| model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,median_e2e_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures |
| Chronos-2,84.5679012345679,41.49561003263285,0.0,0.5141568780729167,0.5141568780729167,0.0,0.0 |
| TiRex-2,82.09876543209879,39.726840860248245,0.0,0.34000146667364917,0.34000146667364917,0.0,0.0 |
| Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.73176206509541,37.62121801350736,0.0,5.700191622859636,5.700191622859636,0.0,0.0 |
| TiRex,74.29854096520764,36.42117491653264,0.0,0.46261289781250003,0.46261289781250003,0.0,0.0 |
| pcfm,71.38047138047138,37.63070857535661,0.0,1.2517927399994733,1.2517927399994733,0.0,0.0 |
| Toto-2.0-22m,69.7530864197531,35.79257186163601,0.0,0.37732213339285714,0.37732213339285714,0.0,0.0 |
| TimesFM-2.5,68.88327721661054,35.615548872060096,0.0,1.2560686380729167,1.2560686380729167,0.10606060606060606,0.0 |
| TabPFN-TS-3,66.44219977553311,37.285243190831785,0.0,220.55960054847804,220.55960054847804,0.0,0.0 |
| TS-ICL,66.16161616161617,36.13313907131952,0.0,1.9648320217590551,1.9648320217590551,0.0,0.0 |
| citras-fm,65.82491582491582,36.077169184486934,0.0,0.6132267211186921,0.6132267211186921,0.0,0.0 |
| FlowState,65.20763187429854,34.78787448348153,0.0,2.201140597232143,2.201140597232143,0.09090909090909091,0.0 |
| TabPFN-TS,62.79461279461279,36.44133507151782,0.0,78.25665314439985,78.25665314439985,0.0,0.0 |
| Toto-1.0,59.20314253647588,33.810131812128056,0.0,15.731708019241072,15.731708019241072,0.09090909090909091,0.0 |
| Chronos-Bolt,58.10886644219978,33.60298151266301,0.0,0.5483385895714286,0.5483385895714286,0.0,0.0 |
| Moirai-2.0,56.22895622895624,33.005611281969664,0.0,0.412112282578125,0.412112282578125,0.3333333333333333,0.0 |
| Stat. Ensemble,41.63860830527497,19.539505493760178,0.0,221.13803209946576,221.13803209946576,0.0,3.0303030303030303 |
| TFT,39.19753086419753,23.71745133754385,1438.8169064961608,1.1147377061875,1441.4044634433035,0.0,0.0 |
| Sundial-Base,36.58810325476992,25.929082836285154,0.0,8.290017479345238,8.290017479345238,0.0,0.0 |
| DeepAR,35.606060606060616,23.02731940802546,1480.172810988125,1.310540413617216,1481.5843365067708,0.0,3.0303030303030303 |
| AutoARIMA,34.792368125701465,16.527724469020054,0.0,50.02205090699999,50.02205090699999,0.0,3.0303030303030303 |
| PatchTST,33.67003367003367,21.81912071043972,1139.8450167440624,1.0059683552922078,1140.34517027125,0.0,0.0 |
| AutoETS,31.874298540965214,-29.758015412074013,0.0,4.641626233452381,4.641626233452381,0.0,0.0 |
| CatBoost,26.879910213243548,15.870429909677352,20.083596527083333,0.412382839047619,20.487343512291666,0.0,0.0 |
| LightGBM,26.599326599326602,15.452758938302269,1.718187238432971,0.33695880428571423,2.3141756472596158,0.0,0.0 |
| AutoTheta,23.849607182940517,3.899049739602356,0.0,3.70417375938172,3.70417375938172,0.0,0.0 |
| Seasonal Naive,16.41414141414142,0.0,0.0,0.7687975575806452,0.7687975575806452,0.0,0.0 |
| Drift,12.065095398428731,-37.02667380967708,0.0,0.7859875494731183,0.7859875494731183,0.0,0.0 |
| Naive,11.139169472502806,-39.27251982221045,0.0,0.7430134275,0.7430134275,0.0,0.0 |
|
|
