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Nov 4

Prospective Hindsight: Self-Calibrating Reinforcement Learning via Prediction-Reality Gaps

Reinforcement learning for long-horizon agents relies on purely retrospective training signals: credit is assigned only after observing environmental consequences, leaving the agent's belief at action time invisible to the gradient. We introduce Prospective Hindsight (PH), a self-calibrating training principle that augments any retrospective base method with a signal derived from the gap between the agent's prospective prediction (before feedback) and the retrospective evaluation (after feedback). This per-rollout surprise identifies samples where the agent's self-model is most inaccurate and amplifies their gradient contribution through a stop-gradient surprise-weighted advantage. Since the prospective predictor shares parameters with the policy, the two co-evolve, progressively shifting focus to the agent's remaining blind spots. We connect this principle to a privileged-information gap and show that minimizing the surprise residual provides a descent pathway on the agent's miscalibration rate; calibration thus emerges as a byproduct of optimization rather than from an added objective. On single-turn verifiable tasks and a multi-turn personal-agent task (under GRPO, on-policy distillation, and their combination), PH improves both task performance and calibration, with consistent gains across model scales. Notably, the dominant miscalibration mode shifts structurally between regimes, overconfident failures in single-turn, underconfident successes in multi-turn, yet the same training principle addresses both successfully.

HiMPO: Hindsight-Informed Memory Policy Optimization for Less-Entangled Credit in Long-Horizon Agents

Long-horizon agents rely on memory mechanisms to compress interaction history, but optimizing memory writing faces a distinct credit assignment challenge: a memory update may be rewarded or penalized due to downstream tool failures, noisy observations, or reasoning errors rather than its own contribution. This causally entangled credit can lead agents to discard useful evidence or preserve irrelevant information. We propose HiMPO, a Hindsight-Informed Memory Policy Optimization framework for assigning less-entangled credit to memory-writing actions in long-horizon agents. HiMPO first estimates the local utility of a memory update by comparing the task-relevant information recoverable from the previous and updated memories under the same pre-write state. It then uses hindsight relevance as a bounded retrospective filter that attenuates memory credit when local utility is not supported by the target outcome. The resulting memory-specific advantage is applied only to memory tokens, while trajectory-level rewards optimize the rest of the agent behavior. Across judge-based open-domain tasks and objective compressive-memory QA, HiMPO improves over strong memory-based and RL-based baselines while preserving compressed-context efficiency. Controlled interventions further show that HiMPO reduces blame leakage from tool-induced errors and improves attribution fidelity of memory updates.

  • 8 authors
·
Jun 14

OOM-RL II: Reality Is an Oracle, Not a Debugger Provenance-Constrained Diagnosis in Continually Evolving Agent-Engineered Systems

Reality may establish that an outcome occurred without identifying which evolving procedure produced it or why. This distinction matters in production ML systems whose code, configuration, and artifacts change while external feedback accumulates. We examine it in a human-directed, agent-engineered quantitative trading system, using oracle to mean an external source of realized outcomes rather than a complete correctness specification. Across one year, the account gained and outperformed a broad market index, while annual alpha was not statistically distinguishable from zero under the main retrospective specification. Retrospectively selected subperiods include adverse relative performance and conditional candidate-level weakness under declared approximate references. Engineering records document changes during the episode, and complete recommendation-to-runtime binding is unavailable. The archive does not establish a common frozen instance or a unique cause. The case motivates an outcome--diagnosis gap: outcome evidence, evaluated-object identity, and causal explanation support distinct claims. We distinguish frozen instances, pre-specified adaptive procedures, and ad-hoc development; organize archive-relative claim identifiability and an evidence hierarchy; and propose a prospective production-binding protocol. An illustrative compatible-history example shows how factual binding can resolve a recommendation's referent without supplying its counterfactual effect. The protocol is proposed rather than prospectively validated. External feedback constrains outcome claims, while provenance and additional identification structure determine the resolution of diagnosis.

  • 2 authors
·
Oct 6

Just-in-Time Memory: Learning to Curate Task-Adaptive Memory for LLM Agents

Agentic memory systems reuse past experience to improve future performance, yet most existing designs curate memory at write time: once a task is completed, its trajectory is distilled into a fixed artifact, such as a reflection, workflow, skill, or reasoning strategy, that is later retrieved by similarity. This forces the system to decide what is worth remembering before the future query is known, irreversibly discarding information and producing a query-independent summary that must serve many possible downstream tasks. Learning such a write-time curator is also difficult because the value of a storage decision may only become apparent when a relevant query arrives, potentially many tasks later, creating a long-horizon credit-assignment problem. We instead retain raw trajectories and defer curation until read time, when the current task is known. Given the retrieved traces and the new task, a memory curator synthesizes a compact, task-adaptive payload tailored to the immediate need. Because this payload is consumed on the same task, the curator can be trained directly from immediate task success, avoiding delayed utility signals and the need to artificially group related tasks. Across ALFWorld, WebShop, and τ^2-bench, our Just-in-Time Memory (JitMem) consistently outperforms no-memory agents as well as heuristic and learned write-time memory methods, improving over the strongest baseline by 16.2, 16.3, and 3.9 absolute success-rate points, respectively. Notably, even an untrained curator is already competitive with or surpasses these baselines, showing that task-adaptive read-time curation itself is a major source of the gain; training the curator further compounds the improvement.

Self-Credit: Credit Assignment for Long-Horizon Agentic RL via Intra-group Rescaling

LLM agents are commonly trained with RLVR, but the sparse nature of typical RLVR rewards makes credit assignment challenging, especially for long-horizon tasks. We propose Self-Credit, an end-to-end agentic RL method that creates dense supervision signals from sparse outcome rewards using self-generated credit assignment via intra-group rescaling. Self-Credit builds on group-based RL with three components. First, during its rollouts, the policy model generates summaries with citations to earlier turns containing critical evidence, which serve as self-generated credit. Second, we refine this model-generated credit with intra-group rescaling, which compares cited actions across successful and failed rollouts for the same prompt. This approach uses group-level agreement and disagreement to remove undeserved credit and further emphasize credit assigned to critical actions. Third, advantage reweighting uses the rescaled credit weights to update the advantages of the cited turns. On BrowseComp-Plus, Self-Credit improves over the base models by 37.0 and 36.2 points on Qwen3 8B and 32B respectively, and outperforms the strongest agentic RL baselines by 8.5 and 5.6 points, respectively. Self-Credit also improves over the strongest baselines by 4.9 points on GAIA and 4.7 points on xBench-DeepSearch. Analyses show that self-generated credit provides useful signals for selecting critical actions, and that intra-group rescaling, especially on failed rollouts, is important across model scales.

meta Meta
·
Oct 19 2

Did the Model Use That? Counterfactual Training Boosts Self-Attribution in Language Models

A fundamental challenge for explainable and accountable language models is revealing how external information influences their answers. This paper examines whether models are self-attributive: that is, whether they indicate when -- and only when -- their responses to questions are influenced by information provided alongside the question. Furthermore, we explore how self-attribution can be improved through counterfactual training, which explicitly teaches models to distinguish between answers that do and do not depend on supplied information. We found that most of the eleven frontier models rarely attribute influential information in their answers, and the rest attribute non-influential information. Training acknowledgment into reasoning does not fix this: the acknowledgment does not reach the final answer. We introduce CREDIT, which directly supervises final-answer self-attribution with counterfactual labels, without the need for human annotation. CREDIT substantially improves attribution in four open models, including two distilled reasoning models, and outperforms reasoning-level fine-tuning and prompting baselines. Among answers that agree with a user's suggestion, CREDIT distinguishes those changed by the suggestion from those the model would have given anyway. Gains transfer partly to unseen information types and prompts containing sources that support conflicting answers.

  • 5 authors
·
Oct 25 2

Conditional Weight of Evidence for Gradient-Boosted Credit Models: Estimation, Additivity and Its Relation to Adverse Action Reasons

Traditional weight of evidence assigns a credit characteristic a value based on its association with default across a population. Credit analysis also requires an assessment of that characteristic in the context of an individual applicant's record. We study conditional weight of evidence for this purpose. It measures the change in default log odds from observing a characteristic after the remaining credit information is known. Its sign identifies whether the characteristic adds adverse or favorable information for that applicant, and its magnitude measures the strength of that information. The same characteristic value can therefore receive different assessments for applicants with different payment histories or other credit attributes. We develop estimators using gradient-boosted trees and evaluate their accuracy in a bureau-style simulation. Regressions of the full model's predicted probabilities recover conditional evidence more accurately than separate models fitted to default outcomes, provided the full model is accurate. They also recover a deliberately constructed file-age effect whose direction varies with utilization and is often missed by marginal weight of evidence. Local class-frequency estimates improve on marginal weight of evidence but remain inaccurate for some weak effects. An application to FICO HELOC data illustrates estimation when the population evidence is unknown. Conditional weight of evidence provides an applicant-specific interpretation of the information in a credit characteristic; its population summary, a conditional information value, splits the joint information in the record across blocks when averaged over orderings. Neither is an adverse action reason, which explains the fitted score difference between the applicant and chosen passing records.

  • 2 authors
·
Oct 16

ProCredit: From Outcome Rewards to Progress Credit in Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Long-horizon agentic tasks require an agent to modify an environment through a sequence of tool calls, with success determined by the final state. The standard recipe assigns a single outcome reward at the end and compares trajectories sampled for the same task. As a result, a group with no successful trajectory yields no training signal, failed attempts cannot be told apart by how close they came to completion, and turns that advance the task receive the same credit as turns that only query the environment. Prior work refines the unit of comparison from the trajectory to the step, or trains a reward model to supply intermediate signal: the former still derives its signal from final success alone, and the latter estimates it with a model. We observe that the acceptance checks that decide success can also be run on intermediate states, so progress is as verifiable as the outcome. We propose ProCredit, which turns this verified progress into credit: it reruns the acceptance checks after each turn, rewards the turn by its change in progress, and uses these rewards to assign credit both across attempts at the same task and across the turns within a trajectory. Starting from Qwen3.5 base models at three scales on AppWorld, ProCredit outperforms outcome-reward baselines and progress-based baselines in task completion rate at every scale on both test sets, exceeding the strongest outcome-reward baseline by 4.1 percentage points at 4B, and results in a second environment show the same direction of improvement. Ablations show that adding the final progress to the trajectory score alone does not improve performance: the gain comes from crediting progress to the turn where it occurs.

  • 10 authors
·
Sep 23

ReCAST: Reward Credit Assignment across Timesteps for Online Diffusion Reinforcement

Training diffusion models with multiple rewards requires distinguishing user preference from reward informativeness. User preference determines how much each reward should contribute to the overall objective; reward informativeness determines when its feedback is useful during denoising. Some rewards can meaningfully evaluate a sample as soon as global structure emerges, but others become informative only when the sample is nearly clean. To address both questions jointly, we propose ReCAST (Reward Credit ASsignment across T}imesteps), the first method, to our knowledge, for per-reward, timestep-dependent credit assignment in diffusion reward fine-tuning. ReCAST separates user preferences from temporal allocation through a reward-by-timestep weight matrix W, whose row sums match the user-specified reward budgets λ, while its column sums are equal, assigning the same total weight to each denoising step. Under these marginal constraints, ReCAST allocates weight according to each reward's informativeness, quantified by its Rényi discriminability gain at each step. These gains telescope to the total discriminability between the reward-induced positive policy and the current policy, providing a basis for temporal credit assignment. We evaluate ReCAST by training SD3.5-Medium under two distinct four-reward settings, each across five reward budgets λ. ReCAST improves the training rewards in one setting and matches them in the other, improves every held-out judge in both, and is preferred by an independent LLM-as-a-Judge. Together, these results show that ReCAST yields improvements that generalize beyond the training rewards and support its core principle: assigning each reward greater weight at the denoising timesteps where its feedback is most informative.

RECALL: Library-Like Behavior In Language Models is Enhanced by Self-Referencing Causal Cycles

We introduce the concept of the self-referencing causal cycle (abbreviated RECALL) - a mechanism that enables large language models (LLMs) to bypass the limitations of unidirectional causality, which underlies a phenomenon known as the reversal curse. When an LLM is prompted with sequential data, it often fails to recall preceding context. For example, when we ask an LLM to recall the line preceding "O say does that star-spangled banner yet wave" in the U.S. National Anthem, it often fails to correctly return "Gave proof through the night that our flag was still there" - this is due to the reversal curse. It occurs because language models such as ChatGPT and Llama generate text based on preceding tokens, requiring facts to be learned and reproduced in a consistent token order. While the reversal curse is often viewed as a limitation, we offer evidence of an alternative view: it is not always an obstacle in practice. We find that RECALL is driven by what we designate as cycle tokens - sequences that connect different parts of the training data, enabling recall of preceding tokens from succeeding ones. Through rigorous probabilistic formalization and controlled experiments, we demonstrate how the cycles they induce influence a model's ability to reproduce information. To facilitate reproducibility, we provide our code and experimental details at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/remember-B0B8/.

  • 9 authors
·
Jan 22, 2025

The Metacognitive Monitoring Battery: A Cross-Domain Benchmark for LLM Self-Monitoring

We introduce a cross-domain behavioural assay of monitoring-control coupling in LLMs, grounded in the Nelson and Narens (1990) metacognitive framework and applying human psychometric methodology to LLM evaluation. The battery comprises 524 items across six cognitive domains (learning, metacognitive calibration, social cognition, attention, executive function, prospective regulation), each grounded in an established experimental paradigm. Tasks T1-T5 were pre-registered on OSF prior to data collection; T6 was added as an exploratory extension. After every forced-choice response, dual probes adapted from Koriat and Goldsmith (1996) ask the model to KEEP or WITHDRAW its answer and to BET or decline. The critical metric is the withdraw delta: the difference in withdrawal rate between incorrect and correct items. Applied to 20 frontier LLMs (10,480 evaluations), the battery discriminates three profiles consistent with the Nelson-Narens architecture: blanket confidence, blanket withdrawal, and selective sensitivity. Accuracy rank and metacognitive sensitivity rank are largely inverted. Retrospective monitoring and prospective regulation appear dissociable (r = .17, 95% CI wide given n=20; exemplar-based evidence is the primary support). Scaling on metacognitive calibration is architecture-dependent: monotonically decreasing (Qwen), monotonically increasing (GPT-5.4), or flat (Gemma). Behavioural findings converge structurally with an independent Type-2 SDT approach, providing preliminary cross-method construct validity. All items, data, and code: https://github.com/synthiumjp/metacognitive-monitoring-battery.

  • 1 authors
·
Apr 16

CreditDecoding: Accelerating Parallel Decoding in Diffusion Large Language Models with Trace Credits

Diffusion large language models (dLLMs) generate text through iterative denoising steps, achieving parallel decoding by denoising only high-confidence positions at each step. However, existing approaches often repetitively remask tokens due to initially low confidence scores, leading to redundant iterations and limiting overall acceleration. Through the analysis of dLLM decoding traces, we observe that the model often determines the final prediction for a token several steps before the decoding step. To leverage this historical information and avoid redundant steps, we introduce the concept of Trace Credit, which quantifies each token's convergence potential by accumulating historical logits. Furthermore, we propose CreditDecoding, a training-free parallel decoding algorithm that accelerates the confidence convergence of correct but underconfident tokens by fusing current logits with Trace Credit. This process significantly reduces redundant iterations and enhances decoding robustness. On eight benchmarks, CreditDecoding achieves a 5.48 times speedup and a 0.48 performance improvement over LLaDA-8B-Instruct, and a 4.11 times speedup with a 0.15 performance improvement over LLaDA-MoE-Instruct. Importantly, CreditDecoding scales effectively to long sequences and is orthogonal to mainstream inference optimizations, making it a readily integrable and versatile solution.

  • 8 authors
·
Oct 7, 2025

Memory in Large Language Models: Mechanisms, Evaluation and Evolution

Under a unified operational definition, we define LLM memory as a persistent state written during pretraining, finetuning, or inference that can later be addressed and that stably influences outputs. We propose a four-part taxonomy (parametric, contextual, external, procedural/episodic) and a memory quadruple (location, persistence, write/access path, controllability). We link mechanism, evaluation, and governance via the chain write -> read -> inhibit/update. To avoid distorted comparisons across heterogeneous setups, we adopt a three-setting protocol (parametric only, offline retrieval, online retrieval) that decouples capability from information availability on the same data and timeline. On this basis we build a layered evaluation: parametric (closed-book recall, edit differential, memorization/privacy), contextual (position curves and the mid-sequence drop), external (answer correctness vs snippet attribution/faithfulness), and procedural/episodic (cross-session consistency and timeline replay, E MARS+). The framework integrates temporal governance and leakage auditing (freshness hits, outdated answers, refusal slices) and uncertainty reporting via inter-rater agreement plus paired tests with multiple-comparison correction. For updating and forgetting, we present DMM Gov: coordinating DAPT/TAPT, PEFT, model editing (ROME, MEND, MEMIT, SERAC), and RAG to form an auditable loop covering admission thresholds, rollout, monitoring, rollback, and change audits, with specs for timeliness, conflict handling, and long-horizon consistency. Finally, we give four testable propositions: minimum identifiability; a minimal evaluation card; causally constrained editing with verifiable forgetting; and when retrieval with small-window replay outperforms ultra-long-context reading. This yields a reproducible, comparable, and governable coordinate system for research and deployment.

  • 7 authors
·
Sep 23, 2025

Memory Is a Derivation: The Distributed-Evidence Paradox in Long-Term Agents

Long-running LLM agents compress past interactions into persistent memories that may be reused as premises for later tasks. This creates a distinct derivation problem: whether the memory actually follows from what the interaction history supports. Relevant evidence may be scattered across earlier interactions, while compression can introduce relations or event status that the history never established. A valid memory may therefore appear unsupported because its citations omit relevant evidence, while individually supported facts may be composed into a stronger statement the history never established. We characterize this problem through three coupled requirements: (1) Evidence scope; (2) Compositional validity; (3) Admission reliability. We therefore ask whether the interaction history available at write time supports what enters persistent memory. We introduce DerivAudit, a framework for auditing whether a memory is actually supported by the history available when it was written. The audit separates three questions: whether supporting evidence lies beyond writer-provided citations, whether the composed memory introduces unsupported meaning, and how write-time admission decisions affect later memory use. Across two natural memory corpora, audits using broader pre-write history recover support for nearly 60% of memories that appear unsupported from citations alone, while 17-21% remain unsupported after expansion. Yet broader evidence does not by itself make admission reliable: unsupported memories are still frequently admitted across verification models, and evidence expansion alone worsens it on two backbones.

Dependency-Aware Reward Shaping for Agentic Reinforcement Learning

When training large language models with reinforcement learning, terminal rewards provide little guidance about which steps matter. Common methods for assigning step credit overlook that work built on uncorrected mistakes is wasted while independent work remains valid. With only a final success/failure reward, every step in a failed episode has zero total future reward, even when it made progress. We propose Dependency-Aware Reward Shaping (DARS), which represents task progress as predicates linked by prerequisite relations and assigns step-level credit over the dependency graph. An annotator marks which predicates each step verifies, invalidates, or repairs. Verified predicates are discounted according to graph distance from the nearest broken prerequisite, while independent predicates are unaffected. Repairs update these weights based on any errors that remain; invalidated predicates need re-verification to regain credit. A fixed potential converts these annotations into signed per-step rewards. A common reward and annotation interface allows DARS to integrate with a range of reasoning and agentic training methods, such as GiGPO and ARPO/AEPO, without changing their rollout strategies or optimizers. Across five task families and models from 1.5B to 8B, DARS improves success by up to 10 points over GiGPO trained with the same budget and harness (ALFWorld), raises the WebShop task score and Search-R1 QA accuracy, complements AEPO's entropy-based training on AIME24/25 with a Python interpreter, and exceeds OmniOPD in controlled tool-free reasoning comparisons at 1.7B and 4B. Ablations show that step-level credit, dependency attenuation, and graph topology each contribute. On ALFWorld, a distilled 8B annotator matches the API annotator, enabling DARS to run efficiently without a frontier judge. Code is available at https://github.com/JianhuiWei7/DARS.

  • 5 authors
·
Sep 30

MemCalib: Benchmarking and Optimizing Memory Use in LLM Agents

The effectiveness of agent memory ultimately depends on whether the underlying LLM gives each memory in context an appropriate degree of influence over its response. Yet this capability has remained largely overlooked. To assess this capability, we introduce MemCalib, a benchmark grounded in realistic memory-system scenarios for evaluating memory use and advancing optimization algorithms. Results on the MemCalib test set reveal that frontier open- and closed-source models struggle to use memory appropriately. They frequently over-use or under-use memory rather than matching each proposition's actual use to its target level, leading to biased, low-quality responses. Experiments with common post-training algorithms, including group relative policy optimization and on-policy self-distillation, further reveal a clear directional skew: trained models improve in one direction while deteriorating in the other. We therefore propose MemCalib-RL, an ordered bidirectional counterfactual credit-assignment algorithm that separates over- and under-use signals and localizes their credit to response tokens through exact atom ablation. Results across model families and scales (Qwen3-8B, Ministral-3-8B-Instruct, and Qwen3.5-35B-A3B) show that MemCalib-RL achieves the best overall performance while better balancing over-use and under-use, with gains generalizing beyond MemCalib in external benchmark evaluation. Further experiments support its design choices and robustness and provide insight into its training dynamics.

  • 9 authors
·
Sep 20

DR Pixel: Page-Native Deep Research with Vision-Language Models

Complex documents such as scientific papers contain rich information in tables, figures, and equations; however, existing deep research (DR) agents typically reduce papers to OCR-extracted text. We instead ask whether vision-language models (VLMs) can enable page-native deep research: directly retrieving and reasoning over rendered document page images. We introduce DR Pixel, the first open-source end-to-end multimodal DR agent that uses rendered page images as its sole retrieval and reasoning unit, operating over a corpus of 1.06M pages. To evaluate this setting, we construct DRPixelBench, a benchmark on scientific papers requiring reasoning over text, figures, tables, and equations. Surprisingly, page-native DR already works well without training, outperforming OCR-based baselines across state-of-the-art models like GPT-5.4, Gemini-3.5-Flash, and Qwen3.6-27B, while requiring fewer tool calls. We next turn to DR training. A key challenge is that teacher trajectories for agentic supervised finetuning are noisy, mixing critical reasoning and action steps with redundant or failed attempts. To address this, we introduce counterfactual credit reweighting, a fine-grained credit assignment method that weights individual reasoning and action steps by their counterfactual contribution to the final answer. Our training improves retrieval recall by about 15 points and final accuracy by over 10 points on DRPixelBench, and likewise outperforms the untrained baseline on four existing benchmarks. On out-of-distribution ViDoRe-V3, DR Pixel comes within 1.8 points of an oracle that is given the gold pages directly. Our results suggest that the conventional OCR-then-retrieve pipeline is not only unnecessary but suboptimal: directly retrieving and reasoning over visual document pages makes complex DR both more effective and more efficient.

Learning What to Recall: Adaptive Multi-Cue Episodic Memory for World Models

World models predict future observations from current experience and actions, yet prediction can depend on observations seen far in the past. Episodic memory preserves past observations for later recall; however, as memory accumulates, it raises a fundamental question: which memories are useful for the current prediction, and which available retrieval cues should be trusted to find them? This is challenging because fixed criteria based on recency, pose overlap, or visual similarity can be unreliable across environments and queries. We propose Future-Aware Recall (FAR), a framework that learns episodic recall from future-aware predictive supervision and adaptive multi-cue scoring. During training, FAR measures predictive utility by the conditional log-likelihood of the realized future given recalled context, approximated by negative diffusion prediction loss, and uses it to train a retriever that remains future-blind at inference. The retriever learns cue-specific relevance and automatically determines which available retrieval cues, such as time, pose, vision, and audio, to trust for each query when selecting memories. Across three complementary settings, FAR outperforms hand-designed recall even with the same retrieval cues, automatically adapts which available cues to trust, and recalls the right history as the world changes. Together, these results establish FAR as a flexible, principled approach to episodic memory access in world models.

kaist-ai KAIST AI
·
Sep 27 2

ChroKnowledge: Unveiling Chronological Knowledge of Language Models in Multiple Domains

Large language models (LLMs) have significantly impacted many aspects of our lives. However, assessing and ensuring their chronological knowledge remains challenging. Existing approaches fall short in addressing the accumulative nature of knowledge, often relying on a single time stamp. To overcome this, we introduce ChroKnowBench, a benchmark dataset designed to evaluate chronologically accumulated knowledge across three key aspects: multiple domains, time dependency, temporal state. Our benchmark distinguishes between knowledge that evolves (e.g., scientific discoveries, amended laws) and knowledge that remain constant (e.g., mathematical truths, commonsense facts). Building on this benchmark, we present ChroKnowledge (Chronological Categorization of Knowledge), a novel sampling-based framework for evaluating and updating LLMs' non-parametric chronological knowledge. Our evaluation shows: (1) The ability of eliciting temporal knowledge varies depending on the data format that model was trained on. (2) LLMs partially recall knowledge or show a cut-off at temporal boundaries rather than recalling all aspects of knowledge correctly. Thus, we apply our ChroKnowPrompt, an in-depth prompting to elicit chronological knowledge by traversing step-by-step through the surrounding time spans. We observe that our framework successfully updates the overall knowledge across the entire timeline in both the biomedical domain (+11.9%) and the general domain (+2.8%), demonstrating its effectiveness in refining temporal knowledge. This non-parametric approach also enables knowledge updates not only in open-source models but also in proprietary LLMs, ensuring comprehensive applicability across model types. We perform a comprehensive analysis based on temporal characteristics of ChroKnowPrompt and validate the potential of various models to elicit intrinsic temporal knowledge through our method.

  • 6 authors
·
Oct 13, 2024 3

CoRT: Counterfactual Replay for Token-Level Rubric-Guided Policy Optimization

Rubric-based reinforcement learning enriches language model training by evaluating model outputs against explicit criteria. Yet in GRPO-style pipelines, these structured judgments are reduced to a scalar response-level reward and converted into a response-level advantage, which is broadcast uniformly to all generated tokens. This leaves no explicit mechanism for allocating credit within a response, even when different criteria are grounded in different spans, formatting decisions, or semantic choices. We propose CoRT, a token-level credit weighting method for rubric-conditioned GRPO. Instead of training an auxiliary token scoring model, CoRT uses counterfactual replay to rescore the same sampled response under the original rubric-conditioned prompt and a matched criteria-free prompt. The resulting tokenwise log-likelihood contrasts serve as a proxy for dependence on the rubric context. CoRT maps these contrasts to bounded, response-normalized weights and uses them to redistribute the signed GRPO advantage across tokens, without introducing an auxiliary scorer or changing the response-level reward. Experiments across instruction-tuned models and reward granularities show that CoRT improves over matched response-level GRPO in the vast majority of comparisons, with an average gain of 4.4 percentage points. The method remains competitive with learned token-level credit baselines while avoiding a separate relevance-learning stage. These results suggest that policy-internal counterfactual likelihood contrasts provide an effective training signal for within-response credit allocation while retaining the simplicity and stability of GRPO.

ByteDance ByteDance
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Jul 27 3

IAPO: Influence-Aware Policy Optimization for Credit Assignment in Multi-Turn Service Agents

Large Language Model (LLM) agents increasingly solve long-horizon tasks through multi-turn interactions with users and external tools. In these settings, relevant task information often unfolds over time rather than being fully specified at the initial prompt. Service agents make this challenge especially concrete: users may clarify or revise their goals, while tool responses provide information needed for subsequent decisions. Thus, a final reward alone cannot indicate which actions contributed to resolving the task. Recent methods rely on comparative evidence from other trajectories or resampled continuations, or on separately constructed step-level learning signals, to refine credit. However, a completed rollout already records how information and errors flow between agent actions. We introduce Influence-Aware Policy Optimization (IAPO), which represents each rollout as a typed influence-dependency graph over trainable agent actions, with user and tool observations serving as evidence. IAPO converts support-use and failed-use structure into routing weights that redistribute the same trajectory-level advantage. Experiments with Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B demonstrate superior performance over multi-turn reinforcement learning (RL) baselines across three service-agent benchmarks: {τ^2}-Bench, UserBench, and AgentChangeBench. BFCL-v4 Multi-Turn further shows that these gains do not compromise multi-turn function-calling performance. This work advances the understanding of credit assignment in multi-turn user interactions and provides a principled approach to training service agents from sparse outcome feedback.

  • 4 authors
·
Aug 25

Useful Memories Become Faulty When Continuously Updated by LLMs

Learning from past experience benefits from two complementary forms of memory: episodic traces -- raw trajectories of what happened -- and consolidated abstractions distilled across many episodes into reusable, schema-like lessons. Recent agentic-memory systems pursue the consolidated form: an LLM rewrites past trajectories into a textual memory bank that it continuously updates with new interactions, promising self-improving agents without parameter updates. Yet we find that such consolidated memories produced by today's LLMs are often faulty even when derived from useful experiences. As consolidation proceeds, memory utility first rises, then degrades, and can fall below the no-memory baseline. More surprisingly, even when consolidating from ground-truth solutions, GPT-5.4 fails on 54% of a set of ARC-AGI problems it had previously solved without memory. We trace the regression to the consolidation step rather than the underlying experience: the same trajectories yield qualitatively different memories under different update schedules, and an episodic-only control that simply retains those trajectories remains competitive with the consolidators we test. In a controlled ARC-AGI Stream environment that exposes Retain, Delete, and Consolidate actions, agents preserve raw episodes by default and double the accuracy of their forced-consolidation counterparts; disabling consolidation entirely (episodic management only) matches this auto regime. Practically, robust agent memory should treat raw episodes as first-class evidence and gate consolidation explicitly rather than firing it after every interaction. Looking forward, reliable agentic memory will require LLMs that can consolidate without overwriting the evidence they depend on.

UER: A Heuristic Bias Addressing Approach for Online Continual Learning

Online continual learning aims to continuously train neural networks from a continuous data stream with a single pass-through data. As the most effective approach, the rehearsal-based methods replay part of previous data. Commonly used predictors in existing methods tend to generate biased dot-product logits that prefer to the classes of current data, which is known as a bias issue and a phenomenon of forgetting. Many approaches have been proposed to overcome the forgetting problem by correcting the bias; however, they still need to be improved in online fashion. In this paper, we try to address the bias issue by a more straightforward and more efficient method. By decomposing the dot-product logits into an angle factor and a norm factor, we empirically find that the bias problem mainly occurs in the angle factor, which can be used to learn novel knowledge as cosine logits. On the contrary, the norm factor abandoned by existing methods helps remember historical knowledge. Based on this observation, we intuitively propose to leverage the norm factor to balance the new and old knowledge for addressing the bias. To this end, we develop a heuristic approach called unbias experience replay (UER). UER learns current samples only by the angle factor and further replays previous samples by both the norm and angle factors. Extensive experiments on three datasets show that UER achieves superior performance over various state-of-the-art methods. The code is in https://github.com/FelixHuiweiLin/UER.

  • 6 authors
·
Sep 7, 2023

Predictive Credit: Measuring What Scientific Explanations Add to Experimental Forecasts

Research agents explain planned experiments. We measure predictive credit with paired forecasts sharing an intervention, forecaster, and outcome while varying description, matched explanation, and donor context. Five checks track commitment, delivery, predictive gain, alignment, and known-signal uptake. Across 336 prospective states in controlled learning, 12 Tox21 endpoints, and 24 OpenML tasks, v5's frozen credit decision was inconclusive. Tox21's preregistered ROC AUC interval-score harm test was unmet (D-M=-.0026, 95 percent interval [-.0174, .0104]); OpenML's joint formation, point-equivalence, and repeatability rule was unmet. Matched point-accuracy gains over description remained unconfirmed, and Tox21/OpenML seed-donor intervals spanned zero. Under requested DeepSeek V4 Pro, matched and donor cards reduced secondary Tox21 drift by 64.5 and 59.1 percent. A DeepSeek V4 Flash replay raised matched point MAE from .01823 to .02020 and missed matched-donor interval-score equivalence. OpenML full-card assignment widened nominal 80 percent intervals by 21 percent, with 49.3 percent coverage versus 51.4 percent for description and content in 66/144 cards. Direct-text Flash delivered all 144 notes without detectable matched point-accuracy gain. A researcher-authored mechanism positive control lowered point MAE by 2.60 percentage points versus description. The protocol measures predictive credit for research-agent benchmarks and scientific forecasting; natural-explanation credit remained unconfirmed at the tested donor resolutions.

Beyond Timestamps: Decision-Aligned On-Policy Distillation for Long-Horizon Agents

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) often relies on sparse outcome rewards, providing coarse supervision for long-horizon agents. On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) complements this signal with dense privileged feedback. However, we identify Decision--Timestamp Mismatch: privileged guidance may be misaligned with the student's functional decision because the corresponding decision can occur at a different timestep, while the student's decision itself may span multiple timesteps rather than being tied to a single timestamp. Thus, timestamp-local supervision can misalign both the context and the temporal scope of credit. To address this mismatch, we introduce AlignOPSD, following the principle of aligning supervision before assigning credit. Decision-Aligned Supervision Rectification re-scores the same student-sampled response in functionally matched contexts across sibling rollouts to calibrate local teacher evidence. Semi-Markov Hierarchical Credit Assignment then derives variable-duration decision spans from correspondence changes and uses rectified evidence to allocate outcome-grounded credit across spans and their constituent turns. We evaluate AlignOPSD with Qwen2.5-3B and Qwen2.5-7B on ALFWorld, WebShop, and Search-QA against representative baselines. AlignOPSD outperforms both GRPO and StepOPSD across all eight backbone--aggregate-metric comparisons, improving on GRPO by 5.5--8.7 \% and ranking first in six. Additional analyzes examine the two alignment stages and hyperparameter sensitivity between tasks. Our code is avaliable at https://github.com/mingju-c/Align-OPSD

UCOB: Learning to Utilize and Evolve Agentic Skills via Credit-Aware On-Policy Bidirectional Self-Distillation

Skill memories can improve agentic reinforcement learning by reusing past experience as textual guidance, but retrieved skills are not oracular: they may help in one state while misleading the same policy in another. This makes the common privileged-teacher assumption fragile, namely that a skill-conditioned prompt can be treated as a fixed teacher for the no-skill prompt. We introduce UCOB, a framework for learning to utilize and evolve agentic skills via credit-aware on-policy bidirectional self-distillation. UCOB treats skill-conditioned and no-skill prompts as two on-policy context views of the same model, compares their return-to-go within the same task and anchor state, and uses the higher-return view as the local teacher. This local credit signal internalizes useful skill-conditioned behavior, corrects misleading skill usage, and guides task/state skill memory updates, utility-aware retrieval, and reflection self-training. Experiments on agentic tasks, including ALFWorld, WebShop, and Search-QA, show that UCOB outperforms skill-free RL, skill-memory baselines, and self-distillation methods across model scales, with up to 23.5 and 18.0 point gains over SOTA baselines on ALFWorld and WebShop. Ablations and analyses further validate its core mechanisms, continual adaptation across environments, and modest training overhead. Code is available at https://github.com/TU2021/UCOB.

  • 9 authors
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Jul 16

Self-Preservation in Language Models

Continual learning (CL) seeks to adapt pretrained models while preserving prior capabilities. Yet the tasks supplied for preservation cover only part of what a model knows, while forgetting can extend beyond them. Recent work shows that language models can supplement this limited evidence by generating useful replay without access to their original training data. This raises a question about self-preservation: can a model help choose preservation targets that protect its own capabilities more broadly? To study this question, we organize task descriptions and their examples into Task Banks, whose entries can be selected and combined to guide replay generation by a frozen model. Continual instruction tuning with Qwen models of varying sizes yields three findings. First, the new task and learning rate shape which prior capabilities degrade, while tracking previously correct answers reveals losses that average accuracy can conceal. Second, generated replay reduces forgetting on tasks outside the bank. Combining partial banks strengthens this protection, improving mean retention of previously correct answers over either bank alone across the tested sizes. Third, the model can also help choose replay targets: selection informed by the new task improves mean held-out retention over random selection at 4B, with similar new-task gains, although smaller models show no corresponding advantage. Under a fixed example budget, however, replacing new-task examples with replay improves preservation at the cost of smaller new-task gains. Together, these findings show that models can support broader self-preservation by generating replay data and, in some settings, choosing which tasks to replay.

Time-Reversal Provides Unsupervised Feedback to LLMs

Large Language Models (LLMs) are typically trained to predict in the forward direction of time. However, recent works have shown that prompting these models to look back and critique their own generations can produce useful feedback. Motivated by this, we explore the question of whether LLMs can be empowered to think (predict and score) backwards to provide unsupervised feedback that complements forward LLMs. Towards this, we introduce Time Reversed Language Models (TRLMs), which can score and generate queries when conditioned on responses, effectively functioning in the reverse direction of time. Further, to effectively infer in the response to query direction, we pre-train and fine-tune a language model (TRLM-Ba) in the reverse token order from scratch. We show empirically (and theoretically in a stylized setting) that time-reversed models can indeed complement forward model predictions when used to score the query given response for re-ranking multiple forward generations. We obtain up to 5\% improvement on the widely used AlpacaEval Leaderboard over the competent baseline of best-of-N re-ranking using self log-perplexity scores. We further show that TRLM scoring outperforms conventional forward scoring of response given query, resulting in significant gains in applications such as citation generation and passage retrieval. We next leverage the generative ability of TRLM to augment or provide unsupervised feedback to input safety filters of LLMs, demonstrating a drastic reduction in false negative rate with negligible impact on false positive rates against several attacks published on the popular JailbreakBench leaderboard.

  • 6 authors
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Dec 3, 2024

Critic Experience Bank: Self-Evolving Step-Level Confidence Estimation for LLM Agents

LLM agents act in external environments where each action changes the state that later decisions condition on, and where a single wrong step can waste interaction budget or trigger irreversible side effects long before the final failure is observed. Reliable deployment therefore requires step-level confidence estimation: a calibrated probability that each proposed action is productive, available before the action is executed. Existing LLM confidence estimators are designed to score a response from the given prompt, but agent confidence also depends on execution consequences: whether similar actions in similar situations actually advanced the task after the environment responded. We introduce the \method (\methodshort), a self-evolving critic framework in which an LLM critic accumulates evidence from its own past judgments and their observed consequences. After each trajectory, a hindsight LLM that sees the full execution feedback votes on whether each step was productive. The resulting pseudo-labels populate a memory bank from which related productive and unproductive experiences are retrieved into the critic's prompt whenever a similar step recurs. \methodshort requires no training and uses no ground truth step labels. Across three agent benchmarks and three critic backbones, \methodshort attains the best calibration (ECE and Brier) and ranking (AUC) in every dataset--critic combination, reducing ECE by up to 54% relative to the strongest training-free baseline.

  • 6 authors
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Jul 13

When Implausible Tokens Get Reinforced: Tail-Aware Credit Calibration for LLM Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning (RL) has achieved remarkable success in enhancing the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). However, widely used critic-free RL methods rely on uniform credit assignment, broadcasting the same advantage to all tokens regardless of their differences. We identify a critical failure mode of this design, which we refer to as Positive-Credit Contamination: low-probability tail tokens that are contextually erroneous receive identical positive credit to plausible ones within the same trajectory, resulting in the indiscriminate reinforcement of flawed reasoning behavior. To mitigate this issue, we propose Tail-Aware Credit calibratiOn (TACO), a method that calibrates uniform credit assignment to suppress undesirable positive updates. TACO first computes a tail-risk score that incorporates the local generation context to assess each token's risk of falling into the unreliable tail, distinguishing unexpected rarity from uncertainty-driven exploration. TACO then uses this score to tune positive credit for risky tokens without removing their gradients entirely, so that recurring useful rare patterns can accumulate reinforcement while incidental noise is progressively dampened. Experimental results across three LLMs and eight benchmarks show that TACO consistently outperforms GRPO-style baselines. Notably, TACO improves training stability, supporting sustained performance gains in long-horizon RL. The source code is available at: https://github.com/xiuyilou/TACO.

  • 7 authors
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Jul 7

Avoid Catastrophic Forgetting with Rank-1 Fisher from Diffusion Models

Catastrophic forgetting remains a central obstacle for continual learning in neural models. Popular approaches -- replay and elastic weight consolidation (EWC) -- have limitations: replay requires a strong generator and is prone to distributional drift, while EWC implicitly assumes a shared optimum across tasks and typically uses a diagonal Fisher approximation. In this work, we study the gradient geometry of diffusion models, which can already produce high-quality replay data. We provide theoretical and empirical evidence that, in the low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regime, per-sample gradients become strongly collinear, yielding an empirical Fisher that is effectively rank-1 and aligned with the mean gradient. Leveraging this structure, we propose a rank-1 variant of EWC that is as cheap as the diagonal approximation yet captures the dominant curvature direction. We pair this penalty with a replay-based approach to encourage parameter sharing across tasks while mitigating drift. On class-incremental image generation datasets (MNIST, FashionMNIST, CIFAR-10, ImageNet-1k), our method consistently improves average FID and reduces forgetting relative to replay-only and diagonal-EWC baselines. In particular, forgetting is nearly eliminated on MNIST and FashionMNIST and is more than halved on ImageNet-1k. These results suggest that diffusion models admit an approximately rank-1 Fisher. With a better Fisher estimate, EWC becomes a strong complement to replay: replay encourages parameter sharing across tasks, while EWC effectively constrains replay-induced drift.

  • 4 authors
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Jan 25

Memory Reward Inflation in Self-Improving LLM Agents

Self-improving LLM agents increasingly learn from experience without updating any weights. Each episode is stored in an external memory, scored, and retrieved for similar future tasks to shape later behavior. Viewed through a reward lens, the stored score is a proxy reward for an implicit, non-parametric policy. Each retrieved episode then becomes a policy-improvement step whose reliability hinges on how that score is produced. In deployment, ground-truth labels are unavailable, so the stored reward is at best an LLM assessment. This substitution creates a failure mode, the *Echo Gap*, across the memory-based self-improving agents and model families studied. Incorrect episodes receive inflated rewards; thus, the agent preferentially reuses the very mistakes it has most confident in. Because the error compounds through memory rather than averaging out and the confirming judge's errors remain correlated with the original self-grading bias, so it cannot identify which memories are overvalued. The missing property is formalized as the *Error-Independence Assumption* (EIA), which we prove is a *necessary* condition for correcting the inflation, not merely a description of a good verifier: a usable signal must track truth *and* decorrelate its error from the memory bias, and the recoverable payoff is a closed-form function of exactly those two quantities. We further show the inflation compounds not only when retrieval ranks by the stored score but also under plain similarity retrieval which is the regime the deployed agent uses. Finally, the answer-free de-inflation algorithm LUCID delivers a consistent end-to-end gain on the BIRD text-to-SQL benchmark. It raises execution accuracy to 56.9%, above both a Memento-style self-graded agent (54.0%, a +2.9-point mean gain across seeds) and a memory-less agent of identical architecture (52.4%).

  • 5 authors
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Jun 28

Online Process Reward Leanring for Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly trained with reinforcement learning (RL) as autonomous agents that reason and act over long horizons in interactive environments. However, sparse and sometimes unverifiable rewards make temporal credit assignment extremely challenging. Recent work attempts to integrate process supervision into agent learning but suffers from biased annotation, reward hacking, high-variance from overly fine-grained signals or failtures when state overlap is rare. We therefore introduce Online Process Reward Learning (OPRL), a general credit-assignment strategy for agentic RL that integrates seamlessly with standard on-policy algorithms without relying on additional rollouts or explicit step labels. In OPRL, we optimize an implicit process reward model (PRM) alternately with the agent's policy to transform trajectory preferences into implicit step rewards through a trajectory-based DPO objective. These step rewards are then used to compute step-level advantages, which are combined with episode-level advantages from outcome rewards for policy update, creating a self-reinforcing loop. Theoretical findings guarantee that the learned step rewards are consistent with trajectory preferences and act as potential-based shaping rewards, providing bounded gradients to stabilize training. Empirically, we evaluate OPRL on three distinct agent benmarks, including WebShop and VisualSokoban, as well as open-ended social interactions with unverfiable rewards in SOTOPIA. Crucially, OPRL shows superior performance over frontier LLMs and strong RL baselines across domains, achieving state-of-the-art results with higher sample-efficiency and lower variance during training. Further analysis also demonstrates the efficient exploration by OPRL using fewer actions, underscoring its potential for agentic learning in real-world scenarios.

  • 7 authors
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Sep 23, 2025

More Memory, Worse Agents: Error Reproduction and Anti-Persistence in LLM Agents

LLM agents can improve across tasks without updating model parameters by storing experience from their own executions in external memory and reusing it to guide later decisions. A central design question is whether to retain only observed trajectories and outcomes or also the rules, summaries, and skills inferred from them. Retaining these abstractions allows agents to reuse strategies without repeatedly deriving them from raw trajectories. However, errors in stored abstractions can propagate to subsequent decisions through retrieval and reuse. They can also shape execution trajectories, which then become the basis for new abstractions that reproduce the original errors. We term this feedback mechanism error reproduction: errors are regenerated through a cycle of abstraction, execution, and re-abstraction, extending their persistence beyond direct reuse of the original faulty knowledge. We propose Anti-Persistence, a memory design that accumulates trajectories and outcomes while reconstructing task-specific guidance on demand. An adaptive selector uses prior outcomes to decide whether and how to synthesize guidance, which is discarded after execution. This prevents its direct reuse as a stored object, although indirect feedback through retained trajectories remains possible. Across different benchmarks and backbones, Anti-Persistence achieves higher overall held-out success and the lowest average LLM-call cost among the evaluated memory designs. These results support separating experience accumulation from abstraction persistence in memorybased self-improvement.