0
15
+ Chronos-Bolt,67.24137931034481,63.27794107878868,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
16
+ Moirai-2.0,64.48275862068962,62.94483721709532,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
17
+ Toto-2.0-4m,60.0,63.91544587103641,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
18
+ TabPFN-TS,52.413793103448256,62.22591860898127,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
19
+ Sundial-Base,37.24137931034482,52.74866339515212,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
20
+ PatchTST,35.86206896551724,56.14683480931129,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
21
+ Stat. Ensemble,33.79310344827585,10.0322967065957,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
22
+ TFT,31.72413793103448,54.31239646459889,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
23
+ AutoARIMA,29.655172413793103,26.636130811588664,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
24
+ DeepAR,28.965517241379313,53.40506481164482,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoETS,21.37931034482759,-162.5181303956725,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
26
+ CatBoost,19.310344827586206,28.559039675458386,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
27
+ Seasonal Naive,17.93103448275862,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
28
+ LightGBM,13.793103448275861,4.312518151888689,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
29
+ AutoTheta,13.793103448275861,-21.431026745629268,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,5.517241379310345,-59.16477242026188,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.0689655172413794,-65.48141502161853,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/pairwise_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -7,13 +7,13 @@ Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,0.007,0.087
7
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.038,-0.003,0.078
8
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.047,-0.008,0.1
9
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,-0.004,0.092
10
- Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.046,-0.001,0.096
11
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.053,0.015,0.087
 
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.055,0.006,0.112
 
13
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.024,0.118
14
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.067,0.023,0.124
15
  Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.027,0.116
16
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.023,0.117
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.263,0.388
18
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.065,-0.009
19
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -23,13 +23,13 @@ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,-0.004,0.029
23
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.003,-0.047,0.038
24
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.012,-0.043,0.062
25
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.047,0.048
26
- TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.03,0.051
27
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.009,0.042
 
28
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.036,0.063
 
29
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.039,0.001,0.069
30
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.005,0.077
31
  TiRex-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.04,0.009,0.071
32
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.013,0.073
33
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.302,0.232,0.375
34
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.09,0.004
35
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.046,0.046
@@ -39,13 +39,13 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.01,-0.034,0.065
39
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.013,0.01
40
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.035,0.052
41
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.014,0.013
42
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.032
43
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.051,0.078
 
44
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.016,-0.004,0.03
 
45
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.035,-0.033,0.098
46
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.005,0.057
47
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.033,0.101
48
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.049
49
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.202,0.389
50
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.097,-0.005
51
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.013,-0.033,0.01
@@ -55,13 +55,13 @@ TiRex,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.015,0.016
55
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.076,0.039
56
  TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.061,0.046
57
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.07,0.039
58
- TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.053,0.035
59
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.016,0.023
 
60
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.007,-0.056,0.052
 
61
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.004,0.054
62
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.028,0.065
63
  TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,-0.0,0.055
64
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.033,0.058
65
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.222,0.364
66
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.095,-0.007
67
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.029,0.004
@@ -71,13 +71,13 @@ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.011,-0.07,0.025
72
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.061,0.045
73
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.008,-0.066,0.031
74
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.003,-0.049,0.033
75
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.024,0.033
 
76
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.055,0.047
 
77
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.008,0.057
78
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,-0.02,0.058
79
  citras-fm,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.003,0.054
80
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.028,0.053
81
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.292,0.218,0.374
82
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.04,-0.084,0.003
83
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.039,0.045
@@ -87,13 +87,13 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.011,-0.026,0.065
87
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.033,0.045
89
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.003,-0.018,0.022
90
- Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.03,0.032
91
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.043,0.078
 
92
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.008,0.04
 
93
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.027,0.092
94
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.009,0.064
95
  Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.024,0.096
96
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.031,0.006,0.048
97
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.204,0.387
98
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.049,-0.111,0.008
99
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.012,-0.066,0.041
@@ -103,13 +103,13 @@ FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.047,0.057
103
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.047,0.032
104
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.049,0.029
106
- FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.036,0.025
107
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.045,0.063
 
108
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.032,0.041
 
109
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.007,0.071
110
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.031,0.061
111
  FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.018,0.084
112
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.012,0.046
113
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.19,0.386
114
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.102,0.004
115
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.05,0.045
@@ -119,30 +119,14 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.008,-0.032,0.062
119
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.022,0.017
120
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.029,0.046
121
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
- Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.014,0.023
123
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.047,0.071
 
124
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.014,0.008,0.02
 
125
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.028,0.089
126
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.007,0.049
127
  Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.03,0.099
128
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.015,0.039
129
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.298,0.2,0.385
130
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.106,0.001
131
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
132
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.033,0.027
133
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.037,0.05
134
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.003,-0.034,0.047
135
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.009,-0.033,0.029
136
- TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.025,0.035
137
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.024,0.014
138
- TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
- TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.06
140
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.008,0.026
141
- TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.016,0.068
142
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,0.003,0.038
143
- TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.029,0.08
144
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.022,0.013,0.035
145
- TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.196,0.38
146
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.095,-0.016
147
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.044,0.009
148
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.085,0.048
@@ -151,14 +135,30 @@ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.034,0.023
151
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.085,0.041
152
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.067,0.043
153
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.077,0.045
154
- Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.064,0.045
155
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
156
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.066,0.059
 
157
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.021,0.0,0.042
158
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.016,-0.035,0.074
159
  Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.002,0.045
160
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.016,-0.043,0.067
161
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.231,0.351
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.058,-0.126,-0.006
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.068,0.035
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.031,0.004
@@ -167,14 +167,30 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.049,0.052
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.041,0.008
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.043,0.031
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.014,-0.02,-0.009
170
- Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.027,0.008
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.062,0.062
 
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.041,0.075
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.005,0.034
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.047,0.088
176
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,0.003,0.024
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.288,0.185,0.377
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
178
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.134,-0.025
179
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.04,-0.074,-0.001
180
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.036,-0.109,0.032
@@ -183,13 +199,13 @@ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.06,0.008
183
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.102,0.026
184
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.076,0.007
185
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.098,0.027
186
- Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.072,0.016
187
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
 
188
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.081,0.04
 
189
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.057,0.048
191
  Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.02,0.027
192
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.056,0.043
193
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.274,0.192,0.348
194
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.072,-0.141,-0.024
195
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.083,0.005
@@ -199,13 +215,13 @@ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.062,0.02
199
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.068,0.009
200
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.065,0.03
201
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.052,-0.007
202
- Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.039,-0.004
203
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.08,0.034
 
204
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.035,0.005
 
205
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.05,0.054
206
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.062,0.061
208
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.0,-0.02,0.02
209
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.18,0.366
210
  Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.131,-0.028
211
  Sundial-Base,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.042,-0.076,-0.009
@@ -215,30 +231,14 @@ Sundial-Base,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.057,0.003
215
  Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.106,0.024
216
  Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.092,0.018
217
  Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.11,0.029
218
- Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.087,0.028
219
  Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.047,0.002
 
220
  Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.096,0.045
 
221
  Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.027,0.02
222
  Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.065,0.059
223
  Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.068,0.05
225
  Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.273,0.2,0.344
226
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.132,-0.023
227
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.079,0.012
228
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.051,-0.008
229
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.062,0.032
230
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.056,0.028
231
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.032,-0.05,-0.006
232
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.049,0.012
233
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.041,-0.015
234
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.023,-0.036,-0.013
235
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.071,0.042
236
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.025,-0.003
237
- Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.045,0.053
238
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.0,-0.02,0.019
239
- Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.053,0.064
240
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.175,0.368
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.633,-0.357
243
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.433,-0.6,-0.302
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.636,-0.254
@@ -247,11 +247,11 @@ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.413,-0.597,-0.278
247
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.428,-0.63,-0.257
248
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.628,-0.234
249
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.424,-0.625,-0.25
250
- Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.612,-0.244
251
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.407,-0.541,-0.3
 
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.404,-0.606,-0.227
 
253
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.377,-0.534,-0.238
254
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.577,-0.22
255
  Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.375,-0.525,-0.251
256
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.581,-0.213
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
7
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.038,-0.003,0.078
8
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.047,-0.008,0.1
9
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,-0.004,0.092
 
10
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.053,0.015,0.087
11
+ Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.046,-0.001,0.096
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.055,0.006,0.112
13
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.018,0.129
14
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.024,0.118
15
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.067,0.023,0.124
16
  Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.027,0.116
 
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.263,0.388
18
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.065,-0.009
19
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
23
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.003,-0.047,0.038
24
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.012,-0.043,0.062
25
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.047,0.048
 
26
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.009,0.042
27
+ TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.03,0.051
28
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.036,0.063
29
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.039,0.002,0.08
30
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.039,0.001,0.069
31
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.005,0.077
32
  TiRex-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.04,0.009,0.071
 
33
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.302,0.232,0.375
34
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.09,0.004
35
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.046,0.046
 
39
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.013,0.01
40
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.035,0.052
41
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.014,0.013
 
42
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.051,0.078
43
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.032
44
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.016,-0.004,0.03
45
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.016,0.09
46
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.035,-0.033,0.098
47
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.005,0.057
48
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.033,0.101
 
49
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.202,0.389
50
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.097,-0.005
51
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.013,-0.033,0.01
 
55
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.076,0.039
56
  TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.061,0.046
57
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.07,0.039
 
58
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.016,0.023
59
+ TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.053,0.035
60
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.007,-0.056,0.052
61
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.011,0.068
62
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.004,0.054
63
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.028,0.065
64
  TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,-0.0,0.055
 
65
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.222,0.364
66
  citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.095,-0.007
67
  citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.029,0.004
 
71
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.011,-0.07,0.025
72
  citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.061,0.045
73
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.008,-0.066,0.031
 
74
  citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.024,0.033
75
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.003,-0.049,0.033
76
  citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.055,0.047
77
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.012,0.066
78
  citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.008,0.057
79
  citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,-0.02,0.058
80
  citras-fm,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.003,0.054
 
81
  citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.292,0.218,0.374
82
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.04,-0.084,0.003
83
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.039,0.045
 
87
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.033,0.045
89
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.003,-0.018,0.022
 
90
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.043,0.078
91
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.03,0.032
92
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.008,0.04
93
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.024,0.093
94
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.027,0.092
95
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.009,0.064
96
  Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.024,0.096
 
97
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.204,0.387
98
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.049,-0.111,0.008
99
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.012,-0.066,0.041
 
103
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.047,0.032
104
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.049,0.029
 
106
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.045,0.063
107
+ FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.036,0.025
108
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.032,0.041
109
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.05,0.087
110
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.007,0.071
111
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.031,0.061
112
  FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.018,0.084
 
113
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.19,0.386
114
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.102,0.004
115
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.05,0.045
 
119
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.022,0.017
120
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.029,0.046
121
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
122
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.047,0.071
123
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.014,0.023
124
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.014,0.008,0.02
125
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.012,0.083
126
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.028,0.089
127
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.007,0.049
128
  Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.03,0.099
 
129
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.298,0.2,0.385
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
130
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.095,-0.016
131
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.044,0.009
132
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.085,0.048
 
135
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.085,0.041
136
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.067,0.043
137
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.077,0.045
 
138
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.064,0.045
140
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.066,0.059
141
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.022,0.08
142
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.021,0.0,0.042
143
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.016,-0.035,0.074
144
  Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.002,0.045
 
145
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.231,0.351
146
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.106,0.001
147
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
148
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.033,0.027
149
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.037,0.05
150
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.003,-0.034,0.047
151
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.009,-0.033,0.029
152
+ TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.025,0.035
153
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.024,0.014
154
+ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.06
155
+ TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.008,0.026
157
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.018,0.071
158
+ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.016,0.068
159
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,0.003,0.038
160
+ TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.029,0.08
161
+ TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.196,0.38
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.058,-0.126,-0.006
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.068,0.035
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.031,0.004
 
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.041,0.008
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.043,0.031
169
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.014,-0.02,-0.009
 
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.062,0.062
171
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.027,0.008
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.026,0.07
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.041,0.075
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.005,0.034
176
  Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.047,0.088
 
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.288,0.185,0.377
178
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.148,-0.019
179
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.087,-0.002
180
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.099,0.016
181
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.073,0.011
182
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.071,0.012
183
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.103,0.023
184
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.096,0.048
185
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.09,0.012
186
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.087,0.022
187
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.077,0.018
188
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.075,0.025
189
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.063,0.062
191
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.043,0.024
192
+ TS-ICL,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.074,0.066
193
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.273,0.177,0.354
194
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.134,-0.025
195
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.04,-0.074,-0.001
196
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.036,-0.109,0.032
 
199
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.102,0.026
200
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.076,0.007
201
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.098,0.027
 
202
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
203
+ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.072,0.016
204
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.081,0.04
205
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.066,0.059
206
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.057,0.048
208
  Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.02,0.027
 
209
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.274,0.192,0.348
210
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.072,-0.141,-0.024
211
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.083,0.005
 
215
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.068,0.009
216
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.065,0.03
217
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.052,-0.007
 
218
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.08,0.034
219
+ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.039,-0.004
220
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.035,0.005
221
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.024,0.041
222
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.05,0.054
223
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.062,0.061
 
225
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.18,0.366
226
  Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.131,-0.028
227
  Sundial-Base,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.042,-0.076,-0.009
 
231
  Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.106,0.024
232
  Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.092,0.018
233
  Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.11,0.029
 
234
  Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.047,0.002
235
+ Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.087,0.028
236
  Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.096,0.045
237
+ Sundial-Base,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.071,0.069
238
  Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.027,0.02
239
  Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.065,0.059
240
  Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.273,0.2,0.344
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.633,-0.357
243
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.433,-0.6,-0.302
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.636,-0.254
 
247
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.428,-0.63,-0.257
248
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.628,-0.234
249
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.424,-0.625,-0.25
 
250
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.407,-0.541,-0.3
251
+ Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.612,-0.244
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.404,-0.606,-0.227
253
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.376,-0.549,-0.214
254
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.377,-0.534,-0.238
255
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.577,-0.22
256
  Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.375,-0.525,-0.251
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/pairwise_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -6,14 +6,14 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.009,0.087
6
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.005,0.086
7
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,-0.004,0.098
8
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.047,-0.001,0.095
9
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.011,0.114
10
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.007,0.111
 
11
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.011,0.122
 
12
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.007,0.128
13
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.122
14
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.139
15
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.022,0.117
16
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.065,0.152
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.401,0.327,0.459
18
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.061,-0.009
19
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -22,14 +22,14 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.049,0.047
22
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.048,0.047
23
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.045,0.057
24
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.029,0.053
25
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.001,0.063
26
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.027,0.075
 
27
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.013,0.076
 
28
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.031,0.086
29
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.007,0.077
30
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.003,0.091
31
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.014,0.075
32
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.034,0.134
33
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.298,0.44
34
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.089,0.001
35
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.011,-0.03,0.011
@@ -38,14 +38,14 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.072,0.052
38
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.067,0.05
39
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.064,0.049
40
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.048,0.043
41
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.005,0.044
42
  TiRex,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.036,0.059
 
43
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.007,0.049
 
44
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.077
45
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.026,0.07
46
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.011,0.066
47
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.029,0.062
48
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.071,0.028,0.123
49
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.374,0.288,0.434
50
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.096,0.009
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.05,0.047
@@ -54,14 +54,14 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.005,0.011
55
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.014,0.014
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.025,0.036
57
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.028,-0.038,0.105
58
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.021,0.069
 
59
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.061,0.114
 
60
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.002,0.044
61
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.006,0.053
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.046,-0.043,0.127
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.048
64
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.148
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.265,0.462
66
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.094,0.005
67
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.049,0.046
@@ -70,14 +70,14 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.003,-0.011,0.005
70
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.018,0.017
72
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.031
73
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.025,-0.036,0.101
74
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.021,-0.019,0.06
 
75
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.059,0.106
 
76
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.006,0.049
77
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.008,0.053
78
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.041,0.124
79
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.004,0.043
80
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.074,0.002,0.145
81
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.269,0.459
82
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.109,0.004
83
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.06,0.043
@@ -86,14 +86,14 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.014,0.014
86
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.017,0.017
87
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.014,0.024
89
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.039,0.097
90
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.017,0.065
 
91
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.056,0.106
 
92
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.01,0.033
93
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,0.008,0.041
94
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.039,0.116
95
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.013,0.038
96
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.003,0.138
97
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.261,0.456
98
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.105,0.001
99
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.056,0.029
@@ -102,31 +102,15 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.038,0.024
102
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.032,0.027
103
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.025,0.014
104
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.034,0.087
106
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.01,0.046
 
107
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.092
 
108
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.01,0.04
109
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,0.002,0.036
110
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.101
111
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.012,0.03
112
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.005,0.127
113
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.265,0.447
114
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.068,-0.129,-0.011
115
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.068,0.001
116
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.046,0.005
117
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.029,-0.117,0.037
118
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.026,-0.112,0.035
119
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.108,0.038
120
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.095,0.033
121
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.077,0.04
123
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.033,0.032
124
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.094,0.063
125
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.066,0.057
126
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.014,0.048
127
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.071,0.051
128
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,-0.008,0.126
129
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.27,0.432
130
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.124,-0.007
131
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.081,0.026
132
  FlowState,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.062,0.035
@@ -134,15 +118,31 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.024,-0.074,0.021
134
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.064,0.019
135
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.069,0.016
136
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.048,0.01
137
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.042,0.072
138
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
139
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.057,0.083
 
140
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.049,0.047
141
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.045,0.044
142
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.025,0.086
143
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.029,0.031
144
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.054,-0.005,0.119
145
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.261,0.444
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.011
147
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.082,0.013
148
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.052,0.007
@@ -150,15 +150,31 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.129,0.058
150
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.118,0.056
151
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.119,0.053
152
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.101,0.049
153
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.033,0.032
154
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.091,0.054
 
155
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
156
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.105,0.084
157
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.079,0.075
158
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.018,0.0,0.036
159
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.081,0.066
160
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,-0.008,0.107
161
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.291,0.411
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
162
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.146,-0.007
163
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.094,0.03
164
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.084,0.048
@@ -166,14 +182,14 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.046,0.002
166
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.051,0.006
167
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.021,-0.034,-0.01
168
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.042,0.01
169
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.068,0.086
170
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.049,0.046
 
171
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.092,0.095
 
172
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.012,0.025
174
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.065,0.105
175
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.017,0.023
176
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.054,-0.029,0.126
177
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.235,0.45
178
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.02
179
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.083,0.007
@@ -182,14 +198,14 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.056,0.006
182
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.056,0.008
183
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.043,-0.008
184
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.037,-0.002
185
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.061,0.062
186
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.005,-0.046,0.043
 
187
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.081,0.073
 
188
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.026,0.011
189
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.054,0.084
191
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.017,0.019
192
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.029,0.116
193
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.24,0.437
194
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.088,-0.161,-0.019
195
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.1,-0.003
@@ -198,14 +214,14 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.048,-0.145,0.041
198
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.142,0.039
199
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.132,0.037
200
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.112,0.024
201
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.051,0.014
202
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.095,0.025
 
203
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.018,-0.037,0.0
 
204
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.117,0.061
205
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.091,0.051
206
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.096,0.05
208
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.023,0.092
209
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.271,0.409
210
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.07,-0.132,-0.023
211
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.081,0.014
@@ -214,31 +230,15 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.05,-0.007
214
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.045,-0.004
215
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.04,-0.013
216
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.012
217
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.054,0.066
218
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.031,0.028
 
219
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.07,0.075
 
220
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.023,0.017
221
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.019,0.017
222
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.052,0.087
223
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.016,0.114
225
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.248,0.44
226
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.179,-0.069
227
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.155,-0.036
228
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.141,-0.029
229
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.083,-0.174,0.001
230
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.08,-0.169,-0.002
231
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.16,-0.003
232
- TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.145,-0.005
233
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.053,-0.145,0.008
234
- TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.057,-0.135,0.005
235
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.12,0.008
236
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.057,-0.144,0.028
237
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.131,0.028
238
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.101,0.023
239
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.129,0.016
240
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.253,0.382
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.671,-0.848,-0.486
243
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.785,-0.424
244
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.598,-0.768,-0.404
@@ -246,12 +246,12 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.609,-0.858,-0.361
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.604,-0.85,-0.369
247
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.602,-0.837,-0.353
248
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.807,-0.36
249
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.564,-0.762,-0.37
250
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.797,-0.352
 
251
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.563,-0.699,-0.411
 
252
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.819,-0.307
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.562,-0.775,-0.315
254
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.692,-0.371
255
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.561,-0.784,-0.329
256
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.618,-0.339
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
6
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.005,0.086
7
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,-0.004,0.098
8
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.047,-0.001,0.095
 
9
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.007,0.111
10
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.011,0.114
11
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.011,0.122
12
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.022,0.113
13
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.007,0.128
14
  Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.122
15
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.139
16
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.022,0.117
 
17
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.401,0.327,0.459
18
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.061,-0.009
19
  TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
22
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.048,0.047
23
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.045,0.057
24
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.029,0.053
 
25
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.027,0.075
26
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.001,0.063
27
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.013,0.076
28
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.035,0.007,0.069
29
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.031,0.086
30
  TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.007,0.077
31
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.003,0.091
32
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.014,0.075
 
33
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.298,0.44
34
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.089,0.001
35
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.011,-0.03,0.011
 
38
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.067,0.05
39
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.064,0.049
40
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.048,0.043
 
41
  TiRex,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.036,0.059
42
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.005,0.044
43
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.007,0.049
44
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.006,0.061
45
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.077
46
  TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.026,0.07
47
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.011,0.066
48
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.029,0.062
 
49
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.374,0.288,0.434
50
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.096,0.009
51
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.05,0.047
 
54
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.005,0.011
55
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.014,0.014
56
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.025,0.036
 
57
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.021,0.069
58
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.028,-0.038,0.105
59
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.061,0.114
60
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.031,-0.014,0.08
61
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.002,0.044
62
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.006,0.053
63
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.046,-0.043,0.127
64
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.048
 
65
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.265,0.462
66
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.094,0.005
67
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.049,0.046
 
70
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.018,0.017
72
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.031
 
73
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.021,-0.019,0.06
74
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.025,-0.036,0.101
75
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.059,0.106
76
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.016,0.076
77
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.006,0.049
78
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.008,0.053
79
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.041,0.124
80
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.004,0.043
 
81
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.269,0.459
82
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.109,0.004
83
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.06,0.043
 
86
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.017,0.017
87
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.014,0.024
 
89
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.017,0.065
90
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.039,0.097
91
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.056,0.106
92
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.005,0.069
93
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.01,0.033
94
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,0.008,0.041
95
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.039,0.116
96
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.013,0.038
 
97
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.261,0.456
98
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.105,0.001
99
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.056,0.029
 
102
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.032,0.027
103
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.025,0.014
104
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
105
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.01,0.046
106
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.034,0.087
107
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.092
108
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.021,-0.018,0.059
109
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.01,0.04
110
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,0.002,0.036
111
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.101
112
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.012,0.03
 
113
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.265,0.447
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
114
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.124,-0.007
115
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.081,0.026
116
  FlowState,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.062,0.035
 
118
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.064,0.019
119
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.069,0.016
120
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.048,0.01
 
121
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ FlowState,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.042,0.072
123
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.057,0.083
124
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.062,0.057
125
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.049,0.047
126
  FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.045,0.044
127
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.025,0.086
128
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.029,0.031
 
129
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.261,0.444
130
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.068,-0.129,-0.011
131
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.068,0.001
132
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.046,0.005
133
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.029,-0.117,0.037
134
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.026,-0.112,0.035
135
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.108,0.038
136
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.095,0.033
137
+ citras-fm,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.077,0.04
138
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.033,0.032
140
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.003,-0.045,0.053
141
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.094,0.063
142
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.066,0.057
143
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.014,0.048
144
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.071,0.051
145
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.27,0.432
146
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.011
147
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.082,0.013
148
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.052,0.007
 
150
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.118,0.056
151
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.119,0.053
152
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.101,0.049
 
153
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.091,0.054
154
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.033,0.032
155
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.003,-0.057,0.065
157
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.105,0.084
158
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.079,0.075
159
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.018,0.0,0.036
160
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.081,0.066
 
161
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.291,0.411
162
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.127,-0.023
163
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.036,-0.074,-0.007
164
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.065,0.006
165
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.032,-0.087,0.014
166
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.082,0.016
167
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.074,0.005
168
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.062,0.018
169
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.06,0.059
170
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.003,-0.056,0.043
171
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.003,-0.07,0.054
172
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.06,0.029
174
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.033,0.022
175
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.046,0.073
176
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.042,0.037
177
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.246,0.424
178
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.146,-0.007
179
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.094,0.03
180
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.084,0.048
 
182
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.051,0.006
183
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.021,-0.034,-0.01
184
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.042,0.01
 
185
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.049,0.046
186
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.068,0.086
187
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.092,0.095
188
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.03,0.057
189
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.012,0.025
191
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.065,0.105
192
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.017,0.023
 
193
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.235,0.45
194
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.02
195
  Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.083,0.007
 
198
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.056,0.008
199
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.043,-0.008
200
  Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.037,-0.002
 
201
  Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.005,-0.046,0.043
202
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.061,0.062
203
  Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.081,0.073
204
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.023,0.032
205
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.026,0.011
206
  Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.054,0.084
208
  Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.017,0.019
 
209
  Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.24,0.437
210
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.088,-0.161,-0.019
211
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.1,-0.003
 
214
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.142,0.039
215
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.132,0.037
216
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.112,0.024
 
217
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.095,0.025
218
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.051,0.014
219
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.018,-0.037,0.0
220
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.079,0.044
221
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.117,0.061
222
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.091,0.051
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.096,0.05
 
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.271,0.409
226
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.07,-0.132,-0.023
227
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.081,0.014
 
230
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.045,-0.004
231
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.04,-0.013
232
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.012
 
233
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.031,0.028
234
+ Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.054,0.066
235
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.07,0.075
236
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.038,0.04
237
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.023,0.017
238
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.019,0.017
239
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.052,0.087
240
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.248,0.44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.671,-0.848,-0.486
243
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.785,-0.424
244
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.598,-0.768,-0.404
 
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.604,-0.85,-0.369
247
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.602,-0.837,-0.353
248
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.807,-0.36
 
249
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.797,-0.352
250
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.564,-0.762,-0.37
251
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.563,-0.699,-0.411
252
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.559,-0.737,-0.327
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.819,-0.307
254
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.562,-0.775,-0.315
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.692,-0.371
256
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.561,-0.784,-0.329
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/pairwise_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -5,15 +5,15 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.088,0.051
5
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.014,-0.095,0.045
6
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.008,-0.091,0.055
7
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.063,0.064
8
- TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.058,0.079
9
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.004,0.04
 
10
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.033,0.061
 
11
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.036,0.0,0.072
12
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.027,0.051
13
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.07,0.073
 
14
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.007,0.087
15
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.045,0.083
16
- TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.025,0.08
17
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.463,0.255,0.614
18
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.014,-0.004,0.035
19
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -21,15 +21,15 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.085,0.082
21
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.093,0.07
22
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.093,0.086
23
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.02,-0.057,0.091
24
- Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.025,-0.062,0.112
25
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.008,0.069
 
26
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.03,0.091
 
27
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.01,0.084
28
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.031,0.069
29
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.075,0.106
 
30
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.062,0.015,0.106
31
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.046,0.113
32
- Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.024,0.103
33
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.277,0.613
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.054,0.081
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.089,0.079
@@ -37,15 +37,15 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.023,0.009
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.016,0.015
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.036,0.056
40
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.005,0.036
41
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.032,0.086
 
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.015,0.065
 
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.036,0.137
44
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.022,0.126
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.005,0.033
 
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.055,-0.024,0.143
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.033,0.023,0.042
48
- Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.004,0.112
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.466,0.224,0.639
50
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.014,-0.047,0.086
51
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.075,0.085
@@ -53,15 +53,15 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.009,0.023
53
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.007,0.019
55
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.026,0.058
56
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.014,0.056
57
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.024,0.098
 
58
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.015,0.073
 
59
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.049,-0.027,0.14
60
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.05,-0.017,0.132
61
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,0.001,0.049
 
62
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.146
63
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.04,0.018,0.054
64
- Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.067,0.012,0.119
65
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.223,0.641
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.008,-0.058,0.083
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.094,0.085
@@ -69,15 +69,15 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.015,0.016
69
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.019,0.007
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.039,0.064
72
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,-0.019,0.044
73
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.036,0.094
 
74
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.024,0.076
 
75
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.045,0.137
76
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.029,0.128
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.021,-0.007,0.049
 
78
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.056,-0.027,0.14
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,0.012,0.051
80
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.061,0.0,0.122
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.467,0.22,0.642
82
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.069,0.059
83
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.021,-0.1,0.054
@@ -85,127 +85,143 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.059,0.035
85
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.062,0.025
86
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.068,0.038
87
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
- FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.042,0.05
89
  FlowState,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.033,0.064
 
90
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.013,-0.024,0.042
 
91
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.032,0.114
92
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.036,0.104
93
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.039,0.051
 
94
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.006,0.114
95
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.016,0.058
96
- FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.008,0.086
97
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.459,0.212,0.633
98
- Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.011,-0.086,0.055
99
- Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.026,-0.126,0.058
100
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.037,0.005
101
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.059,0.014
102
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.046,0.018
103
- Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.053,0.04
104
- Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
- Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.053,0.068
106
- Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.026,0.04
107
- Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.071,0.118
108
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.051,0.102
109
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.022,0.024
110
- Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.037,-0.046,0.125
111
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.015,-0.004,0.032
112
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,-0.022,0.089
113
- Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.457,0.212,0.633
114
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.042,0.004
115
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.074,0.008
116
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.095,0.031
117
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.109,0.024
118
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.104,0.035
119
  TiRex,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.069,0.032
120
- TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.073,0.05
121
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
122
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.044,0.032
 
123
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.014,0.055
124
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.006,0.043
125
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.085,0.045
 
126
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.002,0.06
127
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.058,0.056
128
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.036,0.007,0.062
129
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.453,0.224,0.614
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
130
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.065,0.032
131
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.1,0.029
132
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.069,0.014
133
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.079,0.015
134
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.083,0.023
135
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.013,-0.043,0.024
136
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.042,0.025
137
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.034,0.042
 
138
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
139
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.042,0.095
140
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.031,0.074
141
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.047,0.027
 
142
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.029,0.101
143
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.027,0.04
144
- TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.035,0.002,0.058
145
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.452,0.216,0.62
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.078,-0.0
147
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.092,-0.01
148
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.158,0.035
149
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.163,0.026
150
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.159,0.043
151
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.129,0.031
152
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.134,0.066
153
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.059,0.013
 
154
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.105,0.041
 
155
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.027,0.029
157
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.024,-0.149,0.059
 
158
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.013,0.0,0.025
159
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.01,-0.118,0.065
160
- Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.044,0.058
161
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.443,0.234,0.607
162
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.054,-0.027
163
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.074,-0.032
164
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.145,0.022
165
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.052,-0.152,0.017
166
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.147,0.028
167
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.117,0.035
168
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.114,0.049
169
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.045,0.006
170
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.08,0.03
171
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.029,0.026
172
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.025,-0.128,0.043
174
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.012,-0.02,0.046
175
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.011,-0.101,0.054
176
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.027,0.052
177
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.442,0.232,0.6
178
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.078,0.066
179
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.118,0.07
180
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.035,-0.005
181
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.052,-0.001
182
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.051,0.007
183
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.054,0.037
184
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.024,0.021
185
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.078
 
186
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.028,0.045
 
187
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.024,-0.063,0.13
188
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.024,-0.045,0.113
189
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
190
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.036,-0.042,0.136
191
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,0.0,0.027
192
- Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.042,-0.012,0.095
193
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.456,0.207,0.632
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
194
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.095,-0.007
195
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.066,-0.119,-0.015
196
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.058,-0.167,0.024
197
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.065,-0.171,0.013
198
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.059,-0.163,0.027
199
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.129,0.006
200
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.143,0.044
201
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.064,-0.002
 
202
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.112,0.028
 
203
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.013,-0.026,0.0
204
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.012,-0.048,0.02
205
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.037,-0.158,0.04
 
206
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.125,0.049
208
- Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.053,0.048
209
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.436,0.216,0.604
210
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.09,0.043
211
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.042,-0.127,0.044
@@ -213,45 +229,29 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.034,-0.044,-0.024
213
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.057,-0.019
214
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.054,-0.012
215
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.061,0.016
216
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.034,0.004
217
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.059,0.055
 
218
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.042,0.027
 
219
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.01,-0.069,0.106
220
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.011,-0.057,0.092
221
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.028,-0.0
 
222
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.023,-0.051,0.111
223
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.021,0.076
225
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.448,0.193,0.627
226
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.087,-0.026
227
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.115,-0.025
228
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.126,-0.004
229
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.072,-0.135,-0.012
230
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.066,-0.139,-0.0
231
- TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.094,-0.008
232
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.097,0.021
233
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.066,-0.007
234
- TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.061,-0.002
235
- TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.061,0.042
236
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.055,0.026
237
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.105,0.012
238
- TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.05,0.05
239
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.082,0.021
240
- TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.202,0.599
242
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.861,-1.593,-0.343
243
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.888,-1.587,-0.384
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.874,-1.771,-0.289
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.887,-1.789,-0.287
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.877,-1.79,-0.282
247
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.85,-1.727,-0.27
248
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.84,-1.726,-0.269
249
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.827,-1.591,-0.288
 
250
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.826,-1.634,-0.276
 
251
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.545,-0.305
252
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.499,-0.302
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.838,-1.718,-0.26
 
254
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.772,-1.526,-0.276
255
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.813,-1.682,-0.24
256
- Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.761,-1.492,-0.253
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
5
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.014,-0.095,0.045
6
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.008,-0.091,0.055
7
  TiRex-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.063,0.064
 
8
  TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.004,0.04
9
+ TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.058,0.079
10
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.033,0.061
11
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.013,0.075
12
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.036,0.0,0.072
 
13
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.07,0.073
14
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.027,0.051
15
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.007,0.087
16
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.045,0.083
 
17
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.463,0.255,0.614
18
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.014,-0.004,0.035
19
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
21
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.093,0.07
22
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.093,0.086
23
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.02,-0.057,0.091
 
24
  Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.008,0.069
25
+ Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.025,-0.062,0.112
26
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.03,0.091
27
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.011,0.102
28
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.01,0.084
 
29
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.075,0.106
30
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.031,0.069
31
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.062,0.015,0.106
32
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.046,0.113
 
33
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.277,0.613
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.054,0.081
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.089,0.079
 
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.023,0.009
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.016,0.015
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.036,0.056
 
40
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.032,0.086
41
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.005,0.036
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.015,0.065
43
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.017,0.088
44
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.036,0.137
 
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.005,0.033
46
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.022,0.126
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.055,-0.024,0.143
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.033,0.023,0.042
 
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.466,0.224,0.639
50
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.014,-0.047,0.086
51
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.075,0.085
 
53
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.007,0.019
55
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.026,0.058
 
56
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.024,0.098
57
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.014,0.056
58
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.015,0.073
59
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.02,0.104
60
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.049,-0.027,0.14
 
61
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,0.001,0.049
62
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.05,-0.017,0.132
63
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.146
64
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.04,0.018,0.054
 
65
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.223,0.641
66
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.008,-0.058,0.083
67
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.094,0.085
 
69
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.019,0.007
70
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.039,0.064
 
72
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.036,0.094
73
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,-0.019,0.044
74
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.024,0.076
75
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.039,-0.027,0.1
76
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.045,0.137
 
77
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.021,-0.007,0.049
78
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.029,0.128
79
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.056,-0.027,0.14
80
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,0.012,0.051
 
81
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.467,0.22,0.642
82
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.069,0.059
83
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.021,-0.1,0.054
 
85
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.062,0.025
86
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.068,0.038
87
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
88
  FlowState,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.033,0.064
89
+ FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.042,0.05
90
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.013,-0.024,0.042
91
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.051,0.076
92
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.032,0.114
 
93
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.039,0.051
94
+ FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.036,0.104
95
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.006,0.114
96
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.016,0.058
 
97
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.459,0.212,0.633
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98
  TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.042,0.004
99
  TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.074,0.008
100
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.095,0.031
101
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.109,0.024
102
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.104,0.035
103
  TiRex,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.069,0.032
 
104
  TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.073,0.05
106
  TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.044,0.032
107
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.031,0.063
108
  TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.014,0.055
 
109
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.085,0.045
110
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.006,0.043
111
  TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.002,0.06
112
  TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.058,0.056
 
113
  TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.453,0.224,0.614
114
+ Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.011,-0.086,0.055
115
+ Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.026,-0.126,0.058
116
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.037,0.005
117
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.059,0.014
118
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.046,0.018
119
+ Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.053,0.04
120
+ Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.053,0.068
121
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.026,0.04
123
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.019,-0.023,0.065
124
+ Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.071,0.118
125
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.022,0.024
126
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.051,0.102
127
+ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.037,-0.046,0.125
128
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.015,-0.004,0.032
129
+ Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.457,0.212,0.633
130
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.065,0.032
131
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.1,0.029
132
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.069,0.014
133
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.079,0.015
134
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.083,0.023
135
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.013,-0.043,0.024
 
136
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.034,0.042
137
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.042,0.025
138
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.012,-0.027,0.036
140
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.042,0.095
 
141
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.047,0.027
142
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.031,0.074
143
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.029,0.101
144
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.027,0.04
 
145
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.452,0.216,0.62
146
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.081,0.013
147
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.113,0.011
148
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.097,0.016
149
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.116,0.019
150
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.04,-0.111,0.026
151
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.083,0.049
152
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.067,0.03
153
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.02,-0.069,0.022
154
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.012,-0.038,0.026
155
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.075,0.08
157
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.072,0.032
158
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.047,0.06
159
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.065,0.087
160
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.059,0.047
161
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.446,0.235,0.609
162
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.078,-0.0
163
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.092,-0.01
164
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.158,0.035
165
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.163,0.026
166
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.159,0.043
167
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.129,0.031
 
168
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.059,0.013
169
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.134,0.066
170
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.105,0.041
171
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.087,0.07
172
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
173
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.024,-0.149,0.059
174
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.027,0.029
175
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.013,0.0,0.025
176
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.01,-0.118,0.065
 
177
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.443,0.234,0.607
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
178
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.078,0.066
179
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.118,0.07
180
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.035,-0.005
181
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.052,-0.001
182
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.051,0.007
183
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.054,0.037
 
184
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.078
185
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.024,0.021
186
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.028,0.045
187
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.033,0.067
188
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.024,-0.063,0.13
 
189
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.024,-0.045,0.113
191
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.036,-0.042,0.136
192
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,0.0,0.027
 
193
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.456,0.207,0.632
194
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.054,-0.027
195
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.074,-0.032
196
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.145,0.022
197
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.052,-0.152,0.017
198
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.147,0.028
199
+ citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.117,0.035
200
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.045,0.006
201
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.114,0.049
202
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.08,0.03
203
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.063,0.045
204
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.029,0.026
205
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.025,-0.128,0.043
206
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.012,-0.02,0.046
208
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.011,-0.101,0.054
209
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.442,0.232,0.6
210
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.095,-0.007
211
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.066,-0.119,-0.015
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.058,-0.167,0.024
213
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.065,-0.171,0.013
214
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.059,-0.163,0.027
215
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.129,0.006
 
216
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.064,-0.002
217
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.143,0.044
218
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.112,0.028
219
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.095,0.061
220
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.013,-0.026,0.0
 
221
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.037,-0.158,0.04
222
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.012,-0.048,0.02
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.125,0.049
 
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.436,0.216,0.604
226
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.09,0.043
227
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.042,-0.127,0.044
 
229
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.057,-0.019
230
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.054,-0.012
231
  Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.061,0.016
 
232
  Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.059,0.055
233
+ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.034,0.004
234
  Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.042,0.027
235
+ Toto-2.0-4m,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.049,0.056
236
  Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.01,-0.069,0.106
 
237
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.028,-0.0
238
+ Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.011,-0.057,0.092
239
  Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.023,-0.051,0.111
240
  Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.448,0.193,0.627
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.861,-1.593,-0.343
243
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.888,-1.587,-0.384
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.874,-1.771,-0.289
245
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.887,-1.789,-0.287
246
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.877,-1.79,-0.282
247
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.85,-1.727,-0.27
 
248
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.827,-1.591,-0.288
249
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.84,-1.726,-0.269
250
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.826,-1.634,-0.276
251
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.804,-1.559,-0.308
252
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.545,-0.305
 
253
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.838,-1.718,-0.26
254
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.499,-0.302
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.772,-1.526,-0.276
256
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.813,-1.682,-0.24
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_nature/pairwise_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -5,15 +5,15 @@ TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.075,0.051
5
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.033,0.049
6
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.058,0.055
7
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.048,0.052
8
- TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.031,0.078
9
- TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.006,0.084
10
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.05,0.055
 
 
11
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.076,0.083
12
- TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.045,0.016,0.077
13
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.018,0.069
14
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.054,0.012,0.093
 
15
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.062,0.024,0.097
16
- TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.037,-0.023,0.083
17
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.652,0.4,0.807
18
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.076,0.083
19
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -21,15 +21,15 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.0,-0.063,0.038
21
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.108,0.124
22
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.034,0.055
23
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.011,-0.05,0.054
24
- FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.033,0.088
25
- FlowState,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.038,0.144
26
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.055,0.068
 
 
27
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.031,0.062
28
- FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.051,-0.029,0.147
29
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.007,0.072
30
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.06,-0.027,0.151
 
31
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.068,-0.012,0.154
32
- FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,-0.009,0.079
33
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.655,0.349,0.823
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.053,0.069
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.0,-0.04,0.059
@@ -37,15 +37,15 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.011,-0.085,0.109
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.025,0.051
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.011,-0.007,0.026
40
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.001,0.074
41
- Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.036,0.133
42
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.006,0.043
 
 
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.007,0.04
44
- Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.051,-0.018,0.131
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.017,0.072
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.06,-0.035,0.144
 
47
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.068,-0.023,0.148
48
- Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.023,0.066
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.655,0.367,0.821
50
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.051,0.032
51
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.011,-0.142,0.098
@@ -53,15 +53,15 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.011,-0.122,0.078
53
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.112,0.084
55
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.095,0.077
56
- Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.021,-0.063,0.101
57
- Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.011,0.074
58
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.08,0.082
 
 
59
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.124,0.114
60
- Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,0.008,0.072
61
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.063,0.09
62
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,0.015,0.087
 
63
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.058,0.021,0.1
64
- Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.075,0.111
65
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.651,0.412,0.8
66
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.059,0.055
67
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.058,0.032
@@ -69,15 +69,15 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.054,0.025
69
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.091,0.101
70
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.042,0.039
72
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.032,0.07
73
- TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.031,-0.031,0.124
74
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.052,0.054
 
 
75
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.031,0.042
76
- TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.039,-0.023,0.121
77
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.015,0.052
78
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.034,0.132
 
79
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.056,-0.012,0.133
80
- TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.031,0.015,0.05
81
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.65,0.373,0.816
82
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.055,0.046
83
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.011,-0.057,0.048
@@ -85,111 +85,111 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.011,-0.027,0.007
85
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.083,0.087
86
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.041,0.04
87
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
88
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.021,-0.019,0.06
89
- Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.034,0.112
90
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.013,0.022
 
 
91
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.034,0.043
92
- Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.041,-0.019,0.107
93
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.015,0.055
94
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.049,-0.035,0.125
 
95
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.058,-0.016,0.13
96
- Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,0.008,0.056
97
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.651,0.366,0.817
98
- Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.085,0.03
99
- Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.096,0.032
100
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.08,0.001
101
- Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.022,-0.112,0.059
102
- Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.075,0.031
103
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.063,0.019
104
- Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
- Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.049,0.073
106
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.043,0.016
107
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.013,-0.082,0.026
108
- Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.044,0.069
109
- Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.056,0.052
110
- Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.06,0.097
111
- Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.037,-0.04,0.099
112
- Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.045,0.056
113
- Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.643,0.359,0.812
114
- TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.092,0.006
115
- TiRex,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.168,0.037
116
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.153,0.035
117
- TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.08,0.011
118
- TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.032,-0.142,0.03
119
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.126,0.033
120
- TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.079,0.046
121
- TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.03,-0.108,0.038
123
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.16,0.06
124
- TiRex,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.013,0.027
125
- TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.011,-0.096,0.039
126
- TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.018,0.051
127
- TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.005,0.056
128
- TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.0,-0.108,0.061
129
- TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.379,0.8
130
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.059,0.047
131
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.073,0.052
132
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.045,0.006
133
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.089,0.074
134
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.057,0.049
135
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.022,0.013
136
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.016,0.041
137
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.029,-0.04,0.097
138
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
139
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.052,0.046
140
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.025,0.096
141
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.018,-0.028,0.061
142
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.045,-0.041,0.124
 
143
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.054,-0.024,0.126
144
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.01,0.065
145
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.649,0.362,0.815
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.091,0.071
147
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.066,0.03
148
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.042,0.007
149
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.128,0.11
150
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.044,0.03
151
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.044,0.033
152
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.013,-0.027,0.076
153
- Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.064,0.138
154
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.049,0.049
 
 
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
- Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.061,0.137
157
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.013,-0.048,0.063
158
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.041,-0.064,0.147
 
159
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.05,-0.043,0.148
160
- Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.003,0.049
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.648,0.35,0.821
162
- citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.047,-0.083,-0.016
163
- citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.054,-0.172,0.028
164
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.054,-0.151,0.018
165
- citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.042,-0.078,-0.008
166
- citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.04,-0.138,0.023
167
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.042,-0.12,0.019
168
- citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.075,0.042
169
- citras-fm,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.027,0.012
170
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.106,0.025
171
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.158,0.058
172
- citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
- citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.02,-0.09,0.024
174
- citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.02,0.039
175
- citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.01,0.045
176
- citras-fm,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.009,-0.103,0.054
177
- citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.636,0.373,0.798
178
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.075,0.018
179
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.078,0.007
180
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.077,0.017
181
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.099,0.059
182
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.054,0.015
183
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.058,0.014
184
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.054,0.053
185
- TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.011,-0.041,0.087
186
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.018,-0.066,0.027
 
 
187
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.067,0.046
188
- TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.019,-0.025,0.083
189
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.028,-0.024,0.095
 
191
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.01,0.097
192
- TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.019,0.043
193
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.643,0.356,0.81
194
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.057,-0.103,-0.012
195
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.063,-0.178,0.026
@@ -197,61 +197,61 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.064,-0.168,0.033
197
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.096,-0.015
198
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.152,0.033
199
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.143,0.034
200
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.107,0.056
201
- Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.054,0.018
202
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.047,-0.141,0.039
 
 
203
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.043,-0.173,0.06
204
- Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.041,0.02
205
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.029,-0.105,0.024
206
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
207
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.009,0.0,0.021
208
- Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.116,0.057
209
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.633,0.366,0.794
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
210
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.066,-0.108,-0.025
211
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.073,-0.182,0.012
212
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.073,-0.174,0.022
213
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.062,-0.111,-0.021
214
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.059,-0.154,0.012
215
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.061,-0.149,0.016
216
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.11,0.039
217
- Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.059,0.005
218
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.057,-0.145,0.023
 
 
219
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.173,0.041
220
- Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.047,0.01
221
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.107,0.01
222
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.009,-0.022,0.0
 
223
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
- Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.117,0.047
225
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.629,0.357,0.794
226
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.038,-0.09,0.023
227
- Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.086,0.009
228
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.071,-0.023
229
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.125,0.07
230
- Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.032,-0.052,-0.015
231
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.059,-0.008
232
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.06,0.043
233
- Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.0,-0.065,0.098
234
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.069,0.009
235
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.051,0.003
236
- Toto-2.0-4m,citras-fm,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.008,-0.057,0.093
237
- Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.011,-0.045,0.018
238
- Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.061,0.104
239
- Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.05,0.105
240
- Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
241
- Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.349,0.812
242
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.877,-4.195,-0.667
243
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.896,-4.661,-0.536
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.897,-4.595,-0.579
245
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.865,-3.998,-0.7
246
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.859,-4.429,-0.596
247
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.864,-4.459,-0.576
248
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.804,-4.31,-0.56
249
- Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.77,-3.99,-0.611
250
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.852,-4.394,-0.566
 
 
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.84,-4.591,-0.538
252
- Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.748,-3.952,-0.594
253
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.802,-4.252,-0.553
254
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.723,-3.847,-0.577
 
255
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.699,-3.847,-0.554
256
- Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.771,-4.315,-0.537
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
5
  TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.033,0.049
6
  TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.058,0.055
7
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.048,0.052
 
 
8
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.05,0.055
9
+ TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.006,0.084
10
+ TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.031,0.078
11
  TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.076,0.083
12
+ TiRex-2,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,0.002,0.079
13
  TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.018,0.069
14
  TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.054,0.012,0.093
15
+ TiRex-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.045,0.016,0.077
16
  TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.062,0.024,0.097
 
17
  TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.652,0.4,0.807
18
  FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.076,0.083
19
  FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
21
  FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.108,0.124
22
  FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.034,0.055
23
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.011,-0.05,0.054
 
 
24
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.055,0.068
25
+ FlowState,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.038,0.144
26
+ FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.033,0.088
27
  FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.031,0.062
28
+ FlowState,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.047,-0.046,0.122
29
  FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.007,0.072
30
  FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.06,-0.027,0.151
31
+ FlowState,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.051,-0.029,0.147
32
  FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.068,-0.012,0.154
 
33
  FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.655,0.349,0.823
34
  Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.053,0.069
35
  Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.0,-0.04,0.059
 
37
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.011,-0.085,0.109
38
  Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.025,0.051
39
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.011,-0.007,0.026
 
 
40
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.006,0.043
41
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.036,0.133
42
+ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.001,0.074
43
  Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.007,0.04
44
+ Toto-2.0-313m,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.048,-0.009,0.115
45
  Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.017,0.072
46
  Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.06,-0.035,0.144
47
+ Toto-2.0-313m,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.051,-0.018,0.131
48
  Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.068,-0.023,0.148
 
49
  Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.655,0.367,0.821
50
  Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.051,0.032
51
  Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.011,-0.142,0.098
 
53
  Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
54
  Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.112,0.084
55
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.095,0.077
 
 
56
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.08,0.082
57
+ Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.011,0.074
58
+ Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.021,-0.063,0.101
59
  Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.124,0.114
60
+ Chronos-2,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.039,0.099
61
  Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.063,0.09
62
  Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,0.015,0.087
63
+ Chronos-2,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,0.008,0.072
64
  Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.058,0.021,0.1
 
65
  Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.651,0.412,0.8
66
  TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.059,0.055
67
  TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.058,0.032
 
69
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.091,0.101
70
  TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
71
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.042,0.039
 
 
72
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.052,0.054
73
+ TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.031,-0.031,0.124
74
+ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.032,0.07
75
  TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.031,0.042
76
+ TimesFM-2.5,TS-ICL,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.035,-0.01,0.078
77
  TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.015,0.052
78
  TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.034,0.132
79
+ TimesFM-2.5,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.039,-0.023,0.121
80
  TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.056,-0.012,0.133
 
81
  TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.65,0.373,0.816
82
  Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.055,0.046
83
  Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.011,-0.057,0.048
 
85
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.083,0.087
86
  Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.041,0.04
87
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
 
88
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.013,0.022
89
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.034,0.112
90
+ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.021,-0.019,0.06
91
  Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.034,0.043
92
+ Toto-2.0-1B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.097
93
  Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.015,0.055
94
  Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.049,-0.035,0.125
95
+ Toto-2.0-1B,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.041,-0.019,0.107
96
  Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.058,-0.016,0.13
 
97
  Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.651,0.366,0.817
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.059,0.047
99
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.073,0.052
100
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.045,0.006
101
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.089,0.074
102
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.057,0.049
103
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.022,0.013
 
 
104
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
105
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.029,-0.04,0.097
106
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.016,0.041
107
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.052,0.046
108
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.023,0.108
109
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.018,-0.028,0.061
110
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.045,-0.041,0.124
111
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.025,0.096
112
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.054,-0.024,0.126
 
113
  Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.649,0.362,0.815
114
+ TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.092,0.006
115
+ TiRex,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.168,0.037
116
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.153,0.035
117
+ TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.08,0.011
118
+ TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.032,-0.142,0.03
119
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.126,0.033
120
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.03,-0.108,0.038
121
+ TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
122
+ TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.079,0.046
123
+ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.16,0.06
124
+ TiRex,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.088,0.078
125
+ TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.011,-0.096,0.039
126
+ TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.018,0.051
127
+ TiRex,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.013,0.027
128
+ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.005,0.056
129
+ TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.379,0.8
130
+ Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.085,0.03
131
+ Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.096,0.032
132
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.033,-0.08,0.001
133
+ Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.022,-0.112,0.059
134
+ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.075,0.031
135
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.063,0.019
136
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.043,0.016
137
+ Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.049,0.073
138
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
139
+ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.013,-0.082,0.026
140
+ Toto-1.0,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.016,-0.035,0.096
141
+ Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.056,0.052
142
+ Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.06,0.097
143
+ Toto-1.0,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.044,0.069
144
+ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.037,-0.04,0.099
145
+ Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.643,0.359,0.812
146
  Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.091,0.071
147
  Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.066,0.03
148
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.042,0.007
149
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.128,0.11
150
  Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.044,0.03
151
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.044,0.033
 
 
152
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.049,0.049
153
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.064,0.138
154
+ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.013,-0.027,0.076
155
  Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
156
+ Toto-2.0-22m,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.029,-0.039,0.097
157
  Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.013,-0.048,0.063
158
  Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.041,-0.064,0.147
159
+ Toto-2.0-22m,citras-fm,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.032,-0.061,0.137
160
  Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.05,-0.043,0.148
 
161
  Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.648,0.35,0.821
162
+ TS-ICL,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.086,-0.002
163
+ TS-ICL,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.139,0.044
164
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.05,-0.13,0.009
165
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.109,0.037
166
+ TS-ICL,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.036,-0.084,0.01
167
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.107,0.017
168
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.121,0.023
169
+ TS-ICL,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.085,0.081
170
+ TS-ICL,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.106,0.034
171
+ TS-ICL,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.03,-0.108,0.038
172
+ TS-ICL,TS-ICL,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
173
+ TS-ICL,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.077,0.042
174
+ TS-ICL,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.013,-0.066,0.083
175
+ TS-ICL,citras-fm,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.069,0.072
176
+ TS-ICL,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.022,-0.052,0.087
177
+ TS-ICL,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.638,0.371,0.805
178
  TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.075,0.018
179
  TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.078,0.007
180
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.077,0.017
181
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.099,0.059
182
  TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.054,0.015
183
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.058,0.014
 
 
184
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.018,-0.066,0.027
185
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.011,-0.041,0.087
186
+ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.054,0.053
187
  TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.067,0.046
188
+ TabPFN-TS-3,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.044,0.071
189
  TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
190
  TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.028,-0.024,0.095
191
+ TabPFN-TS-3,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.019,-0.025,0.083
192
  TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.01,0.097
 
193
  TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.643,0.356,0.81
194
  Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.057,-0.103,-0.012
195
  Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.063,-0.178,0.026
 
197
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.096,-0.015
198
  Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.152,0.033
199
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.143,0.034
 
 
200
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.047,-0.141,0.039
201
+ Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.054,0.018
202
+ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.107,0.056
203
  Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.043,-0.173,0.06
204
+ Chronos-Bolt,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.013,-0.09,0.062
205
  Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.029,-0.105,0.024
206
  Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
207
+ Chronos-Bolt,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.041,0.02
208
  Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.009,0.0,0.021
 
209
  Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.633,0.366,0.794
210
+ citras-fm,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.047,-0.083,-0.016
211
+ citras-fm,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.054,-0.172,0.028
212
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.054,-0.151,0.018
213
+ citras-fm,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.042,-0.078,-0.008
214
+ citras-fm,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.04,-0.138,0.023
215
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.042,-0.12,0.019
216
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.106,0.025
217
+ citras-fm,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.027,0.012
218
+ citras-fm,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.075,0.042
219
+ citras-fm,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.158,0.058
220
+ citras-fm,TS-ICL,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.078,0.064
221
+ citras-fm,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.02,-0.09,0.024
222
+ citras-fm,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.02,0.039
223
+ citras-fm,citras-fm,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
224
+ citras-fm,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.01,0.045
225
+ citras-fm,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.636,0.373,0.798
226
  Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.066,-0.108,-0.025
227
  Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.073,-0.182,0.012
228
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.073,-0.174,0.022
229
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.062,-0.111,-0.021
230
  Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.059,-0.154,0.012
231
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.061,-0.149,0.016
 
 
232
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.057,-0.145,0.023
233
+ Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.059,0.005
234
+ Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.11,0.039
235
  Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.173,0.041
236
+ Moirai-2.0,TS-ICL,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.022,-0.095,0.05
237
  Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.107,0.01
238
  Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.009,-0.022,0.0
239
+ Moirai-2.0,citras-fm,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.047,0.01
240
  Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 
241
  Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.629,0.357,0.794
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242
  Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.877,-4.195,-0.667
243
  Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.896,-4.661,-0.536
244
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.897,-4.595,-0.579
245
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.865,-3.998,-0.7
246
  Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.859,-4.429,-0.596
247
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.864,-4.459,-0.576
 
 
248
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.852,-4.394,-0.566
249
+ Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.77,-3.99,-0.611
250
+ Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.804,-4.31,-0.56
251
  Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.84,-4.591,-0.538
252
+ Seasonal Naive,TS-ICL,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.759,-4.128,-0.589
253
  Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.802,-4.252,-0.553
254
  Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.723,-3.847,-0.577
255
+ Seasonal Naive,citras-fm,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.748,-3.952,-0.594
256
  Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.699,-3.847,-0.554
 
257
  Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_MASE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,90.35714285714283,31.501656661779908,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
- TiRex-2,78.9285714285714,26.670825436519785,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
4
- TimesFM-2.5,76.96428571428572,23.432210875851045,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
5
- TabPFN-TS-3,73.92857142857142,27.322868191033013,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
6
- TiRex,71.42857142857144,22.162040270601192,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
7
- FlowState,71.07142857142857,23.41682939670412,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,70.89285714285714,23.164381828232894,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-1B,69.28571428571429,22.314968062878627,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
10
- Toto-2.0-313m,66.07142857142857,21.665602207453883,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
11
- TabPFN-TS,61.87499999999998,26.291414549069813,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
12
- Toto-2.0-22m,60.71428571428571,20.329247975232857,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
13
- citras-fm,59.285714285714285,19.878967411486848,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,53.660714285714285,19.520837065786147,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
15
- Chronos-Bolt,51.33928571428572,19.67587758208953,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
16
- CatBoost,49.46428571428571,19.1295976521051,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
17
- LightGBM,47.142857142857146,19.084439307791044,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
18
- Stat. Ensemble,45.714285714285715,13.665854293094004,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
19
- Toto-1.0,44.107142857142854,16.430178452927592,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
20
- Toto-2.0-4m,42.142857142857146,17.60920708012651,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
21
- Sundial-Base,38.392857142857146,16.038005227805108,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
22
- TFT,34.46428571428571,13.175210398386616,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoTheta,32.32142857142857,10.280766783137185,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
24
- PatchTST,31.607142857142854,6.213953011349793,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
25
- AutoETS,31.607142857142854,9.268311929671036,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
26
- AutoARIMA,25.89285714285714,10.226042550887172,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
27
- DeepAR,21.07142857142857,6.532646730847547,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
28
- Naive,20.0,-6.914332491950659,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
29
- Seasonal Naive,18.482142857142854,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,11.785714285714285,-11.344894425429741,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,90.17241379310343,31.501656661779908,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
+ TiRex-2,78.9655172413793,26.670825436519785,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
4
+ TimesFM-2.5,76.89655172413794,23.432210875851045,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
5
+ TabPFN-TS-3,73.9655172413793,27.322868191033013,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
6
+ TiRex,71.3793103448276,22.162040270601192,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,70.86206896551724,23.164381828232894,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
8
+ FlowState,70.68965517241381,23.41682939670412,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-1B,68.96551724137932,22.314968062878627,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
10
+ Toto-2.0-313m,66.0344827586207,21.665602207453883,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
11
+ TS-ICL,63.10344827586207,25.835353399807527,0.0,1.199606338748409,0.0,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS,61.81034482758619,26.291414549069813,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-22m,60.51724137931035,20.329247975232857,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
14
+ citras-fm,58.9655172413793,19.878967411486848,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,53.18965517241379,19.520837065786147,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
16
+ Chronos-Bolt,51.12068965517241,19.67587758208953,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
17
+ CatBoost,48.62068965517241,19.1295976521051,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
18
+ LightGBM,46.379310344827594,19.084439307791044,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
19
+ Stat. Ensemble,44.82758620689655,13.665854293094004,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
20
+ Toto-1.0,42.93103448275862,16.430178452927592,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
21
+ Toto-2.0-4m,41.55172413793103,17.60920708012651,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
22
+ Sundial-Base,37.758620689655174,16.038005227805108,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
23
+ TFT,33.79310344827586,13.175210398386616,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoTheta,31.551724137931032,10.280766783137185,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoETS,30.862068965517235,9.268311929671036,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
26
+ PatchTST,30.689655172413786,6.213953011349793,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
27
+ AutoARIMA,25.172413793103445,10.226042550887172,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
28
+ DeepAR,20.344827586206897,6.532646730847547,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
29
+ Naive,19.48275862068965,-6.914332491950659,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
30
+ Seasonal Naive,17.844827586206893,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,11.551724137931032,-11.344894425429741,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_SQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,91.9642857142857,43.96240636415071,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
- TiRex-2,83.74999999999999,39.968306218668594,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
4
- TiRex,81.78571428571428,36.82355570111464,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
5
- TimesFM-2.5,80.71428571428572,37.10811207552987,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
6
- FlowState,74.82142857142857,36.91651544152842,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS-3,73.57142857142856,40.57408550474503,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
8
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,72.67857142857143,34.958147253380446,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-1B,69.82142857142856,35.075657832582216,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
10
- citras-fm,68.92857142857143,34.56498518351769,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
11
- TabPFN-TS,66.69642857142856,38.92001120631144,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
12
- Toto-2.0-313m,66.42857142857143,34.68497929932541,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-2.0-22m,63.39285714285714,33.9070736885615,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
14
- Chronos-Bolt,61.69642857142856,34.1076058240865,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
15
- Moirai-2.0,59.55357142857143,33.39092759318447,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
16
- Toto-1.0,52.5,30.948733152914755,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
17
- Toto-2.0-4m,52.142857142857146,32.08087705910183,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
18
- Stat. Ensemble,41.785714285714285,25.327733981726908,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
19
- TFT,40.0,24.46284341523206,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
20
- AutoARIMA,33.214285714285715,23.978096920266523,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
21
- Sundial-Base,33.035714285714285,25.749307386319252,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
22
- PatchTST,30.625000000000004,17.866358236369507,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoTheta,29.999999999999993,19.31393349762639,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
24
- AutoETS,25.71428571428571,-30.072080438930016,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
25
- CatBoost,24.821428571428566,18.810374229704784,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
26
- DeepAR,24.374999999999996,17.74409557595822,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
27
- LightGBM,20.89285714285714,18.765037629801505,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,13.214285714285715,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,9.017857142857142,-24.7653188720226,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,2.857142857142857,-28.889461387600647,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,91.37931034482757,43.96240636415071,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
+ TiRex-2,83.44827586206897,39.968306218668594,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
4
+ TiRex,81.37931034482759,36.82355570111464,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
5
+ TimesFM-2.5,80.17241379310344,37.10811207552987,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
6
+ FlowState,74.13793103448275,36.91651544152842,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
7
+ TabPFN-TS-3,73.44827586206897,40.57408550474503,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,72.24137931034484,34.958147253380446,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-1B,69.48275862068965,35.075657832582216,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
10
+ TS-ICL,68.96551724137929,38.625202944942984,0.0,1.199606338748409,0.0,0.0
11
+ citras-fm,68.62068965517241,34.56498518351769,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
12
+ TabPFN-TS,66.29310344827586,38.92001120631144,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-313m,65.86206896551722,34.68497929932541,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
14
+ Toto-2.0-22m,62.58620689655173,33.9070736885615,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
15
+ Chronos-Bolt,60.77586206896552,34.1076058240865,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
16
+ Moirai-2.0,58.87931034482759,33.39092759318447,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
17
+ Toto-1.0,51.03448275862069,30.948733152914755,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
18
+ Toto-2.0-4m,51.03448275862068,32.08087705910183,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
19
+ Stat. Ensemble,40.689655172413794,25.327733981726908,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
20
+ TFT,38.9655172413793,24.46284341523206,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
21
+ AutoARIMA,32.241379310344826,23.978096920266523,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
22
+ Sundial-Base,32.06896551724138,25.749307386319252,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
23
+ PatchTST,29.741379310344833,17.866358236369507,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoTheta,29.3103448275862,19.31393349762639,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoETS,25.17241379310345,-30.072080438930016,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
26
+ CatBoost,23.965517241379306,18.810374229704784,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
27
+ DeepAR,23.534482758620687,17.74409557595822,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
28
+ LightGBM,20.344827586206893,18.765037629801505,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,12.758620689655173,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,8.706896551724135,-24.7653188720226,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.7586206896551726,-28.889461387600647,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_WAPE.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,86.42857142857142,36.37961364988923,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
- TabPFN-TS-3,80.0,35.03350454694202,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
4
- TiRex-2,78.57142857142858,31.740748400621065,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
5
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,77.50000000000001,28.10958849169818,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
6
- TabPFN-TS,76.51785714285715,35.43689733973191,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
7
- Toto-2.0-1B,76.42857142857143,27.941312204131997,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
8
- TiRex,74.46428571428571,26.676882475661646,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
9
- TimesFM-2.5,74.28571428571429,26.631433929913772,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
10
- Toto-2.0-313m,71.60714285714286,27.31582024068637,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
11
- FlowState,67.32142857142858,26.949602028666487,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
12
- Toto-2.0-22m,60.535714285714285,25.293100446884985,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
13
- citras-fm,58.214285714285715,24.252442323864077,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,51.51785714285714,21.679296308228114,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
15
- CatBoost,51.07142857142858,22.444864726974835,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
16
- LightGBM,51.07142857142857,22.449939976619714,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
17
- Chronos-Bolt,49.19642857142858,21.34999505620995,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
18
- Toto-1.0,44.82142857142857,19.76025668063852,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
19
- Toto-2.0-4m,41.60714285714286,21.20431215616717,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
20
- Sundial-Base,41.42857142857143,19.631922812750414,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
21
- Stat. Ensemble,39.642857142857146,15.823911544994452,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
22
- TFT,34.28571428571429,16.59662312309126,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoARIMA,28.57142857142857,13.942686864644848,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
24
- AutoETS,26.607142857142858,9.663627642868011,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
25
- AutoTheta,26.25,11.985677005338214,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
26
- PatchTST,25.71428571428571,6.800703153372501,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
27
- DeepAR,18.57142857142857,8.923499543559977,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
28
- Naive,16.42857142857143,-5.797212837788179,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
29
- Seasonal Naive,13.839285714285712,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,7.5,-11.068953116330738,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,86.20689655172413,36.37961364988923,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
+ TabPFN-TS-3,80.17241379310346,35.03350454694202,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
4
+ TiRex-2,78.79310344827587,31.740748400621065,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
5
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,77.58620689655173,28.10958849169818,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
6
+ TabPFN-TS,76.4655172413793,35.43689733973191,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
7
+ Toto-2.0-1B,76.37931034482759,27.941312204131997,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
8
+ TiRex,74.48275862068967,26.676882475661646,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
9
+ TimesFM-2.5,73.96551724137932,26.631433929913772,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
10
+ Toto-2.0-313m,71.72413793103448,27.31582024068637,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
11
+ FlowState,67.24137931034484,26.949602028666487,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
12
+ Toto-2.0-22m,60.68965517241377,25.293100446884985,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
13
+ TS-ICL,59.31034482758619,28.641838115165918,0.0,1.199606338748409,0.0,0.0
14
+ citras-fm,57.931034482758626,24.252442323864077,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,50.94827586206896,21.679296308228114,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
16
+ LightGBM,50.51724137931035,22.449939976619714,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
17
+ CatBoost,50.3448275862069,22.444864726974835,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
18
+ Chronos-Bolt,49.22413793103448,21.34999505620995,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
19
+ Toto-1.0,43.96551724137931,19.76025668063852,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
20
+ Toto-2.0-4m,41.03448275862069,21.20431215616717,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
21
+ Sundial-Base,40.862068965517246,19.631922812750414,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
22
+ Stat. Ensemble,38.9655172413793,15.823911544994452,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
23
+ TFT,33.62068965517242,16.59662312309126,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoARIMA,27.758620689655167,13.942686864644848,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
25
+ AutoETS,26.034482758620687,9.663627642868011,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
26
+ AutoTheta,25.51724137931034,11.985677005338214,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
27
+ PatchTST,25.344827586206897,6.800703153372501,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
28
+ DeepAR,18.103448275862068,8.923499543559977,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
29
+ Naive,16.034482758620687,-5.797212837788179,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
30
+ Seasonal Naive,13.36206896551724,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,7.413793103448276,-11.068953116330738,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
tables/domain_retail/leaderboard_WQL.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,30 +1,31 @@
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
- Chronos-2,89.64285714285714,48.70640034385884,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
- TabPFN-TS-3,83.21428571428572,48.23296275172553,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
4
- TiRex-2,81.25000000000001,45.40544912522533,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
5
- TiRex,78.39285714285714,41.29715565976512,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
6
- TimesFM-2.5,77.5,41.64654327392226,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
7
- TabPFN-TS,76.87499999999999,47.751193623423625,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
8
- Toto-2.0-2.5B,75.71428571428572,41.54428741602817,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
9
- Toto-2.0-1B,74.46428571428571,41.56173820974464,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
10
- Toto-2.0-313m,72.14285714285714,41.259624645979585,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
11
- FlowState,71.60714285714286,41.470209968122006,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
12
- citras-fm,66.25000000000001,39.71569372223447,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
13
- Toto-2.0-22m,64.64285714285714,39.557111139066,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
14
- Moirai-2.0,59.55357142857143,37.46657312331687,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
15
- Chronos-Bolt,57.94642857142856,37.464866729843635,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
16
- Toto-1.0,52.85714285714286,35.67867635279438,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
17
- Toto-2.0-4m,49.46428571428571,36.736141457888785,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
18
- Stat. Ensemble,38.21428571428571,28.152681721748152,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
19
- Sundial-Base,36.78571428571429,30.89417851183718,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
20
- TFT,36.785714285714285,28.227242900863803,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
21
- AutoARIMA,32.14285714285715,28.454473066200702,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
22
- CatBoost,28.392857142857135,23.488538196591747,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
23
- AutoTheta,26.96428571428571,21.431184822537432,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
24
- LightGBM,26.428571428571423,23.49354513163928,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
25
- PatchTST,25.982142857142854,19.745157899183717,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
26
- AutoETS,23.21428571428572,-32.00072845680435,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
27
- DeepAR,21.517857142857146,21.22969362810797,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
28
- Seasonal Naive,11.785714285714285,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
29
- Naive,7.767857142857144,-25.33036065111638,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
30
- Drift,2.5,-29.953276450679468,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0
 
 
1
  model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
2
+ Chronos-2,89.31034482758619,48.70640034385884,0.0,0.34961068443961374,0.0,0.0
3
+ TabPFN-TS-3,83.62068965517243,48.23296275172553,0.0,219.87602214848658,0.0,0.0
4
+ TiRex-2,81.20689655172416,45.40544912522533,0.0,0.2775198381076842,0.0,0.0
5
+ TiRex,78.44827586206897,41.29715565976512,0.0,0.08413562701299362,0.0,0.0
6
+ TimesFM-2.5,77.06896551724138,41.64654327392226,0.0,0.19436559958166716,0.2,0.0
7
+ TabPFN-TS,76.98275862068964,47.751193623423625,0.0,59.126968410558575,0.0,5.0
8
+ Toto-2.0-2.5B,75.51724137931035,41.54428741602817,0.0,6.016768976016863,0.0,0.0
9
+ Toto-2.0-1B,74.48275862068965,41.56173820974464,0.0,2.3629687737388316,0.0,0.0
10
+ Toto-2.0-313m,72.0689655172414,41.259624645979585,0.0,0.9185802093290546,0.0,0.0
11
+ FlowState,71.20689655172414,41.470209968122006,0.0,0.433503676897203,0.1,0.0
12
+ citras-fm,66.03448275862071,39.71569372223447,0.0,0.28305416581942466,0.0,0.0
13
+ Toto-2.0-22m,64.6551724137931,39.557111139066,0.0,0.18673719491897878,0.0,0.0
14
+ TS-ICL,62.41379310344828,42.32667988131473,0.0,1.199606338748409,0.0,0.0
15
+ Moirai-2.0,58.879310344827594,37.46657312331687,0.0,0.21064168391008586,0.25,0.0
16
+ Chronos-Bolt,57.49999999999999,37.464866729843635,0.0,0.04467236387284335,0.0,0.0
17
+ Toto-1.0,51.724137931034484,35.67867635279438,0.0,6.10989479852736,0.1,0.0
18
+ Toto-2.0-4m,48.62068965517242,36.736141457888785,0.0,0.12505772432552248,0.0,0.0
19
+ Stat. Ensemble,37.41379310344827,28.152681721748152,0.0,41.345157871288414,0.0,0.0
20
+ Sundial-Base,35.86206896551724,30.89417851183718,0.0,7.81832079433529,0.0,0.0
21
+ TFT,35.86206896551724,28.227242900863803,27.48248403664031,0.16541783743066843,0.0,0.0
22
+ AutoARIMA,31.379310344827584,28.454473066200702,0.0,3.9777087639147384,0.0,0.0
23
+ CatBoost,27.413793103448274,23.488538196591747,7.662785978178928,0.011616579748484884,0.0,0.0
24
+ AutoTheta,26.379310344827584,21.431184822537432,0.0,0.7348429386640081,0.0,0.0
25
+ LightGBM,25.68965517241379,23.49354513163928,0.26506731755335194,0.010741697363488428,0.0,0.0
26
+ PatchTST,25.258620689655164,19.745157899183717,21.185337766397538,0.1847694522352561,0.0,0.0
27
+ AutoETS,22.931034482758623,-32.00072845680435,0.0,0.9657106988235296,0.0,0.0
28
+ DeepAR,20.775862068965516,21.22969362810797,44.659765654105904,0.28546713782555877,0.0,0.0
29
+ Seasonal Naive,11.379310344827585,0.0,0.0,0.05308108599394874,0.0,0.0
30
+ Naive,7.500000000000001,-25.33036065111638,0.0,0.0535392465017203,0.0,0.0
31
+ Drift,2.4137931034482762,-29.953276450679468,0.0,0.04794415526692477,0.0,0.0